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Anthony Calamis

@tonycal.bsky.social
2.3K followers 269 following 495 posts

Tracking HOF ballots with @notmrtibbs.com and @shutthedore.bsky.social tracker.fyi Mets, Jets, Rangers, Knicks. He/him.

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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Cliff Lee joins this group if you add hitting WAR (42.5 pitching, 43.2 overall, 2156.2 IP)
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Manaea pitched last night so he sorta had to answer questions, and Lindor is still the face of answering questions and to me his answer was fine. Maybe I’m part of the bubble you mention, but I was at the Monday game, loudly cheered Pete, and also just don’t care about either Sean or Lindor answers
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
the players aren’t exactly in the easiest spot imo, they’re being directly asked post-game about their thoughts. Manaea to me was mostly “I’ve never seen anything like that” mixed with a weird “we’re working our butts off” and Lindor mostly (at least Monday) praised Pete & supported Jonah Tong
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
The announcement*, of course.
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
We checked the Tracker against the voter list right after the announced and there were no lost in mail.
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 03/02/2026
Here is the BBWAA ballot release: bbwaa.com/26-hof-ballo... Looks like about 100 ballots that will be new to the Tracker. We'll have them in the Tracker later this afternoon.
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
3 can happen, I meant 4 can’t, sorry if unclear.
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
I definitely understand that, it unfortunately just can’t logistically work the way it’s set up right now unless they essentially plan their votes
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
It feels almost impossible for 4 to break thru on committee - the votes would have to be evenly and perfectly distributed 12-12-12-12
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Walker had a +22.0% jump to election in there as the second-best returner in a Schilling year, and the 14.6/15.0 aren’t far off what Utley needs.
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Since the culling of the voters in 2016: 2016: Piazza got in 2017: Bagwell got in 2018: Hoffman got in 2019: Edgar got in 2020: Schilling bypassed by Walker 2021: Schilling Schilling’d 2022: Schilling Schilling’d again 2023: Rolen got in 2024: Helton got in 2025: Wagner got in 2026: Beltrán got in
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
been looking forward to this all morning after how wild this cycle was
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
I noticed yesterday but it was in the rush at the end and forgot to tell you oops
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
JJ Putz’s lone voter iirc
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
We finish at 245 pre-results ballots. Thank you for following!
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #245 is from Anthony McCarron, via SNY’s Baseball Night in NY. He votes again for his seven holdovers, with no changes. Carlos Beltrán ends the pre portion of the program at 89.8%, Andruw Jones at 83.3%. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Ballot 245 from Anthony McCarron: Beltrán, Félix, Andruw, Pedroia, Pettitte, Utley, Wright
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Adam Dore @shutthedore.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #244 is from John Harper, live on SNY’s Baseball Night in New York. He selects Beltrán, Jones, and Pettitte. No adds or drops for returning candidates and no first-timers selected In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
John Harper HOF Ballot (3): Beltrán, Jones, Pettitte
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Jason Sardell @sardell.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
For posterity, here are my final 2026 Baseball Hall of Fame projections. Thanks as ever to @notmrtibbs.com, @shutthedore.bsky.social, and @tonycal.bsky.social for all their hard work. Hall of Fame season wouldn’t really exist without them!
Table of Hall of Fame projections showing Carlos Beltrán as a sure thing and Andruw Jones being elected 97% of the time.
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Matt Dean @mwwdean.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Final projection for tonight. Excited to see who joins the HOF! @notmrtibbs.com @shutthedore.bsky.social @tonycal.bsky.social @baseballot.bsky.social
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #243 is from Bob Nightengale. He again votes for his three holdovers - Carlos Beltrán, Andruw Jones, and Omar Vizquel - with no adds, drops, or first-timers selected. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Ballot 243 from Bob Nightengale: Beltrán, Andruw, Vizquel
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Adam Dore @shutthedore.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #242 is from Tom Verducci, revealed moments ago on MLB Network’s pre-announcement special. After voting for Wagner, CC, Ichiro and Beltrán last year, he adds Jones (+16), Rollins (+17), and Utley (+26) Current %: Beltrán 89.7 Jones 83.1 Utley 69.4 Rollins 27.3 In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Tom Verducci HOF Ballot (4): Beltrán, Jones(+1), Rollins(+1), Utley(+1)
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Ballot #241 is from John Shea. Holdovers Andruw Jones and Jimmy Rollins get carried over and are joined by Andy Pettitte (now +37) and Chase Utley (+25). Shea's column on his ballot will be published in the coming days at the San Francisco Standard. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
John Shea's HOF ballot: Andruw, Pettitte (+1), Rollins, Utley (+1)
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
249
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #240 is from Ryan Fagan. Félix gains again for his 50th add (net +49). Hamels gets a vote & is at 31.7%. This is the 3rd time (1st since ‘18) with 240 pre ballots. Félix now t-9th ever in full cycle net gain & 2nd pre-announce. His column: theanalyst.com/articles/bas... Tracker: tracker.fyi
Ballot 240 from Ryan Fagan: Abreu, Beltrán, Buehrle, Hamels, Félix, Andruw, Pettitte, Manny, UtleyFélix displaying tied for 9th in all-time net gain with +49Félix displaying alone in 2nd place for pre-announce net gain at +49
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Adam Dore @shutthedore.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #238 is from Jon Meoli, our 37th first-time voter. He selects ten candidates. Beltrán remains perfect here, while Jones is at 91.9%, Utley 83.8%, Félix 75.7% and Pettitte 70.7% Meoli’s column: www.thebanner.com/sports/oriol... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Jon Meoli HOF Ballot (10): Abreu, Beltrán, Hamels, Félix, Jones, Pedroia, Pettitte, Manny, A-Rod, Utley
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Ballot #237 is from Tom Haudricourt. Four of his holdover make it back to his 2026 ballot, but Pedroia is dropped and falls to net +21. Carlos Beltrán inches closer to 90%. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Tom Haudricourt's HOF ballot: Beltrán, Andruw, K-Rod, Utley. 
