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Torsten Baar

@torstenstefan.bsky.social
44 followers 36 following 38 posts
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Neither financially nor with soldiers
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
So another quick round with repo backing ?
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Most of the buffer of 2022 has been wasted by now.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Here is the OFZ forecast as of today.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Here is this table updated.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.70 trillion ruble deficit as of 28 September 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
2026: Original Budget Deficit: 👉 3.786 Trillion Rubles minfin.gov.ru/ru/press-cen... End of Year: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ but everyone expects it to be a lot more than the original budget (7 trillion and up) IT WILL GET WORSE
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
2025: Original Budget Deficit: 👉 1.173 Trillion Rubles minfin.gov.ru/ru/press-cen... End of year 👉 5.645 Trillion Rubles minfin.gov.ru/ru/press-cen...
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
What a surprise only European companies ! No Pepsi, Mars, Mondalez etc
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.49 trillion ruble deficit as of 24 September 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.26 trillion ruble deficit as of 21 September 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Here it is. Notice that the additional placements for PD-26253 were actually larger than the amount in the actual auction. Which is why I warned you that you can’t ignore these additional placements.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Siluanov said they were going to cover the increased 2026 deficit through borrowing (which is the OFZ…unless they do something weird) and “accumulated account balances” but we don’t know any details.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
‼️ Putin just used his property seizing decree again to seize a lot of things including assets of 👉 NESTLE 👉 AUCHAN
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I thought so when I read it today and thought let’s check with Mr Prune
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I went back and looked, not only are the yields they agreed to the highest so far this year, the last time they agreed to place bonds with a rate this high was back when the key rate was 21% The current key rate is 14%
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Ursula von der Leyen @vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu · 16/09/2026
Dear @mark-carney.bsky.social, we want to bring the relationship with Canada to the highest level possible. I would like to work with you on opening the door for Canada to being the first associate member of the EU. And create a common prosperity and economic security space.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 6.41 trillion ruble deficit as of 8 September 2026 (There is a typo in the quoted post, that data is for August 2026, whoopsie)
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 6.37 trillion ruble deficit as of 9 September 2026
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Certainly a very possible option
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Agree thank you
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Do you have any numbers on size of overdue payments from state/ state companies?
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
The one you referred to where CB handed out repos in same amount ? That’s pretty pure money printing.
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
So plenty of payments are due but still no new auctions are held?
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Janis Kluge @jakluge.de · 27/08/2026
Russia's federal budget execution currently reports a deficit of 3.8% of GDP. The plan for the full year was 1.6% of GDP.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Because hearing, for example, that the federal government is a couple months late transferring funds it owes to a region doesn’t tend to make international news. But defaulting on a Federal Bond would.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Remember, Bluesky isn’t like Twitter If you want someone to see something, you need to share it. 😊
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
If you just focus on economic news, then it’s even easier to follow up
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 8.21 trillion ruble deficit as of 28 August 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 8.20 trillion ruble deficit as of 20 August 2026
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Janis Kluge @jakluge.de · 03/08/2026
Click here to read the full report: janiskluge.substack.com/p/the-compos...
janiskluge.substack.com
The composition of Russian forces in Ukraine
Russian budget data suggest that the number of contract soldiers fighting in Ukraine has risen to around 550,000, while fewer than 170,000 mobilized soldiers remain.
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Many thanks for your tireless efforts to make good use of the data!
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.95 trillion ruble deficit as of 17 August 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.85 trillion ruble deficit as of 14 August 2026
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 16/08/2026
Well they can shift it from one pocket to the other and back. If the central bank wants, it can just print rubles- effect is the same
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
Liquid is relative . They can’t sell the gold easily and can’t buy things they need from China
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.41 trillion ruble deficit as of 10 August 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
Previously…
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 8.54 trillion ruble deficit as of 27 July 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 8.68 trillion ruble deficit as of 28 July 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
‼️ Russia: “The merged company Wildberries & Russ (RWB) has suspended its investment program indefinitely and paused negotiations to acquire new assets” 👀 iz.ru/2141392/2026...
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
‼️ Russia: “Russian banks currently lack available ruble liquidity to purchase federal loan bonds, which the Ministry of Finance is using to cover the budget deficit, according to Taras Skvortsov, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Sberbank.” 🍿🔥🍿🔥🍿 ru.themoscowtimes.com/2026/07/31/s...
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Janis Kluge @jakluge.de · 16/07/2026
Great data by Mediazona showing the share of gas stations actually selling gasoline in recent days.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.26 trillion ruble deficit as of 13 July 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
I finally finished the thread
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.95 trillion ruble deficit as of 25 June 2026
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Torsten Baar @torstenstefan.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
That’s quite some improvement in raising taxes and spending less - gap is more or less the same for three months now
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.32 trillion ruble deficit as of 17 June 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
‼️ Russia: “The Central Bank recorded a 30-year record cash outflow from banks in May.” 🇷🇺: 🔥 🔥 this is fine 🔥🔥🔥 ru.themoscowtimes.com/2026/06/08/t...
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
👀
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