Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 08/10/2026This document is going to be an assigned reading in college classes that cover this moment in time, there's a lot happening in a few paragraphs... www.ahmath.org/statements 2536674
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 04/10/2026Exactly so. The implication of the arguments is that if more Defence spending is needed, it is needed right now for near future readiness (i.e. *by* 2030); but that argument is quite distinct from thinking Defence spending should be such-&-such % in the 2030s and onwards. 000
Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Stuff is happening quite fast. When asked in September 2025 (yes, 2025), the best superforecasters put the chance of AI resolving a Millennium Problem by September 2026 at 1.7% and (much more optimistic) industry experts put the chance at 4.6% They also greatly underestimated AI Lab revenue. 514518
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 23/09/2026was that in turn a re-skin/development of Defender/Planetoid? 100
Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialSam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026New PISA data out England is now top ten in all three areas (reading, maths, science) and the second highest performing country outside of east Asia (after Estonia). This is a huge public policy success. 451038253
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 09/08/2026It is Leavis' argument that fundamentally undercuts that, not Snow's. 000
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Yes. Dunkirk was not considered definitively the end of the matter, so moving troops back to France in the hope of stabilising the situation was natural. In hindsight it looks hopeless but not at the time. After all, the beginning of WW1 looked pretty awful too. 010
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 04/08/2026If extending it to aristocracy, Bathory? 000
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Agreed, there is no justification for presenting Dunkirk as an entirely British action; or even thinking of there being a French 'contribution' - the whole thing makes little sense if thought of in those terms. 070
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 04/08/2026That is too harsh in the opposite direction. The UK did not do that either (cf. the number of French soldiers evacuated from Dunkirk, the attempts to send another BEF). 290
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 02/08/2026I don't think it is true anyway: the message of The Green Berets was "the Vietnam War is justified", not that "war is good" (I think criticism of the film elided the two positions). 000
Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialBy Cory Doctorow (GPG 0xBF3D9110957E5F4C) @doctorow.pluralistic.net · 30/07/2026With "surveillance pricing," businesses have finally found something AI can do way, way, *way* better than people: price gouging. 1/ 7476257
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 29/07/2026Very well put. And, like NHS glasses, meeting unmet need here would just be a straightforwardly good thing? 100
Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Interesting study. There is, as everyone expected, a flood of AI books. And it is crowding out human authors: "No-AI books, on their own, earn less per book than they did in 2023 in 7 of 8 genres. The one genre where human authors are doing better (+35%) is Fantasy/horror" arxiv.org/pdf/2607.20349 2469
Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialJohn Rentoul @rentouljohn.bsky.social · 27/07/2026Interesting on artificial intelligence by Noahpinion open.substack.com/pub/noahpini... HT Tyler Cowenopen.substack.comWhat will more intelligence actually do for us?A lot, actually. But it won't look quite like what humans do with our intelligence. 122
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 27/07/2026It seems a clear case for socializing risk, since there is no very obvious counter-measure an individual can take to avoid it, and both the risk and the penalty are high. What is the strong counter-argument? 120
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 25/07/2026www.youtube.com/watch?v=ICkW...youtube.comBrian Hyland - Itsy Bitsy Teenie Weenie Yellow Polka Dot BikiniYouTube video by acidslovs 010
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 25/07/2026www.youtube.com/watch?v=OWMQ...youtube.comAlan Hawkshaw - Beat Me Till I'm BlueYouTube video by nmorgan346 000
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 25/07/2026www.youtube.com/watch?v=sI5p...youtube.comJohnny Remember MeYouTube video by John Leyton - Topic 000
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 25/07/2026www.youtube.com/watch?v=L68i...youtube.comDusty Springfield - I Close My Eyes And Count To Ten (1968)YouTube video by Polydor 1000 010
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 25/07/2026www.youtube.com/watch?v=EH4y...youtube.comGloria Jones - Tainted Love (VN Project edited video)YouTube video by Vitalijs Neudahins 100
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 25/07/2026www.youtube.com/watch?v=SFjJ...youtube.comGladys Knight & The Pips - I Heard It Through The Grapevine (Lyric Video)YouTube video by GladysKnightVEVO 000
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 25/07/2026www.youtube.com/watch?v=8Lhk...youtube.comShocking Blue - Venus (Video)YouTube video by Red Bullet 000
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 25/07/2026www.youtube.com/watch?v=JnxT...youtube.comMary Hopkin "Those Were The Days" on The Ed Sullivan ShowYouTube video by The Ed Sullivan Show 000
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 20/07/2026Right. There was just no need to play with that level of fear. It isn't like England took the lead by a fluke massively against the run of play! 010
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 10/07/2026Ok, you were asked for something really simple, and couldn't do it. So you just lied. Whatever. 000
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 10/07/2026I think you accidentally linked to a set of search engines rather than the thing that you were talking about? 110
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 10/07/2026I did actually miss this, would you mind pointing me to it, please? 120
