Europe has made good progress in cutting emissions and its fuel consumption, but in the last few years geopolitical shocks, rising energy prices and a rise in support for far-right parties are threatening the shift to renewables. But now is not the time to halt the energy transition. Europe bears special responsibility for global warming and its citizens are already feeling its impact. Surface air temperature anomalies in 2024 Since the Paris Agreement was signed more than a decade ago, the reality of climate change has become apparent to Europeans. Unprecedented heatwaves, severe flooding and shrinking glaciers and snow cover in the Alps can leave people in no doubt that temperatures are rising. Thirty-eight percent say they feel personally exposed to global heating, according to a Eurobarometer survey in 2025. To give just one example, Spain – where temperatures exceeded 45 degrees during the summer of 2025 and 3,800 people died of heat-related conditions – has announced plans to open a network of climate shelters. A big majority of Europeans (85 percent) say that tackling the crisis must be a priority, with an even higher percentage calling for more renewable energy and energy efficiency. The EU has committed to climate...

We have long known every tonne of carbon dioxide matters to the climate. But governments keep approving new fossil fuel projects – even as climate change worsens. Until now, it’s been difficult to say how much damage and extra warming a specific project will do. Fossil fuel companies – and government agencies approving their projects – have often relied on what’s known as the “drop in the ocean” defence. While backers concede a new project will add more carbon dioxide emissions to the atmosphere, they say these are tiny compared to the global tally and that it’s almost impossible to track damage attributable to the emissions of an individual project. This defence won’t work any more. In recent years, attribution science has advanced rapidly, allowing scientists to pinpoint the role of climate change in making disasters and extreme weather more likely. Our new open-source climate tool – the Carbon Impacts Tracer – goes one step further. It shows how much a new project will warm the planet – and how much damage it will do across eight areas, from loss of crops to heatwave deaths in Europe. This will help make fossil fuel companies and governments approving these projects accountable...

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