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Adam H. Smiley

@asmiley.bsky.social
491 followers 595 following 203 posts

Social psychologist and assistant professor at Belmont University. affective polarization, religion, judgment & decision making, metascience. Washington PhD 🟣🟡 ✞ adamhsmiley.owlstown.net

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Reposted by Adam H. Smiley
davidbroska.bsky.social @davidbroska.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Americans favor predistributive policies over redistributive policies. Our new paper is now out in PNAS 🚨 Paper: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/... We have also written a summary of the article for Kudos, a brief report on our brief report: link.growkudos.com/1eb04zt75ds
Americans favor predistributive over redistributive policies
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Mary Katz @marykatz.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
Who gets to claim a religious exemption? In the eyes of Americans, the answer depends heavily on political ideology, not just the belief itself. My first first-author paper is out in @spspnews.bsky.social’s Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin! New paper 🧵1/10
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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 23/08/2026
I hope everyone caught this Lancet study confirming that Elon Musk & DOGE are responsible for genocidal levels of suffering & death.
thelancet.com
Evaluating the impact of two decades of USAID interventions and projecting the effects of defunding on mortality up to 2030: a retrospective impact evaluation and forecasting analysis
USAID funding has significantly contributed to the reduction in adult and child mortality across low-income and middle-income countries over the past two decades. Our estimates show that, unless the a...
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Socius: Sociological Research for a Dynamic World @sociusjournal.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Is religiosity too WEIRDS to generalize? @landonschnabel.bsky.social's new #Socius research compares and challenges the extension of religious facts from Western, educated, industrialized, rich, democratic, and #secular (WEIRDS) societies to #religiosity globally. Read: doi.org/10.1177/2378...
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Important new paper for anyone studying affective polarization. I learned a lot! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Measuring affective polarization: Matching concepts to measures
Affective polarization is the extent to which partisans like their own party relative to their dislike of opposing parties. High levels of affective polarization in the United States and many other c...
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Jin X. Goh | 吴晋勋 @jinxungoh.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Meme of a young person assisting an old lady. The old person said “I remember when you could store data on osf.” The young person said “sure professor. Let’s get you to bed”
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Introducing: The Continuity Heuristic. New paper by Matt Fisher and I now out in Journal of Consumer Psychology. In 24 original studies, we show that people use the length of time something has been to predict how much longer it will be, particularly when knowledge in a domain is lower. Link👇
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Introducing: The Continuity Heuristic. New paper by Matt Fisher and I now out in Journal of Consumer Psychology. In 24 original studies, we show that people use the length of time something has been to predict how much longer it will be, particularly when knowledge in a domain is lower. Link👇
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Simon P. Couch @simonpcouch.com · 05/03/2026
Today we're releasing AI for RStudio. It's really, really good—I'd encourage you to point it at the messiest data sources you have and see what it can do. www.simonpcouch.com/blog/2026-03...
A screenshot of an RStudio window. On the left-hand side is a new pain called Posit Assistant. The Posit Assistant had recently run code making a lat-lon plot of Washington state, colored by whether the point had been marked as forested or not.
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Adi Wiezel, Ph.D. @awiezel.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
In an interesting #SPSP2026 talk, @asmiley.bsky.social presented work suggesting that the proportion of out-partisans at one’s church had a curvilinear association with affective polarization—politically balanced churches showed the lowest rates of affective polarization.
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 01/03/2026
#SPSP2026 was awesome! Great to see friends new and old and get to spend a weekend talking about really cool research!
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
If you’re at #SPSP2026 come check out our symposium this afternoon!! Ameliorators and Aggravators of Affective Polarization 🫏 🐘 2-3:10pm in E353A
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
I met Ed a few years ago when he lived at my grandparents’ senior living home in Rochester. He showed me his amazing art collection, with 100+ paintings of Monhegan Island, and answered my many questions about his career. A true legend, and a kind and generous soul. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/26/s...
nytimes.com
Edward L. Deci, 83, Dies; Found Self-Determination as a Key to Happiness
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Adi Wiezel, Ph.D. @awiezel.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Another cool data blitz from #SPSP political psych precon. People asume there are two large coalitions in the U.S.: liberals & conservatives. But, work by @isaiasghezae.bsky.social suggests there are instead 3: (1) conservatives, (2) ideological liberals, and (3) a liberal demographic group.
