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The Cook Political Report

@cookpolitical.com
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Non-partisan analysis featuring the trusted voices of Amy Walter, David Wasserman, Carrie Dann, Jessica Taylor, and Erin Covey. The right analysis for getting it right. Learn more: cookpolitical.com/subscribe

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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 7h
"With just under a month until Election Day, the political environment is as brutal for Republicans as any I’ve seen in at least 20 years." Read Amy Walter's latest column:
cookpolitical.com
Here’s the Difference Between a Bad Election Night for the GOP and a Catastrophic One
With just under a month until Election Day, the political environment is as brutal for Republicans as any I’ve seen in at least 20 years.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 10h
View the full table as well as past CPR Race Ratings here: www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/sena...
cookpolitical.com
2026 CPR Senate Race ratings | Cook Political Report
2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings: current 7-point ratings (Solid D to Solid R) for all 35 Senate seats up in 2026, updated regularly by our nonpartisan analysts.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 10h
This week, we shifted three Senate races in the direction of Democrats. Here's where's our current ratings stand.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 07/10/2026
Read the full analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social and read about our three race rating changes.
cookpolitical.com
A Senate Majority is Squarely in Democrats’ Sights as Kansas Moves to Toss Up; Two Other Races Shift Left
Four weeks out from Election Day, the Senate map is shifting further in Democrats’ favor — and with it, their odds of winning back the majority.While Republicans continue to have a financial edge in a...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 07/10/2026
We are revising our estimate of potential Senate pickups to two to six seats for Democrats — squarely within the range of the four seats they need to net for a majority.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 06/10/2026
With less than a month until the midterm election, we are starting to see a certain clarity in the Senate races. Read Charlie Cook's latest column:
cookpolitical.com
Stick a Fork in These Races
With less than a month until the midterm election, we are starting to see a certain clarity in the Senate races, though the House doesn't seem to have reached that point. While it’s clear the House ma...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 06/10/2026
Today, The Cook Political Report is moving three Senate races, all towards Democrats. • Kansas from Lean R -> Toss Up • North Carolina from Lean D -> Likely D • New Hampshire from Toss Up -> Lean D Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social's full analysis:
cookpolitical.com
A Senate Majority is Squarely in Democrats’ Sights as Kansas Moves to Toss Up; Two Other Races Shift Left
Four weeks out from Election Day, the Senate map is shifting further in Democrats’ favor — and with it, their odds of winning back the majority.While Republicans continue to have a financial edge in a...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 06/10/2026
🎧 Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f... 🎧 Listen on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/finally-vo...
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Finally, Voters Agree On One Thing (That They All Hate): AI Data Centers
Podcast Episode · Editors Roundtable · October 5 · Subscribers Only · 18m
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 06/10/2026
👉 NEW Editors Roundtable pod! AI data centers were not on our bingo card at the start of the year. But just a few weeks out from Election Day, voters have very strong feelings on this topic.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 01/10/2026
As gas prices climb and consumer confidence plummets, Republican candidates for Congress are struggling to prove to voters that they feel their economic pain.
cookpolitical.com
Republicans Desperately Need an Economic Message. Even Their Best One May Not Move Voters.
As gas prices climb and consumer confidence plummets, Republican candidates for Congress are struggling to prove to voters that they feel their economic pain.Vulnerable GOP candidates could try to dis...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 01/10/2026
Read the full analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
cookpolitical.com
Democrats In Strong Position To Regain Majority of Governors As Two More Ratings Shift in Their Favor
Democrats could make gains across the country in critical states this November, potentially giving them a majority of governorships for the first time since 2010.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 01/10/2026
We have moved these two governors races from Likely Republican to Lean Republican: • Texas: Gina Hinojosa (D) vs. Greg Abbott (R) • Florida: David Jolly (D) vs. Byron Donalds (R)
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 01/10/2026
Today, The Cook Political Report is moving the races for governor in Texas and Florida from Likely Republican to Lean Republican. Read the full analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
cookpolitical.com
Democrats In Strong Position To Regain Majority of Governors As Two More Ratings Shift in Their Favor
Democrats could make gains across the country in critical states this November, potentially giving them a majority of governorships for the first time since 2010.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 30/09/2026
👏 Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/h... 👏 Listen and watch on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/how-many-s...
