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Scott Spratt

@scottspratt.bsky.social
2.9K followers 385 following 9.3K posts

Football and fantasy football content creator and stay-at-home dad / Former writer for Football Outsiders, ESPN, PFF, FTN, and FanGraphs

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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 19m
This episode made me want to compare the current starting QBs based on each of their best recent seasons, with the theory that that approximates their potential with the right teammates and coaching around them. Drake Maye's 2025 is up in the Mahomes/Allen/Lamar tier. Justin Herbert's 2021...
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 1h
This is unfair. Justin Herbert could easily play as well as Tyler Shough is playing when he gets to the same age.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 1h
Ken Walker is the perfect amount of passive-aggressive with all of his digs at the Seahawks for making him play in a time share last season. It's aspirational stuff.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 4h
Quentin Johnston and Tetairoa McMillan are the only 2 wide receivers with 15 or more targets and a less than 50% catchable target rate in 2026. I doubt I can talk anyone into trading for QJ, but maybe try for TMac before the Panthers play the Lions this weekend? Source: @ftnfantasy.com
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 4h
Keaton Mitchell has run outside zone on a high outlier rate of 64.7% of his carries this season per @ftnfantasy.com. That's a smart way to get the most out of a really fast, really small running back. But the Chargers would truly be giving up to build their entire run game out of horizontal runs.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 4h
I've become way more bullish on Bhayshul Tuten after the first 3 weeks this season because his high average yards after contact that Mike cited isn't solely a product of his high avoided tackle rate. Tuten is pushing the pile more than most 205-lbs. backs can.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 5h
I don't think a real estate comparison is as favorable for Brian Thomas as you do. Nothing hurts the eventual sales price of a house like time on market. When sellers list a house too high and then it sits for a few weeks, potential buyers start to think the house has problems even if it doesn't.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 18h
I didn't watch, but is Mike Tomlin the Mike Macdonald of Minecraft?
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 18h
Has Keaton Mitchell ever had 10 touches in a game and not been injured after?
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 19h
* Has done that while trailing in ~10 of 12 quarters a la Myles Garrett on the Browns
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 20h
The ManningCast:
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 22h
Parachuting in, but my theory after thinking about this for 3 minutes is that *opposing* defenses play worse in the 1st starts from backups because they don't have tape on their different tendencies vs. the starters. Case Keenum having the 2nd fastest time to throw in Week 3 looms large in my mind.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 22h
Titans fans can at least breathe easy knowing that Robert Saleh believes in both eastern and western medicine
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 22h
Brock Bowers ranks 2nd among TEs with 81 receiving yards on routes where he was lined up out wide this season. Bowers has played 1 game this season.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 22h
I actually think Drake Maye set the record for the fastest everyone has given up on a top 2 MVP finisher
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Denny Carter @dennycarter.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
It appears Jalon Daniels has some WR in him.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 23h
Running backs with at least 25 attempts, a 20.0% broken tackle rate, and 3.0 average yards after contact in 2026 per @sportsinfosolutions.com: Ken Walker 33.8% / 4.0 Jaylen Warren 31.6% / 3.3 Bucky Irving 30.0% / 3.0 Bhayshul Tuten 27.9% / 3.1 Jadarian Price 25.0% / 3.1 Omarion Hampton 20.0% / 3.0
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 23h
I just realized Nick Sirianni is playing 4-D chess having Andy Dalton as his No. 2 quarterback instead of Tanner McKee. If everyone is arguing about QB2 for the Eagles, then no one is arguing about QB1.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Sean McDermott hoping to get another head coaching job in 2027:
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
I think the cliche that division rivals know how best to counter the superpowers of the teams in their division is kind of true
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Keaton Mitchell has a high outlier rate of 64.7% of his carries this season being outside zone. That isn't just 2x Omarion Hampton's 28.0% rate. It's 2x all of the Dolphins RBs from the Mike McDaniel era, none of whom even reached 40% outside zone rates. Source: @ftnfantasy.com
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
I'm developing a theory that having a mega-featured No. 1 receiver like JSN makes it a lot easier for a backup quarterback if he has to start. Drew Lock has a 64.7% first-read target percentage, which is the highest among regular quarterbacks this season per @ftnfantasy.com.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The last 10 quarterbacks drafted in the 5th round: Cole Payton Shedeur Sanders Spencer Rattler Jordan Travis Clayton Tune Dorian Thompson-Robinson Sean Clifford Jaren Hall Sam Howell Jake Fromm
