iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 10/09/2026

On Mig-29s. Some of the airframes in the count are Mig-29UBs (Uchebno-boyevoy, i.e., trainer), and they are nay impossible to tell apart from the regular Mig-29s on sat imagery.

150

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

A further count of selected Russian military aircraft as per the dates indicated, with accompanying notes. 1. Warspotting losses have been accounted for. 2. A big drop in Mig-29s vs the previous count due to an airframe quality reassessment (e.g., Lipetsk).

160

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

1/6 Seeing as we’ve covered off the state and quantity of Russian artillery (I couldn’t ID many of the towed pieces, so gave up), tanks and IFVs, I thought I’d review the state of Russian Tu-22M and Tu-95 (for now just those two).

2111

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Is that a FUCKING GAZ-69??? www.youtube.com/watch?v=RB6p...

190

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

leoskyview.bsky.social has pointed out the unidentified Planoviy pieces could be from the 40s/50s, and I think he is 100% right. I think what we can't ID are a combination of these - guns built in the 30s, 40s and 50s. On this basis, Planoviy takes the status of a museum.

060

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

1/4 Planoviy 30 cm of 13 May 2026. By far Russia’s largest towed artillery storage base. If I remember correctly, Highmarsed was the one who did an ID and count of pieces at the base last year. Vantor-30cm © 2026 Vantor

1121

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

Rubtsovskiy 30 cm of 16 Aug 2026. I have previously theorised that there are likely not many BMP-1/2 hulls left here, but I was mistaken. The image was 10 m by Spot, which isn't ideal. I am not sure if Rubtsovskiy is active, but I believe these BMP-1/2s are junk. Vantor-30cm © 2026 Vantor

1101

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 14/08/2026

1/3 Using this post by Jake Epstein x.com/byjepstein/s..., I’ve compared the before and after on three out of Russia’s five Black Sea Fleet frigates. Comparative imagery by GE.

162

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 13/07/2026

1/4 The suggestion that Russia is using tanks less these days “because drones” doesn’t really add up. For three reasons.

130

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

1/2 I was tossing between “Guys, don’t forget to sweep up when you’re done” and “Furthermore confirmation that Russia is indeed overhauling and producing a lot of armour” to scribe what I’m seeing. I’ve settled on “Russia to resume production of T-80 tanks”. Vantor-15cm © 2026 Vantor

360

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

103rd BTRZ 30 cm of 25 June 2026. No comment needed.

260

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

Two more BTRZs on order - Omsk and 103rd. 15 and 30 cm resolution, so should be quite good! Figured we'd get a little BTRZ update.

0100

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

081

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

171

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 04/07/2026

1/2 Can m/any of the “junk” Russian SPGs in storage be restored to combat worthiness? We can’t know. But by year 4.5 of the war, you’d think the pieces they could have brought back into service they would have, especially considering:

181

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 04/07/2026

1/7 First up, the total count. You will have to forgive me, I didn’t count the self-propelled mortars or towed artillery. 94th and 80th together account for ~80% of Russia’s stored SPGs, and I wanted to just focus on these.

1111

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 04/07/2026

180

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 03/07/2026

As a special treat, I'm coming out with Vantor 15cm (yes, you read that right!) of 80th and 94th of May and June respectively. Will post as soon as available.

0120

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 03/07/2026

091

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 03/07/2026

UVZ of 3 May 2026. ~393 visible tanks in total vs 417 as of 28 Feb 2028, of which 15 are departing on a train appearing refurbished. They're working their way through the backlog at this BTRZ, I can tell you that much. Pleiades © 2026 Airbus

170

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 22/06/2026

Regarding 349th, it appears they've simply moved the tanks and BMPs around the base a touch is all - particularly these two sections in red (from GE). Simple housekeeping.

150

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 22/06/2026

Indeed, "furthermore" proof of copium. The vatnik can ID a freshly-made tank from sat imagery that has been sent back to open-air storage in Siberia. Wow.

140

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 09/06/2026

How are Russia's "mechanised assaults by summer" progressing? 🤔

160

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

80th 50cm of 15 Feb 2026. With the exception of the 2s9 SPMs, which have grown considerably, I see no change since July of 2025 in either SPGs or towed artillery. Apart from 7049th, it would appear 80th is the only base storing some viable SPGs. I have long suggested that 94th is a junker.

1132

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 01/03/2026

Wherever and whoever you are, please stay vigilant to possible terrorist attacks by Iran’s sleeper cells in light of the current events 🙏

020

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 28/02/2026

UVZ 50cm of 28 Feb 2026. I've counted ~417 tanks vs 482 as of 4 Nov 2025 per Covert, a drop of 65 in four months. Too early to draw any definitive conclusions, but I will mention that one tank withdrawn from storage doesn't necessarily equal one refurbed working tank. 12 Aug 2025 for reference.

0171

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 28/02/2026

7049th 50cm of 25 Feb 2026. Basically, no significant change since 24 July 2025. Some 2S19s and - I think - 2S3s. The rest appears to be transport and engineering.

051

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 06/02/2026

Rubtsovskiy BTRZ 10m of 11 Jan and 31 Jan 2026 vs GE of 23 May 2025. No discernible change between the Januaries, but a significant thinning out vs GE. In fact, I would even suggest that the specs we are seeing are possibly leftover scrap.