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How Many Seats Will Dems Pick Up? Here's Our Thinking for the House and Senate Five Weeks Out.
Podcast Episode · Editors Roundtable · September 28 · Subscribers Only · 15m
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 30/09/2026
🎧 How many seats will Democrats pick up? For our latest Editors Roundtable: here's @jessicataylor.bsky.social and @erincovey.bsky.social on our thinking for the House and Senate five weeks out.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 29/09/2026
As both parties scramble to identify any small advantage they can leverage to motivate voters before the midterm elections, one issue that barely registered a few years ago looms larger with each passing week: data centers.
cookpolitical.com
Data Centers Are the Surprise Attack Issue of the Midterms. Here’s Why Swing District Voters Hate Them.
As both parties scramble to identify any small advantage they can leverage to motivate voters before the midterm elections, one issue that barely registered a few years ago looms larger with each pass...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 29/09/2026
👏 Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/h... 👏 Listen and watch on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/how-many-s...
podcasts.apple.com
How Many Seats Will Dems Pick Up? Here's Our Thinking for the House and Senate Five Weeks Out.
Podcast Episode · Editors Roundtable · September 28 · Subscribers Only · 15m
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 29/09/2026
🎧 How many seats will Democrats pick up? For our latest Editors Roundtable: here's @erincovey.bsky.social and @jessicataylor.bsky.social on our thinking for the House and Senate five weeks out.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 28/09/2026
🎧 Listen wherever you get your podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t... 📺 Watch on YouTube: youtube.com/@thecookpoli...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 28/09/2026
NEW Odd Years pod: Amy talks with @c-span.bsky.social's Sam Feist about their new project covering downballot candidates and the role of C-SPAN at a time of changing consumer habits and media upheaval.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 25/09/2026
Read the full outlook from @erincovey.bsky.social here:
cookpolitical.com
GOP on Track to Lose House Majority as 15 Race Ratings Shift Towards Dems
Despite a push for mid-decade redistricting, a massive reserve of cash, and an unpopular opposition party, Republicans are on track to lose their House majority this November.Unlike in 2018, the last ...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 25/09/2026
The Cook Political Report's current possible outcome in the House is that Democrats pick up five to 15 seats, resulting in Democrats holding 220 to 230 seats in 2027.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 25/09/2026
The Cook Political Report is moving 15 House races, all in Democrats' direction, as the worsening political environment for Republicans has made the GOP's chances of keeping control of the chamber almost impossible. Read @erincovey.bsky.social's overview here:
cookpolitical.com
GOP on Track to Lose House Majority as 15 Race Ratings Shift Towards Dems
Despite a push for mid-decade redistricting, a massive reserve of cash, and an unpopular opposition party, Republicans are on track to lose their House majority this November.Unlike in 2018, the last ...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 24/09/2026
Of all the electoral subgroups to watch with less than 40 days until November 3, one matters more than any other: the voters who disapprove of President Trump's job performance but aren't yet sold on voting for a Democrat. Read @redistrict.bsky.social's latest:
cookpolitical.com
The Five Traits of the Voters Who Will Determine the Size of the Blue Wave
Of all the electoral subgroups to watch with less than 40 days until November 3, one matters more than any other: the cross-pressured voters who disapprove of President Donald Trump's job performance ...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 23/09/2026
Our current outlook for the Senate predicts Democrats could net between one and five Senate seats come Election Day. But where could those gains come from among our Toss Up column? Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social for a quick recap of each contest.
