iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

I’d also probably include campaign finance into it, but yeah it’s pretty plausible

110

The White Sox are winning solely based on vibes right now and I AM HERE FOR IT

0170

Despite the Kentucky Democrats losing their incumbent in #HD95, a Trump+58 district in the heart of coal country, it's still a competitive race there this year. Why? They got former State Senator Johnny Ray Turner (who's really popular here) to run! SLEW RATING: Toss-Up

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Early in-person, mostly because my early voting site is a block away from my house

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Republicans thought that the attack would work because all Republican comms teams are terminally online chuds

0997

Despite Kansas's #HD41 backing Trump by 17 points, the Republicans have effectively conceded it. Why? A strong Democrat (former State Senator Jeff Pittman) and a Republican accused of abusing her children. The House GOP cut her loose last month. SLEW RATING: Likely D (FLIP)

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

Bill Maher hating Democrats except for the ogre Senator and the rapist lobsterman is very on brand

020

Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Iowa's #SD35 was the first district in the country to flip after Trump got inaugurated for a second term. This Trump+21 district was flipped blue by Mike Zimmer just a week after Trump was sworn in. Now Zimmer has to defend it, a big ask, but possible SLEW RATING: Toss-Up

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

I know I've said it on here before but Ethan will bounce between solid election analysis (calling out rating outlets before being late to the party, having a very good thread on why the Nebraska legislature could flip Dem in the future) And just downright arrogant overconfidence

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

With the Republican incumbent in Indiana's #SD01 getting demolished in the primary after voting against redistricting, the Democrats have a chance to flip this Trump+7 district in Lake County blue. It's bluer downballot too, which should help. SLEW RATING: Toss-Up

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Can a Democratic Socialist flip a Republican-held seat in DuPage County? We'll find out in #SD24 as DSA-backed Ben McAdams challenges Republican incumbent Seth Lewis in this Harris+3 seat. Lewis is a rare labor-backed Republican (AFL-CIO endorsed). SLEW Rating: Lean D (FLIP)

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Me normally: 😐 Me when *checks notes* Case Keenum?: 😃 bsky.app/profile/uncr...

090

Covering the mighty city of Pocatello, Idaho's #LD29 will be a major battleground this year. This Trump+12 district is more Democratic-friendly downballot, especially in non-Presidential years. SLEW RATINGS: Lean D (Senate), Lean R (House Seat A), Lean D (FLIP) (House Seat B)

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I just saw him wrestle last night live too what the actual fuck

010

No we do not need 8 posts about a poll from them from Iowa when they were literally banned from 538 for faking polls

1290

I'll defend the polling aggregate accounts for a lot of things (namely related to things related to crashouts from ex-538 members), but one thing I will not defend them about is treating obvious glup shitto pollsters like legitimate polls. Like, Big Data Polling should not be taken seriously

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A chaotic three-way race has emerged in Hawaii's #HD14 (Lahaina) between a Democrat-turned-Republican incumbent, a Democrat, and a Green Party candidate who has attracted a LOT of union/progressive support. Pure toss-up here, expect chaos. SLEW RATING: Toss-Up

0254

Idk, I’d think if they were Nazis they wouldn’t be footsy about their dogwhistles

100

Yeah it’s weird. Their website has it as 1486, but the Facebook page is 1488

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

What’s the implication here, just seems like a really unfortunate address

000

In a year where Georgia Democrats look like they'll do good on all levels, there's one seat in the State House where that might not happen, #HD128 in rural Georgia. This Trump+4 district has trended rightwards in recent cycles and has no incumbent running. SLEW RATING: Toss-Up

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

The Florida Democrats can defeat a party-switcher in #HD101, a Trump+3 district in southern Broward County. Republican incumbent Hillary Cassel left the Dems after the 2024 elections, but she's at serious risk of losing this November. SLEW RATING: Lean D (FLIP)

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Thanks to a retirement, the Delaware Republicans are at risk of losing yet another Harris-won district, this time in #HD09 in southern New Castle County. If the Democrats aren't flipping an open Harris+15 district this year, something's wrong. SLEW RATING: Likely D (FLIP)

0344

Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

We’ve got Republicans in Trump+20 districts going negative against their Democratic opponents, what is going on

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Uncrewed @uncrewed.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

Bro, I only have six seats around Indianapolis ON THE BOARD right now. We're talking about districts up to Trump+17-18 flipping if Republican fears are real bsky.app/profile/purr...

37210

Thanks to retirements/running for Governor, the Connecticut Democrats have two big flip opportunities in the State Senate in #SD28 and #SD36. Both districts backed Harris by nearly 20 points and are incumbent-less in a blue year. SLEW RATINGS: Likely D (FLIP) (Both)

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Simpsons Nerd Yelling Meme

Ellis is the only one who has a right to complain here (actually being a part of Marist) As for the others?

static.klipy.com

ALT: Simpsons Nerd Yelling Meme

1771

It is taking everything in my willpower not to laugh when people act like breaking a poll embargo is akin to murder

917822

2022 electorate was 44% college grad too according to the CNN exit poll

1170

tfw you run a campaign entirely on being anti-Zohran Mamdani when the President comes in support of Mamdani

0210

The Colorado Democrats can create a supermajority in the State Senate if they flip #SD30 in northern Douglas County. By flipping this Harris+2 district and one State House seat, the Colorado Dems will have supermajorities in both chambers! SLEW RATING: Lean D (FLIP)

1468

Yeah the bar to get on the ballot as an Independent candidate in Illinois is extremely high (way too high imo) The only reason why the Independent I'm talking about didn't get thrown out is probably because nobody challenged his signatures

100

Do I like how Chuy Garcia handed off the Democratic nomination to Patty Garcia? No. Will I vote for her anyway? Probably, she seems very progressive (pro-ICE abolition, pro-M4A, calling Israel's war in Gaza a Genocide and wants to stop sending weapons to Israel) and everyone else here isn't

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