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Todd Beeton

@toddbeeton.bsky.social
1.6K followers 163 following 67 posts

Writer of The Big Picture Substack #52 in U.S. politics • former digital for Kirsten Gillibrand and George Takei

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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
The Trump effect in one chart (h/t Gallup.)
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Best laid plans and all that…🤔
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
How's Trump's Mid-Decade Redistricting Ploy Looking Right About Now?
Republicans are fretting that their gerrymander scheme may be backfiring hard
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Since returning to office, Donald Trump has thrown his rural supporters under the bus time and time again—the very folks who helped send him back to the White House. This November though, rural voters are poised to strike back, making Republicans pay for his betrayals. And payback’s a bitch.
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
Rural Voters Strike Back: The Price Of Trump's Betrayal
Trump has thrown his rural base under the bus and it could spell doom for Republicans in November
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Just launched my new Substack, Lake Effect, exploring the news and politics of the Finger Lakes region of Western NY where I’ve lived since 2020.
lakeeffectflx.substack.com
Why Donald Trump’s “Lake America” Executive Order Actually Matters
While many dismiss it as a troll or a joke, Trump’s order renaming Lake Ontario is no laughing matter.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Haley Stevens is giving Hillary Clinton 2008. Abdul El-Sayed is giving Zohran Mamdani 2025. Which playbook will prevail and lead the party into the future?
open.substack.com
The Democratic Party Playbook Is On The Ballot In Michigan
The winner of Michigan's Senate primary could signal the future direction of the Democratic Party
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Everyone agrees Democrats are poised to win back the House this November. But what about that pesky Senate. Have Democrats sealed the deal with midterm voters? It’s sure looking like it.
open.substack.com
Sealing The Midterm Election Deal
With 96 days to go to Election Day, Democrats still have work to do to flip both chambers of Congress. Is the wave that's building big enough?
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Incredible reveal that Susan Collins was the villain in Troy Jackson’s political origin story.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
@troyjackson207.bsky.social delivers one of the central tenets of his campaign: that this movement for change “is not from the left, it’s not from the right. It’s from the bottom, and we are rising!” His joy is palpable.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Maine Democrats dub now until Election Day “Troyotathon,” with merch and all.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Here is @troyjackson207.bsky.social calling out Susan Collins’ almost thirty year record of “concern.”
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
10/10 Maine Dems credential graphic design 👏
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Signs distributed at seats throughout the hall.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
MaineDems nominating convention streaming live: www.youtube.com/live/gxM6nbF... MaineDems chair Charlie Dingman rages against ICE for “summarily executing” Joan Durán Guerrero in Biddeford. He calls ICE “government sponsored terror” and says “Senator Susan Collins has been complicit in all of it.”
youtube.com
Maine Democrats Special Nominating Convention
YouTube video by MaineDems
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
These cards welcomed us as we entered the Maine Dems nominating convention. Troy Jackson is in fact not the only one on the ballot.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Teamsters Local 340 out in force for Troy Jackson at the Maine Democrats’ nominating convention.
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Troy Jackson @troyjackson207.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Susan Collins lied to Mainers. She helped destroy Roe v. Wade, she advanced Trump's $990 billion Medicaid cuts, and she gave ICE $70 billion continue its rogue terror campaign. Together, we will replace her with a Senator who gives a damn about the working people of this country.
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Troy Jackson @troyjackson207.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Very concerned.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
People underestimate Troy Jackson’s game.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
How was Troy Jackson able to all but clinch the nomination for U.S. Senate in Maine this weekend, days before Maine Democrats’ nominating convention? Spoiler alert: it traces back to November 6, 2024, the day after Kamala Harris lost the presidency to Donald Trump.
open.substack.com
Is Troy Jackson The Working Class Champion We've Been Waiting For?
Maine's presumptive Senate nominee has the chance to prove the viability of progressive economic populism as the way forward for Democrats
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Melissa Ryan @melissaryan.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
America only accepts white refugees now. Why? Because the Trump Regime's policy comes almost entirely from false conspiracy theories. In my first guest post at The Big Picture, I walk you through the 4chan-to-Trump pipeline. thinkbigpicture.substack.com/p/4chan-trum...