cookpolitical.com
Checking in on the State of the Senate Toss Up Races
Our current outlook for the Senate predicts that Democrats could net between one and five Senate seats come Election Day; they need four for a majority. But where could those gains come from among our...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 23/09/2026
With just under six weeks until Election Day, the Cook Political Report released our range of possible Senate outcomes. Read more here: www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/sen...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 23/09/2026
We are also moving three Senate races in the direction of Democrats: ->Georgia: Lean D to Likely D -> Kansas: Likely R to Lean R -> South Carolina: Solid R to Likely R
cookpolitical.com
2026 CPR Senate Race ratings | Cook Political Report
2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings: current 7-point ratings (Solid D to Solid R) for all 35 Senate seats up in 2026, updated regularly by our nonpartisan analysts.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 23/09/2026
NEW Senate outlook from the Cook Political Report: our current range of possible outcomes we see is Democrats netting between one and five seats; they must net four to win back control. Read the full analysis from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
cookpolitical.com
The Fight for the Senate Is a True Toss Up; Three Races Shift Toward Democrats
With just under six weeks until Election Day, control of the Senate is on a knife’s edge as the handful of key races that will decide the majority remain within the margin of error.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 22/09/2026
Check out our CPR PollTracker here:
cookpolitical.com
CPR PollTracker: Trump Crosstab Trendlines
Over next the two years, we’ll publish our topline averages for the following subgroups of voters: men, women, white college graduates, white non-college graduates, Black voters, Hispanic/Latino voter...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 22/09/2026
The economic consequences of Trump's sweeping tariffs and the Iran war have done the one thing all the controversies of his first term were never able to do: splinter his coalition and sink his approval ratings. Read Amy Walter's latest column:
cookpolitical.com
Political Gravity Finally Caught up With Trump. Now the GOP Has To Try To Spend Their Way Out of It.
From the moment he descended the golden escalator, President Donald Trump has defied the rules and laws of political gravity like no other politician in our lifetime.Trump’s staying power in our polit...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 18/09/2026
At 2 PM ET, join Amy Walter, @redistrict.bsky.social and Carrie Dann as they go live to answer your questions about the midterms and our latest polling projects. Tune in on Substack (open.substack.com/live-stream/...) or on YouTube (www.youtube.com/@thecookpoli...)
CPR Live with David, Amy and Carrie
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 17/09/2026
Last week, we shifted the four-way Alaska gubernatorial race to Lean Republican. This week we have gotten further evidence that the race's lone Democrat is opening up an advantage. This race moves from Lean R -> Toss Up. Read more from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
cookpolitical.com
Alaska Governor Moves from Lean Republican to Toss Up
Last week, we shifted the four-way Alaska gubernatorial race one step in Democrats' direction into the Lean Republican column. But this week we have gotten further evidence that the lone Democrat in t...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 17/09/2026
🎯 TOMORROW at 2pm ET. Join Amy, Dave and Carrie as they discuss our latest polling projects, their midterm outlook and answer your questions. 👉 Watch on Substack: open.substack.com/live-stream/... 👉Watch on YouTube: youtube.com/@thecookpoli...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 17/09/2026
View the Battleground District Project: September 2026 Toplines and Crosstabs here:
cookpolitical.com
Battleground District Project: September 2026 Crosstabs
The Battleground District Project is a collaboration between The Cook Political Report and two pollsters, New River Strategies and GS Strategy Group.The downloadable .xlsx file featuring the crosstabs...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 17/09/2026
A new Battleground District Project poll of the most competitive House districts in the country finds Democrats in a strong position to flip control of the chamber this fall.
cookpolitical.com
New Battleground District Poll Shows Democrats Up, Voters Eager for Sweeping Change
A new Battleground District Project poll of the most competitive House districts in the country finds Democrats in a strong position to flip control of the chamber this fall. It also finds an electora...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 16/09/2026
The 120th Congress is on track to have one of the largest freshman classes of the past decade. @erincovey.bsky.social looks at what the incoming members reveal about how both parties have evolved over the past two years.
