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Alex Lamers

@alexlamers.bsky.social
2.7K followers 408 following 345 posts

I try to make sense of the weather for a living. Remember, low probability events can and do happen.

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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has unveiled the experimental Urban Rain Rate Dashboard. It uses high-res model guidance to highlight where chances of intense rain rates are highest in major cities. It’s linked in “Forecast Tools” tab on the WPC home page. Direct link: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/urrd/
A snapshot of the Urban Rain Rate Dashboard landing page from Friday morning, September 26, 2025, showing a map of the United States and color filled circles over major U.S. cities indicating the chance of intense rainfall in the next couple days. Data may not be current by the time you see this.
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Climatologist49 @climatologist49.bsky.social · 06/08/2025
The average July 2025 dew point temperature for the Lower 48 was 1.2F above the 1991-2020 normal. Most areas of the map are dark green or blue - except for the very dry Southwest.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 17/07/2025
If it seems like there’s been a lot of flash flooding recently, the numbers back it up. The NWS issued the most number of Flash Flood Warnings on record (1,199) for the 30-day period from June 17 to July 16. Yes, this is the peak of the usual flash flood season, but 2025 is more active than usual.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 27/12/2024
Paul Hollywood and Prue Leith are lodging an official protest
The New York Times Spelling Bee game saying claggy is not in the word list
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Meteorologist Katie Nickolaou @weatherkatie.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
DON'T EAT ICICLES 💩 This is your annual reminder that icicles can potentially have poop in them 😅
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
you gotta love some topical humor for your chosen profession
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
🚨 IMPORTANT “FOOD” ALERT: drinkable mayo has dropped www.foodandwine.com/nomu-mayo-dr...
foodandwine.com
Drinkable Mayonnaise Is Now a Thing
Lawson, a Japanese convenience store chain, is putting Nomu Mayo, its new drinkable mayonnaise, through a "test sale period" to see how customers respond.
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Geoff Norcott @geoffnorcott.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
Massive away win for the little fella.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 29/11/2024
Today I’m thankful for the Packers fans sending their #mPING snow reports from Lambeau Field ❄️🏈
A radar image with mPING precip type reports overlaid, zoomed in on Green Bay, Wisconsin, and a couple snow icon reports at Lambeau Field
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 25/11/2024
First real blast of cold air this season on tap after Thanksgiving into the Great Lakes region. With all of the lakes at record warm levels for late November, the ingredients are there for some significant lake effect snow rates.
A GFS model forecast map for Friday afternoon over North America showing heights, winds, and temperature anomalies at 850 millibars.
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Dakota Smith @weatherdak.bsky.social · 20/11/2024
Bomb cyclone goes boom. An incredible view of the deepening low pressure system approaching the Pacific Northwest.
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John Morales @johnmoralestv.bsky.social · 18/11/2024
Storm total precipitation from Tropical Storm Sara in Honduras. More that 1000 millimeters (40 inches) in La Ceiba. (from COPECO)
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 14/11/2024
Tropical Depression 19, likely to be named Sara at some point, is going to stall near the coast of Honduras, a well-known recipe for extreme rainfall. From the official advisory, for northern Honduras: “widespread areas of life-threatening and potentially catastrophic flash flooding and mudslides”
A forecast rainfall graphic from NOAA/NWS for Central America from this tropical cyclone. It shows the heaviest amounts, in excess of 12 inches (300 millimeters) over northern Honduras.
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Bob Henson @bhensonweather.bsky.social · 08/11/2024
Two data points to ponder: —Cities from NYC to Wilmington just got the driest month in their 130- to 150-year weather histories. —The U.S. is having its warmest autumn on record by far. The past 2 mos are nearly 1F above any other Sep-Oct on record. yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/11/octo...
yaleclimateconnections.org
October turned up the U.S. burners – and turned off the tap » Yale Climate Connections
New York and Philadelphia saw their driest month ever in official data, and autumn so far is the warmest in 48-state history.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 08/11/2024
Really puts the current drought in Brazil in perspective. Longer term trend toward dryness is also interesting.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 08/11/2024
As someone who loves crisp, cool fall days, I must say this fall has been terrible
A map showing the ranking of the average mean temperature across the CONUS from September 1st through November 7th
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Michael Lowry @michaelrlowry.bsky.social · 08/11/2024
Rafael is only the 11th major (Cat 3 or stronger) hurricane in November in 174 years of recordkeeping. Cuba and Nicaragua have been the targets of these strong late season hurricanes before, but quite unusual to see one track westward through the central Gulf.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 07/11/2024
Washington D.C. gets the warmest temp so late in the year, registering 84 degrees before 1 PM at DCA.
