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Andi Fugard

@andifugard.info
1.4K followers 1K following 75 posts

Policy evaluator. London-based, Belfast-born. They/them. Personal account – views mine. Posts auto delete after a month. Mastodon: sciences.social/@andi Web: andifugard.info DM: andifugard.info/contact

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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 1h
Example of clear communication on Fairford, e.g. - States source of evidence: 999 caller checked their phone to confirm time, "my contacts... um... what I have been told" - Covers range of claims that need to be explained - Marks conjecture based on similar cases www.youtube.com/watch?v=a9WB...
youtube.com
RAF Fairford Plot Foiled By One Of The Suspects Who Called The Police | Fiona Hamilton
YouTube video by Times Radio
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 17h
Good lord. Over 100 academics "at a string of universities" across the UK have been funded by CGTRI, a front for Chinese intelligence
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 23h
Reporting on Fairford reads like a social psychology experiment on susceptibility to misinformation. Conditions "The [media outlet] understands that..." Speculation, varying source, bias and likely knowledge of facts Official statement Eyewitness testimony Photo Photo manipulated ("enhanced") by AI
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Ciaran Martin @ciaranm.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I was wrong. It’s happening
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The Guardian @theguardian.com · 29/09/2026
No explosives found in three vans searched near RAF Fairford, say police
theguardian.com
No explosives found in three vans searched near RAF Fairford, say police
Head of counter-terrorism policing defends decision to bail five British men arrested in connection with the incident No explosive devices were found in three vans searched near RAF Fairford as part of a terrorism investigation but a quantity of petrol was recovered, police have said. Five British nationals were arrested in the early hours of Sunday morning after a resident living near the Gloucestershire airbase reported suspicious activity involving three vans. Continue reading...
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 29/09/2026
Recursive technology
Output from:

cs <- paste0("\033[", 31:36, "m")

cstr <- \(s, coli) {
  idx <- ((coli - 1) %% length(cs)) + 1
  paste0(cs[idx], s, "\033[0m")
}

