iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

4/ 🛠️ Why does this matter? ➡️ Changing pest distributions impact forest health & management ➡️ Increased defoliation risks in new areas ➡️ Need for proactive strategies to reduce vulnerability

3/ 🌎 Most importantly, climate change is a bigger driver of SBW dynamics than landscape changes! This means forest ecosystems are being reshaped faster than we expected, requiring adaptive management strategies.

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2/ 📈 Key findings (1950–2022): 📍 +68 km northward shift of suitable climate conditions (up to 200 km in some areas!) ⏳ Earlier phenological events & higher reproduction rates in the north ❄️ Increased winter mortality in the south due to warmer temperatures

Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 10/02/2025

1/ 🌲🔬 New Research Alert! 🌡️🦋 #ClimateChange is reshaping forest ecosystems, and the spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana), a major boreal forest defoliator, is feeling the heat! 🔥 Our latest study in PLOS Climate reveals some striking trends. 🧵👇

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Monday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the *lowest* on record (JAXA data) • about 780,000 km² below the 2010s mean • about 1,450,000 km² below the 2000s mean • about 2,010,000 km² below the 1990s mean • about 2,370,000 km² below the 1980s mean Plots: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i... 🧪

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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 07/02/2025

Sometimes it is only one side of the #Arctic that experiences anomalously low conditions during winter, but this year we are seeing the sea ice edge on *both* the Atlantic & Pacific sectors at very low levels for this time of year. This is contributing to the historic record low for early February.

Graphic showing a line graph time series of daily Arctic sea ice extent in the Pacific sector of the Arctic (Bering Sea and Sea of Okhotsk) for each year from 1979 to 2024. This year is shown in red. Purple to white color shading is used for each other year's line. There is a long-term decreasing trend for every day of the year.

Graphic showing a line graph time series of daily Arctic sea ice extent in the Atlantic sector of the Arctic (Greenland + Barents + Kara Seas) for each year from 1979 to 2024. This year is shown in red. Purple to white color shading is used for each other year's line. There is a long-term decreasing trend for every day of the year.

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Copernicus ECMWF @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social · 05/02/2025

How unusual were 2023 and 2024 compared to the global warming trend, averaging an increase of around 0.2°C per decade? Dive into the analysis of anthropogenic and natural factors 👉 bit.ly/40kQpcz

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Nahel Belgherze @wxnb.bsky.social · 01/02/2025

More acres have been burned by wildfires in January 2025 across California than in all the Januarys of the past 30+ years combined. Unreal.

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Yan Boulanger @trailgeek.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

Maybe he CAN'T have security clearance...

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Jared Rennie @jjrennie.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

Why I’m not leaving the federal workforce (for now). A thread about my career goals, and how an elementary school student changed my entire worldview.

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Jakub Nowosad @jakubnowosad.com · 29/01/2025

🚨 After years of development, the new version of #rstats tmap (4) is now available on CRAN! 🎉 Huge thanks to author Martijn Tennekes and all contributors. 🔧 Install: `install.packages("tmap")` 📚 Vignettes: buff.ly/4aAYNbq 📖 Book Chapter: buff.ly/43TokaF #maps #tmap #rspatial

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Robert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

Despite the recent cold in the USA, and the presence of a (weak) La Niña in the Pacific, January is on track to be the warmest January on record. 😬

Time series or daily global temperature anomalies from ERA5.

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Sarah McAnulty, Ph.D. @sarahmackattack.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

Many of us are really feeling helpless. This feeling is why I started @skypeascientist.bsky.social 8 years ago. We were doing the exact same thing then (currently feels worse?). I have an action you can take today. Tell an educator about our program. Connect kids with science in spite of all this.

A hot pink flip phone has a DNA stand on the screen and the text says “text a teacher “you can get matched with a scientist for a virtual q&a in your classroom for free with Skype a scientist”

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Ben Stone @benstemon.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

NSF PRFB POSTDOCS: Pull the remainder of this funding cycle’s stipend, all remaining research funds, and all remaining travel funds (if you have them). Do it before 5PM today. Per instructions from multiple NSF POs. If you’re not already on the PRFB slack, DM me and I’ll send you an invite

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Peter Gleick @petergleick.bsky.social · 28/01/2025

This project tracks government attempts to restrict or prohibit scientific research, education, or discussion, or the publication or use of scientific information. Read more about the tracker and related... Or contribute to the database. #science climate.law.columbia.edu/Silencing-Sc...

climate.law.columbia.edu

Silencing Science Tracker | Sabin Center for Climate Change Law

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Jessica Tierney @leafwax.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

For my first scientific post here, I want to talk about the Phanerozoic temperature record we published last Fall, which unfortunately has been making rounds in the climate denier circuit 👀 First though hopefully you can appreciate the beauty of this reconstruction ✨...

Earth's temperature history for the past 500 million years

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Michelle Wille @duckswabber.bsky.social · 27/01/2025

Between 2019 and 2023, researchers paid $8.968 billion to make papers open access. Imagine what else could be done with this money if it wasnt paid to for profit publishing companies... 👉 arxiv.org/abs/2407.16551

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6/ 🌟 Why does this matter? Understanding historical drivers helps us design better forest management strategies. 🌲 Restoring conifers & key functional traits is crucial for ecosystem resilience. Predicting future dynamics requires a strong grasp of past changes.

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5/ 🚫 What didn’t matter much? Fire exclusion had minimal influence on vegetation composition, indicating that mesophication unfolds over longer timescales. Modest climate change impacts (1830–2000) pale in comparison to timber harvesting, but future climate shifts could have stronger effects.

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4/ 🔍 What did we find? Timber harvesting had the most significant impact on forest dynamics: 🌳 Without harvesting, pre-settlement species composition & traits were largely maintained. 🔥 Fire shifts increased aspen, but their effects were secondary. 🌡️ Climate change had a minor role

3/ 🛠️ How did we study this? We used the #LANDIS-II forest landscape model for retrospective analysis (1830–2000), integrating: 🔥 Historical #fire reconstructions 🌡️ #Climate reanalysis data 🌲 #Timber harvest records Counterfactual scenarios helped isolate the impact of each factor.