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Tomasz Mickiewicz

@tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social
419 followers 100 following 274 posts

Professor of economics @ Aston University (Birmingham, UK), editor of Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, fellow of Regional Studies Association. Once a member of Movement for Defence of Human and Civil Rights, opposing Soviet regime in Poland.

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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 21h
How to score an own goal with export controls: Trump’s diesel threats could go very wrong — just look at the soyabean - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Trump’s diesel threats could go very wrong — just look at the soyabean
Yes, Nixon’s export ban did briefly suppress domestic prices but it had a huge long-term cost
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The Moscow Times @themoscowtimes.com · 01/10/2026
Russian exports to Turkey fell about 40% in August to their lowest monthly value since 2022, as Ukrainian attacks on southern Russian ports disrupted shipments, the Vedomosti newspaper reported.
themoscowtimes.com
Russian Exports to Turkey Fall 40% Amid Ukrainian Strikes on Southern Ports - The Moscow Times
Russian exports to Turkey fell about 40% in August to their lowest monthly value since 2022, as Ukrainian attacks on southern Russian ports disrupted shipments, the Vedomosti newspaper reported, citin...
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AGF 🎧 poemproducer @poemproducer.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
anyway Nokia is back
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Livin, on Borrowed Time: in US, in 2025, the Interest payments consumed the highest percentage of GDP among G7 countries. www.economist.com/finance-and-...
economist.com
Soaring bond yields, gaping deficits and towering debts: what could go wrong?
The rich world is flirting with fiscal disaster
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Robin Brooks @robin-j-brooks.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
It's almost a perversion to blame the Yen carry trade for rising US yields. Yields are rising because our debt issuance is running at 7.5% of GDP in the 12 months through June of this year. Fiscal policy is quite literally out of control. That's the story... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/is-the-yen...
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I am just curious if we will see cryptocurrency rebranded as 'supercurrency'. It clearly is a supercurrency for some. www.economist.com/1843/2026/08...
economist.com
The Kremlin’s crypto king
How a convicted fraudster lit the way for Russia’s sanction-busting operations
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Some unpleasant (pleasant?) arithmetics... www.economist.com/graphic-deta...
economist.com
In MAGA-land people are dying faster than they are being born
Our analysis suggests Trump country is only growing because of migration
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
'American gun violence is mostly arguments with guns' www.nber.org/papers/w3582...
nber.org
Crime in Covid Times
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Robin Brooks @robin-j-brooks.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
The problem for the Fed is that you can't hike your way out of bad fiscal policy. All the hikes now priced may have stopped - for now - questions about Fed credibility, but the 10y10y forward Treasury yield is higher than a month ago. This isn't working... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/the-debase...
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
US Treasury yields soar most since ‘liberation day’ tariffs shook markets - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
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Robin Brooks @robin-j-brooks.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
This is the rise in 10-year government bond yields above and beyond the global average so far this year. It's clear markets are penalizing high-debt countries and rewarding low-debt ones. Markets are going after countries that are out of fiscal space... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/the-global...
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The Kyiv Independent @kyivindependent.com · 18/09/2026
⚡️Putin confiscates Nestle, Auchan assets in Russia. Russian President Vladimir Putin on Sept. 17 signed a decree confiscating the assets of several international companies, including Nestle and Auchan.
kyivindependent.com
Putin confiscates Nestle, Auchan assets in Russia
Russian President Vladimir Putin on Sept. 17 signed a decree confiscating the assets of several international companies, including Nestle and Auchan. Other companies include Bati Logistics, FM Logist...
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Russia taps North Korean workers to make drones under fake visas share.google/bGraGDai1Rkm...
share.google
Russia taps North Korean workers to make drones under fake visas
NEW YORK: Russia is increasingly mobilising North Korean workers to build military drones for use against Ukraine in defiance of international sanctions, giving Pyongyang a key source of revenue to fu...
