iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 13/10/2026

most economically-viable AI company

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Allison Gill @muellershewrote.com · 11/10/2026

LOL Ukraine hit a Russian data center and Russian bot activity immediately dropped to practically zero. Elon is mad hahahahahaha

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dragonweirdo @dragonweirdo.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

Mina the Hollower doin a lil dance Song: At Last We Rest (Old Graveyard) by Jake Kaufman

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 23/09/2026

I don’t know how you read this and say that AI is going to work out financially speaking. This is a senior person at Fidelity saying money invested in AI is dead, and has been for more than three months. How much louder do people need the sound to be?

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 23/09/2026

Fidelity’s Director of Global Macro saying that the AI trade has been “dead money” for three months, and that it’s inflationary, meaning (as I’ve discussed multiple times) that the more debt they raise the more expensive debt becomes and the more they build data centers the more expensive it gets

Post
...
Jurrien Timmer @TimmerFidelity
X.com
On the Al front, the trade has been dead money for more than 3 months now. The metrics I am following (token expenditures and GPU lease rates) are all flat to down. The price of memory (DRAM) seems to be the only thing that is still going up.
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500
475
450
425
400
375
350
325
300
275
Al Metrics
Daily Data. Source: FMRCo, Bloomberg
• GS Al basket
387
359
56%
283
249
200
175
150
•Silicon Data LLM token expenditure index (50d chg)
•Silicon Data H100 GPU rental index (50d chg)
•Silicon Data A100 GPU rental index (50d chg)
Aug-25 Oct-25 Dec-25 Jan-26 Mar-26 May-26
Nov-24
Jan-25
Feb-25
Apr-25
Jun-25
Data as of 9/20/2026. Past performance is no guarantee of future results
Jul-26
70%|
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%
-60%
Sep-26
A Fidelity
8:45 PM • 9/22/26 • 32K Views

Jurrien Timmer &
@TimmerFide... 2h S •
Yes, Al will change our lives (for the better l trust) and down the road it may well unleash a productivity miracle that raises the economy's non-inflationary speed limit enough to keep the world's mounting debt burden sustainable. But until then the buildout is inflationary with an unknown return for the companies who are investing trillions into compute. The demand fo capital (equity and debt) from corporates is rising at a $3.3 trillion clip.
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$9,000
$8,000
$7,000
$6,000
$5,000
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
$0
-$1,000
-$2,000
$3,000
-$4,000
-$5,000
Crowding Out?
Monthly Data. Source: FMRCo, Bloomberg, Fed FoF Report.
non-financial corporate debt issuance (Sbi) equity share redemptions (buybacks + M&A)
Shading: US deb/GDP
inflation-adjusted
- total corporate net issuance (debt + equity)
housing bubble
+$7,924
bubble
Jun-20, +$6,597
+$3,462
dot.com bubble
Jun-00, +$3,233
+$3,999
Al capex
Jun-26, +$3,251
+$3,129
debt issuance + M&A
debt-equity arbitrage
+$123
-$197
debt-equity arbitrage
-$2.054
$2,175
-US Treasuries held by China
-$3.485
-US Treasuries held by Japan
—US Treasuries held by Fed's SOMA
—US Treasuries & agencies held by US banks
-$2,911
-$3,449
• $4,597
$3,602
$4,800
$2,400
$1,104
$1,200
$618
$600
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007 2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
2023
$300
2025
2027
Data as of 9/20/2026. Past performance is no guarantee of future resuts
2029
•Fidelity
L71
50

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 11/09/2026

Holy shit. Bloomberg just verified one of my biggest scoops - that Microsoft only has 2gw of operational capacity. I had it at 1.993GW in prep for the story that @aishadown.bsky.social and I did for the guardian. Vindication! www.theguardian.com/technology/2...

Brody Ford @BrodyFord
Lot of speculation out there about how many GPUs are actually deployed.
Today, Microsoft has about 2GW of Al-specific capacity live. around 17% of the total fleet.
Only about 2 gigawatts of the company's current 12-gigawatt capacity is centered on Al-specific chips, the people said. This is expected to grow to about a third of the 38 gigawatts Microsoft plans to have online in 2032, they said.
Brody Ford @BrodyFord_ • 23h
scoop: Microsoft is planning a massive expansion of its data center fleet to 38 gigawatts. $msft w/ @mattmday bloomberg.com/news/features/...
3:15 PM • Sep 11, 2026 • 12.5K Views

Are Microsoft's AI
plans being held back by a shortage of chips?
Guardian investigation finds
apparent discrepancy between what tech company has said about its AI capacity - and the
number of advanced chips it
has in operation
By Aisha Down and Ed Zitron
A Microsoft datacentre in the North Holland village of
Middenmeer in the Netherlands. Photograph: Ramon van
Flymen/EPA

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 11/09/2026

It also means that multiple different tech companies are deliberately misleading investors about the scale of their operations, and that NVIDIA has been selling a lot of gpus that are not doing anything.