Pedrioa dropped.
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #236 is from Ben Reiter. Bobby Abreu (+19), Mark Buehrle (+13), and Cole Hamels (31.4%) join seven holdovers. This is the most common 10-player ballot, submitted now 8 times. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Ballot 236 from Ben Reiter: Abreu add to +19, Beltrán, Buehrle add to +13, Hamels, Félix, Andruw, Pettitte, Manny, A-Rod, Utley
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #235 is from Troy Renck. Chase Utley joins holdovers Beltrán, Jones, and Rollins. He moves to +24 and sits at 68.5% overall in his third year of eligibility. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Ballot 235 from Troy Renck: Beltrán, Andruw, Rollins, and Utley add to +24
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Adam Dore @shutthedore.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #234 is from Randy Miller. Beltrán (+13) and Pettitte (+36) both gain votes, however, Andruw Jones suffers his first drop and falls back to +15. He sits at 82.5% In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Randy Miller HOF Ballot (6): Beltrán(+1), Pettitte(+1), Rollins, Utley, Vizquel, Wright
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Wild it’s already Y6, I feel like your first one was yesterday
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Ballot #232 is from the 2026 BBWAA Career Excellence Award winner Paul Hoynes. Along with 7 holdovers, Hoynes adds Hamels in his first year of eligibility along with Félix (+47) and Rollins (+16). Via the Cleveland Baseball Talk Pod: www.cleveland.com/guardians/20... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Paul Hoynes' HOF Ballot: Beltrán, Buehrle, Hamels, Félix (+1), Torii, Andruw, Pedroia, K-Rod, Rollins (+1), Vizquel
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #231 is from a voter who wishes to remain anonymous. As always, we are unable to report on adds or drops, if any, on anonymous ballots. Beltrán and Jones are at 76.9% with anonymous voters. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Ballot 231 from an anonymous voter: Beltrán, Félix, Andruw, Pedroia, Pettitte, K-Rod, Rollins, Utley, Wright
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
We have touched 58.5% pre before in 2018 (247/422) and that would require 249 to pass if 424 is right.
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Adam Dore @shutthedore.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #230 is from Joe Posnanski. Six of his seven holdovers earn his vote once again, with Wright (net +14) losing a vote. Hamels climbs to 31.3% while each of Abreu (+18), Pedroia (+22), and Pettitte (+35) gain support Via JoeBlogs: www.joeposnanski.com/p/its-hall-o... Tracker: tracker.fyi
Joe Posnanski HOF Ballot (10): Abreu(+1), Beltrán, Hamels, Félix, Jones, Pedroia(+1), Pettitte(+1), Manny, A-Rod, Utley

Dropped: Wright
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
With 229 ballots/~54.0% known: Beltrán 89.5% Andruw 82.5% - Utley 68.1% Pettitte 56.8% Félix 55.5% A-Rod 43.2% Manny 40.6% Abreu 38.9% Hamels 31.0% Pedroia 26.2% Rollins 25.8% Buehrle 23.1% Wright 19.7% Vizquel 12.2% K-Rod 11.4% Torii 6.1% - Braun 2.6% EE 0.9% Choo/Markakis/Pence/Porcello 0.4%
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Adam Dore @shutthedore.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #229 is from Marc Lancaster. Each of the top three vote-getters earn his vote once again. Current tracking for these three candidates: Beltrán 89.5%, Jones 82.5%, Utley 68.1% In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Marc Lancaster HOF Ballot (3): Beltrán, Jones, Utley
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 20/01/2026
Ballot #228 is from Pete Caldera. No adds or drops for returning candidates and no first-year candidates selected on his four-player ballot. Caldera's column: www.northjersey.com/story/sports... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Pete Caldera's HOF ballot: Beltrán, Manny, A-Rod, Vizquel
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Anthony Rieger’s 8-add 2021 ballot following his Jeter only “Number 2 is the 1”
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Nope! Anthony Rieber 2021 had 8, at least.