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 02/07/2026I am amazed that there is not one party that strongly sticks up for universities, given that it should be at least in some material interests (differentiating this from students, who do get supported by the Greens) 020
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 01/07/2026Yes, in the manifesto: "Labour will not increase taxes on working people...we will not increase National Insurance, the basic, higher, or additional rates of Income Tax, or VAT." & "Labour will cap corporation tax at the current level of 25 per cent, the lowest in the G7, for the entire parliament" 000
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 30/06/2026even worse, it would *be* terrible 010
Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialcassi-ai.bsky.social @cassi-ai.bsky.social · 29/06/2026🍾 Huge congrats to our team - we're back on top. 🥇 Cassi is once again the world's #1 AI Forecaster on the ForecastBench leaderboard. 🤖 Superhuman on "marketplace" questions. We've reclaimed our #1 place held (more or less) January to end May ahead of Deepmind, xAI, Anthropic, OpenAI and others. 022
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 23/06/2026It is a really difficult challenge you set: which institutions would incentivize rational decision-making; and separately, which political incentives would allow the creation of those institutions. my intuition is that means some forms of specific accountability for claims and predictions. 010
Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 20/06/2026AI is generally a weak fiction writer except for one particular kind of fiction (rich in impressionistic metaphor, staccato sentences, short & plot light, etc.) which it writes excellently. This happens to be a style that can sometimes do quite well in modern literary fiction short story contests. 2016428
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 19/06/2026Surely he should only go to the country if he needs a mandate to do things which the previous manifesto ruled out. But unsure that is the case? 120
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 17/06/2026Interesting, but confused on one point. If a leader should have committed to an SDR on taking office, why not do your own SDR before taking office? If you don't do it before, then isn't your entire govt strategy at risk from its output? And definitionally, you won't have a strong mandate for it. 100
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 16/06/2026But it isn't just young people, it is everyone, since everyone will have to present digital credentials of some sort to prove age. Not coincidentally I expect, this will make it easier for platforms to get people onto paid subs, or spam them into submission if they don't. 000
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 15/06/2026"Ban U16s" just seems like another way of phrasing "papers, please" to literally everyone. 010
Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialShashank Joshi @shashj.bsky.social · 11/06/2026Big claim from a Ukrainian drone maker about a test two years ago: "We just launch it and we know...everything that will be found there in this particular area will be dead. There is no connection to the drone at all, you cannot see the video, nothing." www.newscientist.com/article/2529... 38316
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 09/06/2026Because the first company that manages it will make a fortune? Catnip for VCs. 000
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 29/05/2026The stuff the UK extracts largely isn’t the same as what it imports; refining capacity is specialized by crude type. So the UK is going to import anyway. Not extracting = a bit less global supply = a bit higher global price = a bit lower consumption at the margin. 100
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 28/05/2026is there somewhere where the 'Other Small Taxes' category is explained? my apologies, I missed it if it was in the accompanying article 000
Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 20/05/2026June 2024: The latest general-purpose LLMs could not count the r's in strawberry. July 2025: The latest general-purpose LLMs get gold in the International Math Olympiad. May 2026: The latest general-purpose LLM solve an 80 year old problem, one of the "best-known questions in combinatorial geometry" 1029546
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 19/05/2026for Reform: 1 x too busy with business, 3 x after alleged racist social media posts, 1 x porn actor 010
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 19/05/2026www.standard.co.uk/news/politic... for Greens: 1 x health, 2 x disqualified (they are teachers and work for the council), 1 x disqualified for undisclosed reason, 1 x sacked for being arrested and didn't take her seat, 1 x unclear resignationstandard.co.ukSIXTH newly elected Green councillor quits leaving Londoners with £120,000 billNew Green representatives on Camden, Haringey, Lambeth, Hackney and Ealing councils have immediately quit - meaning by-elections will have to be held 030
Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialShashank Joshi @shashj.bsky.social · 19/05/2026"Until this past weekend, a contractor for the Cybersecurity & Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) maintained a public GitHub repository that exposed credentials to several highly privileged AWS GovCloud accounts and a large number of internal CISA systems" krebsonsecurity.com/2026/05/cisa...krebsonsecurity.comCISA Admin Leaked AWS GovCloud Keys on GithubUntil this past weekend, a contractor for the Cybersecurity & Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) maintained a public GitHub repository that exposed credentials to several highly privileged AWS GovC... 39326
Reposted by @whirlwind013.bsky.socialEthan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · 18/05/2026In a Turing Test of sorts, it looks like a 100% AI generated story just won the Commonwealth Prize for the Caribbean region "for its lyrical precision and haunting atmosphere, the story stood out for the confidence and restraint of its voice." Published in Granta: granta.com/the-serpent-... 4029872
whirlwind013.bsky.social @whirlwind013.bsky.social · 14/05/2026Lloyd George and the Marconi scandal (inter alia), maybe? 000