160

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 05/02/2026

904th 1.5m of 4 Feb 2026. I've counted 37 tanks inside the red section, assuming that they are indeed tanks, as they have been in the past, and that they aren't keeping more elsewhere at this base. As far as tanks, the base is certainly not growing vs previous imagery.

080

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 01/02/2026

Yeah, no, the Russians are definitely producing new steel hull AFVs and have totally not run out of the Soviet stocks they could afford to lose. Because of course utility trucks have superior snow grip to tracked vehicles 🤦‍♂️

091

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 01/02/2026

Not really following the Iranian situation, but will just say that what America is engaging in is classic gunboat diplomacy.

052

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 24/01/2026

1/3 Just to be clear, I dissent from Jompy’s confident assertion (actually, conjecture) that the Russians are producing tanks from scratch. Yes, we have shared satellite imagery with each other, but disagree vehemently on the subject of full tank production (and other AFVs, for that matter).

180

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 20/01/2026

Probably stating the obvious here, but at these rates of losses, you'd think it's the Battle of Kursk every day... 🤔🤨

161

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 31/12/2025

Russian turtle tank numbers registered on Warspotting as percentages of total registered losses, by month, over the past two years. An obvious strong upward trend since turtle tanks began to appear in May 2024, and a further illustration of the deterioration of Russia's tank fleet.

0150

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

Something we need to be mindful of re Russian tanks is that turtle tanks aren’t proper tanks - they are frankensteined remains used as battering rams and to soak up drones. I've not seen one fire ever. I would think those that can move, but that aren’t worthy/capable of an overhaul, meet this fate.

090

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 12/12/2025

904th mid-res of 25 Nov 2025. I've counted ~50 tanks, that's about all I could realistically ID. UVZ has 482 visible as of 4 Nov 2025 (per Covert/Jompy), most likely awaiting repairs/cannibalisation. I do believe other BTRZs and storage bases have nothing viable left at this point.

0102

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 12/12/2025

Rubtsovskiy low-res of 30 Nov 2025. A considerable thinning out in the central section where the BMP-1/2s were kept for - presumably - repairs. Mid-res of 28 July 2025 for comparison. Other than 904th, there really isn't much else in the way of worthwhile BMP-1/2s left anywhere, in my view.

071

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 27/11/2025

Russian demands will continue to be punitive on Ukraine as long as either (1) Russia retains an advantage in missiles and, more importantly, troops over Ukraine or (2) Russia isn't crippled economically/financially. Neither of these circumstances is likely to change any time soon.

080

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 30/08/2025

904th - 1.5m pic of 27 Aug 2025 (left) and 20 Aug 2025 (right). There are around 50 of what I’m sure are tanks, but the section to the left there - might be tanks, or it might be something else. Also, moral of the story is: don’t rely on low-res imagery.

0170

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 29/08/2025

1/3 Alright, I'm now trying to keep an eye on UVZ - a BTRZ that's seemingly not been really looked at this war. 30cm pic of 12 Aug 2025.

1161

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 28/08/2025

1/2 Two points about India’s Russian oil imports. First, this. You do the maths.

171

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 18/08/2025

Sorry, people, 904th goes back to 'Likely decent' - Jompy has a higher-res pic of the 17th of August that we cannot share, but suffice it to say, it's good quality tanks, around 50 from what I saw.

1100

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 17/08/2025

Quick Russian tank storage base and BTRZ status report 3.0 Junk and/or empty: 349th 2456th / 103rd 1311th 111th 2544th 22nd 6018th Omsktransmash (visible hulls) 103rd BTRZ 904th Mainly junk and/or possibly empty by now: 61st BTRZ 769th Likely decent: UVZ (visible hulls)

0100

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 17/08/2025

904th low-res imagery of 12 Aug 2025 (with cloud & shadow) vs 8 July 2025 + medium-res of 6 July 2025 for comparison. I am not seeing any tanks here anymore, and the base itself is looking quite a bit thinner than before.

0100

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 16/08/2025

Quick Russian tank storage base and BTRZ status report 2.0 Junk and/or empty: 349th 2456th / 103rd 1311th 111th 2544th 22nd 6018th Omsktransmash (visible hulls) 103rd BTRZ Mainly junk: 61st BTRZ 769th Likely decent: 904th UVZ (visible hulls)

0110

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 16/08/2025

Rubtsovskiy BTRZ 1.5m image of 28 Jul 2025. Looks like the BMPs are still there, little change vs GE of 23 May 2025.

0130

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 16/08/2025

What did Russian tank storage bases say when offered to join the Special Military Operation? No tanks. 😂

0174

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 16/08/2025

769th 1.5m image of 16 July 2025. As of this date, there is seemingly one row of decent-ish looking T-62s left in the SW section. As I've previously speculated, by now (a month later) it's likely even they are gone. This one is a junker.

1161

Truth Warrior @truthwarrior2.bsky.social · 16/08/2025

6018th 1.5m image of 4 Aug 2025. No tanks, likely junk BMPs, some trucks (as far as I can see). I'd say that this base is kaput.

0130