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Nathan Walker

@bbstats.bsky.social
2.7K followers 1.6K following 307 posts

currently: data science / optical @ NFL prev: data science @ GSW sometimes bball analytics chimeraboost: bbstats.github.io/chimeraboost

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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
there are now 5 good AI models: Opus 5.5 Medium thru Max Sonnet 5.5 xHigh
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC...
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Distributional bias compromises leave-one-out cross-validation
Cross-validation is a common method for evaluating machine learning models. “Leave-one-out cross-validation,” in which each data instance is used to test a model trained on all other instances, is oft...
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
gemini's back, alright!
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
me to claude "pretend you are a brilliant communicator who loves ensuring folks QUICKLY and clearly understand your intent:"
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Hoping to make ChimeraBoost the tool of choice for quick R&D of data science projects github.com/bbstats/chim... My favorite part is the 'quality' parameter - you can very simply and understandably adjust the quality/speed of the model with a single parameter!
The fit
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Brier Skill Score for president
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
With the help of LLMs, I have partially solved a long-troublesome issue with GBDTs! 1. Early stopping is a nice, clean way to automatically tune your GBDT 2. You by default leave some performance on the table with your hold-out set ...
github.com
Reuse the tree structures when refitting on the full data: same accuracy, a third less fit time by bbstats · Pull Request #41 · bbstats/chimeraboost
What changes: refit_full now defaults to "replay". Same accuracy, roughly a third less time to fit. Why we currently fit twice With early_stopping=True (the default), ChimeraBoost holds o...
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
posting this for no reason whatsoever TSA per 100 vs Adj PPS (TS%x2) League average Adj PPS of 1.162
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
posting this for no reason whatsoever TSA per 100 vs Adj PPS (TS%x2) League average Adj PPS of 1.162
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
let's goooooo!
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Doing the minimal possible SEO here but - I (and Claude) developed a python-only (e.g. numba!) backend Gradient Boosting library that is insanely fast on small/medium data (eg your prototyping phase!) pip install it and tell me what you think github.com/bbstats/chim...
github.com
GitHub - bbstats/chimeraboost: A Python-backend gradient boosting library
A Python-backend gradient boosting library. Contribute to bbstats/chimeraboost development by creating an account on GitHub.
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
static.klipy.com
Hurricane Storm: Satellite View
ALT: Hurricane Storm: Satellite View
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Basketball Poetry @basketballpoetry.com · 04/06/2026
Karl-Anthony Towns was never an underdog. Finally, however, he’s no longer underappreciated. More here: www.basketballpoetry.com/p/karl-antho...
basketballpoetry.com
Karl-Anthony Towns was never an underdog
Karl-Anthony Towns has never been an underdog.
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Jon Bois @jonbois.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
codes are code coded
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Canes score!!!
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Dave DuFour 🐉 @davedufour.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Victor Wembanyama is basketball Genghis Khan
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 31/05/2026
Lots of opining about Thunder players performing worse, not a lot of folks mentioning WHY
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
Players shouldn't be evaluated from their possession-level or play-level ability, but by their ability over the course of their contract.
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 30/05/2026
Let's gooooo
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
GPT 5.1 1455 Arena Elo (current) November 12, 2025 $7.81 per million weighted tokens Gemma 4 1451 Arena Elo (current) April 2, 2026 $0.34 per million weighted tokens
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ArtButMakeItSports @artbutmakeitsports.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Angels Appearing before the Shepherds, by Henry Ossawa Tanner, 1910
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NBABeau @nbabeau.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Here’s the NBA Top 10 from tonight’s classic game
m.youtube.com
NBA's Top 10 Plays of the Night | May 18, 2026
YouTube video by NBA
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Victor Wembanyama.
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
paperswithcode is back! paperswithcode.co
paperswithcode.co
Papers with Code
Trending AI research papers with code, datasets, methods, and evaluation leaderboards.
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Adam Silver doesn't know I have kid dropoff at 730am
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Turnovers Reduced (TR) per-100 in the playoffs for remaining players, Top and Bottom 10 Uses AST/2PA/3PA/FTA to predict TOV (XTOV). Would be better using Ast Opps especially w/ smaller sample size but, still useful. data from @basketball-reference.com
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
ROTS is the worst prequel
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 03/05/2026
Boston is Harden-ing like Kakuna send tweet
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Steph Noh @stephnoh.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
The NBA's tanking reform is akin to breaking a few hundred eggs to make an omelet. Why the plan is a disaster-in-waiting: www.sportingnews.com/us/nba/news/...
sportingnews.com
NBA's anti-tanking draft reform proposal is a disaster: Why Adam Silver's reform is destined to flop | Sporting News
The NBA has proposed a fix to the league's tanking issue that will cause far worse issues down the line than the one it is trying to address.
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
So the expansion teams aren't going to get 3 lotto balls?
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
That's an advantage of of having a PG who's 6-7
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Buzz buzz
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Jason Patt @bullsjay.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Jeff Bozos you will pay for this
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Bezos
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Cobyyyyyy
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
LaMelo Lol
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dan favale @danfavale.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
kel'el ware rn
lebron locked in face meme as a member of the miami heat
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Lolmelo
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
This is a post about LaMelo Ball
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
I have decided that all infinities are the same size, and you cant(or) change my mind
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Sports Reference @sports-reference.com · 01/04/2026
Have you ever wanted a shower curtain covered in stats? 🤔 We didn’t think so. But just in case, the Record Book Collection is here. One day only—all proceeds donated to youth sports: sportsreference.threadless.com/collections/...
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
It is April 1, 2026 VIctor Wembanyama is #1 in EPM
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Nathan Walker @bbstats.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
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Alexa Philippou @alexaphilippou.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Breaking: ESPN senior writer Kevin Pelton has been hired for a front office role with the Houston Comets, where he is serving as assistant GM & vice president of analytics He'll also work with the Sun FO this season, including as the team prepares for offseason activity
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CJ Fogler @cjzero.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
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Corey the Scary Street @cstrable.bsky.social · 30/03/2026
Props to CBS for showing that #1 seeds are undefeated with a 15 point halftime lead graphic
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