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Torsten Baar

@torstenstefan.bsky.social
44 followers 36 following 38 posts
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Here is the OFZ forecast as of today.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
Here is this table updated.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.70 trillion ruble deficit as of 28 September 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
2026: Original Budget Deficit: 👉 3.786 Trillion Rubles minfin.gov.ru/ru/press-cen... End of Year: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ but everyone expects it to be a lot more than the original budget (7 trillion and up) IT WILL GET WORSE
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
2025: Original Budget Deficit: 👉 1.173 Trillion Rubles minfin.gov.ru/ru/press-cen... End of year 👉 5.645 Trillion Rubles minfin.gov.ru/ru/press-cen...
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.49 trillion ruble deficit as of 24 September 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.26 trillion ruble deficit as of 21 September 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Here it is. Notice that the additional placements for PD-26253 were actually larger than the amount in the actual auction. Which is why I warned you that you can’t ignore these additional placements.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Siluanov said they were going to cover the increased 2026 deficit through borrowing (which is the OFZ…unless they do something weird) and “accumulated account balances” but we don’t know any details.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
‼️ Putin just used his property seizing decree again to seize a lot of things including assets of 👉 NESTLE 👉 AUCHAN
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
I went back and looked, not only are the yields they agreed to the highest so far this year, the last time they agreed to place bonds with a rate this high was back when the key rate was 21% The current key rate is 14%
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Ursula von der Leyen @vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu · 16/09/2026
Dear @mark-carney.bsky.social, we want to bring the relationship with Canada to the highest level possible. I would like to work with you on opening the door for Canada to being the first associate member of the EU. And create a common prosperity and economic security space.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 6.41 trillion ruble deficit as of 8 September 2026 (There is a typo in the quoted post, that data is for August 2026, whoopsie)
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 6.37 trillion ruble deficit as of 9 September 2026
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Janis Kluge @jakluge.de · 27/08/2026
Russia's federal budget execution currently reports a deficit of 3.8% of GDP. The plan for the full year was 1.6% of GDP.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Because hearing, for example, that the federal government is a couple months late transferring funds it owes to a region doesn’t tend to make international news. But defaulting on a Federal Bond would.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Remember, Bluesky isn’t like Twitter If you want someone to see something, you need to share it. 😊
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 8.21 trillion ruble deficit as of 28 August 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 8.20 trillion ruble deficit as of 20 August 2026
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Janis Kluge @jakluge.de · 03/08/2026
Click here to read the full report: janiskluge.substack.com/p/the-compos...
janiskluge.substack.com
The composition of Russian forces in Ukraine
Russian budget data suggest that the number of contract soldiers fighting in Ukraine has risen to around 550,000, while fewer than 170,000 mobilized soldiers remain.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.95 trillion ruble deficit as of 17 August 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.85 trillion ruble deficit as of 14 August 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.41 trillion ruble deficit as of 10 August 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
Previously…
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 8.54 trillion ruble deficit as of 27 July 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 8.68 trillion ruble deficit as of 28 July 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
‼️ Russia: “The merged company Wildberries & Russ (RWB) has suspended its investment program indefinitely and paused negotiations to acquire new assets” 👀 iz.ru/2141392/2026...
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
‼️ Russia: “Russian banks currently lack available ruble liquidity to purchase federal loan bonds, which the Ministry of Finance is using to cover the budget deficit, according to Taras Skvortsov, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Sberbank.” 🍿🔥🍿🔥🍿 ru.themoscowtimes.com/2026/07/31/s...
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Janis Kluge @jakluge.de · 16/07/2026
Great data by Mediazona showing the share of gas stations actually selling gasoline in recent days.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.26 trillion ruble deficit as of 13 July 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
I finally finished the thread
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.95 trillion ruble deficit as of 25 June 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.32 trillion ruble deficit as of 17 June 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
‼️ Russia: “The Central Bank recorded a 30-year record cash outflow from banks in May.” 🇷🇺: 🔥 🔥 this is fine 🔥🔥🔥 ru.themoscowtimes.com/2026/06/08/t...
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
👀
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 02/06/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 8.41 trillion ruble deficit as of 28 May 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
‼️ Russia: “Russian authorities have failed to find budgetary funds to complete construction of the new nuclear icebreakers Leningrad and Stalingrad, as well as a vessel to service them.” 🍿 LOLOLOLOLOLOL ru.themoscowtimes.com/2026/05/14/v...
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
April 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
‼️ Russian Railways April 2026 Loading Update Thread Things look…weird. Note: Full data tables are provided in the thread.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 7.22 trillion ruble deficit as of 22 April 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 6.52 trillion ruble deficit as of 15 April 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Thread is now complete! 🥵 Remember, if you want people to see it, you have to repost it and share it. Bluesky isn’t like Twitter, and my info tends to get shared via “word of mouth”
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
Look familiar? 🤨 x.com/jayinkyiv/st...
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
‼️ Russia: “The 20th Russian general since the start of the war died in the An-26 crash in Crimea.” 👉 Lieutenant General Alexander Otroshchenko, commander of the Northern Fleet's mixed aviation corps ru.themoscowtimes.com/2026/04/02/p...
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Remember, Bluesky isn’t like Twitter, if you want people to see it, you have to repost it.
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 6.34 trillion ruble deficit as of 24 March 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
‼️ Russia: “Putin has restricted the export of cash rubles from Russia to the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) from April 1.” 👀 www.kommersant.ru/doc/8535090
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 5.91 trillion ruble deficit as of 19 March 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
The electronic budget system shows a 5.63 trillion ruble deficit as of 17 March 2026
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Prune60 @prune602.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Thread: As a heads up, we’ve finally reached a point where I’ve been tracking this metric for a year. There are a few reasons I started doing this 1. This website is blocked for most of us, so this is makes the data available
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