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
The Pipeline from Fringe Conspiracy to Trump Policy
Official Trump policy is increasingly driven by once fringe right-wing conspiracy theories. How can we fight back?
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Everywhere you look, Trump and GOP leaders are big mad…and that’s by design. Chasing the white male rage of their supporters is literally their only play.
open.substack.com
Chasing the Rage: The GOP’s Masculinist Playbook for November
How overt misogyny has become the American right’s last unifying cause
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Trump’s obsession with his ballroom despite the “let them eat cake” vibes of it all shows he’s more concerned with legacy than political outcomes. He knows he’ll never be on a ballot again, but all those Republicans who are up for election this fall are letting him drive them off an electoral cliff.
open.substack.com
Trump's Bad Ballroom Bet
Will he drive Republicans off a political cliff just to build it?
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Mamdani drew up the blueprint. Magyar proved it can work on a national scale. Now, Ossoff is showing candidates for Congress how to translate it into a blue wave this November.
open.substack.com
The Lesson Every Democrat Should Learn From Peter Magyar's Victory In Hungary
The cost of living crisis needs a villain.
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Ben Collins @bencollins.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
There's a war on for your mind. theonion.info
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
As with anyone who leaves a cult, many former MAGA are undergoing a sort of deprogramming and, in the process, are working through all the classic stages of grief. Get out the popcorn! 🍿
open.substack.com
The Five Stages Of MAGA Grief
As MAGA voters turn on Trump, they’re reckoning with loss in a classic, recognizable pattern
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Clay Harris 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 🇵🇸💉💉💉💉💉💉💉💉 💉😷 @mudlarklives.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
The Big Picture @toddbeeton.bsky.social The Great White Supremacy Unmasking thinkbigpicture.substack.com/p/trump-musk...
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
The Great White Supremacy Unmasking
Musk and Trump have brought once fringe views into the mainstream of the right
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Governor Gavin Newsom @governor.ca.gov · 18/12/2025
This could have been an email.
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Jill Lawrence @jilldlawrence.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
For me and clearly many others, the SOB test is now the primary lens for judging Democratic candidates. Every election at every level, from now through 2028, is a referendum on an unbearable presidency. My latest, at The Big Picture. thinkbigpicture.substack.com/p/democrats-...
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
Democrats: Don’t Fail the ‘SOB Test'
Which Democratic leaders have learned the right lessons about how to compete in a post-Trump political environment?
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
#NoKings Geneva, NY drew 300 people. Amazing turnout and energy.
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Lisa Guerrero @lisaguerrero.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
It’s almost as if Jake Tapper should write a book about this.
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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez @aoc.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
We believe healthcare is a right for every American. But starting today, millions of people will be notified that they are being priced out of their insurance thanks to Republican policies. Enough is enough. The GOP may shut down the government, but we will stand tall for YOU.
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Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 28/06/2025
If only he had a way to vote in accordance with his stated beliefs!
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Mark Joseph Stern @mjsdc.bsky.social · 28/06/2025
Honestly, this is my #1 objection to yesterday’s decision. SCOTUS had many, many opportunities to curb universal injunctions against the Biden administration. For four years, it refused. Then, almost as soon as Trump returned to office, it changed the rules to take away universal injunctions. Why?
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
“Turns out Zohran’s coalition was everyone.” Says it all.
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George Takei @georgetakei.bsky.social · 19/06/2025
The Supreme Court has sided with cruelty. Again. This time, it’s trans kids who pay the price. In this powerful piece, lawyer and democracy expert @importantmeagan.bsky.social pulls back the curtain on the new ruling upholding the TN ban on gender-affirming care, and sounds the alarm on what's next.
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
The Supreme Court Just Threw Trans Kids Under The Bus—Here's What Their Ruling Means
SCOTUS lands devastating blow against trans youth and their families
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Bill McKibben @billmckibben.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
Here, from @toddbeeton.bsky.social at @georgetakei.bsky.social's Big Picture substack, is the best account I've read of how @thirdactorg.bsky.social is turning American elders into a progressive bulwark of the anti-Trump movement. Go Grantifa! thinkbigpicture.substack.com/p/senior-vot...
