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Babak Rezaee

@babakr.bsky.social
443 followers 108 following 7 posts

Associate Professor at Leiden University Researching political conflict & violence with data science Football enthusiast | Foodie | Travel addict RTs & Follows ≠ agreement

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Reposted by Babak Rezaee
Sarah de Lange @sldelange.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
With the official prognosis giving one additional seat to PVV and one to FvD compared to the ext poll, the narrative should really not be that the Netherlands/Jetten has beaten the radical right. The far right bloc remains remarkably stable.
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Simon Otjes @simonotjes.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Het Instituut @polscileiden.bsky.social is goed vertegenwoordigd bij de NOS uitslagenavond. Kersverse hoogleraar Nederlandse Politiek @sldelange.bsky.social is op televisie samen met Leids alumnus @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social (nu UvA) Op de radio alumna Josje den Ridder (nu SCP) en ikzelf
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Sarah de Lange @sldelange.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Voor de beste duiding staan vandaag en morgen overal politicologen tot uw dienst. Het zijn net pokemons, volg ze allemaal
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Simon Otjes @simonotjes.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Too close to call? Floridase toestanden in Nederland? Ik sprak de @nrc.nl over het fenomeen hertelling www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...
nrc.nl
Eerste stemmen verkiezingen uitgebracht in meerdere gemeenten
Alle berichten Belangrijke updates woensdag 29 oktober 2025 om 14:23 Luister dit artikel Deel dit artikel Wat als het vanavond ’too close to call’ wordt? Met liefst vijf partijen die volgens de peilin...
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Sarah de Lange @sldelange.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Election day also means a quick round up of my comments in the international media that have been published today. Pick your favorite language 🙂 www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Tight race in Dutch election as anti-Islam populist Wilders' hope of power declines - BBC News
Wilders was the clear winner last time Dutch voters went to the polls in November 2023, but this time the race is far tighter.
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Sarah de Lange @sldelange.bsky.social · 29/10/2025
Ready to rumble! Live commentary on exit poll and results with @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social and yours truly from 8.30 PM till very late on NPO1
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Tom Louwerse @tomlouwerse.nl · 29/10/2025
Onthoud, politici rechts, links en in het midden: "Democracy is a system in which parties lose elections" (Adam Przeworski)
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Tom Theuns @tomtheuns.bsky.social · 10/09/2025
The first few reviews are in for my book 𝘗𝘳𝘰𝘵𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘋𝘦𝘮𝘰𝘤𝘳𝘢𝘤𝘺 𝘪𝘯 𝘌𝘶𝘳𝘰𝘱𝘦 (Hurst/OUP)! Draper in 𝘗𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘰𝘳𝘺: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... Muzergues in 𝘗𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘲𝘶𝘦 𝘦́𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘯𝘨𝘦̀𝘳𝘦: politique-etrangere.com/2025/06/19/p... Dressler in 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘗𝘳𝘰𝘨𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘗𝘰𝘴𝘵: feps-europe.eu/inspiration/...
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Neeraj Prasad @neerajprsd.bsky.social · 08/09/2025
🚨🚨🚨Announcing a special issue on “Political Violence in Democracies” published by @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social and edited by @andrearuggeri.bsky.social, U Daxecker, and me. In this very long 🧵, I will introduce the special issue with its 14 articles. doi.org/10.1177/0022...
doi.org
Political violence in democracies: An Introduction - Andrea Ruggeri, Ursula Daxecker, Neeraj Prasad, 2025
It is well established that democracies experience less political violence than autocracies. Paradoxically, however, this widely accepted fact has led scholars ...
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Tom Louwerse @tomlouwerse.nl · 05/09/2025
Interessant! @mrooduijn.bsky.social en @simonotjes.bsky.social zijn weer begonnen met hun serie "Plaatjes van de electoraatjes" over de kenmerken en opvattingen van de (potentiële) kiezers op een partij. Eerste aflevering: NSC.
