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Reposted by Christian Kloetzer

Wissensnetzwerk Rechtsextremismusforschung @wi-rex.bsky.social · 15/10/2026

#NeuesausderForschung Neue Paper & Publikaitonen zu: "New" Right Thought, emerging epicenters of autocratization, violations of cordon sanitaires, cultural backlash & cultured meat.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Of course, I am not the first one to criticize the cultural backlash. I build on other insightful works, such as those by @arminschaefer.bsky.social (doi.org/10.1017/S000...) and @drtomdog.bsky.social (doi.org/10.1111/1475...). Anyone who wants to discuss the paper, feel free to reach out!

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

But we should not see the growth of far-right parties as a natural consequence of progressive value change. A more contingent reading, where historical context shapes how far-right parties can successfully frame national and cultural decline, arguably matches the empirical picture better.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Ultimately, my argument is not that culture does not matter in the context of far-right party success. It clearly does.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

To conclude, I discuss whether the backlash in Poland and Hungary should be seen as directed not against domestic progressivism but Western European cultural influence, and whether the theory can be salvaged by switching trans rights for "older" issues like gay marriage. (I don't think it can.)

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

Which in turn calls into question the logical chain going from value change via authoritarian reflex to far-right resurgence. Moral traditionalism predicts far-right voting where traditional values are still predominant, not where they have been replaced by more liberal or progressive norms.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

In the empirical analysis, only Poland and Hungary align with the predictions of the cultural backlash. I find no evidence for the effect of N&I's "tipping point", which should be readily observable in Western European countries that are the protagonists of Inglehart's "Silent Revolution".

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

And only in countries with overwhelmingly socially conservative far-right electorates do these attitudes predict far-right voting, here illustrated with average marginal effects of support for same-sex parenthood in a multilevel logistic regression.

Average marginal effects of the EVS 2017 item measuring attitudes towards same-sex parenthood (0-10 scale), in a multilevel logistic regression model grouped by country, with far-right support as the outcome variable. Especially Poland shows strong effects in the direction predicted by the cultural backlash. But most countries show no significant effect.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

For N&I, sexually illiberal attitudes (in a liberalizing society) are a key pathway towards the "authoritarian reflex" that drives voters towards the far right. But far-right electorates show diverse attitudes on this dimension, here illustrated with support for same-sex marriage.

Bar chart showing attitudes towards same-sex marriage among far-right supporters in the Netherlands, Hungary, Finland and Germany on a 0-10 scale, where 10 is the highest level of support for same-sex marriage.

In the Netherlands, almost 50% of far-right voters indicate the highest level of support (10), while in Hungary more than half are fully opposed (0). In Finland and Germany the pattern is more mixed, with peaks at 0, 5 and 10, and remaining respondents scattered in between.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 14/10/2026

📜 New paper out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social! If you've always found Norris and Inglehart's cultural backlash theory of far-right voting unconvincing, I can confirm your skepticism – at least in the European context. Here, it has both theoretical and empirical flaws. doi.org/10.1016/j.el...

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Reposted by Christian Kloetzer

The Loop @ecprtheloop.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

🎉 In the 1,500th blog piece for The Loop, @florabaumgartner.bsky.social looks at how opposition to #SustainableTransport projects is growing 🚗. 🌏️ Distributive and identity grievances familiar from broader #ClimatePolicy act as glue for right-wing parties. 👉 buff.ly/8z0TG0v

buff.ly

My love, my car: inside right-wing transport policy

Opposition to sustainable transport projects is growing, because of distributive and identity grievances familiar from broader climate policy. Flora Baumgartner looks at how transport policies are con...

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

There we go. What the people want is clearly hushed criticism of Trump’s America, giving zero pushback, telling ourselves we’re too weak and dependent to matter, and hoping someone else will fix it for us.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Case in point. Unlike with the 2003 Iraq war, the fallout for Europe of Trump's war on Iran is not just long-term but immediate. Including at the gas pump where voters feel it directly. Where's the European political offer to meet the equivalent of Canadian voters' demand for spine?

ft.com

Vitol chief warns of tanker shortage and risk of $200-a-barrel oil

Head of world’s largest independent oil trader says shipping squeeze is creating new bottleneck despite increased Gulf flows

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Reposted by Christian Kloetzer

Claudio Francavilla @claudiofrancavilla.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

If genocidal acts don’t suffice to suspend a treaty that is allegedly based on a human rights clause, then what does? The past three years have shown that, for the EU, the issue is not what abuses are committed, but who commits and who suffers them: europeancorrespondent.com/en/r/what-ha...

europeancorrespondent.com

What happened to EU sanctions on Israel? (The sequel)

The EU promised to sanction Israeli ministers and partially suspend the EU-Israel trade agreement in September 2025. Neither has happened. Why? Shortly after…

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Reposted by Christian Kloetzer

John Stott @jpsastro.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Had a UKRI funded grant proposal rejected at the "AI triage stage". "This AI-based triage was used only to identify approximately 50% of the strongest proposals to take forward to full human review." 🧪 #academicsky

I am writing to let you know that, unfortunately, your application was not successful.