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Rick Thoman @alaskawx.bsky.social · 16/10/2024
October is the fasting warming month of the year for the #Arctic overall (land & sea north of 60ºN), with the average temperature now 4.8C (8.7F) higher than 50 years ago. This incredible change is driven in large part by the loss of sea ice. #ClimateChange @climatologist49.bsky.social
Map centered on the North Pole showing the change in October average temperature (°C) between 1974 and 2023.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 30/10/2024
Devastating flash flooding in Spain. The extreme rain events are not going to stop. “Spanish weather service AEMET reported that Chiva, in the Valencia region, recorded 491mm (19.33”) of rain in just eight hours on Tuesday - the equivalent to a year's worth of rain.”
bbc.com
Spain floods: 51 dead after torrential rain in Valencia region
Rescue workers are searching for missing people after Spain was hit by severe flooding.
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Steve Bowen @stevebowen.bsky.social · 28/10/2024
National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP): At least 54,000 filed claims following Hurricane Helene. Already a Top 5 "NFIP filed claim" event on record. Katrina (2005): 208,348 Sandy (2012): 144,848 Harvey (2017): 92,396 Ike (2008): 58,126 Helene (2024): 54,000* Irene (2011): 52,493 Ian (2022): 48,721
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GCarbin @gcarbin.bsky.social · 24/10/2024
October days across the CONUS can be very dry. Three of the driest 10 days since 2005 have occurred in October. Coming in 7th place for driest day in the past 7,236 days (back to 2005): October 11, 2024. Based on CONUS average.
A map of the daily precipitation over the contiguous United States on October 11, 2024.
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Randall Munroe @xkcd.com · 22/10/2024
Temperature Scales xkcd.com/3001
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 21/10/2024
A lot of meteorologists are familiar with the history of the blizzard of 1978, but I wasn’t familiar with this nugget!
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Ben Collins @bencollins.bsky.social · 20/10/2024
Hi new Bluesky users. Semi-annual reminder to follow my favorite part of this website: the Gift Links feed. It shows any free link to an otherwise paywalled article that’s shared by anyone on Bluesky. It has legit changed how I read the news. bsky.app/profile/did:...
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Deke Arndt @deke-arndt.bsky.social · 18/10/2024
Hello friends, an update on NCEI. Thank you to everybody who has reached out, and to those who have actively helped this region begin to get to a recovery phase. www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/update-...
ncei.noaa.gov
Update on Hurricane Helene’s Impacts to NCEI
Helene’s impacts to NCEI headquarters in Asheville, NC continue, but services are being restored and many systems are beginning to come back online.
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Stephanie van Oppen @vanoppenwx.bsky.social · 18/10/2024
This week I was able to use Sentinel-2 imagery in order to highlight the impact Helene had on the Appalachians. Comparing images from this time last year to now clearly shows the dramatic changes in the landscape after hundreds of landslides.
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Alek Krautmann @alekkrautmann.bsky.social · 17/10/2024
GLM first light from GOES-19 was released today! ⚡️👊 www.nesdis.noaa.gov/news/noaa-re...
nesdis.noaa.gov
NOAA Releases Initial Imagery from the GOES-19 Lightning Mapper
The Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) instrument, onboard NOAA’s GOES-19 satellite, is now continuously observing lightning over the Western Hemisphere. GOES-19 launched on June 25, 2024.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 17/10/2024
media.tenor.com
a man is riding a segway in an office with the words welcome aboard below him
ALT: a man is riding a segway in an office with the words welcome aboard below him
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Sam Lillo @samlillo.bsky.social · 17/10/2024
Two periods of record-breaking tropical cyclone activity, each one marked by historic category 5 hurricanes. In between, a record-breaking dearth of tropical activity. The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season sure threw us a curveball.
