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Winnable Democratic Races 💙

@winnabledemraces.bsky.social
48K followers 161K following 1.1K posts

Fighting to take back Democratic control of the House, the Senate and the governor mansions. We only boost and support Democratic candidates in races ranked TOSS UP by Cook Political Report. 💙💙💙

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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 17m
💙 TOSS-UP NEWS: NC Senate "Polls have consistently shown [Democrat Roy Cooper] leading his opponent, Republican Michael Whatley, most recently by double digits." @roycoopernc.bsky.social #NCblue wapo.st/471sxgF
wapo.st
How Roy Cooper became Democrats’ best chance to flip a Senate seat
The former North Carolina governor is running in a state that for decades has more often preferred Republicans for federal office.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 16h
We hope this translates into House, Senate and Governor races in November.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
💙 TOSS-UP NEWS: WI-03 Rebecca Cooke (D) is running one of the most nail-biting Congressional races this year. In 2024, she came within 3 points of flipping this seat. Her opponent, Derrick Van Orden (R), is a Trump sycophant and Jan 6 attendee. @wisdems.org www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
The Democratic Civil War Is Raging — Except in This Swing-State Race
Rebecca Cooke united progressives and moderates. Now she needs to win in November.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
💙 TOSS-UP NEWS: TEXAS SENATE Things are looking worse for Texas Senate candidate Ken Paxton (R) 😁 Promising news for Democratic candidate @jamestalarico.bsky.social 💙💙💙 This race is ranked Lean Republican by @cookpolitical.com www.politico.com/news/2026/10...
politico.com
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
I spoke with Michaela Barnett (D) about her campaign to flip the deep red district Tennessee #02. Michaela's priorities are cost of living, quality healthcare, responsive government and infrastructure. winnabledemocraticraces.substack.com/p/interview-...
winnabledemocraticraces.substack.com
Interview with Michaela Barnett (Democratic candidate: TN-02)
By Andy Frazer, https://bsky.app/profile/winnabledemraces.bsky.social
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
💙 TOSS-UP NEWS: Gubernatorial donations *** PLEASE READ *** (1/2) Democratic donors are supporting Senate candidates at the expense of governor races. Republicans have a huge financial benefit advantage in gubernatorial races. www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
Democrats Are Underfunding the Races That Could Remake the Map
Democratic donors are pouring money into Senate races as Republicans build an advantage in gubernatorial contests that could shape the party’s future.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
💙 TOSS-UP NEWS: NC, OH, ME, AK, MI, IA, TX, GA, NH Nothing new to anyone who has been following the toss-up races, but it's a good summary of the most competitive Senate races: NC, OH, ME, AK, MI, IA, TX, GA, NH. wapo.st/3V6yTZz
wapo.st
Analysis | The 9 Senate seats most likely to flip in November
Democrats need to win several races in red states to retake the Senate majority, but Republicans could also make some blue districts go red.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
💙 TOSS-UP NEWS: WI-03 Derrick Van Orden (R) has been releasing deepfake AI videos to discredit his challenger Rebecca Cooke (D). Cooke lost to Van Orden in 2024 by only 11,000 votes. WI-03 is ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com thehill.com/homenews/cam...
thehill.com
Van Orden hit with cease and desist letter from Democratic opponent over AI deepfake ads
Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R-Wis.) was hit with a cease and desist letter from his Democratic opponent, Rebecca Cooke, after the lawmaker aired AI deepfake campaign advertisements about her. “Not only…
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
💙RATING CHANGE: VA-01 Sabato's Crystal Ball moved VA-01 bluer from Lean R to Toss-Up. The seat is currently held by Rob Wittman (R), so this becomes a potential flip. Our Democratic challenger is Shannon Taylor. Let's wait and see if @cookpolitical.com also moves VA-01 to the Toss-Up column.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
💙 TOSS-UP NEWS: TEXAS SENATE Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) poll released Friday showed Talarico leading Paxton. 🔵 Talarico: 49% 🔴 Paxton: 44% Independent voters favor Talarico 58-26. @jamestalarico.bsky.social #TexasBlue #VoteBlue thehill.com/homenews/cam...
