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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

Latest at @fiftyplusone.news: We built a dataset tracking every primary endorsement from Trump, progressive groups, party committees, women’s groups, and pro-Israel groups. Halfway through the season, here's who's winning. 🧵 blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/primary-pr...

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FiftyPlusOne.news @fiftyplusone.news · 31/07/2026

50+1 is very happy to publish this analysis of 2026 primary candidates from @meredithconroy.bsky.social @tsyang27.bsky.social & Cooper Burton, following the tradition of similar projects from FiveThirtyEight. What types of candidates are winning 2026 primaries? blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/primary-pr...

blog.fiftyplusone.news

We tracked every candidate in the 2026 primaries. Here's who voters are nominating.

Our original dataset tracks endorsements across every congressional and gubernatorial race to reveal how party leaders and ideological groups are faring.

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 18/06/2026

Latest in House exodus from @fiftyplusone.news: A record number of sitting House members are running for other offices — and losing in the primaries. Many chose to enter crowded primary fields, and a dozen have already failed to secure their party's nomination. open.substack.com/pub/fiftyplu...

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FiftyPlusOne.news @fiftyplusone.news · 18/06/2026

New: House members are losing their bids for higher office at a historically high rate. What's going on? We dive in, with data going back over 30 years. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/house-memb...

blog.fiftyplusone.news

House members keep losing their bids for higher office

This year’s primary features an unusually high percentage of competitive House members running for other offices, and their track record is not very good

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 11/02/2026

Hello! I've been lurking on Bluesky for years but finally decided to make it official. Posts before this one are migrated from my X account, with varying levels of success.

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 04/02/2026

Excited to carry on the Trump Score name with @VoteHub! I gathered Trump's positions on 282 floor votes in 2025 to calculate how often each member of Congress agreed with the president, and dug into what issues and dynamics have dominated floor action in Trump's second term. 🧵

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 27/01/2026

In a new analysis for @VoteHub, @marywitha4 and I dug into county-level turnout in VA, PA, and NJ to explore off-year turnout trends, and how electorates changed after the 2016 election. (Spoiler: suburban voters love to vote.)

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 15/05/2025

Reunited with my first chart love, the Congress scatterplot! Excited to share that I've been contributing to the Hunter Index, a nonprofit covering politicians' finances. Check out my data viz for our new series: huntrjay.substack.com/p/exclusive-h…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 05/03/2025

Along with the rest of my incredible colleagues at 538, I was laid off today. Everyone on this team taught me so much, and made me a better writer, editor, and coworker every day. I can't believe it's only been a year and a half, but it's been a great one.

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 19/02/2025

Do... Do Trump's employees have serial numbers? (Severance-coded) www.whitehouse.gov/remarks/2025/01/… h/t @holly_fuong

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 03/01/2025

With full attendance and Massie voting against him, Johnson can only afford 1 GOP present vote. 2+ present = no majority. 5+ would give Jeffries the majority. In comparison, McCarthy won in 2023 with 6 GOP present votes, Pelosi in 2021 with 3 Dems present, 2 Dems against.

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 25/07/2024

In 538's latest, Mary Radcliffe and Cooper Burton took a deep dive into the polling, politics and pros and cons of some of the leading Harris VP candidates. Read the full story here! abcnews.go.com/538/8-potential-kama…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 23/04/2024

Happy primary day, Pennsylvania! Polls close at 8pm Eastern, and the 538 election night live blog is up and running: abcnews.go.com/538/live-updates/pen…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 05/04/2024

This is certainly a new dynamic reflecting the majority's unprecedented fragility and how hardline conservatives may have overplayed their hand in this Congress. Read the full story here! abcnews.go.com/538/feels-government…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 05/04/2024

We also heard a lot about Johnson relying on Democratic votes. That's not unprecedented (see Ryan, Boehner), but there WAS something unusual this year – it's the only annual funding bill in at least 25 years to violate the Hastert rule, with a majority of the majority opposing.

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 20/03/2024

It's primary night in Ohio and Illinois (and more!) -- our live blog is in full swing with live results and analysis. abcnews.go.com/538/live-updates/ill…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 18/03/2024

Were your student loans forgiven under the Biden administration? @MonicaBPotts is looking for folks to interview for a story. Drop your info here: abcnews.go.com/538/student-loans-fo…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 07/03/2024

Nikki Haley's campaign exposed cracks in Trump's GOP ... but could also help keep the party together. @meredithconroy_ tackled this, and what Haley's run has to tell us about women in politics. abcnews.go.com/538/haleys-campaign-…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 22/02/2024

A month after New Hampshire, Trump is poised to take another step toward the nomination in South Carolina on Saturday. @geoffreyvs's race preview digs into why Haley's home state looks like it's Trump's to lose. t.co/vuKYUXfyo6

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 09/02/2024

We rounded up recent polls on the news of the week to see what Americans think about extreme weather, Israel aid, the congressional border deal, the Super Bowl and Valentine's Day. Check out the latest #pollapalooza here: abcnews.go.com/538/americans-climat…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 02/02/2024

We took a look at the latest Senate (and presidential) campaign finance reports to see who's doing well, who's struggling and who might not be running at all. Check out the latest 538 politics chat here! abcnews.go.com/538/senate-candidate…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 30/01/2024

Check out the full story (and data) from me and Cooper Burton here! trib.al/wItoTkM 6/6

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 30/01/2024

On the chamber’s 30-odd non-nomination votes, some endangered (or retiring, in Manchin’s case) Democrats used Congressional Review Act votes to burnish their moderate credentials and go on record against the president’s policies in largely symbolic votes. 5/

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 30/01/2024

How did Congress vote in relation to Biden’s positions in 2023? Some highlights from our latest analysis: House Republicans spent much of their floor time passing measures with little chance of becoming law. That meant they voted pretty cohesively as a party. 1/

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 23/01/2024

DeSantis's prospects were promising at the start of 2023, but his campaign was plagued by issues from its launch in late May... perhaps none as insurmountable as voters' continued loyalty to Donald Trump. @geoffreyvs's latest: trib.al/qGEj0Ka

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 15/01/2024

The Iowa caucuses begin at 7pm Central! Join us to get caught up on the state of the race, and stick around for live results and analysis.