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
Senior Voters Are Turning Out In Force To Protest Trump—And Could Be Democrats' Secret Weapon
Think voters get more conservative with age? Think again.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 18/06/2025
At Geneva Democrats’ community town hall, glad to hear rep from @schumer.senate.gov’s office committing that Democrats will oppose Trump’s Big Betrayal Bill and force Republicans to take votes to put them on the record.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 16/06/2025
My favorite sign from the #NoKings protest in Canandaigua, NY yesterday! ❤️ #grantifa
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daviss @daviss.org · 14/06/2025
Despite warnings from the law enforcement not to attend today’s No Kings rally after this mornings shooting of Minnesota lawmakers with the killer on the lose, the No Kings Rally is happening at the Minnesota State Capitol in St. Paul.
No Kings protest at the Minnesota State CapitolNo Kings protest at the Minnesota State CapitolNo Kings protest at the Minnesota State CapitolNo Kings protest at the Minnesota State Capitol
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
Incredible turnout at #NoKings Canandaigua, NY. 💪 The solidarity was amazing, broken up only by the occasional Trumper giving us the finger out their truck window. They’re classy like that. Finger Lakes & #NY24 represented!
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 14/06/2025
this is horrific, and the eventuality some of us have been warning about for a long time
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Melissa Ryan @melissaryan.bsky.social · 14/06/2025
It's vital to emphasize that the GOP has been calling for violence against their political opponents for more than a decade now, led by Trump. The violence keeps escalating, and they keep doing it because they're getting results.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 13/06/2025
History shows that only a small fraction of our population is needed to quash the movement of a dictator like Trump through nonviolent mobilization. This weekend, we have the chance to deliver those numbers.
open.substack.com
If You Think We Can’t Beat Trump, Remember The 3.5% Rule
History shows autocrats are vulnerable to massive nonviolent resistance
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ffrf.org @ffrf.org · 06/06/2025
We're deeply troubled too, because one of our elected officials is openly embracing Christian nationalism. Rep. Mary Miller doesn’t oppose prayer in Congress, just non-Christian ones. There shouldn’t be any government-sponsored prayer on the House floor. www.politico.com/live-updates...
politico.com
Mary Miller says she’s ‘deeply troubled’ by Sikh man leading House floor prayer in deleted xenophobic post
The Republican member of Congress initially misidentified the man — who was invited to the House by another member — as Muslim.
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iWillVote.com Pollock ➡️ turn 🔔 on @willpollock.com · 08/05/2025
staffers are still cleaning up the Kristi Noem mess after she got gutted/filleted by @chrismurphyct.bsky.social this is A MOMENT. #MustWatch 🧢 @trumpfile.org
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George Takei @georgetakei.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
They don’t read the NYT or watch CNN. They get most of their political news from friends, family, and Facebook. And in 2024, these “opt-out” voters helped put Trump back in office. But now, that same group is starting to turn on him.
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
Disengaged Voters Are Abandoning Trump In Droves—Can Democrats Win Them Back?
Trump just handed Democrats an opening with one of his key voting blocs
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Justin Gibson @jgibsondem.bsky.social · 08/05/2025
The Democratic Party primaries for President in 2028 are a long way away, but we are starting to see some lanes emerge: the messengers, the fighters, and the reformers, per @toddbeeton.bsky.social at The Big Picture. thinkbigpicture.substack.com/p/democratic...
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
The Democratic Party's Path Forward Primary
Democrats are offering competing visions for how the party can rebuild—whose will prevail?
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 07/05/2025
My latest for The Big Picture.
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Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 02/05/2025
We put together a little May Day protest in Geneva, NY and the turnout was amazing. This is just half our crowd or so, coming out in the reddest district in New York, NY-24 (Claudia Tenney’s our MIA Rep.) Love people’s passion (and those signs!)
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Governor Tim Walz @governorwalz.mn.gov · 01/05/2025
Mike Waltz has left the chat.
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