iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

“Down from the Peak: Conditions for the Decline of Radical Right Parties” Excellent reflection on a crucial question. Unlike most punditry, this piece is based on academic research rather than fantasies, gut feelings, and political preferences. (Scroll down for English)

politik-wissenschaft.org

Vom Zenit abwärts: Bedingungen des Niedergangs radikal rechter Parteien - Empirische Politik UDE

Sabrina J. Mayer Achim Goerres Verena Benoit (Please scroll down for an English language version of the article) Die AfD gewann bei der Landtagswahl 2016 in Sachsen-Anhalt 24,3 Prozent der Zweitstimme...

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West European Politics @wepsocial.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

⏳ Why are voters out of step with parties on immigration and redistribution? Hironao Yoda and Serika Atsumi study 16 Western European countries: newer cohorts link the two issues as parties do — older ones don't, so the gap should narrow with generational turnover. 🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0140...

Description of the article "Time dilation: the temporal structure of elite–voter incongruence on redistribution and immigration" by Hironao Yoda and Serika Atsumi, published online first in West European Politics.

Figure 1. Two scatter plots on redistribution (x-axis) and immigration (y-axis) for 14 Western European countries. Panel (a) shows party positions from the Chapel Hill Expert Survey, which line up along a clear diagonal; panel (b) shows voter positions from the European Social Survey, which spread across all four quadrants with essentially no relationship between the two issues.

Figure 2. Dot-and-interval plot of how strongly immigration attitudes relate to redistribution attitudes in each of seven cohorts, from the interwar generation to the newest "crisis" generation. For cohorts up to the 90s generation the link is small and often indistinguishable from zero; it turns clearly positive for the 00s generation and is strongest for the crisis generation.

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 25/09/2026

Finde ich persönlich zu früh, wie soll man so eine Volkswirtschaft am Laufen halten

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

Noch einmal zur Erinnerung: In Berlin gibt es seit eh und je eine stets knappe Mehrheit der Stimmen für Parteien links der Mitte. Was sich verschoben hat, sind die Kräfteverhältnisse innerhalb des linken Blocks.

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 25/09/2026

Worried about AI? Don’t be!

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Matthias Quent @mquent.de · 24/09/2026

Die letzte große repräsentative Parteimitgliederstudie in Deutschland stammt m.W. von 2017, noch ohne AfD. Eine neue parteiübergreifende Mitgliederstudie ist überfällig – einschließlich aktueller Fragen zu Antisemitismus. Dürfte doch keine Parteiführung etwas dagegen haben?

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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

We are hiring at LMU Munich: two PhD positions and one postdoc on democracy, political psychology and computational social science. Start: January 2027 or as soon as possible. We review applications on a rolling basis until October 20. Details below. Reposts very welcome! 1/7

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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 15/09/2026

📢 The Call for Papers for EPSS 2027 is open! After a fantastic first conference in Belfast, we’re heading to Copenhagen 🇩🇰, 24–26 June 2027. ⏰ Deadline: 13 Nov 2026 👉 Call for papers: epssnet.org/2027-copenha... 1/2

epssnet.org

Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference

Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.

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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

@christinajuen.bsky.social & I are very happy to see our first publication of our @dfg.de project published in Party Politics. GLMP provides a new dataset for studying local party politics in 🇩🇪: 2,307 manifestos from 306 political actors in 248 municipalities (1989-2024) doi.org/10.1177/1354...

doi.org

The German Local Manifesto Project (GLMP): A new data source for studying local party politics - Martin Gross, Christina-Marie Juen, 2026

Local politics remains comparatively understudied in political science, partly due to limited data on party competition at the municipal level. This research no...

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DIE ZEIT @zeit.de · 10/08/2026

Je mehr Parteien es über die Fünf-Prozent-Hürde schaffen, desto geringer sind die Chancen der AfD auf eine Mehrheit. Über die Chancen und Schwächen der Strategie

zeit.de

Landtagswahlen: Der Preis des taktischen Wählens

Je mehr Parteien es über die Fünf-Prozent-Hürde schaffen, desto geringer sind die Chancen der AfD auf eine Mehrheit. Über die Chancen und Schwächen der Strategie

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Taktisches Wählen soll eine Regierung der AfD in Sachsen-Anhalt verhindern. Für @zeit.de schreibe ich, warum die Strategie der politischen Mitte in Ostdeutschland kurzfristig helfen mag, aber langfristig nicht ihre strukturellen Probleme löst – und mache einen Vorschlag. www.zeit.de/politik/deut...

shorturl.at

Landtagswahlen: Der Preis des taktischen Wählens

Je mehr Parteien es über die Fünf-Prozent-Hürde schaffen, desto geringer sind die Chancen der AfD auf eine Mehrheit. Über die Chancen und Schwächen der Strategie

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Georgy Tarasenko @tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social · 27/07/2026

🔔🔔 Russian polls have shown ~75% support for the war in Ukraine since February 2022, essentially flat. New working paper with Kirill Chmel and @nikitasavin.bsky.social shows that number is stable partly because it stopped measuring what people actually think. 🧵 ssrn.com/abstract=711...