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Adi Wiezel, Ph.D. @awiezel.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
Some interesting talks this morning at the #SPSP political psychology preconference! First up, Beth Anne Helgasom discussed work across five studies (1a, 1b, 2a, 2b, and 3) that found that partisans are more lenient in judging the falsehoods said by politicians they support versus oppose, because
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Very excited to be chairing this symposium at @spspnews.bsky.social this Saturday at 2 with @abdoe.bsky.social! With Zarnab Zahoor (UIC) and Jan Voelkel (Cornell), we will collectively discuss the factor which can combat or amplify group-based animosity amidst rampant polarization. (Room E353A) 🧵1/6
Ameliorators and Aggravators of Affective Polarization, an SPSP 2026 symposium from 2-3:10 on Saturday Feb 28th in E353A
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Pew Research Center @pewresearch.org · 26/01/2026
Who is more religious: religiously unaffiliated Latin Americans or European Christians? We compared these groups on three measures: 🌟 Belief in God 🙏 Frequency of prayer 🤲 If they consider religion to be very important in their lives. 🧵👇
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Jack Jenkins @jackjenkins.me · 25/01/2026
Oh interesting: the MN National Guard had publicly promoted that, if deployed, they would wear bright vests to differentiate themselves from DHS, who wear camo despite not being in the U.S military — and it appears they really did!
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Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
In 13% of special issues produced by several major publishers over the past decade, the guest editor contributed more than 1/3 of the papers themselves As usual, MDPI and Frontiers journals are among the worst offenders.
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 25/01/2026
Felt compelled to say something about the harms of self-serving politicians, so I wrote my first ever op-ed which was just published in The Tennessean! (Un-paywalled version in replies, below) www.tennessean.com/story/opinio...
tennessean.com
How Trump-first politics impact Greenland and Tennessee | Opinion
Loyalty to President Trump is shaping decisions at the highest levels of government, and Middle Tennessee is not immune.
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T. Greg Doucette @gregdoucette.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
A downside to literally no one in this Administration understanding basic economics is that "we're going to raise tariffs until you give up Greenland" is the econ version of "I'm going to repeatedly kick myself in the testicles until you do what I want" www.cnbc.com/2026/01/17/t...
cnbc.com
Trump: NATO members to face tariffs increasing to 25% until a Greenland purchase deal is struck
Trump recently hinted that he may pursue a tariff strategy on Greenland similar to the one he used to force foreign countries to change their drug prices.
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[Christopher M. Federico] @chrispps.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
“ICE Watch works because it surrounds men seeking approval with people loudly expressing their disapproval.“
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Society for the Scientific Study of Religion (SSSR) @sssreligion.bsky.social · 17/01/2026
@pewresearch.org, with support from the @templetonfdn.bsky.social, invites researchers at all career stages (including doctoral students) to submit proposals for new research publications using recent Global Religious Futures datasets. 🗓️ Apply by March 2, 2026 sssreligion.org/announcement...
Circular Pew Research Center logo; Spiral John Templeton Foundation logo
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 16/01/2026
In 2026!??? 🥹 www.reuters.com/world/us-sen...
reuters.com
US Senate passes bill to boost federal science spending after White House sought major cuts
The U.S. Senate voted on Thursday to approve billions of dollars in funding for federal science agencies, rejecting deep cuts proposed by President Donald Trump in space and other areas.
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Men in Blazers Media Network @meninblazers.bsky.social · 13/01/2026
Bukayo Saka on what his faith means to him ❤️ Sponsored by our great friends New Balance
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
Had a blast at my first IRPS (Institute for Research on Psychology and Spirituality) meeting at Biola University - my alma mater!
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Nina Jankowicz @ninajankowicz.com · 11/01/2026
I can't say this loudly enough: THEY ARE TRYING TO NORMALIZE THE KILLING OF CIVILIANS FOR PARTICIPATING IN FIRST AMENDMENT PROTECTED PROTEST ACTIVITIES.
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 11/01/2026
Had a blast at my first IRPS (Institute for Research on Psychology and Spirituality) meeting at Biola University - my alma mater!
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OptaJoe @optajoe.com · 10/01/2026
1909 - Macclesfield are the first non-league team to eliminate the FA Cup holders since Crystal Palace knocked out Wolves in the 1908-09 first round. Fairytale.
Macclesfield players celebrate their second goal against Crystal Palace infront of the home crowd.
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Dan Quintana @dsquintana.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
I'm sure someone else has suggested this, but it's time for mandatory DOIs in reference lists. This will make it easier to identify hallucinated references
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Aaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 09/01/2026
NEW: Data released by ICE shows that virtually the entire growth of detention in the last few months has been among people with no criminal record at all - no prior convictions (no matter how minor) and no pending criminal charges.
