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Brian Albrecht

@briancalbrecht.bsky.social
4.7K followers 312 following 124 posts

Applied economic theorist: competition and information. Chief Economist @LawEconCenter Price Theory Newsletter pricetheory.substack.com.

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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Thanks. We go into the distinction with Glaeser Luttmer a bit more in the paper. The closest analog is probably Murphy Shleifer Vishny
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
I'm super excited for my new paper with Alex Tabarrok and Mark Whitmeyer. tl;dr: price controls cause chaos. That chaos causes misallocation. We develop new tools to measure that misallocation, which is 1-9 the size of the Harberger triangle www.economicforces.xyz/p/price-cont...
economicforces.xyz
Price controls cause chaos
Price controls are worse than you think
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EARIE @earie-news.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
Forthcoming IJIO article by @briancalbrecht.bsky.social & Ryan A. Decker 📖Markups and Business Dynamism across Industries doi.org/10.1016/j.ij... @sciencedirect.bsky.social
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
"The China Shock destroyed millions of American manufacturing jobs." At least that's a claim. But prices connect everyone. When you shock one part of the market, the "control" group moves. Today we have 3,000 words on "The Missing Intercept" problem. www.economicforces.xyz/p/the-invisi...
economicforces.xyz
The invisible hand screws up your regression
Markets, diff-in-diff, and "The Missing Intercept" problem
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
So Instacart showed different people different prices for eggs. Shocking? Before the outrage, ignore the Twitter press release. Look at what they actually found. Understand the facts and the economic theory to make sense of it www.economicforces.xyz/p/instacarts...
economicforces.xyz
Instacart's price discrimination isn't price discrimination
On the meaning of price discrimination
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Ben Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 22/08/2025
The U.S. has enjoyed a decades-long economic advantage thanks to its reputation as the safest place in the world for investors to put their money and for entrepreneurs to build their businesses. President Trump may be chipping away at that advantage. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/22/b... #EconSky
nytimes.com
Trump’s Attacks on Institutions Threaten a Bulwark of Economic Strength
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
Markets must become competitive. The market is a process. This is the core (pun very much intended) idea underlying the shortcut of supply and demand. www.economicforces.xyz/p/markets-mu...
economicforces.xyz
Markets must become competitive
Only through a process do markets become competitive
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Eric Boehm @ericboehm87.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
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Claudia Sahm @claudia-sahm.bsky.social · 21/08/2025
“I have no intention of being bullied to step down from my position because of some questions raised in a tweet,” Cook said. www.bloomberg.com/news/article... Amen.
bloomberg.com
Fed’s Cook Says She Won’t Be Bullied Into Stepping Down
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook signaled her intention to remain at the central bank in defiance of calls for her resignation by President Donald Trump over allegations of mortgage fraud.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 20/08/2025
When I think, “what countries policies should we emulate?” I definitely think The Bahamas and Sudan www.fraserinstitute.org/sites/defaul...
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
Thanks :)
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
“Let me make what appears to have become a radical argument: Simple economics is surprisingly good at making real-world predictions.” trying to break the mold with a defense of economics www.wsj.com/opinion/you-...
wsj.com
Opinion | You Can’t Break the Laws of Economics
Supply and demand invariably overcome any effort to defy or outsmart them.
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Rudi Bachmann @bachmannrudi.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
I love this article by @briancalbrecht.bsky.social in the Wall Street Journal (and not just because I am graciously mentioned by name). He provides a simple but powerful defense of Economics, of the supply and demand framework.
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Stan Veuger @stanveuger.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
www.axios.com/newsletters/...
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David Perez-Reyna @davidperezreyna.bsky.social · 12/08/2025
Very nice blog entry by @BrianCAlbrecht Why do economists have "tariff derangement syndrome"? It's not politics—tariffs violate every principle of good taxation we've learned over the past century. 1/8
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 09/08/2025
And in the meantime, actually add tariffs on Canada, the EU, and a bunch of other allies
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 09/08/2025
Thanks :)
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Alexandra de Gendre @adegendre.bsky.social · 09/08/2025
@briancalbrecht.bsky.social strikes again with a brilliant newsletter on why tariffs are a terrible idea. Put in very simple terms. Read it! 👉🏽 www.economicforces.xyz/p/6-reasons-...
economicforces.xyz
6 reasons why tariffs are a terrible way to raise revenue
Some principles of taxation
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
I've been trying it out a bit
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
Why do economists hate tariffs more than other taxes? Today's newsletter is 6 reasons why tariffs are a terrible way to raise revenue tl;dr they violate all the main results of how to raise revenue efficiently www.economicforces.xyz/p/6-reasons-...
economicforces.xyz
6 reasons why tariffs are a terrible way to raise revenue
Some principles of taxation
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 04/08/2025
Uber is good, actually. From @mattyglesias.bsky.social www.slowboring.com/p/uber-is-go...
slowboring.com
Ride-sharing apps are good, actually
The real "cautionary tale" is that the old taxi cartels were bad
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Alexandra de Gendre @adegendre.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
Another excellent newsletter by @briancalbrecht.bsky.social on whether tariffs are likely to increase innovation, with lots of top references from empirical research (from @rjuhasz.bsky.social , David Autor, Nick Bloom, @johnvanreenen.bsky.social & others) 🔗 www.economicforces.xyz/p/will-tarif...
economicforces.xyz
Will tariffs spur innovation?
Research suggests not.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 06/03/2025