thehill.com
Talarico leads Paxton by 5 points in Texas Senate race poll
A new poll shows Texas state Rep. James Talarico (D) leading Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) by 5 points in the Lone Star State’s Senate race — just a little more than a month before No…
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I spoke with Gay Valimont, the Democratic nominee running for Congress in the deep red district FL-01. You may remember Miss Valimont ran in the 2025 special election to replace disgraced congressman Matt Gaetz. She over-performed by 22 points! winnabledemocraticraces.substack.com/p/interview-...
winnabledemocraticraces.substack.com
Interview with Gay Valimont (Democratic candidate: Florida #01)
By Andy Frazer, https://bsky.app/profile/winnabledemraces.bsky.social
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I spoke with Lauren Jewett (D) about her campaign to win the deep red district Louisiana #01. Lauren's priorities are disability rights, healthcare access, and coastal and environmental protection. #LA01 #BlueWave2026 winnabledemocraticraces.substack.com/p/interview-...
winnabledemocraticraces.substack.com
Interview with Lauren Jewett (Democratic candidate: Louisiana #01)
By Andy Frazer, https://bsky.app/profile/winnabledemraces.bsky.social
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I spoke with Lee McInnis (D) about his campaign to win the deep red district Alabama #03. Lee's priorities are making the economy work for people who work, healthcare, and veterans rights. winnabledemocraticraces.substack.com/p/interview-...
winnabledemocraticraces.substack.com
Interview with Lee McInnis (Democratic candidate: Alabama #03)
By Andy Frazer, https://bsky.app/profile/winnabledemraces.bsky.social
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
💙 TOSS-UP NEWS: SOUTH CAROLINA SENATE @cookpolitical.com ranks the South Carolina Senate race as Likely R. But every poll shows Annie Andrews (D) in a dead heat with Trump toady Darline Graham (R). We expect Cook to reclassify this race soon. thehill.com/homenews/cam...
thehill.com
Graham, Andrews neck and neck in South Carolina Senate race: Poll
Sen. Darline Graham (R-S.C.) and her Democratic opponent, Annie Andrews, are locked in a dead heat in the race for South Carolina’s Senate seat, according to a new poll released Saturday even…
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
💙 TOSS-UP NEWS: MI SENATE Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El Sayed @abdulelsayed.bsky.social sat down with Ezra Klein to discuss populism in Rust Belt, health-care reform, rebuilding Obamacare, Medicare for all, and our relationship with Israel. (Gift article) www.nytimes.com/2026/09/25/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | What Does Abdul El-Sayed Believe? (Gift Article)
The Senate nominee talks about his view for the future of the Democratic Party.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
📰 TOSS-UP NEWS: THE SENATE MAP WaPo analyzes how the Democrats could flip the Senate. (Gift article) wapo.st/4iR00l1
wapo.st
Democrats now have easier paths to flipping the Senate. Here are races to watch.
The goal of keeping Democratic Senate seats and flipping four GOP seats once felt like a long shot. Now it's feasible.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
🔴 COOK RATING CHANGES @cookpolitical.com has moved three House races from Lean R* over to our favorite column: Toss-Up: FL-22: Pia Dandiya NC-11: Jamie Ager @jamie.agerforcongress.com TX-15: Robby Pulido Thanks to @paulgino.bsky.social for catching me mistake.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
COOK RATINGS SHIFT - AK GOV @cookpolitical.com has moved the Alaska governor's race from Lean Republican -> Toss-Up. www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/gov...
cookpolitical.com
Alaska Governor Moves from Lean Republican to Toss Up
Last week, we shifted the four-way Alaska gubernatorial race one step in Democrats' direction into the Lean Republican column. But this week we have gotten further evidence that the lone Democrat in t...
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
What a fantastic tradition!!! The "Hawkeye Wave" includes all the fans, and coaches, and players from both teams. Posted by Josh Turek, Democratic candidate for the Iowa Senate seat. This race is ranked Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
In Texas, the Democrats are leading in both the Senate race (50-44) and the governor's race (49-46). @jamestalarico.bsky.social is the Democratic candidate for Senate. @ginafortexas.bsky.social is the Democratic candidate for Texas governor. thehill.com/homenews/cam...
thehill.com
Democrats lead in Texas Senate, gubernatorial race: Poll
A new poll shows Texas Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico and gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa leading their Republican opponents ahead of the 2026 midterm elections in November. In th…
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Nate Silver thinks the major ranking services, such as Cook Political Report, are UNDERESTIMATING how well the Democrats will do in the midterms. He predicts about a 65% chance the Dems will flip the Senate, which is well beyond the current Toss-Up ranking. www.natesilver.net/p/expert-rat...