Chart showing "Detention Population, Among Those Arrested in the interior, by Criminal Record, May 2019 through January 27, 2026. There are three lines on the graph: prior conviction, pending criminal charges, and no criminal record. from 2019 through January 2025, "prior conviction" is by far the highest, followed by pending charges much lower down and "no criminal record" the lowest. During the Biden admin, very few people arrested by ICE in the interior and detained had no criminal record. Beginning in January 2025, all three lines jump, but the highest spike is among those with no criminal records. By September, that has become the single largest. Since that point, there are now thousands more people in detention with no criminal record than people with prior convictions.
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Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
We should no longer trust data collected on MTurk link.springer.com/article/10.3... My guess is that other online data is going to drop in quality due to LLMs. This is going to be an existential crisis for the behavioral sciences.
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Jonathan Birch @birchlse.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
Martin Peterson's creative response to being banned from teaching Plato (shared with his permission).
An email from Martin Peterson to university administrators.
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[Christopher M. Federico] @chrispps.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
"We consistently found null results, not just for overall samples but for sub-groups that have been hypothesized as the most likely to be affected by moral reframing...the observed data are 100x more likely to occur under the null hypothesis (of no effect) than the moral foundations hypothesis."
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Kate Starbird @katestarbird.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
Postdoctoral positions: Our team at the University of Washington's Center for an Informed Public is accepting applications for up to two postdoc positions, starting in Fall 2026. Priority deadline is Jan 15. If you know someone who might be interested, let them know!
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Emily Kubin @emilykubin.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
Check out our recent Character and Context piece explaining how reframing political ideas (including facts!) to be more self disclosing can bridge political divides. spsp.org/news/charact...
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Adam H. Smiley @asmiley.bsky.social · 02/01/2026
This is a great point
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Timothy Burke @bubbaprog.xyz · 23/12/2025
The full spiked 60 Minutes CECOT package, clean & subtitled. 1/5
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Paul Fairie @paulisci.bsky.social · 22/12/2025
The 2025 Headline of the Year Nominees 🧵
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mark brandt @mjbsp.bsky.social · 22/12/2025
Two screenshots with some resources. First, the list of readings about mediation shortcomings that I often share with people Second, a list of more recent than 1986 overviews of mediation analyses
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Kari Maaren @angrykem.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
The whole point of being an academic is that you need to be willing to spend three days creating a 700-word footnote that you will later delete. And you need to LIKE IT.
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stephen @stephanoplis.bsky.social · 19/12/2025
Rounding out 2025 with a new publication in Psychological Science! @psychscience.bsky.social What psychological factor predicts having better physical health, greater happiness, being stereotyped positively, and voting conservatively?
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Ira Hyman @irahyman.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
📣 Faculty line in cognitive psychology in my department at Western Washington University. We just, finally, received permission to search. Details will be posted in early January. But hey, I just want to get this out so people will be watching. Nice place and university. I’ve liked it.
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Gordon Pennycook @gordpennycook.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
🚨 Now out in Psych Science 🚨 We report an adversarial collaboration (with @donandrewmoore.bsky.social) testing whether overconfidence is genuinely a trait The paper was led by Jabin Binnendyk & Sophia Li (who is fantastic and on the job market!) Free copy here: journals.sagepub.com/eprint/7JIYS...
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Raquel Centeno @rcenteno.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
Hi!!! I'm in the process of working on my syllabus for a course focused on US parties/partisanship/polarization. If anyone's taught a similar course and is willing to share their syllabus, I'd really appreciate seeing how others have done this! Plugs for undergrad friendly papers also welcome (:
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Andrei Cimpian @andreicimpian.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
🚨 Postdoc opportunity at Uni of Edinburgh: work with a terrific young PI (Zach Horne) on topics pertaining to partisanship and hostility on social media 👇 elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...
elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com
Post-Doctoral Research Associate
The Psychology Department in the School of Philosophy, Psychology and Language Sciences are seeking a full time, fixed term Post-Doctoral Research Associate. This post is available from 1st of Septemb...
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Kate Starbird @katestarbird.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
The University of Washington's Center for an Informed Public is looking to bring on new postdoctoral scholars to join our research community starting in 2026-2027. Come collaborate w/ our amazing, interdisciplinary team working to understand & help people navigate our complex information ecosystem!
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Pew Research Center @pewresearch.org · 16/12/2025
Ultimately, our graphics should tell a story about our research, whether it’s about changing media habits or shifting social norms. Here's a few of our favorite visuals from 2025, how we made them, and what makes them successful.
pewresearch.org
Our favorite data visualizations of 2025
In this post, we’ll highlight a few of our favorite visuals from 2025 and walk through how we made them and what makes them successful.
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