William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 30/06/2026SO thrilled that my paper on UN Peacekeeping Operations as climate change adaptation with Patrick Hunnicutt is out in this month's issue of Environment and Security: doi.org/10.1177/2753... 071
Reposted by William NomikosElizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 21/06/2026This is great analysis of why getting into the diplomatic weeds really matters, from @wnomikos.bsky.social. 1298
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 21/06/2026On the eve of US - Iran negotiations in Switzerland, I wrote up some thoughts on why it's hard to make peace.open.substack.comIs Iran Winning the Peace?Thoughts on the challenges of negotiating a peace 1102
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 09/06/2026I'm a Pacers fan who has shared the Haliburton choking meme with several friends over the last week but I feel terrible for the Knicks fans that Trump is going to Game 3. Just terrible. 160
Reposted by William NomikosGood Authority @goodauth.bsky.social · 11/05/2026Mali’s post-U.N. experiment has failed. Here's what the April 25 attacks by rebel groups reveal about the closing window to fight extremism in the Sahel. Read the latest from @wnomikos.bsky.social: goodauthority.org/news/malis-p...goodauthority.orgMali’s post-U.N. experiment has failedWhat the April 25 attacks by rebel groups reveals about the closing window to fight extremism in the Sahel. 023
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 09/05/2026I wrote about the armed group attacks in Mali for @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/malis-p...goodauthority.orgMali’s post-U.N. experiment has failedWhat the April 25 attacks by rebel groups reveals about the closing window to fight extremism in the Sahel. 001
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 14/03/2026Well, this is why you work tirelessly for years on cultivating alliances and building support for even the tiniest military operation. 36613
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 05/03/2026As with any Trump admin policy—what is the policy goal here? Phrased another way: if the Trump objective was total and absolute region-wide chaos, would you have done anything differently? www.nytimes.com/2026/03/04/u...nytimes.comPro-American Kurdish Forces Are Preparing Possible Iran Incursion 000
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 02/03/20261) Long and vague timeline for operation (Iraq originally also was supposed to last mere weeks) 2) No real end goal, off ramp, or exit strategy at all. This seems like a maximalist war aim war preventively launched at a regime willing to do anything to hold on. @nytimes.com 010
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 01/03/2026I think this war is an illegal disaster that will just lead to needless deaths but I really, really hope I am wrong and that the future is bright and peaceful for Iranians. 040
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 28/02/2026If the US is at war and under attack, will NATO invoke Article V? Seems pretty clear that it should be in case of war. Perhaps this explains Canada PM’s statement of support? But this is also not a legal war according to domestic or international law so what are NATO allies’ legal obligations? 011
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 28/02/2026In retrospect, the fact that they tried to rename the Department of Defense the Department of War was a pretty clear sign. This is not a subtle administration. 0155
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 13/01/2026This is so good. All the key points about the role of energy in intervention here. 040
Reposted by William NomikosWilliam Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 06/01/2026I thought this was great and very informative. The Maduro Regime Without Maduro www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...newyorker.comThe Maduro Regime Without MaduroA political scientist explains how the Venezuelan President ran the country, why he was so unpopular, and, after his seizure by the Trump Administration, who might take over. 123
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 05/01/2026I wonder a bit about the applicability of existing research to this case. Is this even a regime change? Trump cares very little about norms so there will likely be coercion and repression. This might be horrendous for the Venezuelan people but lead to some neocolonial stability. 240
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 10/12/2025I wrote about the violence reaching the capital of Mali @goodauth.bsky.social - Peacebuilding failed - This doesn’t mean all interventions are doomed, just under some conditions (even in Mali!) - Not too late for international community to think creatively about helping civilians in Mali 095
Reposted by William NomikosChristopher Clary @claryc.bsky.social · 10/12/2025Mali's Islamist siege, explained by @wnomikos.bsky.social in @goodauth.bsky.social . goodauthority.org/news/mali-is...goodauthority.orgThe Islamist siege in Mali, explainedA closer look at the current Malian instability, and the limits of international peacebuilding. 021
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 04/12/2025Still absolutely floored that my book, Local Peace, International Builders, received the APSA Experiments Section Best Book award! The book uses field, survey, and natural experiments to test a new theory of peacebuilding, which I develop formally in the book. 👇 Access links 4160
Reposted by William NomikosGraeme Blair @graemeblair.com · 01/12/2025New data release from the Deportation Data Project: Every ICE arrest, detainer request, and book-in to detention nationwide between September 1, 2023 and October 15, 2025. deportationdata.org/news/2025-12...deportationdata.orgDeportation Data Project 0175
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 01/12/2025“It feels illegal.”media.tenor.coma woman in a red shirt is looking at another womanALT: a woman in a red shirt is looking at another woman 020
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 23/11/2025media.tenor.coma man in a suit and tie with the word the in orangeALT: a man in a suit and tie with the word the in orange 021
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 23/11/2025I have no idea what’s going on with US foreign policy. What a dangerous disaster. Just total chaos. I can’t believe it’s just year 1. 091
