Sign in

VoteHub

@votehub.com
12K followers 13 following 2.2K posts

Your hub for elections. 🇺🇸 Detailed maps, live election night coverage, and analysis backed by deeper data. Nonpartisan and independent. votehub.com

PostsRepliesMedia
VoteHub @votehub.com · 5m
votehub.com/2026-early-v...
votehub.com
2026 Early Vote Tracker
See where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.
000
VoteHub @votehub.com · 5m
Alaska 0.0% of Ballots Cast: Actual 2024 Result: 🔴 Trump +13.1 Projected 2026 Electorate: 🔴 Trump +10.5
100
VoteHub @votehub.com · 4h
2018 TX U.S. Senate polls (8/25-9/29) 9/20 (PPP 1): 🔴 Cruz +3 (D sponsor) 9/20 (PPP 2): 🔴 Cruz +3 (D sponsor) 9/18 (Vox Pop): 🟡 Even 9/17 (Qpac): 🔴 Cruz +9 9/14 (Ipsos): 🔵 O'Rourke +2 9/12 (Chism): 🔴 Cruz +4 (D sponsor) 9/9 (Crosswind): 🔴 Cruz +3 9/7 (Dixie): 🔴 Cruz +4 8/25 (Emerson): 🔴 Cruz +1
2195
VoteHub @votehub.com · 4h
9/17 (Trafalgar): 🔵 Talarico +1 (R) 9/14 (Emerson): 🔵 Talarico +1 9/13 (SoCal): 🔵 Talarico +5 9/11 (Siena): 🔵 Talarico +6 9/10 (Mason-Dixon): 🔵 Talarico +3 9/9 (InsiderAd): 🔵 Talarico +2 9/4 (YouGov): 🔵 Talarico +5 9/1 (Fab/Impact): 🔵 Talarico +4 8/26 (Overton): 🟡 Tie 8/24 (Slingshot): 🔵 Talarico +6
0142
VoteHub @votehub.com · 4h
Texas U.S. Senate polls (last 6 weeks) 9/29 (Rasmussen): 🔵 Talarico +1 9/27 (Pulse): 🔴 Paxton +3 (R internal) 9/26 (Big Data Poll): 🔵 Talarico +2 9/24 (Stratus Intel): 🟡 Tie (R) 9/22 (Slingshot): 🔵 Talarico +5 9/20 (Marist): 🔵 Talarico +6 9/19 (TSU): 🔵 Talarico +1 ...
2243
VoteHub @votehub.com · 4h
votehub.com/2026-forecas...
votehub.com
VoteHub’s 2026 Midterms Forecast
VoteHub is a political media organization that aims to provide top-notch, innovative coverage in three key areas: election reporting at a detailed level and in real time, public opinion survey…
051
VoteHub @votehub.com · 4h
NEW — House Speaker Mike Johnson is campaigning in California for Republican congressional candidates, including Rep. David Valadao, as the GOP works to retain House control. Our forecast rates CA-22 Likely D, with Randy Villegas at an 82% chance to defeat Valadao in this Trump +2 district.
2243
VoteHub @votehub.com · 6h
TONIGHT — California gubernatorial candidates Xavier Becerra (D) and Steve Hilton (R) will face off at 6pm PT in a one-on-one debate. The hourlong CNN debate in Los Angeles will be moderated by Jake Tapper and Dana Bash.
1174
VoteHub @votehub.com · 7h
votehub.com/polls/?poll=...
votehub.com
Do Americans approve of Donald Trump?
Live, time-weighted average of polls measuring President Trump's approval.
010
VoteHub @votehub.com · 7h
End of Quarter Net Trump Approval Q1 2025: 🔴 +2.1 Q2 2025: 🔴 +6.7 Q3 2025: 🔴 +10.0 Q4 2025: 🔴 +11.8 Q1 2026: 🔴 +16.0 Q2 2026: 🔴 +17.3 Q3 2026: 🔴 +23.3 Trump's net approval has decreased for seven quarters in a row.
8358
VoteHub @votehub.com · 9h
votehub.com/2026-forecas...
votehub.com
VoteHub’s 2026 Midterms Forecast
VoteHub is a political media organization that aims to provide top-notch, innovative coverage in three key areas: election reporting at a detailed level and in real time, public opinion survey…
210
VoteHub @votehub.com · 9h
VoteHub U.S. House Forecast Outlook Democrats: 231 🔵 Solid: 200 🔵 Likely: 13 🔵 Lean: 14 🔵 Tilt: 4 Republicans: 203 🔴 Solid: 147 🔴 Likely: 31 🔴 Lean: 15 🔴 Tilt: 10 Tossup: 1 🟡 Tossup: 1
32310
VoteHub @votehub.com · 22h
votehub.com/polls/?poll=...
votehub.com
Who leads the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate race?
