Reposted by Berkeley EarthRobert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 16hTemperatures in the Central Pacific El Niño region are the hottest ever measured (top panel), and far above any other El Niño at this time of year. But, if you adjust for the warming of the global ocean, the current trajectory is not so different from other very strong events. 58338
Reposted by Berkeley EarthShel Winkley @shelwinkleywx.bsky.social · 28/09/2026With three months left to go, the folks at @berkeleyearth.org are all but certain that 2026 will land as the all-time HOTTEST year on record for this blue marble we call Earth. Currently, the list stands as: #1: 2024 #2: 2023 #3: 2025 #4: 2016 #5: 2020 083
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 24/09/2026Happening in just under 30minutes…still time to register via the link below. See you there! 031
Reposted by Berkeley EarthZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 22/09/2026I have a new piece out in Nature today on the record-breaking 2026/2027 El Niño, what impacts we should expect, and how governments can prepare. The Niño3.4 region is currently running more than 1C hotter than any prior event on record, and we remain months away from the peak www.nature.com/artic... 5237128
Reposted by Berkeley EarthRobert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 22/09/2026Berkeley Earth will be holding our monthly climate briefing on Thursday. Safe to say that there is a lot going on with weather and climate the moment. 8 AM PT / 11 AM ET / 5 PM CET It is geared towards the media, but anyone is welcome. us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regi... 1124
Reposted by Berkeley EarthZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 21/09/2026This year's El Niño event is moving into record territory, with the daily Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) tying the record previously set during the 2015/2016 super-El Niño. My latest over at Carbon Brief: www.carbonbrief.org/... 7329163
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 17/09/2026Berkeley Earth will be hosting our next Monthly Press Briefing on Thursday 9/24 at 8amPDT/5pmCET. August was eventful; we're extending this month's briefing to a *full hour* to accommodate the full scope of our August 2026 update, with live Q&A to follow. 🔗 to register: tinyurl.com/mr33hhk4 021
Reposted by Berkeley EarthRobert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 17/09/2026This year produced the hottest summer in the history of modern France. Some of that record is down to the specific weather patterns that occurred this year, but global warming deserves a large share of the credit for generally making French summers hotter over time. 2319
Reposted by Berkeley EarthZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 08/09/2026After a nearly month-long plateau Nino3.4 region temperatures (ONI) are on their way back up. We've now surpassed 1982/1983 and are only behind 2015/2016 in terms of maximum daily values. And its only early September. 311750
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 02/09/2026Observations drawn from BEST-HR, along with downscaled, bias-corrected warming projections drawn from our new climate model synthesis product, are now available for more than 8,000 global cities via our new climate platform Synthesis. Access is free with registration: synthesis.berkeleyearth.orgsynthesis.berkeleyearth.orgBerkeley Earth - Interactive Climate Data Visualization PlatformExplore historical climate data and future projections for cities, regions, and countries worldwide 000
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 02/09/2026Access to the complete suite of BEST-HR derived products, including TMAX/TMIN, land and ocean subsets, and city-level gridded data, can be requested here: tinyurl.com/4u559w5k For those currently using BEST-HR, formal citation details are (finally) available in the preprint link above.tinyurl.comBerkeley Earth High-Resolution Data Set Access RequestPlease complete the form below. You will receive an email with access instructions within 24 hours. For technical questions about the high-resolution data products, please contact data@berkeleyeart... 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 02/09/2026Our high-res product includes uncertainty ensembles that allow for propagation of errors into derived metrics, offering a globally complete, monthly resolved temperature product suitable for applications ranging from global trend analysis to regional climate impact assessments. 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 02/09/2026News we could not be more excited to share: the description paper of our high-resolution dataset is now available for review and comment at ESSD. The record provides global coverage at 0.25° resolution, built from 58,311 weather stations extending back to 1750. Pre-print: tinyurl.com/9dw7jbnftinyurl.comBerkeley Earth Surface Temperature – High-Resolution (BEST-HR): a 0.25° Global Gridded Temperature Data Set for Climate MonitoringAbstract. We present version 2 of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature dataset, a global observational temperature record that now features enhanced spatial resolution (0.25° × 0.25°) and a new regr... 1145
Reposted by Berkeley EarthZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 01/09/2026The emissions scenarios underlying the next generation of climate model runs that will be featured in the upcoming IPCC 7th Assessment Report are officially out! I have a big new explainer over at Carbon Brief taking an in-depth look at what they mean and whats changed: www.carbonbrief.org/... 7234115
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 17/08/2026To what extent can the upcoming El Niño give us a preview of a future, warmer climate? Over at the Climate Brink, @zekehausfather.com and @andrewdessler.com break down the scientific nuances behind framing El Niño as a "time machine" to predict future the climate. tinyurl.com/47ny7fjhtinyurl.comIs this El Niño a glimpse of a future, hotter Earth?There are important differences between long-term global warming and El Niño warming 0105
