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Baxter Oliphant

@baxteroliphant.bsky.social
668 followers 1.1K following 10 posts

Researcher at Pew Research Center; Ph.D. in politics from Princeton. Husband, father, bike commuter, gamer, inline skater, car camper and hiker. Spends way too much time reading the news and nonfiction books. RTs & likes do not equal endorsements.

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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
John Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
NEW from @pewresearch.org: Political party affiliation in the US, 2020-2026, based on the National Public Opinion Reference Survey (paper/phone/online survey conducted January-June 2026 among 5,511 US adults) www.pewresearch.org/politics/fac...
Stacked bar chart showing political party affiliation among U.S. adults between 2020 and 2026, based on Pew Research Center's National Public Opinion Reference Survey.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Pew Research Center @pewresearch.org · 19/05/2026
Americans are more optimistic about #AI’s impact in medical care but pessimistic about its impact on education and jobs.
Chart showing Americans are more likely to predict AI will impact medical care positively than negatively.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Andrew Daniller @adaniller.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
And a broader look at where Trump stands with the public: www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
pewresearch.org
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Pew Research Center @pewresearch.org · 17/09/2025
In our charts, we sometimes illustrate the margin of error through error bars, also called confidence intervals. But what do they mean? How should they be interpreted? Here are some answers to common questions that might help you better understand charts with error bars.
pewresearch.org
Understanding error bars in charts
Error bars illustrate the margin of error for a survey estimate by showing how precise that estimate is. Here are some answers to common questions that might help you better understand charts with error bars.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Pew Research Center @pewresearch.org · 02/07/2025
Countries where large shares of the public say the economy is in good shape also tend to have large shares who are satisfied with democracy. www.pewresearch.org/...
Chart that shows that countries where more people feel good about the economy also have greater satisfaction with democracy
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Hannah Hartig @hannahhartig.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
this year, we produced a visual tour of turnout and vote switching between the last two presidential elections. check out our illustration of the flow of voters and nonvoters between 2020 and 2024 here: www.pewresearch.org/feature/how-...
pewresearch.org
How Changes in Turnout and Vote Choice Powered Trump’s Victory in 2024
In this interactive feature, explore how changes between the 2020 and 2024 elections in how – and whether – people voted helped to return President Trump to office.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
John Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
On today's 10th anniversary of the Obergefell ruling, it's worth noting that same-sex marriage is among a small number of issues to see a complete reversal of public opinion in a relatively short span: 60% opposed it in 2004; 63% favored it by 2023. www.pewresearch.org/2024/09/13/h...
Screenshot from a Pew Research Center article showing that public opinion about same-sex marriage in the United States changed dramatically between 2004 and 2023.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
John Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 24/06/2025
Quite a stat: Medicaid paid for 4 out of every 10 births in the United States in 2023. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Screenshot of a Pew Research Center analysis about Medicaid.
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Baxter Oliphant @baxteroliphant.bsky.social · 23/06/2025
A June 2025 Pew Research Center survey found that 55% of Republicans (incl. leaners) say it would be acceptable to deport immigrants to a different country if they cannot return to their home country. By comparison, 13% of Democrats say this would be acceptable. pewrsr.ch/446QJwe
A bar chart showing the percentage of U.S. adults, Rep/Lean Rep and Dem/Lean Dem who say it would be acceptable for three actions to happen regarding federal deportation efforts

Title: Wide partisan divisions over what is acceptable regarding federal deportation efforts

Subtitle: % who say that each of the following would be *acceptable*

Item 1: A church or other religious organization not helping with federal efforts to deport people in their communities who are in the U.S. illegally. 56% acceptable among U.S. adults, 41% among Rep/Lean Rep and 73% among Dem/Lean Dem

Item 2: A city or state not helping with federal efforts to deport people in their communities who are in the U.S. illegally. 43% acceptable among U.S. adults, 19% among Rep/Lean Rep and 66% among Dem/Lean Dem

