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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Average FEI game ratings through Week 4 ("How have you played to date?" considering game possession efficiency results and current opponent ratings): 1. Georgia 2. Utah 3. Notre Dame 4. Miami 5. Texas 6. Alabama 7. Florida 8. Ohio State 9. Indiana 10. BYU bcftoys.com/2026-gr

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

I love everything about this animation and I want to "watch" every drive summary in every game this way.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

FEI ratings, supporting stats, and F+ ratings have been updated through Week 4 results, and FEI Week 5 game projections are up: bcftoys.com Preseason projection weights: 67% for teams that have played 2 FBS opponents; 54% (3 FBS opps); 43% (4 FBS opps); 33% (5 FBS opps)

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Love a deep dive into a football counting statistic that leaves me wondering whether everything else counted has been counted correctly.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

I don’t think new metrics are a problem in and of themselves, but I’m not convinced that the committee will fully understand what they are and what they mean. www.espn.com/contributor/...

espn.com

The CFP selection committee will incorporate another data... - ESPN

Read the breaking news story from the ESPN contributor Heather Dinich

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

FEI ratings, supporting stats, and F+ ratings have been updated through Week 3 results, and FEI Week 4 game projections are up: bcftoys.com Preseason projection weights: 82% for teams that have played 1 FBS opponent; 67% (2 FBS opps); 54% (3 FBS opps); 43% (4 FBS opps)

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

Excellent work all around, but especially great from a data storytelling and user interface perspective, kudos @emilygiam.bsky.social @yurikoschumacher.bsky.social

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

The 2026 season is very young (only 100 FBS vs FBS games through Week 2), but the average number of possessions per game continues to trend downward.

Chart titled "Possessions Per FBS vs FBS Game"; a line chart illustrating the average number of possessions per game from 2007 to 2026; the average for all games played in a season is featured prominently, and the average for games played through Week 2 is provided as well; 2026 data through Week 2 is highlighted

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Most positive change in FEI rating from preseason FEI through Week 2: +.36 UMass +.36 NDSU +.26 Mississippi St +.26 USC +.24 Nevada Most negative change: -.45 Oregon -.44 Rutgers -.31 WKU -.31 Clemson -.22 CMU

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

FEI ratings, supporting stats, and F+ ratings (combining FEI and SP+) have been updated through Week 2 results, and FEI Week 3 game projections are up: bcftoys.com Preseason projection weights: 100% for teams that have played 0 FBS opponents; 82% (1 FBS opp); 67% (2 FBS opps); 54% (3 FBS opps)

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

As far as my ratings calculations are concerned, the biggest difference between 13-12 and 12-7 isn't going to show up in FEI, it's going to show up in strength of record.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

FEI ratings, supporting stats, and F+ ratings (combining FEI and SP+) have been updated through Week 1 results, and FEI Week 2 game projections are up: bcftoys.com

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Sources… bcftoys.com/whiteboard/s...

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

What does "we will not have instant replay unless there is something egregious" mean

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

This power outage delay is pretty wild, but it's important to remember that one of these ACC teams plays a different number of conference games this year than the other team.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

ACC tiebreakers are getting weirder.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Irish had three offensive possessions in the entire second half and won the half 28-3.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

Notre Dame scored on a pick-six with 8:52 left in the third quarter to take a 27-10 lead. Wisconsin had possession only twice (field goal, punt) over the next 22 minutes.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

Checking out this very cool new(?) college football analytics site, and not just because the guy responsible (I don’t think he’s on the app) did a deep dive analysis of my game splits data: all-takes.com/college-foot...

all-takes.com

What the Final Score Misses | All Takes

How Brian Fremeau’s possession efficiency numbers change the way we assign credit for a football result.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

Was that offensive drive a two-and-out or a three-and-out? Did they gain one yard or six yards? College football data work starts with collecting and combing game information from trusted sources that aren't always in alignment, and making choices and tradeoffs about what to keep or discard.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 02/09/2026

I wrote a little bit about how I compile data in my possession efficiency ratings work, and how I rely on a variety of sources and friends (from @collegefootballdata.com to @sickoscommittee.org, if necessary) to build a data set and clean it up: bcftoys.com/whiteboard/s...

bcftoys.com

sources — BCF Toys

I’m asked from time to time about how I gather the data to produce FEI ratings and other metrics I publish on this site. I utilize several sources, but a reliable account of the results of every posse...