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Stop Killing Games @stopkillinggames.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

It's not over until it's over. ESA lobbyists bought some time with bad arguments against #StopKillingGames but California is coming back for round two in 2027. #skg Remember to join our community Discord to get involved: discord.gg/TCE6uXwsBe

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Stop Killing Games @stopkillinggames.bsky.social · 05/09/2026

You spend ten years of your life making a game, and then it gets shut down." - Matt from Alderon Games #StopKillingGames isn't about gamers vs. developers. Ubisoft killed the game they spent years building, and they couldn't play it either. Now they can.

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Accursed Farms updates @notrossscott.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

www.pcgamer.com/games/strate...

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Stop Killing Games @stopkillinggames.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

"They completely lose access...I don't think that's right" Thank you @scottwiener.bsky.social for defending consumer rights and supporting our #StopKillingGames !

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 24/08/2026

There is a vague assumption that “ai is changing everything” based on everyone shoving it in everything and rich people saying it’s the future. This era is going to look very stupid in the future

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 24/08/2026

Also even within articles stating AI is overhyped and a massive bubble people still say stuff like “while I don’t dispute the transformative potential of AI” or “AI will obviously one day change everything” like they’ll be shot without the disclaimer

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 23/08/2026

The capex is expensive, but so is running AI GPUs. People want this to be “like the dot com bubble” to not think about how big the misallocation of capital is. All of the current demand is from companies that can’t afford to pay without endless VC dollars or people renting compute to resell to them.

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Cassandra🐊 @frozennorth.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

how I communicate with you all

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winpuss 🍥 (COMMS open) @winpuss.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Sketch August 11, 2026

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 11/08/2026

Free Newsletter: OpenAI and Anthropic are now load-bearing, unprofitable and unsustainable AI labs that represent the majority of Microsoft, Google and Amazon's future revenue growth. Without hundreds of billions in funding, the era of hypergrowth ends. www.wheresyoured.at/dont-look-up/

wheresyoured.at

Don't Look Up

If you liked this piece, you should subscribe to my premium newsletter. It’s $70 a year, or $7 a month, and in return you get a weekly newsletter that’s usually anywhere from 5,000 to 18,000 words, in...

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Stop Killing Games @stopkillinggames.bsky.social · 17/07/2026

We have a big win! #StopKillingGames and #StopKillingInternet signed a joint letter opposing the UK government’s proposed VPN ban and we succeeded! Proud to stand alongside @mozilla.org , @proton.me @amnesty.org , Reporters Without Borders, and leading VPNs to defend a free and open internet. ...

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🌸Anime Themes🌸 @animethemes.bsky.social · 08/06/2026

Anime: Undead Unluck Style: Opening Track: 01 Artist: Ziyoou-vachi Year: 2023 Studio: David Production #Anime #Animesky #AnineThemes #AnimeOpening #AnimeOpenings #AnimeOP #UndeadUnluck #Undead #Unluck

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GLITCH @glitchprod.com · 05/06/2026

💝

Hey guys, Kevin, CEO of GLITCH here. Been trying to figure out when and how to express this, but now I think is the right time:

To the fans - Thank you, deeply. You are the reason we got here. I know it can get noisy online sometimes, but the real-world reality is that you are some of the most genuine, kind people we have ever had the privilege of meeting. We saw every cosplay, every discussion circle, every sticker shared outside the theatres. That is what this is all about.

To every person at/with GLITCH - I never doubted you for a single second. You are all so incredibly talented, and I am so proud that the impact of your work is now being felt on a world stage.

To the industry - Animation and cinema is art. Art is human expression. Digital Circus was a deeply personal story created to express complex feelings. Please let that be the signal you take from all of this.

To everyone - Keep making things and keep sharing your work. We found all our creators through the internet.

Now, here’s Pomni with her signature dance move.