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 28/07/2026

I mean this just looks like the beginning of an epic graphic novel where the bird takes bloody revenge at the EU after it issued a most strongly worded condemnation. I could spend an afternoon looking at this banknote alone.

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 28/07/2026

The new euro banknote designs are just so cool! surveys.ecb.europa.eu/10b/neweuro/

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Vincent Heddesheimer @vheddesheimer.bsky.social · 27/07/2026

🚨 New GERDA update: - Large update of mayoral elections (6 new states) - Landrat elections - Wahlkreis (district)-level results (BW & LW) - Local council seats (Gemeinde/Stadt & Kreis) - 2026 elections: BW state, BY & HE local More info below and here: www.german-elections.com

german-elections.com

GERDA: German Election Database

Comprehensive dataset of local, state, federal, European, mayoral, Landrat, and county election results in Germany at the municipality and constituency (Wahlkreis) level, plus subnational public opini...

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 06/07/2026

Die Linke pulled off a surprise win in Germany’s most recent federal election and has suddenly become one of the most closely watched parties in Europe’s progressive politics. Behind the success lies a continuing structural transformation of its geographic support base. A short thread🧵

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Lauren Leek @laurenleek.eu · 02/07/2026

NEW! Combining my two obsessions of cycling and political economy data into a new Substack: Tour de Data. Daily posts for every stage of the Tour de France, digging into what the race tells us about money, place, and power. Not just who's in yellow;) 🚴📊 tourdedata.substack.com

tourdedata.substack.com

Tour de data | Lauren Leek | Substack

Everyone watches the racing. I'm watching the data on riders, money, towns, and what the Tour is really about. Click to read Tour de data, by Lauren Leek, a Substack publication. Launched 18 hours ago...

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Annina Hermes @anninahermes.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

Do far-right parties gain electoral support by embedding their members in sports clubs, cultural societies and volunteer fire brigades? Excited to present my research on far-right infiltration of civil society at #EPSS2026 tomorrow! 🗓️ Saturday, 3:20 - 5:00 pm 📍Broadway (Hilton)

From Sports Clubs to Ballot Boxes: Far Right Infiltration of Civil Society and Consequences for Political Behavior
Annina Hermes
June 2026
Abstract
Does the strategic infiltration of civil society associations strengthen far-right parties?
While existing research on far-right normalization emphasizes elite cues and electoral breakthroughs, less is known about how extremist actors gain influence through grassroots embedding in everyday social life. I argue that by entering and assuming leadership positions in non-political associations - sports clubs, cultural societies, church councils - far-right actors can strengthen their party through three channels: normalizing their ideology and lowering the perceived costs of supporting it, shifting attitudes through trusted personal contact, and mobilizing existing sympathy into participation and organizational capacity. I construct a
novel dataset linking AfD candidates and members to leadership positions in more than 480,000 civil society associations across Germany between 2013 and 2025, providing the first systematic measurement of far-right embeddedness in local civic life. Leveraging variation in the timing of leadership turnover within associations, I employ a staggered difference-in-differences design to estimate the effect of AfD infiltration of civil society organizations on electoral support for the AfD.
This study highlights a critical mechanism through which democratic societies become vulnerable to extremist influence: the everyday social spaces meant to strengthen civic life can become vehicles for undermining democratic norms and empowering anti-democratic
movements.

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Michael Bloss @michabloss.bsky.social · 17/06/2026

Es ist zum kotzen. Rechte und Rechtsradikale „feiern“ im Europaparlament das Abschiebegesetz mit Sprechchören: „Send them back“. E Mittendrin: Manfred Weber.

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 17/06/2026

Just arrived in Belfast for this years #EPSS conference. Quite exited to ingest as much cool polsci research as possible over the next couple of days. I’m presenting results from a field experiment about the effects of partisan listening-campaigns on Panel EL03 on Friday.

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Reto Mitteregger @indubioproreto.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

Was Umfragen nur schlecht aufzeigen können und auch Wählerstromanalysen nur selten schätzen, ist die Anzahl Wählender, die seit der letzten Wahl verstorben sind. 2021 wurde das in BaWü und 2018 in Bayern erhoben. In BaWü sehen wir, dass 11x mehr SPD-Wählende verstorben sind als zur AfD wechselten.