Economics has core insights that get ignored by politicians. The most fundamental? A price isn't just a number—it's a signal wrapped in an incentive. But why do policymakers need to know this? www.economicforces.xyz/p/prices-are...
economicforces.xyz
Prices are signals (and politicians keep shooting the messenger)
Economic policy insight #1: A price is a signal wrapped in an incentive.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
That's exactly my point. You want to align private and social incentives, not simply reduce traffic no matter what.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
You're right. It's my fault and the subset of the audience who can't bother to read 1k words's fault.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Basically all of my replies are reenforcing why I wrote the post. People assume any reduction of an externality is good so reducing driving is necessarily good. If that's the goal, you wouldn't shut the fee off at night
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
I'm once again asking people to read what I actually wrote www.economicforces.xyz/p/congestion...
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
I lament this change. Of course. And I don't hold you entirely responsible for it, in case that wasn't clear.
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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 10/01/2025
Tons of food for thought in this great article by @bencasselman.bsky.social. www.nytimes.com/2025/01/10/b...
nytimes.com
Economists Are in the Wilderness. Can They Find a Way Back to Influence?
Economists have long helped to shape policy on issues like taxes and health care. But flawed forecasts and arcane language have cost them credibility.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Exactly my thought
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
Shifting people to MTA benefits MTA commuters? The sharing of fixed costs of the MTA is greater than the congestion costs there
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
That's not obvious at all.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
Very weird. Sorry!
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
I acknowledge that issue. I don't think anything changes because of that. Unless you want to assume the optimal amount of driving is zero.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
Not sure why. It's working for me. Try the home page www.economicforces.xyz
economicforces.xyz
Economic Forces | Substack
Pondering price theory, past and present. A weekly newsletter covering all things economics. Click to read Economic Forces, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 09/01/2025
Raising the price of driving reduces driving. NYC's congestion pricing is clearly another W for economic theory. (Many such cases.) But is it a good policy? After all, less driving isn’t the goal. I walk through how to think about the costs & benefits www.economicforces.xyz/p/congestion...
economicforces.xyz
Congestion pricing reduces driving. That doesn't make it a good idea.
I'll take the win for supply and demand. But is it a good policy?
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
Personally I think has implications for our broader discussions about competition and antitrust. High measured markups don't capture everything. Variable markups aren't necessarily bad. We need to understand the full consumer experience before making welfare judgments.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
Products that SUBSTITUTE for time (think meal prep vs restaurants) -> too few firms enter. Why? Consumers can switch to using their own time, increasing demand elasticity and killing some efficient firms.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
When time and money are COMPLEMENTS (think video games) -> too many high-cost firms enter. Why? Firms know consumers won't substitute away. They need both product and time. Those high markups support inefficient entry.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
When products need lots of customer time (complements), too many high-cost firms enter. When time and products are substitutes, too few firms survive.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
Consumers in this economy do not internalize that their decisions to allocate labor between off-market time and market production affect firms’ profits and the incentives to enter. This is an additional economic force that is not present in models without off-market time.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
Our key, framing insight: When consumers provide time to use products, posted prices aren't the whole story. We need to look at "holistic markups" that account for both the money price AND the time cost to consumers.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
The standard monopolistic competition model says firms need constant markups for efficiency. Once you add consumer time use, variables markups can be efficient and constant markups can be inefficient.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 08/01/2025
When you buy a product, you pay twice: 1. Money to the company 2. Time to actually use it Most economics ignores #2. With Tom Phelan and Nick Pretnar, we show how this consumer time use changes markups, firm entry, and efficiency. 🧵 www.briancalbrecht.com/Albrecht_Phe...
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
Also, I have another new paper where markups don't measure the distortion in the economy. Unfortunately, prices don't either, so not sure what to do with that. www.briancalbrecht.com/Albrecht_Phe...
briancalbrecht.com
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
And it's not like markups are a good proxy for other things. My work www.briancalbrecht.com/Albrecht_Dec... Also the Conlon et Al paper
briancalbrecht.com
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
The real issue is that market power (at least if we mean something like markups) isnt necessarily hurting anyone. Cutting costs by 20% and only dropping prices by 10% is not harm. I don't know how this isn't the end of the discussion around say Posner's argument to focus on market power.
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Brian Albrecht @briancalbrecht.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
I agree. And the focus on market power has been overblown. Even on its own terms, the evidence isn't strong www.economicforces.xyz/p/what-we-kn...
economicforces.xyz
What we know about the rise in markups
It's not much.
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Herb Hovenkamp @sherman1890.bsky.social · 07/01/2025
eg, Bhattachara, et al (2023). Even in concentrated markets (HHI>2000), 25% yield lower prices, 25% higher ones, and 50% no real change. In this concentration range, supports inference that roughly 75% produce cost reductions sufficient to reverse price effects. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
papers.ssrn.com
Merger Effects and Antitrust Enforcement: Evidence from US Retail
We document the effects of a comprehensive set of US retail mergers. On average, prices increase by 1.5% and quantities decrease by 2.3%, with significant heter
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