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Culture Crave 🍿 @culturecrave.co · 05/06/2026

Antony Starr speaks out against AI "'[AI] is coming no matter what' ... bla bla. Recent movies have proven that people want human stories. Not big ridiculous VFX-driven nonsense" "Ever tried to go to an Al movie premiere? The cast are horrible and they hate their human fans"

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 02/06/2026

This is the con of generative AI. Artificial intelligence that is not intelligent, that's inherently unreliable, and its value and ROI is impossible to measure. The fact that I need to make this case shows how well the con has worked. www.wheresyoured.at/ai-doesnt-have-roi/

You are all the victims of a con. No matter how “well” your Breakfast Machine of different API calls and if-this-then-that automations may or may not function, you have been sold a bill of goods for “artificial intelligence” that is impossibly stupid. When some of you are pushed to prove the ROI of AI, you immediately return to boring talking points about Uber, or the Dot Com Bubble, or some other slop fed to you by people actively conning you at this very moment.

The reason nobody can show you the ROI from AI is that AI does not have a return on investment. Large Language Models can speed up some things in a way that becomes increasingly less-valuable and accurate with the complexity of the task, and more investment in AI data centers does not appear to do anything other than expand the number of tasks that an LLM can attempt.

While some people have been able to get something out of generative AI, that something never seems to be a tangible or impressive achievement. Every “successful” AI story is a result of either ignoring the obvious problems with LLMs or mitigating them at a great cost for an aggressively expensive and mediocre result.

LLMs are sold as “AI,” a technology best-known for automating things, yet they can’t be trusted to run anything on their own.

Instead, they manipulate the user into covering up their errors, explaining away their failures, coddling their meager returns and crediting them with the actual labor that LLMs are meant to automate away.

They do so by their investors and executives conning the media and the markets with outright lies and half-truths that exploit society’s weak points. The media and markets are informed by people that neither understand technology nor history, and Business Idiots that have reached the heights of their careers through diplomacy and ratfucking that care only about attention and adulation for things that other people do.

I realize that some will say I’m dismissive of LLMs’ capabilities, and I’m sorry — I’m just not impressed. You spent a trillion dollars to make it somewhat easier to code some things sometimes but not in such a way that it actually results in anything, research reports that nobody will read, shitty powerpoint decks and excel spreadsheets, and art that looks like stock images because that’s exactly what it was trained on.

This shit needs to work every time without fail and be absolutely flawless and autonomous.

You are paying for a tool. You are paying for software. You are a customer. Your job is not to explain to others why this is exciting, nor is it your job to cover up for its mistakes. If you truly love this stuff you should be either secure enough in doing so that you don’t feel compelled to defend it or be demeaning to those that disagree.

The fact that I have to write that sentence is proof that something is very, very wrong with the AI industry, and that LLMs are about far more than software.

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 02/06/2026

The AI industry is now hysterically trying to claim that AI has ROI, but you can't measure it because it's special or different somehow. These are acts of cowardice, and an attempt to make you ignore what your eyes and ears are telling you. www.wheresyoured.at/ai-doesnt-have-roi/

Late last week, SemiAnalysis wrote one of the most insane articles I’ve ever read — AI Dark Output: The Visible Cost of Invisible Output — saying that “AI output will be real before it is measurable,” and, well, whatever the fuck this is:

We are at risk of having an event on the scale of the Industrial Revolution where most of the new output is invisible even as businesses spend increasingly large amounts on AI services.
SemiAnalysis is a semiconductor analyst firm with an obvious reason to keep the AI bubble inflated, and if they’re writing a piece that amounts to “AI has a return on investment, you just can’t see it,” things are getting desperate. Here’s how they define “Dark Output”:

Dark output is AI-enabled economic value that exists but is not visible, or is badly distorted, in GDP, prices, labor statistics, or industry accounts. We categorize this into two buckets:

1. Substitution dark output is work that was previously done by humans and is now done by AI. In our Dark Output Monitor we have identified roughly $1.5T in tasks that current generation AI could substantially augment or automate.

2. New dark output is new work done by AI that wasn’t previously being done by humans (probably because it was too expensive to do until AI made it cheap). In the long run this is likely to be much larger than the substitution side.
That “substitution dark output” is explained using a theoretical example of “...a simple legal document which in theoretical GDP should have the same inflation adjusted value to a user whether a lawyer drafts it or AI drafts it,” which is nonsense.

When you pay a lawyer, you don’t pay them to “create an output,” you buy their experience and time and ability to find and adapt case law to reach an outcome, such as in the process of filing stuff, avoiding or actively participating in litigation. Just because AI can fart out an approximation of what a human output may look like — likely riddled with hallucinations — doesn’t mean that said output was created with any “experience.” Models don’t think, they have no experiences, and even if a lawyer is prompting them, that doesn’t mean that the lawyer’s discernment or taste is reflected in the final output.