cookpolitical.com
Taking Stock of the Incoming House Freshman Class
The 120th Congress is on track to have one of the largest freshman classes of the past decade. A whopping 61 House members decided not to run for reelection this year — and another 11 lost their prima...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 15/09/2026
Despite headwinds against Republicans, there is one Senate race that some in both parties privately concede may be a sleeper offensive opening for the GOP: New Hampshire. We move this contest from Lean D -> Toss Up. Read @jessicataylor.bsky.social's analysis:
cookpolitical.com
In Move Toward GOP, New Hampshire Senate Race Shifts Into Toss Up
Despite headwinds against Republicans, there is one Senate race that some in both parties privately concede may be a sleeper offensive opening for the GOP: New Hampshire.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 15/09/2026
🎧 New Editors Roundtable pod: Hispanics in Texas Swung Hard Toward Trump in 2024. They Are Abandoning Him in 2026. 👏 Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/h... 👏 Listen on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/hispanics-...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 15/09/2026
👋 It's the last day to buy your Election Pass! Don't miss out on The Cook Political Report's midterm analysis. Learn more here: www.cookpolitical.com/subscribe
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 14/09/2026
When it comes to the sizable Hispanic voting population in Texas, the news is grim for Republican nominee Ken Paxton. Read Carrie Dann on what we learned from our new Cook Political Report and TelevisaUnivision poll:
cookpolitical.com
For Paxton, Here’s Why the Message Matters As Much as the Money
After months of uncertainty about whether GOP groups would pony up the dollars needed for Republican Ken Paxton to compete against fundraising juggernaut Democrat James Talarico, the cavalry is coming...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 11/09/2026
After the U.S. Supreme Court rejected an appeal from Missouri Republicans to use a new congressional map in November, we are changing two House ratings. 👉 MO-05: Solid Republican -> Solid Democrat 👉 MO-02: Solid Republican -> Likely Republican
cookpolitical.com
Two Missouri House Race Ratings Change After Redistricting Roller Coaster Finally Ends
After a flurry of eleventh-hour court rulings, Missouri’s redistricting saga is finally coming to a close. The U.S. Supreme Court blocked a federal judge’s ruling that ordered the state to use the map...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 10/09/2026
The Cook Political Report is changing two governor's ratings: ->Alaska governor moves from Likely Republican to Lean Republican ->Oregon governor moves from Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat. Read why from @jessicataylor.bsky.social:
cookpolitical.com
Oregon Governor Shifts Toward GOP, While Alaska Moves in Democrats’ Direction
Governors' races sometimes operate independently of the national environment, especially when issues germane to the state take on outsized influence.Although Oregon is a deep-blue state, Democrats adm...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 10/09/2026
🔓 Read about our new Cook Political Report and TelevisaUnivision poll of likely Hispanic voters in Texas. Now unlocked. www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 10/09/2026
View The Cook Political Report and TelevisaUnivision poll Toplines and Crosstabs:
cookpolitical.com
Cook Political Report and TelevisaUnivision Texas poll of Hispanic Voters
Exclusive new poll of Hispanic Texas voters, conducted August 26–September 3, 2026, shows a collapse of the GOP's 2024 coalition in the state
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 10/09/2026
A new poll from The Cook Political Report and TelevisaUnivision of likely Hispanic voters in Texas finds Trump’s support among Hispanics has collapsed since winning them by 10 points in 2024.
cookpolitical.com
Exclusive New Poll of Hispanic Texas Voters Shows a Collapse of the GOP’s 2024 Coalition in the State
A new survey of Texas Hispanic likely voters, conducted for The Cook Political Report and TelevisaUnivision, finds the Democratic candidates in the state’s Senate and gubernatorial contests leading th...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 08/09/2026
How will we know if 2026 is a wave election in the House? For Amy Walter, the real sign of a wave year won’t be how many seats Republicans lose, but rather the types of seats that change hands.
cookpolitical.com
How Will We Know if 2026 Is a Wave Election? Look to Rural America.
How will we know if 2026 is a wave election in the House? To me, the real sign of a wave year won’t be how many seats Republicans lose, but rather the types of seats that change hands.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 08/09/2026
📺 Watch on YouTube: www.youtube.com/watch?v=6gwA...
youtube.com
WATCH: Sarah Longwell on What Democrats Should Borrow From Trump
YouTube video by The Cook Political Report
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 08/09/2026
👏 NEW Odd Years pod! @sarahlongwell25.bsky.social - founder of the @thebulwark.com - talks to Amy about what she thinks Democrats should borrow from Trump. Sarah's new book is "How to Eat An Elephant." 🎧 Listen wherever you get your podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/s...
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 08/09/2026
Voters head to the polls in New Hampshire on Tuesday and in Rhode Island on Wednesday. Here’s what we’re watching.
cookpolitical.com
What We're Watching in the New Hampshire and Rhode Island Primaries
Voters head to the polls in New Hampshire on Tuesday and in Rhode Island on Wednesday. Here’s what we’re watching.
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The Cook Political Report @cookpolitical.com · 03/09/2026
Hispanic voters, who swung right in 2024 but have moved away from Republicans in the past year and a half, will play a major role in determining control of the House this cycle. Read @erincovey.bsky.social's latest on AZ-06, CA-22 and CO-08:
cookpolitical.com
As Trump Loses Support From Hispanic Voters, Can These Republican Members Hold Their Seats?
Hispanic voters, who swung right in 2024 but have moved away from Republicans in the past year and a half, will play a major role in determining control of the House this cycle.
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