Live, time-weighted average of polls measuring support for candidates in the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate race.
021
VoteHub @votehub.com · 22h
VoteHub U.S. Senate Polling Averages: Democrats currently lead in enough states to flip six seats and hold a 53–46 Senate majority. Our forecast, however, remains more favorable to Republicans in Kansas, Nebraska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas among others because of underlying fundamentals.
42610
VoteHub @votehub.com · 22h
RACE RATING CHANGE: AZ-01 Lean D → Likely D Amish Shah’s chances of defeating Jay Feely have increased steadily in recent months. This would be a 🔴→🔵 flip.
26415
VoteHub @votehub.com · 23h
35 days until the first polls close in the 2026 midterms.
1416
VoteHub @votehub.com · 23h
RACE RATING CHANGE: NM-02 Likely D → Solid D Gabe Vasquez’s chances of defeating Greg Cunningham have risen above 95% in our forecast.
1457
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
Kansas U.S. Senate candidate Adam Hamilton (D) tells @ms.now he would only serve two terms if elected. He would be 74 at the end of a second term.
3443
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
RATINGS CHANGE — VoteHub's forecast moves the Ohio U.S. Senate race to Lean Democratic, giving Democrat Sherrod Brown a 66% chance of winning. Trump won the state by 11 points in 2024.
27713
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
votehub.com/2026-forecas...
votehub.com
VoteHub’s 2026 Midterms Forecast
VoteHub is a political media organization that aims to provide top-notch, innovative coverage in three key areas: election reporting at a detailed level and in real time, public opinion survey…
081
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
9/29 Forecast Update Democrats continue to gain and have again hit all-time high in both chambers today. 🔵 U.S. Senate: 59.4% (+1.3% vs. last week) 🔵 U.S. House: 85.7% (+2.0% vs. last week)
3338
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
NC mail returns by party registration: 🔵 DEM – 5,281 (47.3%) ⚪ OTH – 4,161 (37.3%) 🔴 GOP – 1,721 (15.4%) 0.3% of expected votes have been cast.
0189
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
votehub.com/2026-early-v...
votehub.com
2026 Early Vote Tracker
See where ballots are coming from and our estimate of which candidates those voters are likely to support.
020
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
North Carolina 🌲 Early Votes As of Sep 29, 2026 Modeled 2024 presidential vote: 🔵 Harris – 66.9% (+41.2) 🔴 Trump – 25.7% ⚪ Other/new voters – 7.4%
1122
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
votehub.com/2026-forecas...
votehub.com
VoteHub’s 2026 Midterms Forecast
VoteHub is a political media organization that aims to provide top-notch, innovative coverage in three key areas: election reporting at a detailed level and in real time, public opinion survey…
010
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
13% of Susan Collins supporters say they want Democrats to control the Senate, per NYT/PPH/Siena, underscoring her longstanding crossover support. Collins also has a history of outrunning polls: by 14 pts in 2020, 10 in 2014 and 8 in 2008. VoteHub currently rates Maine Tilt D.
3279
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
South Carolina U.S. Senate polls (last 6 weeks) 9/25 (Trafalgar): 🔴 Graham +1 9/9 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔴 Graham +2 8/28 (Abacus Data): 🔴 Graham +13 8/24 (Impact Research): 🟡 Even 8/24 (Trafalgar): 🟡 Even
1164
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
Ken Paxton pushes back on criticism over his handling of a child predator case: “The criticism has been that I let a child predator out [after serving] one day,” Paxton said. “Well, guess what? They served 60 days.”
8357
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
In VA-01, early voters so far are moderately bluer than in 2024 and slightly bluer than in 2025. Lower-propensity voters are coming from the bluest areas, an encouraging sign for Democrats beyond simply front-loading turnout. It’s still very early in the EV period.