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Quoted Tweet on X

View tweet at https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1747021445492863385

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 09/01/2024

Yes, there are three more GOP primary debates this month. DeSantis and Haley will face off in Iowa tomorrow, while Christie will join in NH. Plus, @geoffreyvs takes a look at just how parties and media outlets have been deciding who makes the stage. trib.al/tlMkyJ8

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 04/01/2024

Could Trump actually get kicked off the ballot? @geoffreyvs, @MonicaBPotts and I chatted about what to expect from 14th Amendment challenges to disqualify Trump based on the Jan. 6 insurrection, and how they could affect the presidential race. t.co/55MndlnznM

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 22/12/2023

Hispanic voters are a growing part of the electorate -- but what issues could motivate them to turn out in 2024? @MonicaBPotts and @holly_fuong took a look at their views on immigration, the environment and more. abcnews.go.com/538/issues-matter-hi…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 21/12/2023

My first for @FiveThirtyEight! It looks like high turnout is the new norm, particularly in suburbs. Mary Radcliffe, @holly_fuong and I took a deep dive into county-level turnout data in some key elections of 2023. abcnews.go.com/538/high-suburban-tu…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 21/11/2023

It's a Thanksgiving edition of the 538 politics chat! @baseballot, @leahaskarinam and I discussed what Biden, Trump, Mike Johnson and others might be feeling thankful for this holiday season. abcnews.go.com/538/biden-thankful-2…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 17/11/2023

The Squad's stances on Israel have sparked backlash from other Democrats, and could pave the way for tough primary challenges bolstered by pro-Israel outside groups. Read more from @geoffreyvs. abcnews.go.com/538/squads-views-isr…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 13/11/2023

Most Americans want stricter gun control laws but don't think they'll get them. And more than 2 in 5 Americans worry about becoming a victim of a mass shooting. Check out 538's latest polling column by @MonicaBPotts. t.co/pUSyBSfuEH

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 07/11/2023

Voters today are casting ballots on everything from governorships to local referenda. Join the @FiveThirtyEight crew this evening as we live blog results from Election Day 2023! abcnews.go.com/538/live-updates/ele…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 06/11/2023

From governorships to mayoral contests, check out our preview of some of the biggest races on the ballot tomorrow: abcnews.go.com/538/biggest-races-wa…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 03/11/2023

The third GOP primary debate is next Wednesday, and RNC qualification requirements will shrink the field. @geoffreyvs explains how DeSantis, Haley, Ramaswamy and Christie made the cut -- and Tim Scott might have. abcnews.go.com/538/republican-debat…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 26/10/2023

Stakes are high in the upcoming Virginia legislative elections, where Republicans are looking to pick up a state government trifecta. @geoffreyvs has more on which races to watch and what issues are shaping the contest. t.co/XypfoY83rc

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 23/10/2023

Turning out young voters could be key for Democrats in 2024 -- @MonicaBPotts and @holly_fuong dug into survey data to explore some of the issues where voters under 30 sit to the left of the general electorate. abcnews.go.com/538/voters-30-trendi…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 23/10/2023

Speaker endorsement tracking, round 2. So far Majority Whip Tom Emmer is in the lead with 6 endorsements. Bergman and Donalds each have 4, all from their respective home states. Let me know if I missed anyone! t.co/HOw8Rx1AbY

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 20/10/2023

On the third ballot, Jordan loses ground, with 25 members now voting against him (plus two GOP absences). All GOP votes here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1f5E…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 20/10/2023

After two failed speaker votes, Jordan’s path is unclear. @geoffreyvs has more on how a decline in party discipline, intraparty divisions, and a slim GOP majority have led to this impasse. abcnews.go.com/538/house-republican…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 18/10/2023

🎵 Should I give up, or should I just keep chasing floor votes?🎵 2nd ballot speaker vote up next, updates here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1f5E…

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 11/10/2023

Personal news 2/2. I started a temporary editor/reporter position at @FiveThirtyEight today! I'll be around helping with coverage through early May. Still based in Philly but may pop over to DC and NY. Send your tips here: tia.yang@abc.com

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 06/10/2023

Personal news 1/2. Since moving back to town, I've been excited and honored to revive @WTL_Philly, interviewing Philadelphians affected by gun violence. I'll keep WTLP posts over there, but would love if you'd check out my first couple interviews with partners at @cureviolencephl

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Quoted Tweet on X

View tweet at https://twitter.com/WTL_Philly/status/1710341956381921442

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 10/06/2023

@saksappeal Yes! I tell people repeatedly every year. Shhhh, let them have their moment!

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 10/06/2023

After nearly five years, today was my last day at CQ Roll Call. It's been an incredible honor to roam the halls of the Capitol among some of the best reporters in the business. I'm not sure what comes next, but I'm moving back to my adopted home of Philly, and my DMs are open.

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 08/06/2023

Hawks on the Hill gear up for NDAA markups.

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Tia Yang @tsyang27.bsky.social · 02/06/2023

Schumer read his joint statement with McConnell to "dispel rumors" by stating that the debt limit agreement wouldn't limit future supplemental funding to respond to national security threats -- or to domestic issues like disaster relief and the fentanyl crisis.

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