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Patrick Mahomes' play-action rates: 2025: 13.7% (38th) 2026: 38.8% (1st) Source: @ftnfantasy.com
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Drake Maye’s throw time splits in 2026: Under 2.5 seconds: 31 attempts, 1 turnover-worthy, 0 interceptions Over 2.5 seconds: 49 attempts, 7 turnover-worthy, 6 interceptions Source: @ftnfantasy.com
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Wink Martindale would just tell Christian Parker he can have a 10-year defensive coordinator career if he blitzes every play
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Jameson Williams breakout game incoming
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Separate from whether his ankle is still injured, Ashton Jeanty has faced the 2nd highest rate of heavy boxes this season and nearly 2x the rate Mike Washington has faced per Next Gen Stats. This narrative reminds me of the "Derrick Henry should split time with Keaton Mitchell" one from 2025...
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I rewatched the Patriots game from Week 3, and I didn't think Drake Maye played nearly as badly as the real-time social posts made it sound. The few bad plays were really bad. He fumbled on a pump fake and threw 2 interceptions on really bad decisions. But he also just missed on a bunch of TDs.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Funny coincidence, you have the Bucs ranked 30th in your power rankings, and Baker Mayfield is going to be a $30 million dead cap hit in 2028
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
It is not great for my brand that Drake Maye and Justin Herbert have the two highest turnover-worthy pass percentages through 3 weeks. Source: @ftnfantasy.com
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
I've decided I need J.J. McCarthy to play for four different teams so I can make a Beatles-style poster of his 9 alter-ego with four different Photoshop filters
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
What are all of us JJ McCarthy superfans with 9 tattoos going to do? This is why Dale Earnhardt Jr. changed from 8 to 88.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I rewatched the Patriots game from Week 3, and I didn't think Drake Maye played nearly as badly as the real-time social posts made it sound. The few bad plays were really bad. He fumbled on a pump fake and threw 2 interceptions on really bad decisions. But he also just missed on a bunch of TDs.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Notable rookie WR snap shares in Weeks 1-3, 2026: KC Concepcion📈 Chris Bell📈 Kevin Coleman📈 Josh Cameron📈 Germie Bernard📉
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I believe we are 1 for 3 on Jalen Hurts middle-of-the-field watch
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I made a supercut of the 4 Makai Lemon screen passes I could find from the first 3 weeks. Those plays gained -5, -3, -5, and -3 yards. Some Eagles receivers missed blocks. But even to my untrained eye, Lemon's motion in the backfield telegraphs the plays. I think Sean Mannion should scrap them.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Notable rookie RB snap shares in Weeks 1-3, 2026: Jeremiyah Love📈 Jadarian Price📉 Kaelon Black📉
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Brock Purdy's PR problem is that while he ranks 1st in EPA per play in the first 3 weeks of seasons since 2020, Nick Mullens ranks 2nd and Jimmy Garoppolo ranks 12th. (I'm looking at it cumulatively and only since 2020, which is different than JJ because that's what RBSDM allows). Source: RBSDM
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The Falcons are playing the Saints and their outlier bad 32nd ranked DVOA run defense on Monday Night Football in Week 4
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Brian Flores' outlier defensive scheme isn't just brilliant because offenses don't see it enough to figure it out. It's also brilliant because it asks defenders to do different stuff than other schemes, so it can find great fits like Eric Wilson who are cheap since other teams see them as tweeners.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Wow, Case Keenum is so old that he was playing when there still were newspapers
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Scott Van Pelt: 1 The Rest of Us: 0
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Ope, just gonna sneak right past ya
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Saquon Barkley has been pancaked on at least 2 pass protection reps this season that I can remember
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Caleb Williams is a system quarterback confirmed
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JP Acosta @acosta32jp.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Case Keenum currently has a 65.5% Success Rate, which would be the 4th highest of any QB this season lmao
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Sean Mannion is 4 years and 2 months younger than Case Keenum. Case Keenum is 4 years and 2 months younger than Aaron Rodgers.
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Scott Spratt @scottspratt.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
It may not be fair, but I currently think Sean Mannion is a bad play-caller entirely because he won't stop calling these Makai Lemon screens that lose 5 yards every time
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Patrick Cosmos @veryimportant.lawyer · 29/09/2026
Case Keenum is going to be the first Bears QB to pass for 4000 yards in a season
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