Sign in

Todd Beeton

@toddbeeton.bsky.social
1.6K followers 163 following 67 posts

Writer of The Big Picture Substack #52 in U.S. politics • former digital for Kirsten Gillibrand and George Takei

PostsRepliesMedia
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
The Trump effect in one chart (h/t Gallup.)
000
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Best laid plans and all that…🤔
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
How's Trump's Mid-Decade Redistricting Ploy Looking Right About Now?
Republicans are fretting that their gerrymander scheme may be backfiring hard
000
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Since returning to office, Donald Trump has thrown his rural supporters under the bus time and time again—the very folks who helped send him back to the White House. This November though, rural voters are poised to strike back, making Republicans pay for his betrayals. And payback’s a bitch.
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
Rural Voters Strike Back: The Price Of Trump's Betrayal
Trump has thrown his rural base under the bus and it could spell doom for Republicans in November
020
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Just launched my new Substack, Lake Effect, exploring the news and politics of the Finger Lakes region of Western NY where I’ve lived since 2020.
lakeeffectflx.substack.com
Why Donald Trump’s “Lake America” Executive Order Actually Matters
While many dismiss it as a troll or a joke, Trump’s order renaming Lake Ontario is no laughing matter.
010
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
Haley Stevens is giving Hillary Clinton 2008. Abdul El-Sayed is giving Zohran Mamdani 2025. Which playbook will prevail and lead the party into the future?
open.substack.com
The Democratic Party Playbook Is On The Ballot In Michigan
The winner of Michigan's Senate primary could signal the future direction of the Democratic Party
050
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Everyone agrees Democrats are poised to win back the House this November. But what about that pesky Senate. Have Democrats sealed the deal with midterm voters? It’s sure looking like it.
open.substack.com
Sealing The Midterm Election Deal
With 96 days to go to Election Day, Democrats still have work to do to flip both chambers of Congress. Is the wave that's building big enough?
010
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Incredible reveal that Susan Collins was the villain in Troy Jackson’s political origin story.
030
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
@troyjackson207.bsky.social delivers one of the central tenets of his campaign: that this movement for change “is not from the left, it’s not from the right. It’s from the bottom, and we are rising!” His joy is palpable.
120
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Maine Democrats dub now until Election Day “Troyotathon,” with merch and all.
000
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Here is @troyjackson207.bsky.social calling out Susan Collins’ almost thirty year record of “concern.”
010
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
10/10 Maine Dems credential graphic design 👏
010
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Signs distributed at seats throughout the hall.
000
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
MaineDems nominating convention streaming live: www.youtube.com/live/gxM6nbF... MaineDems chair Charlie Dingman rages against ICE for “summarily executing” Joan Durán Guerrero in Biddeford. He calls ICE “government sponsored terror” and says “Senator Susan Collins has been complicit in all of it.”
youtube.com
Maine Democrats Special Nominating Convention
YouTube video by MaineDems
000
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
These cards welcomed us as we entered the Maine Dems nominating convention. Troy Jackson is in fact not the only one on the ballot.
011
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 25/07/2026
Teamsters Local 340 out in force for Troy Jackson at the Maine Democrats’ nominating convention.
0114
Reposted by Todd Beeton
Troy Jackson @troyjackson207.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Susan Collins lied to Mainers. She helped destroy Roe v. Wade, she advanced Trump's $990 billion Medicaid cuts, and she gave ICE $70 billion continue its rogue terror campaign. Together, we will replace her with a Senator who gives a damn about the working people of this country.
20850271
Reposted by Todd Beeton
Troy Jackson @troyjackson207.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Very concerned.
30526107
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
People underestimate Troy Jackson’s game.
000
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
How was Troy Jackson able to all but clinch the nomination for U.S. Senate in Maine this weekend, days before Maine Democrats’ nominating convention? Spoiler alert: it traces back to November 6, 2024, the day after Kamala Harris lost the presidency to Donald Trump.
open.substack.com
Is Troy Jackson The Working Class Champion We've Been Waiting For?
Maine's presumptive Senate nominee has the chance to prove the viability of progressive economic populism as the way forward for Democrats
000
Reposted by Todd Beeton
Melissa Ryan @melissaryan.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
America only accepts white refugees now. Why? Because the Trump Regime's policy comes almost entirely from false conspiracy theories. In my first guest post at The Big Picture, I walk you through the 4chan-to-Trump pipeline. thinkbigpicture.substack.com/p/4chan-trum...
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
The Pipeline from Fringe Conspiracy to Trump Policy
Official Trump policy is increasingly driven by once fringe right-wing conspiracy theories. How can we fight back?
13486112
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 28/06/2026
It's almost as if it's not about a shift left at all...😱 thinkbigpicture.substack.com/p/mamdani-ne...
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
The Kingmaker Mayor
Mamdani just taught Democrats an important lesson on Tuesday—will they listen?
000
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
Everywhere you look, Trump and GOP leaders are big mad…and that’s by design. Chasing the white male rage of their supporters is literally their only play.
open.substack.com
Chasing the Rage: The GOP’s Masculinist Playbook for November
How overt misogyny has become the American right’s last unifying cause
000
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
💯
010
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
This pretty much says it all. "He just doesn't seem to care."
021
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
I reject the notion that he will succeed in leaving the country this way. It’s certainly far more true than I would like it to be, but not all of these things are forgone conclusions.
011
