Sign in

VanguardMcBlackrock

@vanguardmcblack.bsky.social
351 followers 155 following 940 posts

Global trader. Swing and Intraday. Bonds, US equities, futures. Bluesky = Web 1.0 Learning how to be nice again after too many years in the fintwit jungle. www.youtube.com/watch?v=swYdKF1MpWg

PostsRepliesMedia
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/07/2025
This is what distribution legs look like for major indices--these "three little claws" This is how large institutions exit their positions--in this case selling the nasdaq via #QQQ It does not mean a top--it precedes a top. We oft drive it higher once after we do this July 22-24 to be interesting
100 1
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/05/2025
Hit max daily loss today. Got too aggressive too early (a problem of mine: a personal one ; ) Cost me about $40k in later opportunities plus the $26k But if you can't trust yourself to hit-out when you hit your max daily loss, you're not exactly a trader, are you? Tomorrow a new day continued...
110 1
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 09/05/2025
A good Friday (albeit a bit late). And a strong week. Almost hit my max loss ($25k intraday). Scalped it out: S&P-style. Linda Rashke (my fave) once said that being able to work one's self out of a hole was one of the most important aspects of those who trade seriously. Starting to get that.
000 0
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
Thankful today. Started it off down $20k+ having to dump UNH calls near the open. Thankfully, I trade the most difficult instument in the world: the S&P. And I do it with consistent profitability. Sorry about the East Coast 0dte pods I blow-up. Every month. Rinse/repeat. Best of luck to you kids.
100 1
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
Flawless day. Took more focus and energy than running a 10k. Exhuasted right now. If you listened to Powell instead of trading the market in front of you, well, you're a reporter: or someone who lacks seriousness as to markets. Long+short: AAPL Long+short: S&P Swing: UNH #Intraday #NoMistakes
000 0
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 27/04/2025
I play music. DeGraaf/RenMac down at Stagecoach music fest Fri: sporting a cowboy hat (#correct) Vintage country on my mind ever since. So here's me playing some Sunday country. Told @davenadig.bsky.social I'd share something. Happy Sunday from the McBlackrocks drive.proton.me/urls/TK4GZ1C...
110 1
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 21/04/2025
One fave classic media story involves "dark crosses" or "death crosses" w/the 50sma crossing the 200sma down. These haven't been valid in years; mkt liquidity more than capable of holding itself up until we see fewer puts Don't short the SPX "death cross" here "Financial" media stories=for poors.
010 1
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/04/2025
Yes, traders usually know where the market is going and everything you hear on CNBC and Bloomberg is complete and total bullshit (made to encourage people to waste their time and money and keep them poor). *Totally* unrelated note: US bonds bottom here and now #TLT www.youtube.com/watch?v=hjNA...
youtube.com
Gary US Bonds - Quarter To Three
YouTube video by Risjah
010 1
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 27/03/2025
Dollar/DXY about done with its flex for now. Russel D. Muscle as well. Time for bonds to make a run/rates to make a (brief) trip lower. Our bounce is now tired.
110 1
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 17/03/2025
This is the part they don't tell you about: when we're about to reverse the dollar/DXY needs to test 105 again. All that stuff you're hearing about long China and long TLT right now? DXY to catch a bid here as the afternoon changes and all the ideas about Friday's witches start to reverse...
000 0
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 13/03/2025
Done with China and US bonds for a bit. (Short FXI form 36.63 and very short US bonds/TLT from 90.55). yields (tnx), dollar, and crude to bounce into next Friday. (rest of market as well). China and US bonds to be gutted by TNX (yields) and dollar bounce into next weeks' quad witching.
000 0
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/03/2025
Remember what we said about AAPL and NVDA? That toilet flush is done now. Ignore the bullshit you're hearing. This is a swing-bottom for *semis* and AVGO. Look for semis to rebound into mopex (Monthly Options Expiry: and this one has witches). Or listen to Bloomberg and CNBC and get poor. Cheers.
010 1
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
Worst possible choice for portfolio managers right now: buy more AAPL and NVDA. And they have no clue what else do. So portfolio managers will buy more AAPL and NVDA.
020 2
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Now friends, the trade station is locked-away so that I don't suffer any "brilliant" seven-figure trade ideas while smoking doobs and sipping Lagavulin (neat). As such, apologies for the simple daily OHLC. But do understand the $XLY is not a joke as a mkt-wide reversion and counter-trend indicator:
040 4
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 02/01/2025
Not trading until Monday. Did a nice 5mi up a mountainside before the sun rose this morn, now doing a little acoustic. But re-read Rashke's (amazing) "Trading Sardines" over the holiday: and I'm now convinced I'll miss some amazingness or opportunities in markets while being a holiday forest hippy.
240 4
Reposted by VanguardMcBlackrock
Matt @itsmattagain.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
2025 is going to be the year I become even WORSE
71213 121
Reposted by VanguardMcBlackrock
Easy Markets @easymarkets.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
Happy 2025!
132 3
