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NFL Week 4 Predictions: Undefeated Showdowns, DVOA & Playoff Stakes
Week 4 is loaded with games that could reshape the early NFL playoff picture. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier preview six of the biggest matchups of NFL Week 4, using FTN DVOA, playoff odds, matchup splits and advanced efficiency data to identify where each game could be won. 🏈 Rams at Eagles Los Angeles enters with the No. 10 overall DVOA and a top-five defense, while Philadelphia sits 22nd overall. Can Matthew Stafford attack an Eagles pass defense ranked 24th, and can the Rams finally improve their red-zone and third-down efficiency? 🏈 Patriots at Bills Buffalo is 3-0 with the No. 2 offense in DVOA, while New England enters with the league’s 32nd-ranked offense but a top-eight defense. The Bills’ run blocking against the Patriots’ run defense could become one of the key matchup advantages of the weekend. 🏈 Jaguars at Bengals Two 2-1 teams meet with major playoff implications. Jacksonville enters No. 2 overall in DVOA, while Cincinnati ranks seventh. Can the Jaguars slow down Joe Burrow’s success over the middle, or will Cincinnati expose one of Jacksonville’s biggest early-season weaknesses? 🏈 Broncos at 49ers San Francisco enters Week 4 No. 1 in DVOA with the league’s top-ranked offense. Denver’s defense has been much stronger against the pass than the run, while Brock Purdy has been extremely productive when opponents send pressure. 🏈 Chiefs at Raiders Two 3-0 AFC West teams meet in one of the biggest games of the week. Kansas City ranks fourth in DVOA, while Las Vegas sits ninth. Can the Raiders’ improved pass protection keep pace with a Chiefs team playing at a high level on both offense and defense? 🏈 Lions at Panthers Detroit brings a top-eight offense into Carolina, while the Panthers enter with both starting cornerbacks on injured reserve. Can Carolina’s strong early performance against short and middle-field passing hold up against one of the league’s better-protected offenses? Aaron and Mike break down the playoff swings, DVOA advantages, red-zone performance, protection numbers, pressure tendencies and matchup-specific trends that matter most heading into Week 4. Games covered: Rams at Eagles Patriots at Bills Jaguars at Bengals Broncos at 49ers Chiefs at Raiders Lions at Panthers Which Week 4 matchup are you watching closest? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, featuring DVOA, projections, playoff probabilities and data-driven breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. #NFL #NFLWeek4 #DVOA #Chiefs #Raiders #Rams #Eagles #Bills #Patriots #Jaguars #Bengals #49ers #Broncos #Lions #Panthers #AaronSchatz #MikeTanier