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⚡ Wind and solar power are often criticised for their supposed lack of #reliability and low “capacity credit” in discussions surrounding #energytransitions and #clean #electricity. Our results counter that narrative.

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💧 The seasonal nature of #wind and #solar energy would help extend the availability of #hydroelectric #power stations—thereby reducing, compared to the #crisis year of 2024: - 📉 the #energy #deficit by 90% - 📉 the peak #capacity #deficit by 50%.

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Ecuador could have prevented the massive impacts from hydropower drought it suffered in 2024 if it had gone all-in on wind-solar. Doing these investments now will prevent such damages from happening again in the near-future Check out our latest paper led by Sebastian Sterl in @natwater.nature.com 🧵

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 10/03/2026

Climate change is leading to many impacts, but not every impact is caused by climate change. For example, we find limited evidence for the impact of climate change on the recent range expansion of the malaria vector Anopheles stephensi in the Horn of Africa doi.org/10.1088/1748...

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4-year fully funded PhD position in 'Climate-related health impacts on children' @hydr-vub.bsky.social. Apply now: jobs.vub.be/job/Elsene-P...

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 05/03/2026

🌍 The bclimate group is hiring! We are looking for a motivated PhD candidate in climate science to improve the attribution and projection of climate-related child health risks in Africa. 🗓️ Check out the vacancy & apply by March 22nd, more info on our website: hydr.vub.be/media/attach...

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 10/02/2026

Tien Shan glaciers are projected to lose around one-third of their 2020 ice mass before 2040, and 69-93% by 2100, depending on the climate scenario. By the late 21stC, the probability of unmet water demand in summer will increase substantially agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 29/01/2026

In our new paper in GMD @egu.eu by @seppelampe.bsky.social, we present BuRNN v1.0: an open-access, data-driven fire model. BuRNN largely outperforms current-generation process-based fire model across a range of metrics model: github.com/VUB-HYDR/BuRNN paper: gmd.copernicus.org/articles/19/...

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 05/01/2026

📢 Working on land atmosphere-interactions and their role in shaping climate extremes? 🌍 Consider submitting an abstract to our European Geosciences Union (@egu.eu) 2026 session: Land-atmosphere interactions and climate extremes (CL4.4): www.egu26.eu/session/56763

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 16/12/2025

"In regions dominated by small and rapidly responding glaciers, such as [...] the European Alps, over 50% of the glaciers are projected to disappear within the next two decades." New @natclimate.nature.com study by @landervt.bsky.social @harryzeko.bsky.social @hydr-vub.bsky.social

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 02/12/2025

In our new study led by @amaurylaridon.bsky.social in #ORE, we present a nonlinear two-forcing emulator for the #AMOC. By accounting for Greenland Ice Sheet melt, it captures 3 additional collapse trajectories for scenarios SSP3-7.0 to SSP5-8.5. open-research-europe.ec.europa.eu/articles/5-87

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 02/12/2025

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 06/11/2025

For example, irrigation expansion more then doubled the trend in water loss to the atmosphere (P-E) in South Asia after 1960. As a consequence, the local terrestrial water storage (TWS) depletes over time following irrigation expansion.

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In contract, moist-heat extreme event frequency increases substantially due to irrigation (by ≥1600 h yr−1 under SSP3-7.0 in tropics), and irrigation amplifies the hours of exposure (by ≥100 h yr−1 in South Asia), raising the risk of moist-heat-related illnesses & mortality for exposed communities

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Irrigation is projected to reduce the occurrence of dry-heat stress under both scenarios, but cannot reverse the warming trend due to greenhouse gas emissions

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We project that annual irrigation water withdrawal decreases under SSP1-2.6 (from ~2100 to ~1700 km3 yr−1) but increases under SSP3-7.0 (to ~2400 km3 yr−1), with some new irrigation hot spots emerging, especially in Africa

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 29/09/2025

Irrigation is an important historical climate forcing, but so far no study explored its future climatic impacts considering possible changes in both extent and efficiency. We develop irrigation efficiency scenarios along the SSPs, implement these in CESM, and generate projections for 2015–2074.

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Lopende projectoproep voor interuniversitair wetenschappelijke onderzoek in Vlaanderen wordt geannuleerd als gevolg van besparingen Vlaamse regering.

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 26/09/2025

In our new study led by Delphine Ramon in @ioppublishing.bsky.social, we project exposure to dangerous heat stress around Lake Victoria under a high-end scenario. By end of century, up to 122 million people may experience dangerous heat stress for more than 5% of the year doi.org/10.1088/1748...

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Wim Thiery @wimthiery.eu · 18/09/2025

Open access article by Quilcaille et al., 2025 now out in print: www.nature.com/nature/volum...

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Each of the carbon majors has a discernible influence on these impactful heatwaves. With reference to 1850–1900, climate change has increased the median intensity of heatwaves by 1.68 °C over 2010–2019, of which 0.47 °C is traced back to the 14 top carbon majors and 0.38 °C to the 166 others.

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In a next step, we employ the carbonmajors.org database to quantify the contribution of each of the 180 carbon majors to (i) global mean temperature, and (ii) the probability and intensity of each of the 213 heatwaves.

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The imprint of climate change rapidly rises over time: according to the median probability ratio, it made heatwaves around 20 times more likely between 2000 and 2009... and around 200 times more likely between 2010 and 2019.

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