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #227 is from Joel Sherman. Holdovers Beltrán and Utley receive his vote, with no adds, drops, or first-timers. This is the second Beltrán/Utley of the cycle. His piece: nypost.com/2026/01/20/s... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Ballot 227 from Joel Sherman: Beltrán and Utley
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #226 is from Brian Lewis. Last year, he voted for the 3 inductees. This year, he votes for Beltrán (+12), Hamels (31.4%), Jones (+16), Andy (+34), Manny (+8), A-Rod (+10), J-Roll (+15), & Utley (+23). Via NY Post, below Heyman’s column: nypost.com/2026/01/20/s... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Ballot 226 from Brian Lewis: Beltrán add to +12, Hamels, Andruw add to +16, Pettitte add to +34, Manny add to +8, A-Rod add to +10, Rollins add to +15, Utley add to +23
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Adam Dore @shutthedore.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #225 is from George A. King III. Six holdovers earn his vote once again. No adds, drops, or first-year candidates selected Via NY Post (below Heyman’s column): nypost.com/2026/01/20/s... Tracker: tracker.fyi
George A. King III HOF Ballot (6): Beltrán, Jones, Pettitte, Manny, A-Rod, Vizquel
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Ballot #224 is from Jon Heyman. With 8 holdovers following CC and Ichiro’s elections, he adds Dustin Pedroia, who moves to +21 overall in his second year. Hunter is tracking at 6.25%, 8 away from estimated safe. Wright clears 20%. His column: nypost.com/2026/01/20/s... In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Ballot 224 from Jon Heyman: Beltrán, Buehrle, Félix, Hunter, Andruw, Pedroia add to +21, Rollins, Utley, Wright
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Jason Sardell @sardell.bsky.social · 20/01/2026
Less than 24 hours to go until the results of this year's Baseball Hall of Fame election are revealed. If trends with public voters hold, we'll be welcoming two new members: Carlos Beltrán and Andruw Jones. My latest projections with 223 ballots in @notmrtibbs.com's Tracker.
Table of Baseball Hall of Fame projections listing Median, 95% Confidence Interval, % Simulations >= 75%, and % Simulations <5%
 Carlos Beltrán	82%	79% - 86%	100%	0%
 Andruw Jones	77%	74% - 81%	93%	0%
 Chase Utley	59%	55% - 63%	0%	0%
 Andy Pettitte	50%	46% - 54%	0%	0%
 Félix Hernández	49%	45% - 53%	0%	0%
 Álex Rodríguez	42%	40% - 44%	0%	0%
 Manny Ramírez	39%	37% - 42%	0%	0%
 Bobby Abreu	31%	29% - 35%	0%	0%
 Cole Hamels	26%	23% - 30%	0%	0%
 Jimmy Rollins	24%	22% - 26%	0%	0%
 Dustin Pedroia	23%	21% - 26%	0%	0%
 Mark Buehrle	20%	18% - 23%	0%	0%
 David Wright	17%	15% - 20%	0%	0%
 Omar Vizquel	17%	15% - 19%	0%	0%
 Francisco Rodríguez	14%	12% - 17%	0%	0%
 Torii Hunter	7%	5% - 9%	0%	5%
 Ryan Braun	3%	2% - 5%	0%	97%
 Edwin Encarnación	1%	0.5% - 4%	0%	99%
 Nick Markakis	0.5%	0.2% - 3%	0%	99.9%
 Rick Porcello	0.5%	0.2% - 3%	0%	99.9%
 Shin-Soo Choo	0.5%	0.2% - 3%	0%	>99.9%
 Hunter Pence	0.5%	0.2% - 3%	0%	>99.9%
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 19/01/2026
Ballot #223 is from Bob Sherwin. No adds, drops or first-year candidates on Sherwin's ballot of four holdovers: Beltrán, Pedroia, Pettitte and Vizquel. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Bob Sherwin's HOF ballot: Beltrán, Pedroia, Pettitte, Vizquel
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Ryan Thibodaux @notmrtibbs.com · 19/01/2026
Ballot #221 is from Nick Groke. No adds or drops for returning candidates and no first-year candidates selected. This is Abreu's second ever appearance on a ballot of 3 or fewer. Groke's explanatory thread: bsky.app/profile/nick... Tracker: tracker.fyi
Nick Groke's HOF ballot: Abreu, Beltrán, Utley
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
It’s updated now!
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
I’ll be updating it in a couple hours for what I’m missing, too
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Anthony Calamis @tonycal.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Ballot #220 is from Brendan Prunty, via his annual Twitter rundown. He keeps his seven holdovers and adds first-timer Hamels (31.8%), second-timer Félix (+46), and fifth-timer Rollins (+14), noting Wright as next. In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Ballot 220 from Brendan Prunty: Abreu, Beltrán, Buehrle, Hamels, Félix add to +46, Pettitte, Manny, A-Rod, Rollins add to +14, Utley
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Adam Dore @shutthedore.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
Ballot #219 is from Jeff Sanders. He again checks the box for ten candidates, adding Abreu (+16), Pettitte (+33), and Rollins (+13) to his seven holdovers In the Tracker: tracker.fyi
Jeff Sanders HOF Ballot (10): Abreu(+1), Beltrán, Félix, Jones, Pettitte(+1), Manny, A-Rod, K-Rod, Rollins(+1), Utley
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