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Marianne Dahl @mariannedahl.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
📊 New dataset and paper alert! We’re proud to launch the Opposition Movements and Groups (OMG) Dataset, 1789–2019: a global dataset covering 1,452 mass mobilization movements. It was just published in Comparative Political Studies. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... Below follows a 🧵
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Simon Otjes @simonotjes.bsky.social · 31/08/2025
Als je naar de huidige peilingen kijkt (zie de laatste peilingwijzer van @tomlouwerse.nl) ziet het er naar uit dat de formatie lastig zal worden. Nu zijn peilingen geen voorspellingen maar de trends (verdwijnen NSC, daling VVD, groei CDA,) maken het een lastig landschap.
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Tom Louwerse @tomlouwerse.nl · 22/08/2025
In tegenstelling tot de gangbare Nederlandse telling, tellen de meeste politicologen internationaal een nieuw kabinet als de partijpolitieke samenstelling wijzigt. Dus nu Schoof III (VVD/BBB) na Schoof II (VVD/NSC/BBB) en Schoof I (PVV/VVD/NSC/BBB).
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Babak Rezaee @babakr.bsky.social · 03/07/2025
Excited to share my chapter “#Computational Methods in International Relations” is out in the Handbook of #IR. From Newton’s math to today’s algorithms; how computation helps us make sense of world #politics. For those into data, code & global affairs: doi.org/10.4337/9781...
doi.org
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Babak Rezaee @babakr.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
If you’re curious the assassination of the IRGC commanders creates a rally around the flag. I suggest reading my recent coauthored article. #IRGC is not a liked in #Iran due to its participation in repression of oppositions. Some of Iranians actually celebrating it. academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...
academic.oup.com
Who Rallies Round the Flag? The Impact of the US Sanctions on Iranians’ Attitude toward the Government
Abstract. While politicians often argue that economic sanctions can induce policy changes in targeted states by undermining elite and public support for th
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Omar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 09/06/2025
Consider two photos: one of an immigrant mother being separated from her child and another of a burning car. Which leads the news? Which focuses attention on the harms of mass deportations? A challenge of violent protest tactics is that they often shift attention away from the injustices they decry.
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Tom Louwerse @tomlouwerse.nl · 09/06/2025
🧵 New research on what citizens expect from opposition parties in democracy published in @wepsocial.bsky.social. @elinazorina.bsky.social and I surveyed people in Canada, Denmark, Netherlands & UK to understand their views on opposition roles. doi.org/10.1080/0140...
What kind of opposition do citizens want?

Abstract

Opposition parties play a crucial role in democracies. While scholars have extensively studied opposition behaviour and institutional powers, little is known about what citizens expect from opposition parties and how they evaluate these expectations being met. This study addresses this gap by examining citizens’ views on three key opposition roles - oversight, cooperation, and offering alternatives - and their perceived fulfilment across four countries: Canada, Denmark, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom. Based on a citizen survey, this study assesses how individual characteristics (democratic satisfaction, political interest, education) and institutional context are related to these views. Citizens across all four countries value cooperation. Preferences for the ‘alternative’ role vary between institutional settings. On the individual level, conflict-oriented and dissatisfied citizens value cooperation less, while those with higher education and political interest find oversight and cooperation more important.
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Armen Hakhverdian @hakhverdian.bsky.social · 07/06/2025
Media en politiek lopen weer als lemmings op 29 oktober af. stukroodvlees.nl/aflevering-1...
stukroodvlees.nl
Aflevering 133 – Wilders blaast het kabinet op, met Henk van der Kolk en Simon Otjes - StukRoodVlees
Geert Wilders heeft zijn steun aan het kabinet ingetrokken. En zoals het een extraparlementair kabinet betaamt met bewindspersonen op afstand van de politiek trekt hij ook al zijn bewindspersonen teru...