recursive_technology <- \(n, m = 1) {
  indent <- strrep(" ", m * 2)
  if (m == n) {
    paste0(indent, cstr("technology\n", m))
  } else {
    paste0(
      indent, cstr("recursive (\n", m),
      recursive_technology(n, m + 1),
      indent, cstr(")\n", m)
    )
  }
}
recursive_technology(7) |> cat()
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 28/09/2026
recursive_technology <- \(n) { if (n == 0) "technology" else paste("recursive", recursive_technology(n - 1)) } recursive_technology(42)
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 28/09/2026
AI going rogue
static.klipy.com
Johnny 5 Driving in Short Circuit Movie
Alt: Johnny 5 driving in Short Circuit film
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 28/09/2026
"If your Ai starts hacking shit... if you monitor what it's going you can, you know, turn the fucking power off...." Daniel Card, cited in ciaranmartin.substack.com/p/control-ow...
ciaranmartin.substack.com
Control. Ownership. Perspective.
Three lessons from the latest AI cyber security testing problems
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Dr Keith Wilson 💭 @keithwilson.eu · 28/09/2026
On-off switch
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Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Who could have guessed that the editors/reviewers of "Evidenced based complimentary and alternative medicine" might be pretty bad at the evidence-based part. 😆
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Tressie McMillan Cottom @tressiemcphd.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Don’t believe people who tell you ai can be liberatory or any other misappropriation of movement talk or justice frameworks. Find some people who are preparing to rebuild and cast your lot with them. Then read a bit more. Just keep your wits about you because they are trying to run game.
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Tressie McMillan Cottom @tressiemcphd.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Please try to reclaim your precious precious attention, at all costs. Do puzzles. Take walks without a phone. Dear god, try to read, almost anything that isn’t a manifesto will really do. You are going to need your brain.
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Steve Herman @newsguy.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
RAF Fairford suspects to be released on bail. www.bbc.com/news/live/c6...
bbc.com
RAF Fairford suspects to be released on bail, head of counter-terror police says
Laurence Taylor says the five men arrested on Sunday are still under investigation as police consider multiple lines of inquiry, including the possible involvement of a foreign state.
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EUvsDisinfo @euvsdisinfo.eu · 28/09/2026
On 10 February 2022, Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Russia had ‘no plans to invade Ukraine’. Five days later, he dismissed reports of an imminent invasion as ‘Western hysteria’ and claimed Russian troops were already returning to their bases. Nine days later, Russia invaded Ukraine.
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Andreas Brandmaier @brandmaier.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Ever looked at your graph and thought: this needs a more dramatic exit strategy? Make your R base plots self-destruct with style. If you must, download here: github.com/brandmaier/d... #RStats #DataVisualization #RProgramming #DataScience #OpenSource #AcademicHumor #noAI
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 28/09/2026
"CTP says the five people arrested are all male in their early to mid-20s. All five are UK nationals from London." www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c6...
bbc.co.uk
RAF Fairford suspects are all British men in their 20s, counter-terror police say
The men, who all live in London, were arrested in Whelford near the RAF base early on Sunday morning.
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 28/09/2026
Police: Don't speculate about motivation for attack BBC: Fine, let's compare Trump statement vs. testimony from 999 caller and speculate that preventing an attack was down to luck¹ Also BBC: base security ramped up 5 days before² ¹ www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/... ² www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c6...
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Shayan Sardarizadeh @shayan86.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
An AI-enhanced version of a grainy image that appears to be authentic and shows several men being arrested in relation to the ongoing incident at RAF Fairford is currently being shared on multiple platforms. A SynthID check reveals that the enhanced image was generated with OpenAI.
AI-enhanced version of an authentic image showing arrests at RAF Fairford
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PAT FINUCANE CENTRE @finucanecentre.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Remember folks-at times of high community tension and re-traumatisation as is the case this morning with Drumcree/Garvaghy Rd there is one small step you can make for your own mental health and well being-do not listen to the toxic Nolan Show on Radio Ulster...
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 27/09/2026
Does the media need to focus on reporting on actual policies and progress?
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 27/09/2026
Two different incidents, common theme: local residents can spot unusual activity. Near RAF Fairford, 00:45, resident called police after seeing three suspicious vehicles.¹ Preston‑next‑Wingham, residents reported hundreds of men arriving ahead of far‑right Dover blockade, prompting 999 call.²
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Emily Fox @abstractcow.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Why is this a line chart?! The horizontal axis isn’t time. What does the rightmost number even mean? 😭
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Baltic Takes (formerly badbaltictakes) @baltictakes.com · 25/09/2026
That Danish intelligence report is broadly in line with what the Baltics are saying. The threat assessment is unchanged here. Leipzig shows how all of Europe is threatened by Russia - and all of Europe could actually learn more from the Baltics. Full story: www.badbaltic.com/listen-to-th...
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 25/09/2026
⚡️ Macron cites 'several signs' Russia is preparing to mobilize 300,000 people. French President Emmanuel Macron claimed the Kremlin had been waiting to hold elections before launching another wave of mobilization.
kyivindependent.com
Macron cites 'several signs' Russia is preparing to mobilize 300,000 people
French President Emmanuel Macron claimed the Kremlin had been waiting to hold elections before launching another wave of mobilization.
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 25/09/2026
⚡️Trump made 'final decision' on granting Ukraine Patriot licenses, Zelensky says "At our meeting, President Trump stressed that he had made his final decision: Ukraine will receive licenses to produce Patriot missiles," President Volodymyr Zelensky said.
kyivindependent.com
Trump made 'final decision' on granting Ukraine Patriot licenses, Zelensky says
"At our meeting, President Trump stressed that he had made his final decision: Ukraine will receive licenses to produce Patriot missiles," President Volodymyr Zelensky said.
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 25/09/2026
⚡️ EU defense fund unblocked, and with it new support for Ukraine. "That’s good news for Ukraine and bad news for Russia," said the EU's top diplomat Kaja Kallas, after EU countries agreed on how to unblock new money for Ukraine.
kyivindependent.com
EU defense fund unblocked, and with it new support for Ukraine
"That’s good news for Ukraine and bad news for Russia," said the EU's top diplomat Kaja Kallas, after EU countries agreed on how to unblock new money for Ukraine.
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 25/09/2026
Read the original. Invasion attempt "highly unlikely". "... no indications that Russia will launch an outright invasion of one or several NATO countries. Even if Russia decides to invade a NATO country, it would likely take Russia at least six months to prepare and build up the necessary forces."
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The Cochrane Collaboration @cochrane.org · 24/09/2026
INSPECT-SR – a tool for assessing the trustworthiness of randomized controlled trials – has been published today in @bmj.com, giving researchers a structured way to identify problematic studies before they're included in systematic reviews. 🔗 www.cochrane.org/about-us/new... #ResearchIntegrity
“Systematic reviews are only as credible as the studies they include.” — phrased as a Cochrane senior research integrity editor; a magnifying glass rests on stacked papers in the background to emphasize careful scrutiny of research.
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Lizzie Dearden @lizziedearden.bsky.social · 05/01/2025
Exclusive: Labour must reverse years of ­political failure on extremism to stop it ­fuelling more disorder, violence and terrorism in Britain, the former head of counter-terror policing and ex-extremism tsar have said They fear the situation is worsening fast www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
theguardian.com
Curb extremism now or face new terrorist threats, Labour warned
Experts say measures announced so far are not enough to turn the tide
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 24/09/2026
Five ways to calculate a paired t-test in R 1. t.test 2. Intercept-only regression model of paired differences 3. Unit fixed-effects regression 4. Survey design clustered by ID with equal weights 5. Mixed model with random intercept by ID & Satterthwaite's t inductivestep.github.io/Random-bits-...
inductivestep.github.io
Five ways to calculate a paired t-test
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HOPE not hate @hopenothate.org.uk · 24/09/2026
There is no concrete evidence yet that Lennon is paid by Russia. But when Russian networks promote you, pro-Kremlin propagandists welcome you and you repeatedly parrot Moscow’s lines, the obvious question remains: Russian asset? Or just Putin’s useful idiot? hopenothate.org.uk/tommy-robins...
hopenothate.org.uk
Tommy Robinson: A Global Far-Right Figure
From Russia and America to Israel and the UAE, Lennon has built an increasingly powerful international network. We investigate the foreign politicians, wealthy backers and influence operations helping...
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HOPE not hate @hopenothate.org.uk · 24/09/2026
Lennon has appeared on RT, praised Putin, denied Russian involvement in the Skripal poisoning and travelled to Moscow to stand alongside Alexander Malkevich, a pro-Kremlin propagandist sanctioned by the US for election interference.
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Have the BBC forgotten how to do proper reporting? The arrest isn't "over video", it's over the dinghy slashing.
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 24/09/2026
ICYMI: ShinyHunters claims it hacked the FBI and now "hold data on all FBI employees and applicants". They claim they got in via a FBI jobs webpage, using an unpatched vulnerability in Oracle PeopleSoft, then moved to FBI’s managed servers on AWS GovCloud.
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 23/09/2026
It will be interesting to see how this attempt fares. A previous effort, CDU, had near-zero powers to counter social media misinfo: "No action is mandated by the government and it is up to the platform to independently decide whether or not to take any action in line with their terms of service."
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Emma Yeomans @yeomans.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
5. After around 30 hours at sea, the dinghy was intercepted by the RNLI and those on board transferred to two lifeboats. Two lifeboat personnel tried to secure the empty dinghy. Thomas yelled abuse and knifed the dinghy to deflate it - with a rescuer still on board.
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Olena Halushka @halushka.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
People discuss russian "elections" so seriously, as if they were actual elections.
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Joel Williams @jaowilliams74.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Outstanding new voting intention format from local LibDems.
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paolo @paolopalma.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Working on a new taxonomy for research methods
Punt square with rows depicting data collection (fun, not fun) and columns depicting data analysis (fun, not fun)