05112
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
Georgia Governor polls (last 6 weeks) 9/23 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔴 Jackson +2 9/23 (Big Data Poll): 🔴 Jackson +1 9/18 (YouGov): 🔴 Jackson +2 (Loose LV) 9/18 (YouGov): 🔴 Jackson +3 (Strict LV) 8/17 (InsiderAdvantage): 🟡 Even
1103
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
Georgia U.S. Senate polls (last 6 weeks) 9/23 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔵 Ossoff +8 9/23 (Big Data Poll): 🔵 Ossoff +11 9/18 (YouGov): 🔵 Ossoff +10 (Loose LV) 9/18 (YouGov): 🔵 Ossoff +8 (Strict LV) 9/16 (Quantus): 🔵 Ossoff +4 9/12 (Trafalgar): 🔵 Ossoff +7 8/17 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔵 Ossoff +8
0235
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
Florida Governor polls (last 6 weeks) 9/27 (Change Research): 🔵 Jolly +2 9/21 (Stetson U): 🔴 Donalds +12 9/17 (St. Pete Polls): 🟡 Even 9/9 (Change Research): 🔵 Jolly +3
0143
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
Florida U.S. Senate polls (last 6 weeks) 9/27 (Change Research): 🔴 Moody +1 9/21 (Stetson U): 🔴 Moody +11 9/21 (InsiderAdvantage): 🔴 Moody +8 9/17 (St. Pete Polls): 🟡 Even 9/10 (Quantus): 🔴 Moody +7 9/9 (Change Research): 🟡 Even
183
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
Democrats could reach 247 by sweeping favored seats, Tossups and Tilt R races, plus half of Lean R. The GOP could reach 218 by doing the same through Tilt D, plus most Lean D. votehub.com/2026-forecas...
votehub.com
VoteHub’s 2026 Midterms Forecast
VoteHub is a political media organization that aims to provide top-notch, innovative coverage in three key areas: election reporting at a detailed level and in real time, public opinion survey…
0143
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
In our House forecast, Republicans winning the majority is as likely as Democrats winning 247 seats.
2303
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
Texas GOP Senate nominee Ken Paxton tells a forum of the U.S. Hispanic Business Council that data centers will be “a huge economic boon” for Texas, while suggesting rural areas are more appropriate locations for them. “There’s plenty of open space in Texas,” he said.
6189
VoteHub @votehub.com · 29/09/2026
36 days until the first polls close in the 2026 midterms.
14211
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
In VA-02, Republicans are holding up better than elsewhere in VA. Our model shows an electorate similar to 2025, with lower turnout and a more Republican-leaning group of low-propensity voters than in VA-01 thus far. Still, lower propensity voters are from blue precincts.
292
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
GOP Rep. Tom Kean (NJ-07) says he is suing Gov. Mikie Sherrill for “failing to release the records of the over 6,600 illegal aliens here in NJ who were registered to vote." Kean faces an uphill re-election battle: VoteHub rates NJ-07 Likely D and a projected flip this November.
7281
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
‪The diesel tax of 37¢ is also suspended.‬ ‪The move is expected to cost the state $200M.‬
1122
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
NEWS — Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp has suspended the state gas tax of 33¢ for 30 days.
4163
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
votehub.com/2026-forecas...
votehub.com
VoteHub’s 2026 Midterms Forecast
VoteHub is a political media organization that aims to provide top-notch, innovative coverage in three key areas: election reporting at a detailed level and in real time, public opinion survey…
032
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
Paul LePage (R) has a 66% chance of defeating Matt Dunlap (D) in our ME-02 House forecast. Trump won the district by 9.5 points in 2024. Our current estimated margin is LePage +3.2.
284
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
votehub.com/2026-forecas...
votehub.com
VoteHub’s 2026 Midterms Forecast
VoteHub is a political media organization that aims to provide top-notch, innovative coverage in three key areas: election reporting at a detailed level and in real time, public opinion survey…
030
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
9/28 Forecast Update After a quiet weekend and Monday of polling, the forecast is little changed from last Monday. Polls were somewhat better for Democrats early last week and Republicans later in the week. 🔵 U.S. Senate: 57.3% (+1.6% vs. last week) 🔵 U.S. House: 84.7% (+1.8% vs. last week)
1226
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
votehub.com/polls/?poll=...
votehub.com
Who leads the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate race?
Live, time-weighted average of polls measuring support for candidates in the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate race.
010
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
Roy Cooper (D) leads Michael Whatley (R) by 8.9 points in our North Carolina Senate polling average, in a remarkably stable race. Cooper has cleared 50% in the average, leading 50.3% to 41.4%. That closely tracks our forecasted final margin of Cooper +8.7.
2184
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
In VA-05, early turnout has been heavily Democratic, especially among lower-propensity voters. That’s an encouraging sign for Democrats in this Lean R district, but it is important to remember it is still early in the Early Voting period.
0316
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
www.axios.com/2026/09/27/a...
axios.com
AOC test-runs a Senate bid in upstate New York
She says her goal is to "transform the state."
0120
VoteHub @votehub.com · 28/09/2026
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is testing the waters for a potential 2028 Senate bid as she also weighs a presidential run, @axios.com reports. AOC is touring upstate New York, meeting with local officials and testing her appeal beyond New York City.
4487