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Ten-year Treasury yield hits 5% for first time since 2023 - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Ten-year Treasury yield hits 5% for first time since 2023
World’s most widely watched financial marker moves towards levels not seen in decades as inflation shock from Iran war lingers
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Donald Trump’s approval rating falls to all-time low in FT poll - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Donald Trump’s approval rating falls to all-time low in FT poll
Voters’ anxiety about economy saps popularity of US president and his Republican Party weeks before midterm elections
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Norway seizes Russian state-owned ship over Ukrainian lawsuit - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 28/08/2026
❗️Reuters sources say Russia's gasoline production has dropped to around 80,000 tons per day, about 70% of domestic demand of 115,000 tons, following refinery strikes. Ukrainian drone attacks halted major plants in Perm, Nizhny Novgorod and Yaroslavl over the past week. #Russia
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
This may be the way Trump thinks: when your neighbour's economy is doing well it does not reflect well on you, so it's time to hit it hard: Canada’s Economy Looked Strong in Q2, but conomists predict this may not last due to American trade agression share.google/doLsmbGpWpTW...
share.google
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Canada poaches 48 top US-based academics - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Canada poaches 48 top US-based academics
Trump administration’s assault on universities boosts Ottawa’s efforts to attract top research talent
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
In Poland, bribing for favour by tech bosses is seen as illigal: politically connected Polish Olympic chief arrested in spreading crypto scandal - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Polish Olympic chief arrested in spreading crypto scandal
Cryptocurrency platform’s collapse has reverberated through country’s politics after it sponsored rightwing events and media
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
In Europe, nobody is above the law: UEFA prepares criminal complaint against Fifa’s Infantino - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Uefa prepares criminal complaint against Fifa’s Infantino
Governing body of European football seeking documents from Joshua Kushner’s investment firm
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
US grain farmers face worst crisis in decades as Iran war sends costs spiralling - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
US grain farmers face worst crisis in decades as Iran war sends costs spiralling
Middle East conflict adds to strains in America’s heartland months ahead of midterm elections
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Trusting a bully is always problematic but trusting an incompetent bully is self-defeating: Trump accused of risking more pain for Americans with Canada trade war - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Trump accused of risking more pain for Americans with Canada trade war
Collapse of talks threatens to raise prices even higher months before midterm election
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
US decided it no longer needs friends, and can bully anybody. It cannot. Moreover, the problem is what for. It is not obvious US economy will gain much - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Mark Carney says Canada ‘at war’ with US over trade
Prime Minister tells country Donald Trump ‘miscalculated’ by escalating tariff attack
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NBER @nber.org · 22/08/2026
Local electoral maps often underrepresent Black and Hispanic voters. Segregation creates bias even without intent; Voting Rights Act of 1965 oversight may have helped enacted maps partly offset it, from Carlos Fernando Avenancio-León, Daniel B. Jones, and Ying Shi www.nber.org/papers/w35623
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Robin Brooks @robin-j-brooks.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Gold is up over 6% this week. Its rise came after the Treasury buyback announcement. Markets are on the lookout for high-debt governments playing games with yields. Even the smallest move sees markets head for the exit. We're in the age of debasement... robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/the-debase...
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
I am a simple economist trained in rational choice so maybe somebody explains please: why is US helping Iran's best friend? - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Ukraine seeks Elon Musk’s help to hit Russian missile launchers
Starlink-equipped drones could strike targets up to 200km inside Russia
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
1930s depression wa fuelled by trade wars, and USA aimed to bully its trade partners starting with Canada. Will USA lead the world along the same path again? - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Canada vows to match US tariffs as trade talks collapse
Mark Carney rejects ‘unfair’ deal as top Washington envoy criticises ‘missed opportunity’
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026
Trumponomics in action: $40tn debt, 6.7% mortgages and $5 diesel - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Trump’s economic challenge: $40tn debt, 6.7% mortgages and $5 diesel
The president’s agenda is under strain as the Iran war pushes up prices and America’s finances worsen
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Government borrowing costs hit multi-decade highs - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Government borrowing costs hit multi-decade highs
Fears over inflation and AI issuance spur bond sell-off, weighing on stocks
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
'Years of state-backed investment in renewables and green transport has made the energy system more flexible. ... And the government can still tap its strategic oil reserves, which it has barely touched.' www.economist.com/finance-and-...
economist.com
China is now the world’s great oil power
Forget OPEC. The Chinese Communist Party calls the shots
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
Interesting long-term projections. Among others, strong negative long-term impact if immigration remains restricted in US. www.nber.org/papers/w3561...
nber.org
The Global Transition – The Impact of Demographics and AI on Economic Power
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 15/08/2026
Americans sour on Donald Trump’s economy as affordability strains intensify - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Americans sour on Donald Trump’s economy as affordability strains intensify
Consumer sentiment and retail sales fall as the war in Iran worsens cost of living pressures
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Trump family crypto earnings: $1.4 billion $TRUMP meme coin: -98% $MELANIA meme coin: -99% “Perhaps the most blatant example of corruption in the history of American politics.” — Bilello
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 14/08/2026
The Trump administration gives a green light to crooks. Casey Michel explains: www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
theatlantic.com
A Green Light for Crooks
The Treasury has made the American economy a safe space for corruption.