Review process

As part of the initial triage of the 179 proposals submitted to this call, each was assessed using an AI-based review. Every proposal was read independently by several different AI models against the same seven criteria used to shape this call (including cyber security relevance, research quality and novelty, importance of the problem addressed, feasibility of the project plan, likely outputs and impact, value for money, and responsible research practice), with each model asked to give a score and a written justification with supporting quotations from the text. To guard against any one model's idiosyncrasies, we also ran a second, independent process in which different AI models debated the merits and weaknesses of each proposal before reaching a judgement, again against the same criteria. Scores from both processes were combined to produce an overall ranking.

This AI-based triage was used only to identify approximately 50% of the strongest proposals to take forward to full human review. Projects selected for funding were drawn from those that progressed to the full human review stage. We recognise that AI-assisted assessment is a new and evolving part of the review process, and we are continuing to evaluate how well it aligns with the judgements of human reviewers on this call. We will soon produce a document detailing our method, so that others can build upon it and improve it.

Feedback on your application

Your application was not selected to progress beyond the AI triage stage. To provide transparency on the outcome of this assessment, we are sharing below the scores (out of 5) from each of the two AI review processes described above, together with the mean score across the two processes.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Not Frohnmaier, but the “party philosopher” Jongen. Appearing next to Vannacci, who appears obsessed with homosexuality, also feels like a rebuke of (openly lesbian) Alice Weidel.

Roberto Vannacci, leader of Future Nazionale, which is to the Right of Giorgia Meloni's governing coalition, introduced the German AfD's Marc Jongen at a rally on Sunday.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

I think that "voters like politicians who stand up to bullies" is an almost simplistic, but non-negligible part of this. European politicians should give pushing back a try – on Trump's tariffs as much as on his murderous foreign policy that also makes us all poorer and unsafer.

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Reposted by Christian Kloetzer

European Consortium for Political Research @ecpr.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

🎬🤝 That’s a wrap! Four days of networking, plenary events and intense sessions at #ecprgc26 and #ecprms ⭐️ A huge thank you to our host @wsmip-uj.bsky.social, the local organising team & wonderful student ambassadors @adrianbrona.bsky.social @tomaszpugacewicz.bsky.social @wsmip-uj.bsky.social

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

Just arrived to #ecprgc26, powered by @bagss-bamberg.bsky.social! Their Joint Doctoral Conference keeps on giving…

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

I found this the most chilling bit: "He said 'domestic political considerations are driving foreign policy'." The legal assessments of Israel's policies in the West Bank being what they are, what is this if not mirroring the Islamic Republic of Great Britain conspiracy?

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

Paradoxically, I keep hearing a lot from Ongehoord Nederland, but it’s always stuff like this. This is a new low though. “Niemöller said that Hitler said certain things ‘really well.’ He also said that there are ‘certain things about Hitler’ that he agrees with, apart from the antisemitism.”

nos.nl

Kabinet onderzoekt mogelijkheid ON te weren uit bestel na Hitler-rel

Een besluit over de omstreden omroep komt "heel binnenkort", zei minister Letschert vandaag.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

And now that these chats are out, the AfD's Markus Frohnmaier will be dusting off his suit for whenever Futuro Nazionale hosts its first annual gala.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

But in wise foresight it appears that Vannacci realized that one could not put more than 60 of his supporters in a group chat without it degenerating into the vilest racism and calls for mass violence.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

Lovely group chat the FN has there, they probably found the Young Republicans of NY too politically correct. "'Fucking Arabs, they should be exterminated', reads one message. [...] 'Invitees need to be anti-constitutional.' [...] 'Jews are satan-worshipping animals'."

open.online

Le chat shock dei seguaci di Vannacci tra nostalgia di Hitler e insulti antisemiti. La replica del partito

Arabi di mer*a! Dovrebbero essere sterminati!», è uno dei tanti messaggi. Interviene il coordinatore nazionale Massimiliano Simoni

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

Oh, cool that you're here. Hope you're having fun, even if it's not the funnest of times.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 09/08/2026

I also think the topic of Israel is salient beyond its wars. Netanyahu has worked hard to get Trump into the White House, which surely is of some interest to Democratic voters. And he's milking the success of this endeavor at the expense of a wide range of American interests at home and abroad.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Funny how the CPC essentially looks like a regionalist party in this projection.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

For me at least it’s the first time I am hearing about the clips. I wonder if the US isn’t really the primary audience. Since 2025 I am encountering many Americans on social media with repetitive and easily recognizable AfD talking points. I thought Vance’s Munich speech drove it but could also be X

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

Interesting, but I’d think that Germans who are still on X are in the bag already.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 05/08/2026

Also crazy how it’s a system where spending 7 million on ads in a race for a Senate seat makes you an underdog. It’s still a giant amount of money.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 04/08/2026

Wow that was quick. So under Trump, the US is not only clearly unwilling to honor Article 5 in case of war, it also shows a total lack of concern for military readiness for such an event. Russia will surely have taken note, but I am less sure about European capitals.

