iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 17/07/2025

Continued from before: *now* this is what we're looking for re: #QQQ We usually "plateau" it up here for a few trading days before letting it drop. No reason to short highs--ever. Markets are slow and obvious when they top. Interested in next Tues/Weds (important: post-mopex) for potential shorts.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 13/07/2025

Usually checking-out the "older women" in biochem class when they'd roll-out the VCR and dim the lights for the latest in scientific teaching "excellence."

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 13/07/2025

That's a great chart. (Just not used to seeing great charts of late ; )

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

"So" is a conjunction. It doesn't begin any sentences structurally (as to English). If you've something to say, structure it like debate in high school.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

Everyone I know will die. Everyone you know will die. For all time. Ouai, si tu veut, "c'est la vie."

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

This would intimate you being... the arbiter of what 7.8 billion humans care about. And the swearing... rarely helps.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

Tony, it isn't "nice" to pretend natural disasters don't kill people and that all human's don't die. Lying isn't... "nice." Getting angry at government agencies when humans die in natural disasters... not "nice." Why lie about facts? That's not nice at all.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

I don't know anyone who thinks all humans don't die. Nor anyone else who disbelieves facts such as they die at a rate of 150,000/day. Makes our time here rather precious--as intimated.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

Mathematics aren't callous. And name-calling is... what it is. It's frustrating that we can't really blame others for natural disasters, isn't it?

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

Yes, Brittany. "These people." When someone doesn't share your opinion, they're definitely somehow different than you--they're "the others." Unless they agree with you--then they're "ok."

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

When we get frustrated when we don't agree with things people say, it's sometimes best to recall this isn't X. When someone disagrees with you--or you don't like something--we don't need to swear or misbehave.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

Always good to take input from those not capable of civil discourse. The swearing is... charming. Cheers to you 🍸

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

So it's held by private equity. That's what PE does: replaces public/bank funding + bond issuance Very handy in a dramatic event; that is, no one has to bail-out private equity--and US bonds are siloed. Bond market to which the public has access is buttressed in crashes. Almost like it makes sense

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

Always enjoyable when stupid humans need to blame other stupid humans for... natural disasters. 150,000 humans die each and every day... that's millions every couple weeks. Should we find someone to blame that on as well? Or find something more valuable to do with our limited time here?

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

This is what distribution legs look like for major indices--these "three little claws" This is how large institutions exit their positions--in this case selling the nasdaq via #QQQ It does not mean a top--it precedes a top. We oft drive it higher once after we do this July 22-24 to be interesting

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

Man, if I really make it in life and hit .01%er status, can't tell you how much I'd love to have an old schooner/large tri-mast sailer for Seattle-to-Hawaii (yeah; I get the crew-cost and upkeep cost of a 100yr old wooden boat). But damn if that's not beautiful. Probably amazing far-out at sea...

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

I have two tiny ones in the forest--smaller than dogs. They're so damn cute I can't even yell at them or scare them... when they're eating plantings and shrubbery. I just sit there and take it as they devour everything I plant : )

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

Yeah man. He lies. As has every other President. Sadly his job isn't to emulate a Rockwell painting; rather, his is to close-off our country in preparation for what's to come--and play a global game of Hungry-Hungry Hippos with all the capital minted in '20 Sadly there was no other man for that job

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025

Looking forward to checking the show. Diggin the shirts, maign. 🍸 www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Rnz...

youtube.com

Hawaiian Cowboy

YouTube video by Roy Rogers - Topic

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 10/07/2025

Yeah, but the market isn't allowed to experience it until post-mopex: derivatives tack-and-pin the market; sentiment and non-institutional capital are less than tertiary. Several trading days after July 18 to be interesting--just as they were a few trading days after June 20

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 10/07/2025

Yeah! Reminds me of San Juan Island. Forgot about the camels just chillin' while you ride bikes around to wineries.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 07/07/2025

Yet, when necessary, we mint capital/currency at-will. When able to print 40% of GDP, a la 2020, borrowing is less concerning. When we mint capital, our bond debt repayment is significantly decreased. It's how we tax the world. We're an empire: who runs the planet. Well.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

Personally unfamilliar with any politician, over the brief history of time, who has failed to brazenly lie. Were I to post "dogs brazenly bark", would you think me stupid, childish, or just in need of something to say? Nice thing about being an adult is we don't need to shout "fire" at a barbecue.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

The divergenge therebetween over the last 6mos is fascinating to me.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

I'd like to trade some of my deer for rabbits (no offense, good Sir ; ) The rabbits, well, they can't quite reach my young conifers and devour my reforestation and habitat restoration efforts.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

💯 All I can say is... never take-over the family acreage upon which you grew-up... and then undertake property restoration in the form of landscaping and dirt-moving. #PetCemetary #Trauma

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

Imagine the rest of the world, if you will, as more... "a dollar thang." You may un-imagine it later. VEU and DXY (DXY pretty in pink) It's a weekly from 2014. Rarely do inverse correlates exhibit this level of clarity $VGK, $EEM the same--not $FXI & $KWEB Freeby: DXY down w/UNG+USO next 1-2mos.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