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Axios @axios.com · 14/08/2026
Trump shrugs off concerns about dismal conditions on USS Abraham Lincoln
axios.com
Trump shrugs off concerns about dismal conditions on USS Abraham Lincoln
The aircraft carrier has been deployed for nine months, with reports indicating crew members' families were concerned about their well-being.
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Seoul soars past Dubai as world’s busiest international airport - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
Seoul soars past Dubai as world’s busiest international airport
South Korean hub receives boost as Iran war hits Middle East transfer passengers
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
The question is 'how the shock moves through the supply chain ... and which producers and households are least able to absorb it. The timing makes this urgent: fertiliser purchasing for the 2027 season begins this autumn' centreforbusinessprosperity.substack.com/p/the-hidden...
centreforbusinessprosperity.substack.com
The hidden food bill: From the Strait of Hormuz to UK Dinner Tables
By Dr Chiara Donegani and Dr Oleksandr Shepotylo
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The Moscow Times @themoscowtimes.com · 12/08/2026
Russia last week received its first shipment of gasoline from India to offset domestic fuel shortages caused by Ukrainian drone strikes on its oil refineries, Bloomberg reported Wednesday, citing ship-tracking data.
themoscowtimes.com
Russia Forced to Import Gasoline From India Amid Domestic Shortages - The Moscow Times
Russia last week received its first shipment of gasoline from India to offset domestic fuel shortages caused by Ukrainian drone strikes on its oil refineries, Bloomberg reported Wednesday, citing ship...
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
'The president's net approval rating is -27, down 0.9 points since last week. 34% approve, 61% disapprove, 4% not sure' www.economist.com/interactive/...
economist.com
Donald Trump’s approval rating
Follow our presidential approval rating poll tracker to see how favourably Americans view Mr Trump
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
'Institutional uncertainty in the US and UK is as elevated as it was in the early 1940s — a signal missed by other leading measures of risk' www.nber.org/papers/w3554...
nber.org
Detecting Critical Junctures as They Unfold: Foundations, Measurement, and Applications from 120 Years of Reporting
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
“.. The president’s recent financial disclosure form shows that he collected $1.4 billion from his crypto businesses last year, the majority of it from anonymous sources.” @nytimes.com www.nytimes.com/2026/08/09/u...
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
America’s new oligarchy - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
America’s new oligarchy
Under Trump an ultra-wealthy clique has infiltrated government, raising concerns about democratic integrity
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
“.. US imposes 50% aluminum tariff. Canadian aluminum imports collapse. US aluminium prices increase (by ~50%). If only we could tease out a connection!” - @scottlincicome.bsky.social
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Data centres insurance costs are balloning www.cnn.com/2026/08/03/b...
cnn.com
AI data centers have become sitting ducks in the Iran war | CNN Business
Iran’s strategy to counter military might with economic pain has exposed a vulnerability in one of the world’s most vital interests: AI data centers.
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
How Putin’s refinery dream became a nightmare - giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... via @FT
giftarticle.ft.com
How Putin’s refinery dream became Ukraine’s target
Damage to Russian refineries still visible from space months after strikes
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
"Donald Trump’s net approval rating has fallen to a record low of -25 ... net approval rating for his handling of inflation and prices is -43" www.economist.com/interactive/...
economist.com
Donald Trump’s approval rating
Follow our presidential approval rating poll tracker to see how favourably Americans view Mr Trump
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Over half of the individual products previously sold by UK exporters to EU markets disappeared since Brexit. Non-tariff barriers pushed smaller firms out of trading relationships while larger exporters with deep sunk costs absorbed the additional compliance burden. www.aston.ac.uk/research/bss...
aston.ac.uk
Supply Chain Lock-in and the Selective Destruction of EU–UK Trade
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Tomasz Mickiewicz @tomekmickiewicz.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
London’s homicide rate stands at 1.1 / 100,000 people. This is below New York (2.8), Berlin (3.2), Milan (1.6) and Toronto (1.6) and significantly lower than rates in major US cities such as Los Angeles (5.6), Houston (10.5), Chicago (11.7) and Philadelphia (12.3). news.met.police.uk/news/violenc...
news.met.police.uk
Violence crackdown drives London’s homicide rate to record low
London’s homicide rate is the lowest since records began
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