Reposted by Timo KelderErich Fischer @erichfischer.bsky.social · 24/07/2026Plausible record-shattering heat extremes Several recent forecast cycles have shown the possibility of >41°C in northern Switzerland and southern Germany during the first week of August. For many Swiss stations, this would exceed the current all-time record by 2–4°C. 183
Reposted by Timo KelderErich Fischer @erichfischer.bsky.social · 13/03/2025Can climate models reproduce observed trends? The answer can be challenging. Our new review paper in Science Advances led by Isla Simpson and Tiffany Shaw @drshaw.bsky.social discusses challenges and ways forward in confronting climate models and observations. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... 110544
Timo Kelder @timokelder.bsky.social · 18/03/2025We made a short video on our paper 'how to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather' 👇 0102
Reposted by Timo KelderLieseC @adaptableme.bsky.social · 14/03/2025It’s rare these days for an article to get me excited but this one sets out some excellent perspectives. #climatestorylines #unprecedentedweather #adapt www.nature.com/articles/s41...nature.comHow to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather - Nature CommunicationsUnprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of transformative, incremental, an... 111
Reposted by Timo KelderNature Communications @natcomms.nature.com · 10/03/2025New perspective article by Kelder et al. explores methods to anticipate unprecedented #weather events and highlights the role of transformative, incremental, and reactive #adaptation strategies to achieve enhanced #resilience. @stichtingcas.bsky.social www.nature.com/articles/s41...nature.comHow to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather - Nature CommunicationsUnprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of transformative, incremental, an... 094
Reposted by Timo KelderDr. Sarah Fortner @erthsarah.bsky.social · 12/03/2025For folks working with communities on climate action there is some excellent framing. Paying attention to stories helps process the new extreme/ reality & need for transformation. A story that resonated with me this year was ice rinks going out of business. We must respond. 1102
Reposted by Timo KelderEd Hawkins @edhawkins.org · 11/03/2025What do we do with this information? More transformative adaptation in advance to ensure greater resilience means less reactive adaptation required when the unprecedented event occurs. 0153
Reposted by Timo KelderVikki Thompson @vikkithompson.bsky.social · 11/03/2025Enjoyed being involved in this new perspective led by @timokelder.bsky.social, where we show the value of using multiple lines of evidence to assess plausible yet unprecedented extreme events that we need to be preparing for 🌍🌧️🌀🌡️ 042
Reposted by Timo KelderValérie Masson-Delmotte @valmasdel.bsky.social · 11/03/2025How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather? Transformative adaptation, foundation for long-term resilience, supported by incremental adaptation through upgrading existing infrastructure, and reactive adaptation - early action and disaster response. www.nature.com/articles/s41...nature.comHow to stop being surprised by unprecedented weatherNature Communications - Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of... 26215
Reposted by Timo KelderEd Hawkins @edhawkins.org · 11/03/2025How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather Kelder et al. discusses a multitude of ways that we could anticipate unprecedented weather events that might otherwise be a surprise rdcu.be/ecWQFrdcu.beHow to stop being surprised by unprecedented weatherNature Communications - Unprecedented weather events are increasingly impacting societies worldwide. This Perspective explores methods to anticipate such hazards, and it highlights the role of... 48520
Reposted by Timo KelderProf Lisa Schipper 🌍🍉💪 @lisaschipper.bsky.social · 11/03/2025How can we stop being surprised by unprecedented weather? Led by @timokelder.bsky.social (+many other colleagues) look at this in a new OA paper in @naturecomms.bsky.social. In particular, we discuss methods for that help anticipate unprecedented weather hazards. www.nature.com/articles/s41... 1247
Reposted by Timo KelderErich Fischer @erichfischer.bsky.social · 11/03/2025We have seen many record-shattering and unprecedented weather extremes in recent years. In the paper led by @timokelder.bsky.social we review methods on how to stop being surprised by the next one. 0184
Reposted by Timo KelderKarin van der Wiel @karinvdwiel.bsky.social · 11/03/2025Excited to have been part of this perspective, led by @timokelder.bsky.social, discussing how society can build resilience to, rather than be surprised by, unprecedented weather: 💪 vs 😱 Includes a review of methods to anticipate events, and discussion on adaptation practice and disaster management. 0167
Timo Kelder @timokelder.bsky.social · 11/03/20251/ How to Stop Being Surprised by Unprecedented Weather Our new @naturecomms.bsky.social paper provides our multi-author perspective on methods to anticipate extreme weather and reduce impacts, shifting from reacting with surprise towards resilience. 🔗 Read it here: doi.org/10.1038/s414... 🧵⬇️ 36824
Reposted by Timo KelderProf Lisa Schipper 🌍🍉💪 @lisaschipper.bsky.social · 19/11/2024Just for the record, a complete 🧵 of my 🧵 on adaptation. bsky.app/profile/lisa... Part I 1815535
Reposted by Timo KelderErich Fischer @erichfischer.bsky.social · 08/11/2023#EGU24 High-impact climate events After a year of countless record-breaking extremes, we organize (again) an #EGU24 session on understanding and quantifying such high-impact climate events and developing storylines for them! Submit your abstract here: meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU24/sessio... 173