iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 25/09/2026

On Highway to Hill this week, @the-downballot.com's own @davidnir.com joined me and SoRelle to talk about these trends. "Democrats need to be prepared for the possibility of a massive year, even bigger than 2018."

1106

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 22/09/2026

Don't quite have time at the moment to create this, but this density plot I created awhile ago should show at least the special election part of the story. 2026 clearly in a different category even than 2018.

120

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 22/09/2026

While we're all huffing hopium, here's a chart from my forthcoming @pspolisci.bsky.social article using data from @the-downballot.com. In the last three midterms, special election overperformance in swing districts closely tracked swing district overperformance in the general. Now look at 2026.

2289

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 16/09/2026

RCP Generic Ballot on 9/16/18: D+8.3 RCP Generic Ballot on 9/16/26: D+8.6

030

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 19/08/2026

Dems about to flip a Trump+19 state legislative district in PA, just FYI

031

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 17/08/2026

I agree w/ Meta AI that this would have been quite a shocking choice

020

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 28/07/2026

I actually do want to know so please stop being cryptic about it

140

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 17/07/2026

I checked, and it's true. This level of domain name management alone makes him the most qualified person to be president since at least Eisenhower

051

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 29/06/2026

Seems like a tough day on the ol' timeline so here's Rhody being a goof

071

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 20/06/2026

Enshittification is for academics, too! Here's the list of Canvas features a marketing team came up with that I didn't ask for and which were automatically enabled upon publishing my course. (No features just yet for "not getting your grades held for ransom by hackers")

000

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 19/06/2026

Well the reviews are in, and my new article is a HIT

100

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 10/06/2026

Lol I'm definitely right about this. Wayback Machine has the "female" set on the website going back to Jan 20th of last year (hmm!), when it was just called "Supreme Court Justices Peg Dolls Set" (no "female"). Male set doesn't appear until August 2025.

000

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 10/06/2026

If two of last night's Dem nominees - Graham Platner and Randy Villegas - both win against their R opponents, then this time next year, Lisa Murkowski will officially be the last Republican standing who voted to impeach/remove Trump in 2021. Valadao seems doomed; we will all see about Susan Collins.

1274

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 02/06/2026

Happy pride month to both Claire Valdez and the New York Times for this clear first-ballot NYT Corrections Hall of Fame shoo-in

060

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 31/05/2026

A little chart I put together with data from @the-downballot.com. I looked at House districts that had special elections in the three most recent midterms, and compared their Dem candidate overperformance in those specials w/ that district's eventual Dem overperformance in the general.

123

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 29/05/2026

Beto won Latinos 64/35 in 2018; the below result with Undecideds allocated by the current proportions commiteds are would put Talarico up 68/32.

0355

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 27/05/2026

Decided to calculate a cumulative daily total of the amount of $$$ I've spent on energy this year with my new solar (blue), compared to the amount of money those KwHs would have cost without solar (orange). 42% saved so far. More sun + sweet summer excess generation rates gonna explode that number ☀️

920128

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 27/05/2026

This is the energy I'm hoping to cultivate for the remainder of 2026

040

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 22/05/2026

It definitely does vary state to state, although of course these states joined at different times. Not surprisingly western states have the lowest rates, and Peltola is running to represent the lowest!

181

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 22/05/2026

This is a stat that's fluctuated quite a bit over time! This is data I've compiled from members' official bios via bioguide.congress.gov.

261

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 22/05/2026

So, anybody else suddenly and unexpectedly getting follows from what appear to be dozens of bot accounts with pets as their profile pictures?

110

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 21/05/2026

Jeff made more than one horrendous mistake last night

000

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 20/05/2026

I know she doesn't care, but this would of course also disqualify Rep. Young Kim (R-CA), Rep. Victoria Spartz (R-IN), and Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-OH).

010

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 13/05/2026

I know it doesn't matter, but wow the WaPo op-ed page is really on one today

000

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 08/05/2026

TIL the Brits spell "swath" with an outrageous "e" at the end

000

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 02/05/2026

That’s gonna be a no from me dawg

161

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 08/04/2026

Me every time I login to my podcast's YouTube page

000

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 03/04/2026

Was *SHOCKED* to learn that the weird-hand-motions dude in the video yesterday was the absolute worst

0185

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 03/04/2026

fill a bleach container with whole milk then pour it directly onto the mouse?

010

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 31/03/2026

Me giving my students a timeline for when I'll get caught up on grading

260

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 28/02/2026

A fact potentially worth sharing: 36% of 2024's voting-age population wasn't old enough to vote when the War in Iraq began, and 20% weren't old enough to vote when it ended.

010

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 04/02/2026

... but even if we instead compare to two cycles ago (to 2012 in the case of 2018, or 2020 in the case of 2026), this cycle's wins are much more evenly distributed. And the kicker is the middle grey group — these are the ones most like the "frontline" seats that will decide control of the House.

0132

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 04/02/2026

Interesting trend unfolding in this cycle's special elections (data courtesy of @the-downballot.com). In 2018, Dems way overperformed on average in heavily GOP districts; slightly in more competitive ones; and not at all in heavily Dem districts. In 2026, they're gangbusters in all three.

616067

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 30/01/2026

Elon Musk? The PayPal co-founder?

1113

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 27/01/2026

when you're at the cutting edge of user interface design

150

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 23/01/2026

As these images unfold, I really think this is worth remembering that it's literally -12 degrees in Minneapolis right now

14119

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 13/01/2026

In the most recent set of SL elections in each state, the majority party in 17 out of 50 lower chambers were foregone conclusions before a single vote was cast. I know it's hard to get people to run, and that state and local party orgs are in shambles. But we've gotta do better than this.

000

Charlie Hunt @charlesrhunt.com · 03/01/2026

Something potentially valuable to keep in mind when the public opinion data about Venezuela starts to come in. About a quarter of the 2024 electorate (so, more today) were not voters when Obama declared an end to the War in Iraq 2010; and 36% were not voters in 2003, when it began.

121