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GCarbin @gcarbin.bsky.social · 17/10/2024
Updated rankings for 1-day 10-inch rainfall areas associated with tropical systems since 2005. #Milton places 8th, bumping 2018 #Florence out of the Top 10 based on this measure. This is the first new entry in the Top 10 since #Ian in 2022. #Helene spanned 2-3 days.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 17/10/2024
For those that are new to Bluesky or just checking it out again, an underrated feature is the Gift Article feed. bsky.app/profile/did:...
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 17/10/2024
If you like basketball, the WNBA Finals Game 3 is pretty good right now in the 4th quarter
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 17/10/2024
Did twitter do something dumb enough that I should delete my account instead of just locking and ignoring it?
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 17/10/2024
It’s so good to see more and more familiar faces here every day! Bluesky-mentum?
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Hannah Who @notablyuncool.bsky.social · 16/10/2024
You can always tell it’s October when the witch’s cauldron comes out
Dashboard display showing tire pressure indicator light
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Climatologist49 @climatologist49.bsky.social · 15/10/2024
Aurora triggered my doorbell camera motion sensor. This was at 11:50 pm. This is sped up by 4x.
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Tomer Burg @burgwx.bsky.social · 13/10/2024
Using recon-derived estimates, here's a quick look at the hurricanes recon sampled so far this hurricane season for minimum sea level pressure (left) and maximum flight-level wind (right):
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Jared Rennie @jjrennie.bsky.social · 12/10/2024
Preliminary estimates from NOAA's MRMS for the 4-day period between the PRE and #Helene. A good chunk of Western North Carolina (over 2500 square miles) experienced a 1in1000 year event #NCwx #SCwx #TNwx #VAwx
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PowerOutage.us @poweroutage.us · 11/10/2024
2.4 million electric customers remain without power in #Florida, of the over 3.9 million total electric customers effected by #HurricaneMilton. [2024-10-11 09:07 AM EDT] poweroutage.us #PowerOutages
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 11/10/2024
The big aurora nights always make me happy and give me hope. Humanity collectively staring at the sky in wonder and appreciating the beauty of the universe.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 11/10/2024
Hey if you’re… anywhere in the U.S right now?? … you might want to look up at the night sky tonight because there are aurora borealis sightings in so many places.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 10/10/2024
As of 10 PM, 1.5 million customers without power in Florida according to outage aggregator @poweroutage.us. This will probably climb higher as #Milton’s strongest winds move further inland.
Screenshot of poweroutage.us map as of 10 PM Eastern Time on October 9th
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 10/10/2024
VERY heavy rain rates are expected to build up the Interstate-4 corridor this evening and overnight toward Orlando. Weather Prediction Center: “is expected to result in major to locally catastrophic flash flooding with considerable threats to life and property” www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/met...
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 10/10/2024
Unsurprisingly — given rain rates observed up around 5 INCHES AN HOUR!!! — a Flash Flood Emergency has been issued for much of the Tampa metro area. About 2 million people. This is the highest tier of Flash Flood Warning and signals incredibly serious and dangerous flash flooding.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 10/10/2024
It’s gotta feel like a waterfall there right now. Based on what was measured in St. Pete, the radar seems to be underestimating hourly rates even though it has them up around 3 inches. Almost certainly higher in the core of that band.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 10/10/2024
St. Petersburg, Florida’s Albert Whitted Airport right near downtown (KSPG) had 5.09” rain in an hour from 7:53 PM to 8:53 PM, and peak gust of 94 MPH in the same hour. What’s left of the northwest eyewall of #Milton is pummeling the greater Tampa Bay region. Intense downpours and powerful gusts.
Radar screen shot from KTBW centered on the hour in which over 5 inches of rain was observed at St. Petersburg KSPG
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 09/10/2024
We could have a strong geomagnetic storm and a landfalling major hurricane within 24 hours (or so) of each other.
Infographic from the Space Weather Prediction Center describing the expectations for the potential strong geomagnetic storm October 10-11.
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Alex Lamers @alexlamers.bsky.social · 09/10/2024
Screenshot from the movie Twister where the meteorologist takes a sip of coffee while looking at weather data and says “This is going to be a long day.”
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