natesilver.net
Expert ratings are ignoring signs of a blue wave
Assuming we’re in a roughly neutral political environment doesn’t make sense given the history of the midterms, $4.50 gas or Trump’s dismal approval ratings.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
It's looking better and better for Roy Cooper, Democratic candidate for US Senate in North Carolina (recently moved from Toss-Up to Lean Democrat by @cookpolitical.com )
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Thanks to @emg8.bsky.social for suggesting this much-improved format. The Toss-Up races are on the left, including the name of the incumbent. Republicans currently hold the seats listed in red, along with the Democratic challenger listed on the right.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Cook has moved the Alaska gubernatorial race to Toss-Up. In a recent AARP poll Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) had 40 percent support, while his closest challenger, Bernadette Wilson (R), garnered 20 percent. Race-To-The-Whitehouse shows JKT leading Wilson 55%-45%.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
(1/2) Our goal is to encourage Democrats to support candidates in Toss-Up races. That's where your donation has the biggest impact. The best time to donate is ... SEPTEMBER! It's late enough to know which candidates are truly in Toss-Up races, and it's early enough to impact their campaigns.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
These 24 swing races are the Democrats’ best chance to take control of the HOUSE in 2026. Democrats in ALL 50 STATES need to support these races. This is the only path to flipping the HOUSE. Whether you donate money or donate your time, every action counts (Updated 9/20/2026) #2026midterms
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
The Michigan Senate race could be the highest visibility race in November. It is ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com Abdul El-Sayed is the Democratic nominee. (Unlocked article) www.nytimes.com/2026/09/16/u...
nytimes.com
Democrats Meet With El-Sayed, Putting Aside Rifts Ahead of Midterms (Gift Article)
Despite disagreements on Israel, more than a dozen Democratic senators huddled in Washington with the Michigan Senate nominee and emerged sounding optimistic.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
@sherrodbrownoh.bsky.social is the Democratic candidate for US Senate in Ohio. This race is ranked toss-up by @cookpolitical.com (Unlocked article) wapo.st/4yISjSL
wapo.st
Senate control may hinge on whether this Democrat can win back voters drawn to Trump
Sherrod Brown is seeking to return to the chamber two years after losing his seat when many blue-collar voters embraced Donald Trump.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
The NH Senate race is back on our radar. Unfortunately, @cookpolitical.com has downgraded this race from Lean Democrat to Toss-Up. Democrat Chris Pappas needs our support. @chrispappasnh.bsky.social
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
The North Carolina Senate race was ranked Toss-Up until early this year, but recently moved to the Lean Democrat column. Roy Cooper is the Democratic candidate. @roycoopernc.bsky.social
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
If you're a small time Democratic donor, please focus your donations on the nationwide Toss-Up races wapo.st/4dk27dl
wapo.st
These are the most important House races to watch in November
Democrats are favored to win the House, but Republicans have viable paths to keeping control. These are the key themes and races to keep an eye on.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
I don't usually pay attention to editorials in the Wall Street Journal, but this one contains a great compilation of reasons why Donald Trump's record could ruin Republicans' chance of holding onto the Senate. www.wsj.com/opinion/gop-...
wsj.com
Opinion | Trump and the Senate Stakes
The President often sounds as if he’s campaigning against the Republican Senate.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
The Iowa Senate race is ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com www.nytimes.com/2026/09/04/u...
nytimes.com
Can a ‘Prairie Populist’ Democrat Win a Senate Seat in Trump’s Iowa? (Gift Article)
Josh Turek is trying to turn deep-red Iowa blue as he runs for the U.S. Senate.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Democrat John Ossoff is favored in the Georgia Senate race as scandals and weak fundraising threaten to drag down the Republicans www.wsj.com/politics/ele... via @WSJ
wsj.com
The GOP Senate Campaign Gone Disastrously Wrong in Georgia
Scandals are weighing on Rep. Mike Collins’s bid to topple Sen. Jon Ossoff.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Voters nationwide are grappling with rising prices. But in swing states, distinct cost drivers are fueling affordability concerns. Iowa: rising price of diesel. Michigan: higher electric rates from new data centers. Alaska: soaring fuel prices. wapo.st/4csmtAU
wapo.st
The biggest affordability issues for voters in 4 competitive Senate races
Voters everywhere are focused on affordability. But what that means depends on the state, from fertilizer costs in Iowa to fuel prices in Alaska.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Election handicapping service Sabato's Crystal Ball has upgraded the Alaska governor's race to Toss-Up. The Democratic nominee for governor of Alaska is Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins. (Note, @cookpolitical.com, by contrast, still ranks this race red) centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
centerforpolitics.org
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Rob Sand (D) is leading Zach Lahn (R) in the Iowa governor’s race 49-46, according to Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media. thehill.com/homenews/cam...