Then there’s this bit:

When AI takes over the task, the receipts vanish as the cost is absorbed in tokens, and when government officials survey lawyers on the cost of services they may find that the average price has gone up, as the simplest documents are now completed by AI and not lawyers. From the perspective of GDP, the transaction has effectively vanished except for a few dollars of tokens sitting in an unrelated sector of the economy.
We’re four fucking years into it but we’re still using hypotheticals. Are “...the simplest documents now completed by AI and not lawyers”? You don’t get a lawyer to write a document because they’re the only ones who can write it — you get it to mitigate the risk using the experience of the law firm, both in the associate drafting the document and the partner overseeing it.

This flimsy, half-assed logic is how the AI bubble got inflated in the first place. Supposedly smart people continually show a total lack of awareness of how jobs work at basically every level, and in this case — where it should be theoretically possible to find and talk to a lawyer doing this — the supposed “dark output” includes “the research done to complete this article.”

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ToonHive @toonhive.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

‘Amphibia’ creator Matt Braly speaks out against the use of AI in animation: “If you need to partner with AI to get a greenlight on your project, it ain’t worth it.”

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 22/05/2026

meta will die in the next decade

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DETTAN 🏳️‍⚧️ ☛ COMMS CLOSED @dettanarts.bsky.social · 17/05/2026

[FanArt] I'm so happy that after over well over 10 years Gameoverse is finally back! I've been waiting since I was in middle school! Congratulations @rubberross.bsky.social 🎉 #gameoverse

It's Gameoverse fanart! Kit clashing with Malice over a dying game world whilst cutesy versions of Flappers, Gobbles and Kaboodle float in the foreground ~ I'm so happy this is finally out it was so cooooool ~

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Demonbloodpal adoptables open @demonbloodpal.bsky.social · 16/05/2026

I love kit in her SF of ref great pilot #gameoverse

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 10/04/2026

I joined the Times Tech Report to talk about the Hater's Guide To OpenAI, Sam Altman's long history of lies and con artistry, the larger OpenAI con, and the disingenuous PR campaign behind Anthropic's Claude Mythos. youtu.be/RojN74P1lDI?...

youtu.be

‘Sam Altman is an historic con artist’ | Ed Zitron

YouTube video by The Tech Report

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MysticWaffle @mysticwaffle.bsky.social · 07/04/2026

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cathy the most ghoulish @cathyraytv.bsky.social · 02/04/2026

to the handful of people that saw yesterday's post

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ホセ☆ @josediaz-art.bsky.social · 19/03/2026

extras below

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Ed Newton-Rex @ednewtonrex.bsky.social · 26/03/2026

This new paper is the death knell for the tired argument that AI models don't memorise their training data. They do. This paper proves it beyond a shadow of a doubt. I wrote up the paper's findings here: dontstealthisblog.substack.com/p/large-lang...

dontstealthisblog.substack.com

Large Language Models Memorise Their Training Data

A new paper shows that LLMs memorise much more of their training data than was previously known.

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New Blood Interactive @newblood.games · 25/03/2026

Here are Dave and David's full unedited comments for those interested:

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beetle moses @beetlemoses.bsky.social · 25/03/2026

Next week there will be another existential boogeyman designed to discourage you from pursuing art. There will always be a mosquito in your ear trying to convince you your creativity has no value. Let this Sora situation be a lesson. Stop getting pushed around by scammers. Make art

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 24/03/2026

Free newsletter: The AI industry is lying to you about progress. Only 5GW of data centers are under construction, it takes 6 months to bring online a single quarter's worth of NVIDIA GPU sales, and LLM code is actively breaking big tech. www.wheresyoured.at/the-ai-industry-is-lying-to-you/

wheresyoured.at

The AI Industry Is Lying To You

Hi! If you like this piece and want to support my independent reporting and analysis, why not subscribe to my premium newsletter? It’s $70 a year, or $7 a month, and in return you get a weekly newslet...

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 24/03/2026

Both the Wall Street Journal and The Information confirming that OpenAI is killing Sora - both the app and *access to its video-generating model for developers*. This is a huge move that suggests things are a bit desperate www.wsj.com/tech/ai/open... www.theinformation.com/articles/ope...

OpenAI is planning to discontinue the app for its Sora video platform, a product it released to great fanfare last year that has since fallen from public view, according to the company.

The move is one of a number of steps OpenAI is taking to refocus on business and coding functions ahead of a potential initial public offering as soon as the fourth quarter of this year.

CEO Sam Altman announced the changes to staff on Tuesday, writing that the company would wind down products that use its video models. In addition to the consumer app, OpenAI is also discontinuing a version of Sora for developers and won’t support video functionality inside ChatGPT, either.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has relinquished direct oversight of the company’s safety and security teams so he can focus on raising capital, supply chains and “building datacenters at unprecedented scale,” he told staff on Tuesday.