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Peilingwijzer @peilingwijzer.bsky.social · 06/06/2025
De Peilingwijzer is bijgewerkt met de nieuwste peiling van Ipsos I&O. 📊 📈 Alle cijfers & grafieken: peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl Bron Ipsos I&O: is.gd/EmlNjV
Grafiek met meest recente scores Peilingwijzer
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Tom Louwerse @tomlouwerse.nl · 06/06/2025
De trend van de PVV is in de recentste Peilingwijzer eerder omhoog dan omlaag, en van de VVD andersom, maar: beide binnen de foutmarge. Gevolg is wel dat de PVV nu duidelijk iets groter is dan de VVD (en GL-PvdA), want die verschillen vielen eerder binnen de foutmarge, en nu niet meer.
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Simon Otjes @simonotjes.bsky.social · 04/06/2025
What happened in the Netherlands and what will happen next? I wrote a short piece about the collapse of the Dutch government for @ukandeu.bsky.social ukandeu.ac.uk/when-not-if-...
ukandeu.ac.uk
When, not if: the fall of the Dutch cabinet - UK in a changing Europe
Simon Otjes explains the recent fall of the government in the Netherlands prompted by the radical right-wing populist  PVV under Geert Wilders.
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Simon Otjes @simonotjes.bsky.social · 08/03/2025
Wat als het kabinet binnenkort valt, de peilingen van nu zeteltallen worden, hoe zal het kabinet er dan uit zien? Het kabinet Timmermans I
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Tom Louwerse @tomlouwerse.nl · 03/06/2025
In de @peilingwijzer.bsky.social staan momenteel drie partijen op gelijke hoogte aan kop: PVV, VVD en GL-PvdA. Maar tussen nu en nieuwe verkiezingen kan er nog veel gebeuren. Welke onderwerpen staan centraal? Welk frame over de kabinetsval domineert? peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl/grafiek_tren...
Peilingwijzer 2023-2025
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Tom Louwerse @tomlouwerse.nl · 03/06/2025
Dutch coalition crisis: PVV ministers exit government. Wilders had asked for additional far-reaching measures on migration, breaking open the coalition agreement. Other parties were not prepared to do this.
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Simon Otjes @simonotjes.bsky.social · 03/06/2025
The PVV has left the Dutch coalition. What does this mean? Will there we be new elections? When? Who will win? Which government will form? 🧵
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Omar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
Seems plausible that future will involve post-college Advanced Placement-style proctored, subject-specific exams. Some research suggests national exams can help classroom dynamics because they put teacher and students on same team versus exam. Only works, though, to assess standardized knowledge.
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Omar Wasow @owasow.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
Meta’s user-hostile approach to links worked for Instagram but porting it to Threads was a mistake. Sharing is core to being human and, for text-first social networks, sharing links is essential. Writers, media, news junkies, etc don’t want to live in Meta’s or X’s or anyone’s “walled garden.”
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Babak Rezaee @babakr.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
After a long break, got back to Bluesky and nice to see it is growing exponentially! Feeling more like old good days in Twitter.
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nicoblar.bsky.social @nicoblar.bsky.social · 08/12/2023
For those who want to hear & engage with the latest security studies research in Europe and beyond, follow the European Initiative for Security Studies @eissnetwork.bsky.social , & to learn more about the initiative & our events, check our website eiss-europa.com/initiative.h...
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Tom Theuns @tomtheuns.bsky.social · 04/12/2023
I wrote a short piece with László Andor on responses to the Dutch election. Total Honesty and Far-right Lies: The confidence with which analysts have settled on the causes of Geert Wilders’ victory is misplaced. www.ips-journal.eu/topics/democ... Polisky EUsky
ips-journal.eu
Total honesty and far-right lies
The confidence with which analysts have settled on the causes of Geert Wilders’ victory is misplaced. More humility and introspection are needed
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Simon Chauchard @simonchauchard.bsky.social · 04/12/2023
🚨🚨 Recruiting post-docs (or pre-docs)! Come work with me, Paul Atwell, Fernando Mello and others @ic3jm.bsky.social and pimlab.org in Madrid (UC3M)! India and/or CSS skills especially welcome this year, tho a diversity of profiles suitable. Full description here: www.dropbox.com/s/vk1d7h1vne...