Reuters (4 August 2026):

“U.S. used 'virtually all' of its long-range missiles during five-month Iran war, sources say

The United States has used up most of its stockpile of key long-range precision missiles during its five-month war with Iran, raising concerns among U.S. officials over military readiness for future conflicts, according to Reuters.
The depleted weapons include the Army Tactical Missile System and the newer Precision Strike Missile, with sources familiar with U.S. military data saying the Pentagon has used "virtually all" of both systems.”

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 03/08/2026

Ein homogen weiße Ethnofestung wäre also laut Sarrazin ein besseres Deutschland. Und er redet so als wäre ein so konstituiertes Deutschland ein ganz normales Land inklusive EU-Mitgliedschaft, und nicht das Resultat eines Projekts das schwer mit den Werten des Grundgesetzes vereinbar ist.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 02/08/2026

I think the far right will move on this issue. Climate change is now undeniable, and it affects heavily those social segments that they claim to defend: the elderly, farmers, manual laborers. It’ll be something like “yes it’s real, but the jet-setting elite caused it and they should pay, not us.”

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Reposted by Christian Kloetzer

Paris Marx @parismarx.com · 27/07/2026

After The Economist’s interview with Elon Musk, will major media finally reassess how they cover the fascist billionaire? As its editor-in-chief did the rounds saying she was “not a Musk hater,” he was on X calling her a traitor to the West and suggesting she be murdered. Please, have some dignity.

disconnect.blog

Elon Musk’s tired schtick

Why does the media keep debasing itself for a man who despises them?

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 26/07/2026

And that’s not even up for debate. www.haaretz.com/west-bank/20...

Haaretz, 26/7/2026:

“The IDF stresses that every recent deadly incident involving Israelis and Palestinians in the West
Bank began after settlers entered Palestinian villages and provoked confrontations.”

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Reposted by Christian Kloetzer

Judah Grunstein @judah-grunstein.bsky.social · 25/07/2026

One of the Islamophobic right's talking points in the months and years after 9/11 was that Islam doesn't value human life as much as Western liberalism does. Fast forward 25 years, and an explicit throughline of the far right and Trump II is that caring too much about saving lives makes us weak.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 25/07/2026

Interesting that in the US the share of oil dipped after the 1970s but then peaked again around 1990-2000. Also interesting to see the US energy mix of 1776.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 25/07/2026

I guess part of it is the diversification of our energy sources. This graph is a bit busy and only shows numbers for Germany, but oil made up almost half of primary energy consumption in 1973 (the dark blue chart segment) and less than a third by 2022. www.bpb.de/kurz-knapp/z...

Graph showing that oil made up 46.1% of German primary energy consumption in 1973, and 30.2% by 2022.

https://www.bpb.de/kurz-knapp/zahlen-und-fakten/globalisierung/52741/primaerenergie-versorgung/

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 25/07/2026

Apparently, for the editor-in-chief of the Economist, someone can hold the view that Hitler was a communist and still be a "perfectly thoughtful person".

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

Germany supports war on Lebanon to combat non-state armed actors, but blocks even the mildest measures to hold Israel accountable for its army openly collaborating with non-state armed actors in a campaign of ethnic cleansing. Genuinely drives me up the wall.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

Just returned from Bologna, where @andreapirro.it and @pietrocastellig.bsky.social hosted a superb 5th edition of the @ecpr-ead.bsky.social Summer School! It was great at every level! Happy to have met everyone who participated!

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 05/07/2026

You’ll love this Italian poll of polls graphic then.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 30/06/2026

"DER STANDARD hält in einer Stellungnahme der Chefredaktion fest: 'Die Meinungsfreiheit, die Dieter Nuhr in der Vergangenheit oft selbst gefährdet sah, gilt natürlich auch für Kommentare und journalistische Meinungsbeiträge, die nicht seiner Meinung entsprechen.'"

derstandard.at

Dieter Nuhr verlangt Löschung eines Kommentars und droht dem STANDARD mit Klage

Anlass ist der Kommentar "Bei Dieter Nuhr müssen selbst Femizide für eine Pointe herhalten". Nuhr TV erwägt rechtliche Schritte, der STANDARD weist die Kritik zurück

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 27/06/2026

Eine Schande für die deutsche Diplomatie. Punkt 13 des Abkommens stipuliert, dass der Libanon seine Anstrengungen fallen lassen muss, Israel für Verletzungen von internationalem Recht zur Rechenschaft zu ziehen. Deutsche Unterstützung für solche Prinzipien der Konfliktlösung sind verheerend.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

I feel like he’s the gigawinner in this. He was old and frail, but now he died like a medieval king charging into battle ahead of his troops, killing him but ending in massive victory. What a change in legacy from being the Supreme Leader who finished with violent repression of mass protests.

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Christian Kloetzer @ckloetzer.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

So does every Anglo country have a Lee Anderson look-and-behave-alike, or is it just the US?

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