Reposted by Berkeley EarthRobert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 14/08/2026With record-breaking heatwaves, France just had both its warmest June and July on record. Systematic collection of weather data basically began in Western Europe, giving Europe the longest thermometer-based histories in the world. After more than 250 years, we have changed the climate. 🧪 4204100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 14/08/2026“Human emissions are adding a permanent El Niño worth of heat to the climate system each decade.” Berkeley Earth's @zekehausfather.com spoke with @bennollweather.bsky.social @washingtonpost.com about the future preview coming via this year's record-setting El Niño. Gift link: wapo.st/4htwiBYwashingtonpost.comWe’ll soon get a glimpse of future temperatures, thanks to this record El NiñoIt will act like a climate time machine, temporarily pushing temperatures to levels that otherwise might not be felt for a decade or so. 13920
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 14/08/2026Berkeley Earth's Temperature Update for July 2026 is now available, including updates on the rapidly-strengthening El Niño and what we can expect from the remainder of 2026. The full text is available here: berkeleyearth.org/july-2026-te... 041
Reposted by Berkeley EarthRobinson Meyer @robinsonmeyer.bsky.social · 13/08/2026NEW SHIFT KEY: I spoke to the great @zekehausfather.com about why the current El Niño is breaking records (and poised to break more), what that will mean for global weather patterns, and whether we can now definitively say global warming is accelerating heatmap.news/podcast/shif...heatmap.newsWhy This El Niño Looks Like a MonsterRob checks in on this season’s supercharged ocean temperatures with climate researcher Zeke Hausfather. 24115
Reposted by Berkeley EarthZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 12/08/2026We will be having our Berkeley Earth monthly press briefing tomorrow at 8 AM Pacific, covering July global temperatures, the rapidly developing El Nino event, and what to expect for the remainder of 2026 and for 2027. Register here to join: us02web.zoom.us/webi... 03011
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 11/08/2026An eventful month, an eventful year, and we are still months away from the peak of an already record-setting El Niño...join us this Thurs 8/13 for updates from our July report, including the most recent El Niño forecasts, followed by live Q&A. Registration is required: tinyurl.com/mvpuwhej 000
Reposted by Berkeley EarthZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 05/08/2026The rise in Niño 3.4 region sea surface temperatures over the past few weeks has been nothing short of astonishing. We are now hotter than any days during the 1997/1998 super El Niño event, and we are still many months from the peak. 23473302
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 27/07/2026More coverage of our analysis of the current #ElNiño model forecasts from last week's monthly climate briefing in @wired.com. We'll be tracking the progress of the current El Niño in the months to come...register now to receive invites to future briefings, along updates: ➡️ tinyurl.com/ys9s4932wired.comThe 2026 El Niño Is on Track to Be the Strongest on RecordThis climate phenomenon could cause a massive global temperature spike and cause economic losses of $10 trillion by 2032. 035
Reposted by Berkeley EarthRobert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 24/07/2026See the alternating warm and cold patches in the Northern mid-latitudes? That's the imprint of a quasi-stationary Rossby wave (i.e. oscillations in the jet stream). It's rare to see it so clearly in a monthly-average temperature map. 15494154
Reposted by Berkeley EarthJames Dinneen @jamesdinneen.bsky.social · 23/07/2026It's not quite "gobsmackingly bananas" but monster forecasts for the record El Nino brewing the Pacific Ocean get pretty close. Here's what to make of it in my first for @nature.com: 🧪 www.nature.com/articles/d41...nature.comThis El Niño is set to be the largest on record by a ‘mind-blowing margin’Forecasters predict that the monster climate pattern will combine with global warming to push global temperatures in 2027 to new heights. 715686
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 23/07/2026Just under an hour left to register for today’s monthly briefing, where we’ll share findings from our June update, as well as the latest on the current “super” El Niño. Hope to see you there. Link to register: tinyurl.com/4nfnh794 000
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 20/07/2026The current El Niño cycle has officially entered "Super" territory, but the peak impacts are still months away. We'll be discussing updated model forecasts and what this means for the remainder of 2026 at our Monthly Climate Briefing this Thurs at 8amPDT/5pmCET. Join us: tinyurl.com/4nfnh794 063
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 17/07/2026Summer 2026 is shaping up to be memorable, but the peak of the current El Niño cycle still lies ahead. Join us next week as @rarohde.bsky.social and @zekehausfather.com share updates from our June 2026 report, and outline what the rest of 2026 holds. Registration required ➡️ tinyurl.com/4nfnh794 086
Reposted by Berkeley EarthZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 17/07/2026Climate change does not cause wildfires, but hot and dry conditions make them much more likely to spread. In Canada, 9 of the 10 worst wildfire years were both dryer and hotter than normal. And these fires are burning in areas that were historically not managed or suppressed. 1120878
Reposted by Berkeley EarthZeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 13/07/2026With all the July model runs now in, it is very likely that 2026 will see the largest El Niño event since records began in the late 1800s – and potentially by a truly mind-blowing margin. The median estimate is now 3.6C, roughly 0.8C hotter than the prior record (2.75C). www.theclimatebrink.... 16514344