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Uppsala Conflict Data Program @ucdp.bsky.social · 01/12/2023
New data alert! UCDP Conflict Issues Dataset (CID) is here! This global yearly dataset contains 14 832 conflict issues – divided into a four-tier typology with 120 categories at the most disaggregated level – raised by all armed non-state groups active in civil war, 1989-2017. t.co/3hrZxZr6Qo
t.co
What They Are Fighting For – Introducing the UCDP Conflict Issues Dataset - Johan Brosché, Ralph ...
Although conflict issues – the stated goals of actors engaged in conflict – hold a privileged position in many theoretical explanations of the occurrence, dynam...
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Martin Rosema @rosema.bsky.social · 27/11/2023
Interessant onderzoek voor wetenschappers en journalisten met een (obsessieve/gezonde/gebrekkige) interesse in het opnemen van betrouwbaarheidsmarges bij opiniepeilingen. Kernpunt: het opnemen en bespreken van die marges is van invloed op hoe vaak kiezers gaan stemmen op de grootste partijen.👇
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Peilingwijzer @peilingwijzer.bsky.social · 21/11/2023
De Peilingwijzer is bijgewerkt met de slotpeilingen van I&O Research en Ipsos/EenVandaag. 📊 📈 Alle cijfers & grafieken: peilingwijzer.tomlouwerse.nl
Grafiek met meest recente scores Peilingwijzer
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nicoblar.bsky.social @nicoblar.bsky.social · 21/11/2023
I had the opportunity to discuss how India navigates its ties with Israel & Palestine after the oct 7 attack, with Nirupama Subramaniam last week for Awaaz South Asia youtu.be/pInc6vdrepE
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Ethan Porter @ethanvporter.bsky.social · 13/11/2023
NEW WP! What happens when wartime misinfo is corrected? To find out, @thomasjwood.bsky.social, Raushan Zhandayeva, Bailey Scott and I evaluate corrections in Russia, Ukraine, BLR, EST and KAZ. Overall: Corrections improve accuracy but don't affect which side people support: osf.io/efvsd/
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Tom Louwerse @tomlouwerse.nl · 06/11/2023
Volgens de NOvA botsen de programma's van alle rechtse/conservatieve partijen op punten met de rechtsstaat (PVV, FvD, BBB, JA21, SGP, BVNL, VVD) & dit geldt ook voor NSC & CDA die soms in het midden worden geplaatst. Slechts bij 1 'linkse' partij (DENK) is dit het geval.
volkskrant.nl
Tien partijprogramma’s botsen met rechtsstaat, ook dat van Omtzigt
Het hanteren van een migratiesaldo van maximaal vijftigduizend, zoals Pieter Omtzigt doet in het partijprogramma van Nieuw Sociaal Contract (NSC), ...
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Elisabeth L. Rosvold @lisrosvold.bsky.social · 31/10/2023
Happy to have a new paper out with the eminent Kristina Petrova! We explore the impact of disaster response on political trust in Pakistan and find that disaster relief can improve people’s evaluation of the government even in contexts of protracted violence. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Mitigating the legacy of violence: Can flood relief improve people’s trust in government in confli...
Climate change and violent conflict present two of the most substantial barriers to reaching the Sustainable Development Goals by 2030. Many of the co…
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Simon Otjes @simonotjes.bsky.social · 24/10/2023
Nu op StukRoodVlees: De Plaatjes van de Electoraatjes over de SGP en CU. @mrooduijn.bsky.social en ik kijken naar de mate waarin de kiezers van deze verwante partijen op elkaar lijken stukroodvlees.nl/plaatjes-van...
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Alex Braithwaite @thebraith.bsky.social · 02/10/2023
Reminder that we are hiring in international law or international organization polisky psjminfo
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Babak Rezaee @babakr.bsky.social · 24/10/2023
I made it here, too! Hello, Bluesky world!
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