At the same time, he said the company had completed the initial development of its next major AI model, codenamed Spud, and would wind down the Sora AI video mobile app, which employees had complained was a drag on the company’s computing resources during a time of heightened competition with foes such as Anthropic and Google.

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 24/03/2026

This will end up being likely a monologue and part of the intro of this week's premium, but every single person that wrote a "Sora 2 is destroying Hollywood" piece should be apologizing to their audiences and to the entertainment industry for deliberately misleading and scaring people in TV/Cinema

Per The Journal, emphasis mine:

CEO Sam Altman announced the changes to staff on Tuesday, writing that the company would wind down products that use its video models. In addition to the consumer app, OpenAI is also discontinuing a version of Sora for developers and won’t support video functionality inside ChatGPT, either.

Oh, okay! The app that CNBC said was “challenging Hollywood” and “freaking out the movie industry” and The Hollywood Report would suggest could somehow challenge Pixar and was Sam Altman successfully “playing Hollywood” and The Ankler said was OpenAI “going to war with Hollywood” as it “shook the industry” and Deadline said made Hollywood “sore” and Boardroom said was in a standoff with Hollywood and the LA Times said was “deepening a battle between Hollywood and OpenAI” and “igniting a firestorm in Hollywood” and Puck said had “Hollywood panicking” and TechnoLlama said was “the end of copyright as we know it” and Slate said was a case of AI "crushing Hollywood as it we’ve known it” is completely dead a little more than five months after everybody claimed it was changing everything.

It’s almost as if everybody making these proclamations was instinctually printing whatever marketing copy had been imagined by the AI labs to promote compute-intensive vaporware, and absolutely nobody is going to apologize to the people working in the entertainment industry for scaring the fuck out of them with ghost stories! Every single person who blindly repeated that Sora existed and was changing everything should be forced to apologize to their readers!

I cannot express the sheer amount of panic that spread through every single part of the entertainment industry as a result of these specious, poorly-founded mythologies spread by people that didn’t give enough of a shit to understand what was actually going on. Sora 2 was always an act of desperation - an attempt to create a marketing cycle to prop up a tool that burned as much as $15 million a day that most o…

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 20/03/2026

Premium Newsletter: The Hater's Guide To Adobe, a company built on innovation in digital design that's turned into a parasite that monetizes monopolies and customer exploitation. Its AI play is a big money loser, and can't hide that Adobe is on the decline. www.wheresyoured.at/hatersguide-adobe/

wheresyoured.at

Premium: The Hater's Guide To Adobe

I hear from a lot of people that are filled with bilious fury about the tech industry, but few companies have pissed off the world more than Adobe. As the foremost monopolist in software, web and gra...

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 20/03/2026

Joined the Times Tech Report to talk about how the entire AI bubble is built on subsidies, why generative AI is nothing like Uber, and how I see no sustainable path for this industry. youtu.be/oAbpVCn-Ox0?...

youtu.be

AI Bubble: Nobody will pay for unsubsidised AI | Ed Zitron

YouTube video by The Tech Report

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 17/03/2026

Free newsletter: Why're we still doing this? Despite $1tr+ in investment, every AI company is unprofitable, LLMs have yet to provide tangible productivity benefits, and private credit-backed data center debt may be the next great financial crisis. www.wheresyoured.at/why-are-we-still-doing-this/

wheresyoured.at

Why Are We Still Doing This?

Hi! If you like this piece and want to support my work, please subscribe to my premium newsletter. It’s $70 a year, or $7 a month, and in return you get a weekly newsletter that’s usually anywhere fro...

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sun4life.bsky.social @sun4life.bsky.social · 17/03/2026

Speaking from the perspective of an average bystander, that's how 2008 went.

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 17/03/2026

The spell is breaking

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Ed Zitron @edzitron.com · 13/03/2026

Here’s this week’s Better Offline monologue. I talk about the end of tech’s hypergrowth era, generative AI’s failure as a business model, and why we need to stop looking to the past to prove that the future will work out. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/b... Linktr.ee/betteroffline

podcasts.apple.com

Monologue: It's The Beginning Of History

Podcast Episode · Better Offline · March 13 · Bonus · 15m

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Blue Heron Farm @blueheronfarm.bsky.social · 12/03/2026

AI is out there telling people to put garlic in their buttholes. Just thought you'd want to know.

LIVESCIENCE

TRENDING

Health

'Rectal garlic insertion for immune support': Medical chatbots confidently give disastrously misguided advice, experts say

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