It is, though--normal. All empires experience boom and bust; rise and decline. It's no longer 1946; the world (and US) are not as we once were. Everything is ephemera--both society and sentiments.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

Always enjoyable to watch (markets) when we remove the derivatives glass ceiling/floor on each and every quater's quad-witch. 6/20 was this one; the trading days proceeding is when the action tends to occur Quite profitable in 2020 when they held us up until March; rather, they're always profitable

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

Causality more interesting to me. Federal government possibly less able to incorporate immigrant employment than ADP. Also structurally they've somewhat different sectoral input variables, no? Would love to see someone do a deep dive here. The divergence is interesting stuff for those in the game.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

Best lilttle beachy bike-cruise on the planet: Santa Monica to Palos Verdes Penninsula and back. (Or the reverse if you're slumming it in Torrance instead of Pacific Palisades ; )

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/07/2025

Any opinions on the ADP vs NFP divergence we've been experiencing of late?

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

You'll note that this was posted an hour before the massive healthcare sector $XLV enjoyed its biggest opening drive and bounce in some time Traders know these things before they happen So do Presidents. @bencarlson007.bsky.social yes: elites know where the mkt is going (TLT bounce incoming)

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 13/05/2025

Clown face belongs to anyone who spouts "tariff" posts without understanding that anything tarrif-related can be reversed at any moment by a few words in a press release Trump is akin to Powell as to mkt control If you pay attention to nonsense and post about it? Well, there's a reason you're poor

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

Srsly dude, don't pretend it's all simple. It's incredibly disrespectful to professionals--and you're not someone who could beat the S&P. Ever. People who don't know any better have their retirements and lives on the line. It's not a game. It's not easy.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

Fairly ridiculous list when it can be altered at any point in time whatsoever by a press release. "Garbage-in" begets "garbage-out." Let's not do the fintwit noise thing for attention: "real" and "substantive" have no quantitative/actionable definitions.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

Interesting. But deficits only worrisome when one does not control the global default currency. And we've actively/effectively plumbed the DXY globally since 20 We've no threats to the dollar at current. As such, deficits are meaningless (always are to whichever country runs the world historically)

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

"The market," friend, is not monolithic: it loves nothing; suffers no generalizations The market of 1950--tied to gold--is regularly altered by historical currency issuances+fed activities which steadily change its (liquidity-based) reactivity Don't make it seem easy: you'll cost real folks real $

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

To quote the best text I've ever read on trading psychology, "The markets can't do anything to a trader who completely trusts himself to act appropriately, in his best interests, under all market conditions." And I do. #bulletproof (from Mark Douglas' matchless "The Disciplined Trader")

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

Hit max daily loss today. Got too aggressive too early (a problem of mine: a personal one ; ) Cost me about $40k in later opportunities plus the $26k But if you can't trust yourself to hit-out when you hit your max daily loss, you're not exactly a trader, are you? Tomorrow a new day continued...

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

Ok. It shapes-up like this: DeGraaf on Guitar; Neil lead vocals. Pav on Drums. (Pav backup vocals/harmony with the whole Catholic choir boy thing; singing drummers ftw). Harry Chen? He does whatever the **** he wants. #King "The (West) Village People"

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

His job, Sir, is the same as Powell's: To provide obfuscatory cover and contain and control our markets He's exquisite at it, our Great Orange Buffalo. It's a (significant) mistake to think him stupid or to consider his statements random. He buttresses (or neuters) the mkt's confidence when needed

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

Not sure the "West Coast PBS tote-bag population" (as Josh calls them) is allowed to give any likes for anything with F*x news in it. Rest assured, however, men exist on the West Coast as well.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

That's correct His job is the same as Powell's: providing requisite obfuscatory control over the equity/bond mkts The Great Orange Buffalo's purview is that of equities; Scary Jerry's? That of bonds We're tanking equities long-term via tariff levers right now. We're "guiding" the public to bonds.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

Duuuude. Haven't played on Rainier's glaciers and rivers for a couple years. Best mtn in the PNW--bar none. (Also sometimes the highest peak in the contiguous US dependant upon snowfall). Music, markets, and mountains = my life. And that massive beast and its rivers? Best I've ever enjoyed.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

DTJB: Your interview with Block? Top-tier. You (Barry?) land some amazing guests: who've taught me much. Thank you for that--most sincerely. But that gentleman? That's what an *absurdly* high intellect looks and sounds like. He's top decile amongst all you've ever interviewed. Nice. Thank you.

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VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025

Maaan, worst thing about becoming an adult with some comprehension of global affairs and macroeconomics? One becomes a John Bolton/hawk. Such a strange tranformation (for me) from the "peace n love" of my youth to outright war pig. Life is such a strange thing. www.youtube.com/watch?v=bc5N...

youtube.com

War Pigs

YouTube video by Black Sabbath - Topic

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