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 09/07/2026We're just getting started. Synthesis historical data will be updated monthly alongside other Berkeley Earth datasets, and the set of features, cities, and options supported will gradually expand over time. Thanks for your support. synthesis.berkeleyearth.orgsynthesis.berkeleyearth.orgBerkeley EarthInteractive climate data visualization platform using Berkeley Earth data 010
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 09/07/2026The ambitious goal of the Synthesis platform is to easily connect past & future climate change, at a local scale, in a way that meets the needs of the general public and enables key stakeholders like policymakers, builders, and farmers prepare with adaptation and resilience. 16/ 110
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 09/07/2026This data has already been used in partnership with @c40cities.bsky.social to do a global study on projected changes in cooling demand as the world warms. (More on that coming soon). We expect to find many more applications for this bias-corrected local and regional data. 15/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 09/07/2026Currently only ~100 cities feature these expanded derived metrics, but we are only getting started. Additional cities, additional metrics, and additional ways of working with the data will be added as resources allow. 14/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 09/07/2026We also provide Cooling Degree Days, a estimate of the demand for artificial cooling. The chart shown here is for Paris, France, where projected cooling demand has doubled over the last 40 years, and is expected to redouble during this century under current warming trends. 13/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 09/07/2026For selected cities, we also provide daily derived metrics, such as days above 35 °C / 95 °F. Example shown here for Houston, TX, with both historical data and model projections. Comparing models and observations in a consistent way helps to understand model reliability. 12/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 09/07/2026The climate projections we present are a unique bias-corrected Synthesis that spans the CMIP6 climate model archive (~45 models). Historical observations are used to bias correct and select reliable models for each region, ensuring consistency from past to future. 11/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 09/07/2026The image for any city or region and the data appearing within it can be exported with a click of the export button. Bulk data and commercial use can be requested separately at this google form: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... 10/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 09/07/2026In addition to regional averages, similar charts are also available for thousands of cities. Shown here is the annual average temperature for Mumbai, India. Large cities in less developed countries are well represented. 9/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 08/07/2026We're just getting started. Synthesis historical data will be updated monthly alongside other Berkeley Earth datasets, and the set of features, cities, and options supported will gradually expand over time. Thanks for your support. synthesis.berkeleyearth.org 010
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 08/07/2026The ambitious goal of the Synthesis platform is to easily connect past & future climate change, at a local scale, in a way that meets the needs of the general public and enables key stakeholders like policymakers, builders, and farmers prepare with adaptation and resilience. 16/ 110
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 08/07/2026This data has already been used in partnership with @c40cities.bsky.social to do a global study on projected changes in cooling demand as the world warms. (More on that coming soon). We expect to find many more applications for this bias-corrected local and regional data. 15/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 08/07/2026Currently only ~100 cities feature these expanded derived metrics, but we are only getting started. Additional cities, additional metrics, and additional ways of working with the data will be added as resources allow. 14/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 08/07/2026We also provide Cooling Degree Days, a estimate of the demand for artificial cooling. The chart shown here is for Paris, France, where projected cooling demand has doubled over the last 40 years, and is expected to redouble during this century under current warming trends. 13/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 08/07/2026For selected cities, we also provide daily derived metrics, such as days above 35 °C / 95 °F. Example shown here for Houston, TX, with both historical data and model projections. Comparing models and observations in a consistent way helps to understand model reliability. 12/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 08/07/2026The climate projections we present are a unique bias-corrected Synthesis that spans the CMIP6 climate model archive (~45 models). Historical observations are used to bias correct and select reliable models for each region, ensuring consistency from past to future. 11/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 08/07/2026The image for any city or region and the data appearing within it can be exported with a click of the export button. Bulk data and commercial use can be requested separately at this google form: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... 10/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 08/07/2026Toggles let you switch between monthly and annual series as well as average, maximum, and minimum temperature changes. Both Fahrenheit and Celsius are also available. 8/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 08/07/2026The search box can help you directly find cities, regions, and stations. Loading up a region, like California shown here, gives both historical data and future projections. Current policy aligned SSP2-4.5 is the default, but there are up to five scenarios to choose from. 7/ 100
Berkeley Earth @berkeleyearth.org · 08/07/2026Or click the toggle to get direct access to historical weather station temperature data (40,000+ sites). 6/ 100