Item 3: Deporting an immigrant in the U.S. illegally to a different country if they cannot return to their home country. 56% acceptable among U.S. adults, 41% among Rep/Lean Rep and 73% among Dem/Lean Dem
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Conrad Hackett @conradhackett.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
My team at @pewresearch.org studies the global size and demographic characteristics of religious groups, including the religiously unaffiliated. Some recent reports: Modeling the Future of Religion in America www.pewresearch.org/religion/202...
pewresearch.org
Modeling the Future of Religion in America
Since the 1990s, large numbers of Americans have left Christianity to join the growing ranks of U.S. adults who describe their religious identity as atheist, agnostic or “nothing in particular.” If re...
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Baxter Oliphant @baxteroliphant.bsky.social · 20/05/2025
New from @pewresearch.org "How Much Discrimination Do Americans Say Groups Face in the U.S.?" Link: pewrsr.ch/4jcI40H
pewrsr.ch
How Much Discrimination Do Americans Say Groups Face in the U.S.?
Republicans are less likely than in 2024 to say there is discrimination against Black, Hispanic, Asian and White people.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Conrad Hackett @conradhackett.bsky.social · 06/05/2025
NEW REPORT: Believing in Spirits and Life After Death Is Common Around the World
pewresearch.org
Believing in Spirits and Life After Death Is Common Around the World
Belief in an afterlife, God and spirits in nature is widespread globally. Older adults are more likely than younger adults to believe in God. Pew Research Center.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
John Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
Striking chart from @wsj.com shows the cumulative number of executive orders by each recent president through their first 100 days: www.wsj.com/politics/pol... In a new @pewresearch.org survey, 51% of Americans say Trump is doing too much by executive order: www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
Line chart from The Wall Street Journal showing the cumulative number of executive orders signed by each recent president through the first 100 days of their tenure. Donald Trump has issued far more executive orders than any other recent president at this stage in his presidency.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Pew Research Center @pewresearch.org · 22/04/2025
47% of Americans are extremely or very concerned about Russia invading other countries, and 43% are concerned about Russia defeating and taking over Ukraine. Republicans have become less concerned about both possibilities in recent months, while Democrats have become more so.
A set of line charts showing that Democrats are much more concerned than Republicans about various Russia-Ukraine war scenarios
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Jacob Poushter @japoushter.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Now that @pewresearch.org on Bluesky is a thing, I'll try to post new data from our Global Attitudes research! First up today, timely data on how Americans view trade between the U.S. and China, Canada and Mexico. Includes public opinion and trade data! www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Pew Research Center @pewresearch.org · 07/04/2025
Hey there, Bluesky! We are excited to share our data and insights here with you, and so are our researchers: go.bsky.app/3QzdR9p What would you like to see from us? Drop suggestions below!
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Opinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
What Americans think about President Trump’s immigration actions early in his second term. (@baxteroliphant.bsky.social Joseph Copeland @pewresearch.org) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/250209
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Baxter Oliphant @baxteroliphant.bsky.social · 07/02/2025
New from Pew Research Center www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
pewresearch.org
Public Anticipates Changes With Trump but Is Split Over Whether They Will Be Good or Bad
As Trump returns to the White House, Republicans are upbeat about Trump’s actions and agenda, but Democrats find little to like.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Chip Rotolo @chiprotolo.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
NEW from @pewresearch.org: Faith on the Hill: The religious composition of the 119th Congress
pewrsr.ch
Faith on the Hill
Christians will make up 87% of voting members in the Senate and House of Representatives, combined, in the 2025-27 congressional session.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
John Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
10 facts about Americans and alcohol as ‘Dry January’ begins: www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Line chart showing that a steady majority of Americans say they consume alcoholic beverages.Line chart showing that alcohol consumption among Americans has ticked up in recent years.Area chart showing that Americans are drinking less beer and more wine than they used to.Map of the United States showing per-capita alcohol consumption by state.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
John Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 17/12/2024
