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Most negative FEI ratings change from preseason: -.50 Western Kentucky -.47 Sacramento St -.47 Old Dominion -.42 UTEP -.39 Wyoming -.37 Rutgers -.36 Michigan -.36 Hawaii -.35 Navy -.34 Oregon

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Most positive FEI ratings change from preseason: +.67 NDSU +.61 New Mexico +.55 Georgia St +.47 Northwestern +.43 UMass +.42 UCLA +.41 Boise St +.40 Mississippi St +.37 Wisconsin +.36 Oregon St

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Testing a new average game rating data page this week, FYI: bcftoys.com/2026-grs

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

FEI ratings, supporting stats, and F+ ratings have been updated through Week 5 results, and FEI Week 6 game projections are up: bcftoys.com Preseason projection weights: 54% for teams that have played 3 FBS opponents; 43% (4 FBS opps); 33% (5 FBS opps); 25% (6 FBS opps)

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SMU booted a 50-yard punt on 4th-and-50 against Boston College yesterday.

Play-by-play detail in the SMU-BC game on 10/3/26.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Not yet... but I think I will soon! Next 15: 11. LSU 12. Boise St 13. Mississippi St 14. Northwestern 15. Penn St 16. USC 17. Tennessee 18. Nebraska 19. Pittsburgh 20. Kansas St 21. UCLA 22. Wisconsin 23. Iowa 24. Iowa St 25. Oregon

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Average FEI game ratings through Week 4 ("How have you played to date?" considering game possession efficiency results and current opponent ratings): 1. Georgia 2. Utah 3. Notre Dame 4. Miami 5. Texas 6. Alabama 7. Florida 8. Ohio State 9. Indiana 10. BYU bcftoys.com/2026-gr

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

I love everything about this animation and I want to "watch" every drive summary in every game this way.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

FEI ratings, supporting stats, and F+ ratings have been updated through Week 4 results, and FEI Week 5 game projections are up: bcftoys.com Preseason projection weights: 67% for teams that have played 2 FBS opponents; 54% (3 FBS opps); 43% (4 FBS opps); 33% (5 FBS opps)

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Love a deep dive into a football counting statistic that leaves me wondering whether everything else counted has been counted correctly.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

The greatest baseball game I ever attended was a Bananaball game and it hadn’t even started yet.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

I don’t think new metrics are a problem in and of themselves, but I’m not convinced that the committee will fully understand what they are and what they mean. www.espn.com/contributor/...

espn.com

The CFP selection committee will incorporate another data... - ESPN

Read the breaking news story from the ESPN contributor Heather Dinich

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Interesting. By “full schedules”, you mean you’re including games not yet played? Are you using an expected result or something for those games?

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Alternatively, we could just take each team's average game rating (preseason projections are still baked in to the opp adjustments, but this isolates "how have you played to date"): 1. Utah 2. Georgia 3. Notre Dame 4. Texas 5. Indiana 6. Miami 7. Kansas St 8. Alabama 9. Northwestern 10. Penn St

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There are a couple of ways to work this out. If we ignored preseason projection data altogether, FEI ratings would be wildly different in spots: (1/??) 1. Notre Dame 2. Utah 3. Georgia 4. Penn St 5. Mississippi St 6. Florida 7. Texas 8. South Carolina 9. Pittsburgh 10. Kansas St

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Top 5 units on offense, defense, and special teams

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

FEI ratings, supporting stats, and F+ ratings have been updated through Week 3 results, and FEI Week 4 game projections are up: bcftoys.com Preseason projection weights: 82% for teams that have played 1 FBS opponent; 67% (2 FBS opps); 54% (3 FBS opps); 43% (4 FBS opps)

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Excellent work all around, but especially great from a data storytelling and user interface perspective, kudos @emilygiam.bsky.social @yurikoschumacher.bsky.social

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

I don’t have pre-2007 game possessions in my data set, but I think it’s notable that the biggest shift in the chart was from 2007 to 2008 — the clock prior to ‘08 stopped on all out-of-bounds plays until the next snap. I suspect years 2007 and prior had way more possessions as a result.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

I'm hesitant to reduce it to *less* or *worse* football, though it is certainly *different* football than the "peak tempo" era. I wrote a bit about it in the offseason here: bcftoys.com/whiteboard/c... Also see: www.espn.com/college-foot... And: www.nytimes.com/athletic/748...

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

The 2026 season is very young (only 100 FBS vs FBS games through Week 2), but the average number of possessions per game continues to trend downward.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Most positive change in FEI rating from preseason FEI through Week 2: +.36 UMass +.36 NDSU +.26 Mississippi St +.26 USC +.24 Nevada Most negative change: -.45 Oregon -.44 Rutgers -.31 WKU -.31 Clemson -.22 CMU

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

FEI ratings, supporting stats, and F+ ratings (combining FEI and SP+) have been updated through Week 2 results, and FEI Week 3 game projections are up: bcftoys.com Preseason projection weights: 100% for teams that have played 0 FBS opponents; 82% (1 FBS opp); 67% (2 FBS opps); 54% (3 FBS opps)

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

As far as my ratings calculations are concerned, the biggest difference between 13-12 and 12-7 isn't going to show up in FEI, it's going to show up in strength of record.

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Brian Fremeau @bcfremeau.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

FEI ratings, supporting stats, and F+ ratings (combining FEI and SP+) have been updated through Week 1 results, and FEI Week 2 game projections are up: bcftoys.com

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Sources… bcftoys.com/whiteboard/s...

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Thinking this through... so an off-field official watching the telecast would make the decision and tell the field crew to just reverse something "egregious" in real time?

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What does "we will not have instant replay unless there is something egregious" mean

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Lay down the chains and just figure out what down it is based on vibes.

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This power outage delay is pretty wild, but it's important to remember that one of these ACC teams plays a different number of conference games this year than the other team.

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