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 31/12/2024
Daily PSA If a bSky account contains: 1. A Lamborghini 2. A Rolex with extra diamonds 3. A swimming pool 4. Any combination whatsoever of the preceding? *def* follow them for financial advice or "trading secrets" Because that's what it's all about: leasing a car and glueing zirconia to a Rolex
160 6
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 19/12/2024
Watch China as everyone makes noise and panics. FXI/KWEB/CSXE held strong today against a DXY pop. Tepper is poking around here somewhere; am looking to catch a ride with him.
120 2
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 18/12/2024
Most intraday fun I've ever experienced. Enterting UNH outright longs, LMT longs, dollar-down shorts (amazing dollar pop today; methinks its last). Also, "quantum deez nuts." Fishing for a TLT bottom around 86-87. Not sure yet.
140 4
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 14/12/2024
For anyone interested in having the most fascinating, beautiful, and pleasant "Discover" feed on BlueSky, I highly recommend trying the following: even if only for a day. Who knows, you might even find some new friends when all the hate-posting can't even make it past your Bluesky security team:
140 4
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
XLV double-bottom and everyone hanging out under the AAPL tree. Such a cool/fascinating week, this one.
010 1
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
LMT: Lockheed. I'm long here: on that bullshit b-berg "trumped-up" story that hit twenty seconds after the close yesterday. When you smell bullshit? You probably stepped in a big pile of Bloomberg. Bullshit pays.
150 5
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 12/12/2024
Unpopular: sucks that a man died. I'm over it. Literally a million other humans have passed since (really). Most likely many tens of thousands of them were more important. I'm long UNH here.
120 2
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
@estrader.bsky.social exact same trendline as before. if we selloff into PPI(cpce) watching this line as a magnet
130 3
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
Dollar plunging violently #DXY
120 2
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
000 0
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 08/12/2024
Ohhk. Markets for the week: with pen, paper, and sectoral analysis. IWM sideways, QQQ up, DIA takes damage, SPY closes lower than this week, and rates drop like lead. (Also, no one knows the future: one can only position. Real traders use endless stops and are wrong more than anyone. Profitably.)
030 3
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
AAPL and ES. Same breakdown. Nibbling short AAPL. Haven't shorted AAPL in.. can't remember
230 3
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
Allllll that excitement yesterday about the "big deal" NFP report. Es doesn't care; turned 30mins after open. At levels from yesterday. The game continues.
020 2
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Measured moves. /ES futures levels at a perfect measured move from 2020 lows. Measured moves are concerning; this one... is perfect @estrader.bsky.social
130 3
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
"MSTR: How to spot a pump-n-dump top... in one easy post" When garbage is pushed and you see it, you never attempt to pick a top. You wait until you can see it, then short later. No money is made guessing at tops. Massive volume spikes in combination with absurd price-action is how we see it.
271 7
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Still looking for those Bitcoin all time highs to show up in the actual market during real market hours. Lotta noise last night, the market opened, and feels more like... a marketing campaign. Microstragegy, Marathon Digital, RIOT, and the BITO etf--the primary BTC instruments--weak and failing.
130 3
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
ARKK sporting an utterly perfect head & shoulders. It's rather beautiful. Reminds me of Mt. Adams...
100 1
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
AAPL has my eye tomorrow: after what appeared a "program-up" or institutional buying for the the last handful of trading days. (daily chart left, 2hr, 15m)
120 2
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
Scary Jerry in T-minus 5. Best bet is it looks bullish af after/during "Jerry time" and these downtrends reverse... then tank again in 1-2hrs. But the future is difficult to predict (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA here; 3min)
130 3
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 04/12/2024
Tomorrow, Wednesday, is the third trading day of the new month Most often, it's the first three days of a new month where the freshly contributed capital from pensions and 401K plans is put to work It's Thursday that's of interest to me for watching XLK darlings like AAPL and the XLC's META/GOOGL
050 5
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
/ng (Henry Hub Natural Gas) isn't tanking right now due to weather reports. Ukrainian peace implies Russian LNG flooding the market. And we, the United States, are the world's #1 LNG exporter. It's potentially bigger than just /ng; has implications for the dollar/DXY.
010 1
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
Ohhk. Brunch done, market readings done. Think I've figured out the bond futes market for the week. Time to put on some steepeners. Still have this sinking feeling from somewhere that... disappointment awaits.
000 0
VanguardMcBlackrock @vanguardmcblack.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
@mtbakerdadx3.bsky.social Noticed the like on the Mt. Rainier comment; couldn't ignore your username. Nice. Baker a fave too. Bad pic of the living room mantle and Baker gear...
020 2