NEW: House Republicans will be working with the narrowest majority in modern history when the 119th Congress begins in January. They'll have a five-seat edge, but even that small advantage will get smaller amid several expected vacancies. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Screenshot of a Pew Research Center article titled, "Slim majorities have become more common in the U.S. House and Senate"
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
John Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
Chart: When in a presidential campaign do voters make their decision? www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
Chart showing that in the 2016, 2020 and 2024 presidential elections, the vast majority of voters made up their mind about who to vote for before September. Far fewer voters made up their minds in September, October or in the last week before the election.
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Baxter Oliphant @baxteroliphant.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
New today from Pew Research Center pewrsr.ch/3OFBG5m
pewrsr.ch
Voters Broadly Positive About How Elections Were Conducted, in Sharp Contrast to 2020
Trump voters’ skepticism about election administration and the counting of mail-in ballots declined sharply with their candidate’s win.
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Baxter Oliphant @baxteroliphant.bsky.social · 22/11/2024
New from Pew Research Center: After Trump’s victory, Democrats are more pessimistic about their party’s future 49% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents are pessimistic about the future of their party; just 13% of Rep/Lean Rep say the same www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
pewresearch.org
After Trump’s victory, Democrats are more pessimistic about their party’s future
The partisan gap in Republican and Democratic views of their parties’ futures (35 percentage points) is much larger than after any recent election.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
John Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
NEW: Women in the US have long outpaced men in college graduation, as the chart on the left shows. But it's now happening in each major racial and ethnic group, too, as the chart on the right shows. www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Line chart showing that women in the United States have long outpaced men in college graduation. As of 2024, 47% of women ages 25 to 34 have a bachelor's degree, compared with 37% of men in the same age group.Four small line charts showing that women are outpacing men in college graduation in each of the four major racial and ethnic groups in the United States.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
It’s that JSR @jsr.com · 17/10/2024
Disney owns both The Muppets and Star Wars, and the fact they are not making a Muppet version of all nine main-series Star Wars movies is only explained by the fact that they secretly hate making money.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
John Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 18/09/2024
NEW: To mark 20 years of the Pew Research Center, we took a look back at some of the biggest changes in US public opinion during that time. Of note: Complete reversals on same-sex marriage and marijuana legalization, and the emergence of China as a perceived threat.
pewresearch.org
How U.S. Public Opinion Has Changed in 20 Years of Our Surveys
We took a closer look at how Americans’ views and experiences have evolved on a variety of topics over the last 20 years.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
The PS1 startup sound as a lesbian @janus.bsky.social · 27/03/2024
AS WRITTEN
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
Pollcat, AKA Scott Keeter @pollcat.bsky.social · 05/03/2024
We just released a new analysis about the potential for opt-in surveys -- those where people volunteer to take surveys -- to provide misleading results, especially for young adults and Hispanics pewrsr.ch/49BMhqF
pewrsr.ch
Online opt-in polls can produce misleading results, especially for young people and Hispanic adults
We examine how an opt-in poll may have unintentionally misled the public about the sensitive issue of Holocaust denial among young Americans.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
John Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 22/02/2024
58% of K-12 teachers in the US say their state government has 𝐭𝐨𝐨 𝐦𝐮𝐜𝐡 influence over what's taught in school. 71% say teachers themselves have 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐞𝐧𝐨𝐮𝐠𝐡 influence in this regard. www.pewresearch.org/social-trend...
Bar chart showing U.S. K-12 teachers' views on whether various entities – including state governments, the federal government, local school boards, parents, principals, students and teachers themselves – have not enough, too much or about the right amount of influence over what's taught in school.
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Reposted by Baxter Oliphant
John Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 11/12/2023
Support for banning TikTok has decreased from 50% of US adults in March to 38% today. Even fewer teens (18%) favor the idea. Not surprisingly, adults and teens who use TikTok themselves are much less likely to support a ban. pewrsr.ch/46RS0GL
Line chart showing that 38% of American adults support the U.S. government banning TikTok, down from 50% in March.Bar chart showing that only 18% of American teens support the U.S. government banning TikTok, while 50% of teens oppose the idea.
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