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 31/08/2026

FEI ratings, supporting stats, and F+ ratings (combining FEI and SP+) have been updated through Week 0 results, and FEI Week 1 game projections are up: bcftoys.com

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

Going to delete this before I contribute to spreading fake news, apparently this was a punt from the 41-yard line that was missed in the team box score. Sorry about that.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

Virginia's 23-play drive against NC State is the longest (in terms of the number of plays) in an FBS game since September 27, 2025 when Hawaii had a 24-play drive against Air Force that ended in a field goal.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

File > New > Save As > 2026 Games and Possessions

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Rodger Sherman @rodger.bsky.social · 29/08/2026

as college football season starts, I think the @sickoscommittee.org Starter Pack is probably the one most likely to fill your timeline with CFB posting all year long

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Stewart Mandel @slmandel.bsky.social · 14/11/2024

Did a thing ... let me know who to add. go.bsky.app/C9LhAkB

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

I wrote a little bit about the extreme outliers that sometimes make preseason projections look foolish: bcftoys.com/whiteboard/o...

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

I wrote a little bit about the extreme outliers that sometimes make preseason projections look foolish: bcftoys.com/whiteboard/o...

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Preseason ratings are just a (decent) starting point.

Chart titled "Preseason vs End of Year FEI Ratings"; a scatterplot of all FBS teams from 2012 to 2025, preseason FEI ratings on the x-axis and end of year FEI ratings on the y-axis. 12.8% of dots on the chart are highlighted in red, representing teams that finished the year with an FEI rating at least one standard deviation better or worse than its preseason rating.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

I've received this question a couple of times: FEI has a preseason blind spot for NDSU and Sacramento State. I don't use any priors for teams making the jump from FCS to FBS, they all get the same "newcomer" starting point. FEI Week 0 game projections (proceed with caution): bcftoys.com/2026-gp

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 18/08/2026

2026 Preseason F+ Ratings combining FEI and SP+ projections: bcftoys.com/2026-fplus

Screenshot of 2026 Preseason F+ Ratings top-15 teams

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 15/08/2026

Great stuff in here from coaches all over the country underscoring the why behind possession and play efficiency trends.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Cooking up some new possession efficiency data outputs in the lab this off season, here's a sample. Short thread follows about what each set of columns is intended to mean...

Screenshot of "Texas 2025 Game Efficiencies" data table test

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Cooking up some new possession efficiency data outputs in the lab this off season, here's a sample. Short thread follows about what each set of columns is intended to mean...

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 01/08/2026

“Is Conference A better/tougher/stronger/etc than Conference B?” is the wrong question.

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Bill Connelly @espnbillc.bsky.social · 27/07/2026

I wrote about 100 games that brought college football to its current state, from Grantland Rice's poetry, to offensive innovations, to postseason controversies, to all-time upsets, to television spectacles, to realignment, to the epic endings that keep us coming back. www.espn.com/college-foot...

espn.com

100 games that explain college football in 2026

TV, realignment, stars and legends, postseason quarrels. Those themes have set up epic games and made the current sport.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

England’s going to get so many first place votes in next season’s AP preseason poll.

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Quirky Research @quirkyresearch.bsky.social · 17/07/2026

I'd really like to know what the difference between these two passes defensed was and why the 1975 Lions scorer decided to point it out.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 15/07/2026

Is it more weird that Cal and Clemson are part of the same conference, or that they only play two common conference opponents this year, or that Notre Dame has more common ACC opponents with each of them without being a conference member?

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 14/07/2026

Just finished “Bottom of the 33rd” by @danbarry58.bsky.social and I officially have a new all-time favorite sports book, what a delightful read.

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