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Haha yesss, it’s now up to $1 billion for the security measures of the east wing project, not the ballroom per se. But it’s of a piece. I published this article on Saturday before this latest pricetag was reported. Keep it up, Republicans. The electoral cliff keeps getting steeper and steeper.
011
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Sure, but it’s also about leaving his mark after he’s gone. He thinks of himself as an “important” president who should have things named after him like Kennedy, Washington and Jefferson. His obsession with these “monuments” is an implicit acknowledgment that he won’t be in power much longer.
011
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
And to be clear, I am holding out hope that this thing will never be built. For the record lol
011
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Honestly, won’t seeing a Democratic president use his ballroom be all the satisfaction he needs? It’s about leaving his mark that won’t be able to be torn down by the libs.
101
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Haha well, wish I could! But it certainly looks to be going in that direction. No steering this ship away from the iceberg at this point.
021
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Not sure you can really make a distinction between the two when it comes to Trump. For him, his legacy isn’t a piece of legislation or an enduring Republican majority, it’s buildings, arches, paved rose garden, his name on shit. That’s “legacy” to him—the things that will outlast him when he’s gone.
121
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
🤞
000
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Because even though Trump won’t technically be on the ballot, in a way he will be. Voters will use their vote as a proxy to express disapproval of Trump by opposing Republicans up & down the ballot. Not least of all because he pushed for a ballroom as Americans struggle to afford basic necessities.
251
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Trump’s obsession with his ballroom despite the “let them eat cake” vibes of it all shows he’s more concerned with legacy than political outcomes. He knows he’ll never be on a ballot again, but all those Republicans who are up for election this fall are letting him drive them off an electoral cliff.
open.substack.com
Trump's Bad Ballroom Bet
Will he drive Republicans off a political cliff just to build it?
3443547
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
It’s not even a terribly lefty message, which is why it works for a Democratic Socialist mayor, a conservative Prime Minster and a center left Senator. So I would say this should work for most every Dem running for House or Senate. Governors races potentially less so, although depends on the race.
000
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Yes, I understand your point. This is pretty specifically when you’re running against a sort of corrupt cabal of wealthy elites, which is what the Adams administration was, which is what the Orban administration was and what Trump and the Republicans in Congress are.
200
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Yes, his utility to the left in the U.S. is as a proof of concept for how to win elections against corrupt fascist elites. So in that way, we can learn from him when it comes to 2026 and 2028. Certainly not suggesting anything about his ideology on a left-right political spectrum.
000
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Mamdani drew up the blueprint. Magyar proved it can work on a national scale. Now, Ossoff is showing candidates for Congress how to translate it into a blue wave this November.
open.substack.com
The Lesson Every Democrat Should Learn From Peter Magyar's Victory In Hungary
The cost of living crisis needs a villain.
863283
Reposted by Todd Beeton
Ben Collins @bencollins.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
There's a war on for your mind. theonion.info
26890071448
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 10/04/2026
Ha, well that too!
010
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
As with anyone who leaves a cult, many former MAGA are undergoing a sort of deprogramming and, in the process, are working through all the classic stages of grief. Get out the popcorn! 🍿
open.substack.com
The Five Stages Of MAGA Grief
As MAGA voters turn on Trump, they’re reckoning with loss in a classic, recognizable pattern
3251647
Reposted by Todd Beeton
Clay Harris 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 🇵🇸💉💉💉💉💉💉💉💉 💉😷 @mudlarklives.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
The Big Picture @toddbeeton.bsky.social The Great White Supremacy Unmasking thinkbigpicture.substack.com/p/trump-musk...
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
The Great White Supremacy Unmasking
Musk and Trump have brought once fringe views into the mainstream of the right
021
Reposted by Todd Beeton
Governor Gavin Newsom @governor.ca.gov · 18/12/2025
This could have been an email.
620162152513
Reposted by Todd Beeton
Jill Lawrence @jilldlawrence.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
For me and clearly many others, the SOB test is now the primary lens for judging Democratic candidates. Every election at every level, from now through 2028, is a referendum on an unbearable presidency. My latest, at The Big Picture. thinkbigpicture.substack.com/p/democrats-...
thinkbigpicture.substack.com
Democrats: Don’t Fail the ‘SOB Test'
Which Democratic leaders have learned the right lessons about how to compete in a post-Trump political environment?
19586129
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 18/10/2025
#NoKings Geneva, NY drew 300 people. Amazing turnout and energy.
020
Reposted by Todd Beeton
Lisa Guerrero @lisaguerrero.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
It’s almost as if Jake Tapper should write a book about this.
1113121
Reposted by Todd Beeton
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez @aoc.bsky.social · 01/10/2025
We believe healthcare is a right for every American. But starting today, millions of people will be notified that they are being priced out of their insurance thanks to Republican policies. Enough is enough. The GOP may shut down the government, but we will stand tall for YOU.
363124872560
Todd Beeton @toddbeeton.bsky.social · 29/09/2025
Phew! 😅
020
Reposted by Todd Beeton
Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 28/06/2025
If only he had a way to vote in accordance with his stated beliefs!
591167175
Reposted by Todd Beeton
Mark Joseph Stern @mjsdc.bsky.social · 28/06/2025
Honestly, this is my #1 objection to yesterday’s decision. SCOTUS had many, many opportunities to curb universal injunctions against the Biden administration. For four years, it refused. Then, almost as soon as Trump returned to office, it changed the rules to take away universal injunctions. Why?
391178286