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x5ms2

@x5ms2.bsky.social
222 followers 151 following 1.2K posts

I play poker to finance baseball cards. website: bbcardstats.com

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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 19h
bbcardstats.com/is-terry-fra...
bbcardstats.com
Is Terry Francona "Manager of the Year"? - BB Cards & Stats
Is Terry Francona the manager of the year?! As all 5,033,941 regular readers of this blog know, the mWAR manager-value estimator measures a manager’s contribution to his teams’ performances in “wins p...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 21h
#otd 1932 did it happen????
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
🎁🥳🎂🍋
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
🥳🎂🎁👨‍💻
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
#otd 1958: Hoyt Wilhelm fires off no hitter.
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
bbcardstats.com/the-400-club/
bbcardstats.com
The .400 Club - BB Cards & Stats
Phew… That’s Shoeless Joe Jacks sliding in the middle panel of Hassan 1912 T202. I’m not going to get any closer than that! Now obviously this is just the post-1899 AL/NL .400 Club. Next project: The ...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
mechanical man RC
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
mWAR: A Bayesian estimator of manager value - Dan M. Kahan, 2026
For a sport that is approaching a state of analytic saturation, major league baseball is devoid of one seemingly critical metric: a manager-value estimator. Whe...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
🥳🎂🎁🥳🎂🎁🎈🎈
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
🥳🎂🎁🤬
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Reposted by x5ms2
GrandCards @grandcards.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Mini version
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
piloted 1945 Tigers to WS championship 1946 International News Card tied for 10th in mWAR: 2.9 wins added per 162 games journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
bbcardstats.com/hall-of-fame...
bbcardstats.com
Hall of fame rookies - BB Cards & Stats
Here’s an in-progress HOF RC collection. It is certain to grow with new inductees. Beyond that, it’s hard to say. There are certain “grail” RCs that likely will never make it, including Mantle, Willia...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
🎂🥳🎁🦇
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
#otd 1960 39-yo Spahn hurls no-hitter, striking out 15. afterwards runs marathon in 2:12:05
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
my first Beckett submission returns...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
quiz question: without reading names on cards, who is this?
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
🥳🎂🎁🔮
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
🥳🎂🎁🍩🍩🍩🍩🍩🍩🍩🍩🍩
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
If Gillette had sponsored cards in 50s, Yogi would have been clean shaven
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
🎂🥳🎁😜
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
🥳🎂🎁🐶
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
🥳🎂🎂🎁🎈
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
🥳🎂🎁👨‍💻
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Why not commemorate Labor Day with some history of one of the most successful unions ever: the MLBPA! Marvin Miller, Exec Dir from 1966-82, is the hub. But let's explore some of the spokes . . . . 1/11
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
bbcardstats.com/a-teeny-bit-...
bbcardstats.com
A *teeny* bit more on the *tiny* effect of starter variance - BB Cards & Stats
Geez—I really didn’t think I’d end up thinking and writing so much about starter variance! But here is instalment no. 4. You know the setup. The records of Mr. Reliable and Mr. Erratic illustrate how,...
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SPOART @spoart.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
1949 Bowman. Dem Bums. @sabrbbcards.bsky.social @culleys.bsky.social @dodgers-cards.bsky.social @splitseason1981.bsky.social @gimapreceptor.bsky.social @number5typecard.bsky.social @phitter72.bsky.social @markarmour04.bsky.social #cardsky
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
🥳🎂🎁🤹‍♂️
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
should be in HOF
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
post 1900 AL/NL 400 Club (Shoeless Joe sliding in middle panel of the t202 Hassan)
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
#otd 1916 Babe Ruth outduels Walter Johnson 1-0. Big Train challenges Ruth to make it "2 out of 3" and teams immediately retake the field
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
bbcardstats.com/are-todays-h...
bbcardstats.com
Are today's hitters getting better? Are today's pitchers getting worse?! Dr. Gould meets Rev. Bayes - BB Cards & Stats
As all 4,326,379 regular readers of this blog/journal know, I’m perplexed—haunted—by an anomaly in Gould’s conjecture. Gould’s conjecture is essentially that as a sport matures, differences in the per...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
🥳🎂🎁🎈
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
🥳🎂🎁🐶
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
last .400 hitter--1941 Teddy Ballgame...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
bbcardstats.com/channel-clos...
bbcardstats.com
Channel closed, case closed: obituary for a manager-value estimator - BB Cards & Stats
I’ve made it through draft 426 (or at least 6) of “Against Pythagorean Benchmarking”. . . . I think I feel good about it now; so am soliciting comments from those who will tell me I shouldn’t—pile on!...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
🥳🎂🎁🐶
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 19/07/2026
bbcardstats.com/everything-y...
bbcardstats.com
Everything you wanted to know about "Pythagorean Expectation Benchmarking" but were afraid to ask - BB Cards & Stats
So I’ve bee  knocking myself out for about 3 months revising & reworking a paper on Pythagorean Expectation Benchmarking—or PEB. PEB is the use of teams’ Pythagorean Expectation (PE) winning percentag...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
bbcardstats.com/still-anothe...
bbcardstats.com
Still *another* look at starter inconsistency (eFIP part VI) - BB Cards & Stats
Here is an unanticipated installment 3. We’re investigating the interesting claim that higher variance in game-by-game performance amplifies starting pitcher value—or at least sometimes does. So far w...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
otd# in 1947: Larry Doby breaks AL color line
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
🥳🎂🎁😆
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
🥳🎁🎂
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
bbcardstats.com/can-you-gues...
bbcardstats.com
Can you guess which team had the best starting staff ever? (eFIP part V) - BB Cards & Stats
This is another in the continuing series on eFIP, an empirically grounded alternative to the conventional fixed-weight/ahistorical FIP (fielding-independent pitching) measure of pitching proficiency. ...
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
🥳🎁🎂🎈
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x5ms2 @x5ms2.bsky.social · 12/06/2026
bbcardstats.com/another-look...
bbcardstats.com
Another look at starter inconsistency - BB Cards & Stats
This is installment 2 on the question: Is inconsistency a starting-pitcher virtue? I’m sure everyone read installment 1. But remember, the idea is that holding mean runs allowed constant, a pitcher wh...
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