Qual interviews are listed as fun to collect and not fun to analyze while surveys are listed as fun to analyze but not fun to collect
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 20/09/2026
Example T&Cs www.bbk.ac.uk/documents/st...
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 20/09/2026
⚡️Ukraine reveals new Operation Vivaldi gains in Donetsk Oblast Ukraine's 3rd Army Corps said it has liberated a further 40 square kilometers (15.4 square miles) of territory in Donetsk Oblast, as well as retaking several villages during the ongoing Operation Vivaldi offensive.
kyivindependent.com
Ukraine reveals new Operation Vivaldi gains in Donetsk Oblast
"As promised, I am reporting good news," corps commander Brig. Gen. Andrii Biletskyi said in a statement on Sept. 20.
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Andi Fugard @andifugard.info · 20/09/2026
The latest from @bbcstever.bsky.social – worth a watch as ever youtu.be/SebfRk_0jzg
youtu.be
Russia's "Special Election Operation" and growing pessimism in Russia
YouTube video by Steve Rosenberg
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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
More than 4 years on, Russia Today is still busy trying to deny the Bucha massacre, despite multiple investigations by human rights organisations, international bodies, and investigative journalists that showed Russia's responsibilities.
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Funny how nobody ever talks about the “legitimate concerns” people have about the extreme concentration of wealth among a small number of billionaires.
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Adam Bienkov @adambienkov.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Why does the BBC have as one of its lead news stories this morning another Britain-hating interview with Jim 'the UK has been colonised by immigrants' Ratcliffe? What public interest is this serving?
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The News Agents @thenewsagents.co.uk · 19/09/2026
"I don't like to use expletives on this podcast, but what the actual f**k?" says Jon Sopel. How will Trump and MAGA "wiggle out" of scrutiny over why Russia paid so much for Don Jr's wedding? www.thenewsagents.co.uk/article/why-...
thenewsagents.co.uk
Why did Putin’s mega-rich mate spend so much on Don Jr’s wedding? | The News Agents
A senior Republican has told Miles Taylor he is “very concerned” about Umar Kremlev, a close friend of Vladimir Putin, giving a huge amount to Donald Trump Jr and his second wife, Bettina Anderson.
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 18/09/2026
This is why I hate "just a tool" so so so much. You can make a calculator without access to every calculation. You can make photoshop without access to all photos. Someone show me a genai tool that didn't require all of our labour in its production. It's plagiarism software.
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Byline Times @bylinetimes.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
“Unlike the political right in the UK, which still clings on to the fantasy of the US-UK special relationship, Carney understands that the US has fundamentally changed, and can no longer be fully relied upon.” ✍️ Alexandra Hall Hall
bylinetimes.com
Why Canada Could End Up With a Better Deal With the EU Than the UK
As the UK continues to hesitate over drawing back towards the EU, Canada has spotted an opportunity, argues former diplomat Alexandra Hall Hall
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Chaminda Jayanetti @cjayanetti.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
this guy lol www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
theguardian.com
Former Labour deputy leader Tom Watson joins Palantir
Peer takes full-time position at the controversial company as it fends off pressure from both Andy Burnham’s government and Sadiq Khan
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