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Convergent Opinion

@convergent-opinion.bsky.social
46 followers 25 following 13 posts

From cutting-edge survey experiments to campaign-tested strategy, we give you the evidence you need to make the best decisions possible. See how we might help you, here: convergent-opinion.com/what-we-do

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Convergent Opinion @convergent-opinion.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Our testing of the PMs speech at conference with @persuasionuk.bsky.social and @steveakehurst.bsky.social kehurst.bsky.social confirms that it landed well outside the bubble. Great summary thread below from Steve 👇. You can find weighted tables here convergent-opinion.com/api/polling-...
convergent-opinion.com
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Convergent Opinion @convergent-opinion.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
NEW: @convergent-opinion.bsky.social takes a deep dive into what the polling is telling us ahead of Brazil's upcoming presidential election
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Fintan Smith (Mac Gabhann) @fintan-smith.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
First MRP of the Burnham premiership from @convergent-opinion.bsky.social 👀
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Dylan Spielman @handle.invalid · 03/08/2026
🚨 First MRP since Burnham took over 👇
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Steve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Very useful thread here on some of the recent trends
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Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · 05/08/2026
MRP Poll | Labour 81 Seats Short: LAB: 245 (+138) | 26% RFM: 174 (-112) | 23% CON: 99 (+19) | 21% LDM: 67 (-17) | 11% SNP: 25 (-8) | 2% PLC: 8 (-2) | 1% GRN: 7 (-13) | 10% Via @convergent-opinion.bsky.social, 25-30 Jul. Changes w/ 15 Jun MRP.
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Convergent Opinion @convergent-opinion.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
New MRP from @convergent-opinion.bsky.social: Labour ahead under Burnham, but still short of a majority Seats (change vs June): 🌹 245 (+138) ➡️ 174 (−112) 🌳 99 (+19) 🔶 67 (−17) 🎗️ 25 (−8) 🐉 8 (−2) 🌍 7 (−13) Labour leads but is 81 seats short of a majority 25–30 July, n=10,919
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Politics UK @politicsuk.com · 13/06/2026
🚨 NEW: A fourth Makerfield by-election poll has been released 🔴 LAB - 49% ➡️ REF - 37% 🟣 RES - 5% 🟢 GRN - 5% 🔵 CON - 3% 🟠 LD - 1% ⚪️ OTHER - 1% Via Convergent, 525 sample, 2 June - 12 June
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Fintan Smith (Mac Gabhann) @fintan-smith.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
NEW from @convergent-opinion.bsky.social Labour 12pts ahead in Makerfield, with Kenyon's sexist comments actively costing Reform votes Lab: 49% Ref: 37% Res: 5% Grn: 5% Other 5% 525 adults, 2-12 June 2026
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