thehill.com
Sand holds edge over Lahn in Iowa governor’s race while Hinson leads Turek for Senate: Poll
Democratic state auditor Rob Sand is leading Republican businessman Zach Lahn in the tense Iowa governor’s race, new polling shows, while Democrat Josh Turek trails Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson in…
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
“He’s in serious trouble in farm country,” Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-N.D.) told me. “He being Trump — and Trump is us. I’m not very optimistic.” This is exactly what we like to hear from Republicans in Toss-Up races like Iowa: IA-01 IA-03 Senate Governor www.politico.com/news/magazin...
politico.com
The Republican Party’s Midterm Nightmare Is Taking Shape
Democrats see an opening in the states where Trump’s policies are hitting hardest.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Two more House races have been shifted to the Toss-Up column: MI-10 FL-14
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Ohio will host FOUR Toss-Up races in November: two House races (OH-07, OH-10), one Senate race, and the governor's race. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/23/u...
nytimes.com
Angry Ohio Voters Could Turn Their State Purple Again (Gift Article)
A governor’s race, a Senate contest and enough congressional contests to swing control of the House are all in play in Ohio, where voters of all stripes express a deep sense of powerlessness.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
In the U.S. Senate race in Texas, some polls show Trump’s handpicked choice, scandal-plagued Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, trailing his Democratic challenger, state House member and aspiring pastor James Talarico." Cook ranks the US Senate race in Texas as Toss-Up. (Unlocked) wapo.st/4hMjeI7
wapo.st
Opinion | Ken Paxton isn’t the only Texas Republican in trouble
The governor and lieutenant governor are in unexpectedly tight election battles.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
The Iowa race for the US Senate is now ranked as Toss-Up. Historically, the "major players" have often underfunded competitive races in small market states like Iowa. But every senator gets the same number of votes on the floor: one. This would be a very good investment for small time donors.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
MAJOR NEWS: Cook Political Report has moved the Texas race for U.S. Senate to ... TOSS-UP! James Talarico is the Democratic candidate. He'll face Republican nominee Ken Paxton in the November 3, 2026 general election
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
Two U.S. Senate races have moved left to the Toss-Up column! bsky.app/profile/cook...
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
(1/3) Democrats must be laser-focused on winning House and Senate majorities in 2026 We should not waste donations on local House or Senate races that are guaranteed Democratic wins or guaranteed Democratic losses.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
An in-depth look into one candidate's race to flip a US Senate seat to blue. Sherrod Brown (D) is running in the Toss-Up race to become the next senator from Ohio. @sherrodbrownoh.bsky.social www.nytimes.com/2026/08/15/u...
nytimes.com
Sherrod Brown Seeks Senate Comeback in Ohio, Hoping His Populist Pitch Still Resonates (Gift Article)
At 73, Sherrod Brown is mounting a comeback bid in Ohio. He is one of the Democrats his party is counting on to retake control of the Senate.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
The Hill reports on the GOP Senate seats that could flip towards the Democrats in November. In addition to the seats already ranked Toss-Up by @cookpolitical.com, the article also discusses potential Senate flips in Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska. bsky.app/profile/theh...
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
The Center for Politics at UVA just moved OH-7 from Leans Republican to TOSS-UP! Incumbent Max Miller (R) is facing serious allegations of domestic abuse from his ex-wife and has refused to withdraw from the ballot. His challenger, Brian Poindexter (D), has been favored by >8%.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
David Crowley has won the Democratic nomination for governor in Wisconsin. @davidcrowley4wi.bsky.social This race is ranked Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.
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Winnable Democratic Races 💙 @winnabledemraces.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
Peggy Flanagan has won the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Minnesota. @peggyflanagan.bsky.social This race is ranked Toss-Up by Cook Political Report.
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