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 01/06/2026

Sind Haustürgespräche effektiver, wenn sie stärker auf Dialog und Austausch setzen? Heute Abend stelle ich im Grünen Salon die Ergebnisse eines Feldexperiments mit den @gruenemitte.bsky.social zu dieser Frage vor. Kommt gern vorbei! gruene-mitte.de/termine/grue...

gruene-mitte.de

Auswertung der Zuhörkampagne 2.0

Mit Anton Könneke, London School of Economics and Political Science

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Joel Budd @joelbudd.bsky.social · 29/05/2026

I wrote about immigration policy in Britain this week. Britain has shut the door on the most economically desirable kind of migrant. www.economist.com/britain/2026...

economist.com

Britain has crushed immigration, and harmed itself

Nobody seems to have noticed

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Jochen Müller @jocmuel.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

🚨 Stellenausschreibung 🚨 Promotionsstelle zu Parteien in ländlich-peripheren Räumen (4 Jahre, 75 %) Das Projekt verbindet qualitative Interviews, die Analyse lokaler Parteistrukturen und Inhaltsanalysen von Wahlprogrammen. 🗓️ Bewerbungsschluss: 31.05.2026 www.uni-greifswald.de/universitaet...

uni-greifswald.de

Wissenschaftliche*r Mitarbeiter*in - Allgemeine Betriebswirtschaftslehre und Gesundheitsmanagement 26/Op09

Stellenausschreibung Allgemeine Betriebswirtschaftslehre

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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 12/05/2026

Early in my PhD, a colleague finishing his (highly rated) dissertation told me he was stuck on the introduction. After years of hard work, he could no longer find an argument for why any of it actually mattered. This stuck with me ever since. A🧵 about this paper: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

nature.com

Should social science be more solution-oriented? - Nature Human Behaviour

Duncan Watts considers whether many branches of social science could benefit from setting research goals aimed at specific and manageable real-world problems. He gives examples and discusses how more ...

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Thorsten Faas @wahlforschung.thorstenfaas.de · 07/05/2026

Was übrigens gerade wieder passiert (wie auch bei der Ampel): die Regierung verliert die eigenen Leute.

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Peter K. Enns @peterenns.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

Sharing a video based on my recent @sociologicalsci.bsky.social article: youtu.be/5OAXBmBmQEY. The prominent finding that U.S. policy ignores average citizens and lower income groups results because of Simpson’s paradox. More here: medium.com/p/b60d0440e756.

youtu.be

Responsiveness to the Lowest Income Group

YouTube video by Peter Enns

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 21/04/2026

Wenn der Eskapismus vor sich selbst flieht.

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 18/04/2026

Endlich, die Daten aus der repräsentativen Walstatistik sind da!

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

For months, Germany has been controversially debating the return of military conscription. But who actually supports it? And more importantly, why? Here are some insights based on a representative survey from last autumn. A thread 🧵 www.bbc.com/news/article...

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Marc Debus @marcdebus.bsky.social · 11/04/2026

How does coalition participation influence party membership?@hannaeback.bsky.social @michaelimre.bsky.social and I find that junior coalition partners lose more members than parties that govern alone, and an increasing ideol. diversity within the cabinet is related to a decreasing number of members.

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 10/04/2026

Laschet bisschen sauer heute Morgen Im DLF share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothe...

share.deutschlandradio.de

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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 09/04/2026

Colleagues, @svenhegewald.bsky.social and I are looking for a student assistant (30-40h/month, remote work possible) in my ERC project RESPOL @politikuhh.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de. Please let your most talented students know. 😀🙏

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Semih Çakır @mascakir.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

🚨 New paper with great co-authors (@oguzhan-alkan.bsky.social @rdassonneville.bsky.social @zeynsom.bsky.social) in Political Behavior! How well do citizens perceive where parties stand? 🤔 Open access: rdcu.be/fb83Z

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 04/04/2026

Ggf hat er den Fehler gemacht die Antworten bei der offenen Frage “Gibt es sonst noch etwas was Sie uns mitteilen wollen” zu lesen.

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 04/04/2026

Wahrscheinlich wegen der niedrigen Trefferquote.

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Vincent Heddesheimer @vheddesheimer.bsky.social · 03/04/2026

🚨 Just shipped a major update to GERDA, the German Election Database. - State elections update: new years + mail-in - 3 new election types: Mayoral, County, European - Municipal elections: 1984-2025 - Meinungsbild public opinion - New website & features german-elections.com

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Anton Könneke @antonkoenneke.de · 01/04/2026

Finde es ziemlich merkwürdig in solchen Zeiten über derartig nebensächliche Themen zu schreiben. Wichtige Themen wie der Wal auf der Sandbank und der Wolf in der Einkaufspassage schaffen es leider wieder nicht auf die Titelseite. Traurig.

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Carnegie Europe @carnegieeurope.bsky.social · 31/03/2026

The far right failed to win big in France’s municipal elections. But that’s not good news for the country’s left wing. Despite the lack of showy results, the right consolidated its momentum ahead of the 2027 presidential race, argues @cfieschi.bsky.social. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...