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 11/11/2025Very clear to know what to do for next shutdown fight but, since GOP obviously won’t fund subsidies, Dems *should* pick the same fight and have as a goal for Republicans to nuke the filibuster. The problem is that even if that’s issued as a direct threat to GOP, Dems won’t have credibility. 000
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 09/11/2025Good luck with the dictatorship my guy. Doesn’t matter how corrupt or abusive you are if people have had enough and are willing to make those preference clear. Keep it up everyone! 030
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 06/11/2025Gelman’s answer is essentially “no under most reasonable scenarios.” Worth the full read for the nuance. 020
Reposted by William NomikosWilliam Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 06/11/2025Unbelievable to be here, more than a decade later, and all of the efforts of the international community to prevent a West African Afghanistan in Mali might be for naught. All of the fighting—literal and metaphorical—that Malians have done for naught. I’ll write more soon but some thoughts: (1/5) 131
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 06/11/2025Just casually dropping in people like Lina Khan as transition co-chair. I think Mamdani isn’t listening to the people who said he can’t/won’t do the things he talked about. Looks like he’ll try! 030
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 06/11/2025Unbelievable to be here, more than a decade later, and all of the efforts of the international community to prevent a West African Afghanistan in Mali might be for naught. All of the fighting—literal and metaphorical—that Malians have done for naught. I’ll write more soon but some thoughts: (1/5) 131
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 05/11/2025The big question for me is what percentage of Trump voters in 2024 did or did not vote for the Republican in this election. The question is more about non-voters who stayed home rather than voters that chose an alternative candidate. Does anyone have that data? 010
Reposted by William NomikosAaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 05/11/2025Mamdani: "We can respond to oligarchy and authoritarianism with the strength it fears, not the appeasement it craves. After all, if anyone can show a nation betrayed by Donald Trump how to defeat him, it is the city that gave rise to him." 159183874340
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 04/11/2025I’m just so happy to see so many different Americans in the greatest city in the world being so excited about politics. POLITICS!! 010
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 03/11/2025McPherson does a good job contextualizing Trump/Venezuela but headline writer should probably not use “unprecedented.” From the piece itself: “From 1915 to 1934, for example, the U.S. invaded and then occupied Haiti and may have killed as many as 11,500 people.” And that’s just one example! 010
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 03/11/2025Ultimately the difference between Dems and GOP is that when the Dems got power in the 21st century, they passed huge and important policy bills instead of making institutional changes that would lock them in power for the next quarter century. Probably a little short-sighted in retrospect. 010
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 01/11/2025For all my Santa Barbara-based connections: here is a great place to go this week to donate, volunteer, and just help out as the Federal government chooses to cut SNAP benefits: foodbanksbc.orgfoodbanksbc.orgHome | FoodBankWelcome to the Foodbank of Santa Barbara County. Our mission is to transform hunger into health with fresh produce, nutritious groceries and nutrition education for all, from pre-schoolers to older ad... 020
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 29/10/2025They just don't care about democracy or accountability or anything like it. 010
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 24/10/2025This is an open call for starting a civil war. It’s a little weird he is on TV saying this, as if there isn’t an internal mechanism by which he can inform ICE. 030
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 23/10/2025I think that’s right—Trump has shown that the constitution has failed in one of its critical goals: restraining a would-be king. The judicial and legislative branches and states seem relatively powerless against the power of a determined executive. Not sure what else is left. 002
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 22/10/2025Lost in the gold: Trump, donors, and friends (?!) paying for ballroom. What? Between this and suing the Justice Department, we are entering into some wild levels of corruption here. 040
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 22/10/2025It’s a new international system. I hope we like it—this is what’s now there. 010
Reposted by William NomikosYvan Guichaoua @yguichaoua.bsky.social · 22/10/2025Sahel convos shifting quickly to the "day after" scenarios. After the fall of Bamako. Not a silly possibility anymore. Western capitals visibly don't care 265
Reposted by William NomikosTaniel @taniel.bsky.social · 22/10/2025Big lead for Prop 50 in a new CBS/YouGov poll: 62% yes, 38% no. www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-new... 742281
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 22/10/2025I know time travel is technically impossible but pretty sure I just went back to 2010 after hearing the Björk/Dirty Projectors at the top of this excellent 60 songs episode on Vampire Weekend @harvilla.bsky.social open.spotify.com/episode/4aaX...open.spotify.com“A-Punk”—Vampire Weekend 010
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 17/10/2025The end of American democracy as we knew it is already here. It’s about clawing it back now. 010
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 15/10/2025Combined with growth in targeted violence from paramilitaries, our current moment beginning to look a lot like the end of the 19th century. 050
William Nomikos @wnomikos.bsky.social · 14/10/2025Excited to talk about peacebuilding today. If you're around come join. If not, there is a Zoom option I believe. 030