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We arm leaders with the information they need to tackle the toughest policy problems. Nonprofit, nonpartisan. 📥 Get our newsletter: bit.ly/4haSUVK www.rand.org

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RAND @rand.org · 2h
A new RAND report out this week grapples with a fundamental question that will shape the world in the coming decades: What is the scope and nature of the U.S.-China competition?
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RAND @rand.org · 19h
"A future Israeli government that wants a different outcome will have to act like it. This means setting a political horizon instead of managing the conflict incident by incident, taking initiative on the Trump plan and disarmament roadmap."
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Netanyahu May Have Ignored a Dire Warning. Israel Ignores the Deeper Threat.
Israel's strategy in Gaza is only keeping Hamas in power—deterred, but not replaced, with no real alternative given a chance. A different outcome calls for a different approach.
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RAND @rand.org · 29/09/2026
How do veterans fare in the civilian labor market? New report: bit.ly/3T1MO2k
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How Do Veterans Fare in the Civilian Labor Market?
In a sample of people consistently employed for eight years after entering the labor market, post-9/11 veterans experienced faster earnings growth than comparable non-veterans. These gains were consis...
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RAND @rand.org · 28/09/2026
As education savings accounts become more common, it's crucial to collect data on how students with these accounts perform, says RAND's Susha Roy. "Without that, we just won't know for sure whether the money states spend on education savings accounts benefits children."
rand.org
Who Benefits from Education Savings Accounts? Q&A with Susha Roy
Tens of thousands of American families use state-funded education savings accounts for their children's education. How exactly do these accounts work? Who benefits from them? And how do they affect ed...
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RAND @rand.org · 27/09/2026
New paper: It is common for young people to experience long spells of disconnection—periods when they're not engaged in school, training, or work.
rand.org
Patterns of Disconnection Among America's Youth
Many 18- to 22-year-olds go through periods when they’re not in school, training, or work. How long do these stretches of disconnection last—and what do they mean for young people’s well-being?
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RAND @rand.org · 26/09/2026
Between 2020 and 2022, more than 7.5 million people bought their first gun. An unprecedented number were women. RAND's Rosanna Smart and Andrew Morral discuss.
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The Recent Rise of Women Gun Owners
In recent years, women made up almost half of all new gun owners, a striking shift from the historical norm, when women accounted for about a quarter of them. And the uptick is widespread across geogr...
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RAND @rand.org · 24/09/2026
As Ukraine faces ongoing Russian assaults, its military faces fundamental questions about how it will evolve.
rand.org
Forecasting the Next Steps in Ukraine's Military Evolution
Ukraine’s military has changed substantially since Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022. Will its next evolution be shaped by traditionalists or technologists?
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RAND @rand.org · 24/09/2026
How do education savings accounts work? Who benefits? And how do they affect education funding more broadly? RAND's Susha Roy breaks it down in a new Q&A:
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Who Benefits from Education Savings Accounts? Q&A with Susha Roy
Tens of thousands of American families use state-funded education savings accounts for their children's education. How exactly do these accounts work? Who benefits from them? And how do they affect ed...
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RAND @rand.org · 23/09/2026
"Fixating on the few days before Oct. 7 obscures a deeper flaw: The Israeli mindset, the strategic conception, remains largely unchanged. It is conflict management."
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Netanyahu May Have Ignored a Dire Warning. Israel Ignores the Deeper Threat.
Israel's strategy in Gaza is only keeping Hamas in power—deterred, but not replaced, with no real alternative given a chance. A different outcome calls for a different approach.
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RAND @rand.org · 23/09/2026
"People think that things like student debt or foreign travel will disqualify them from getting a job that requires a federal clearance. But the reality is that there are very few issues that automatically disqualify someone."
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Getting a Security Clearance Doesn't Have to Be So Intimidating: Q&A with Sina Beaghley
The security clearance process can be difficult and time-consuming but the government has made big strides in improving it. Sina Beaghley, a senior international and defense researcher at RAND, has pr...
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RAND @rand.org · 21/09/2026
RAND's Sina Beaghley has provided much of the research underpinning government efforts to improve the security clearance process. What's her advice for someone considering a job that requires vetting? New Q&A:
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Getting a Security Clearance Doesn't Have to Be So Intimidating: Q&A with Sina Beaghley
The security clearance process can be difficult and time-consuming but the government has made big strides in improving it. Sina Beaghley, a senior international and defense researcher at RAND, has pr...
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RAND @rand.org · 20/09/2026
Many of America's largest companies publicly commit to supporting veterans, but available data often cannot show whether those efforts translate into lasting career outcomes. bit.ly/4gVPark
rand.org
What the Record Shows on Corporate Veteran Support
What do publicly available data reveal about corporate support for veterans, including messaging about veterans, foundation giving to veteran causes, and federal contractors’ hiring of protected veter...
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RAND @rand.org · 19/09/2026
Disasters are becoming more frequent, more severe, and more costly—placing increasing pressure on emergency managers. Could AI help them meet the challenge? Q&A with RAND's Jessica Jensen:
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When Disaster Strikes, Could AI Help? Q&A with Jessica Jensen
Disasters are more frequent, more severe, and more costly. Pressure is mounting on emergency managers and the organizations that support them. Senior policy researcher Jessica Jensen discusses how art...
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RAND @rand.org · 18/09/2026
Russia's engagement in Latin America and the Caribbean shows that a costly war in Ukraine and international isolation haven't stopped Moscow from pursuing its objectives far from home. What are the implications for U.S. hemispheric interests? This new paper explores.
rand.org
Understanding Russia’s Role in Latin America
Russia has intensified its engagement with several countries in Latin America and the Caribbean. How do these efforts advance Moscow's strategic objectives? And how does Russia's role in Latin America...
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Reposted by RAND
Beau Kilmer @beaukilmer.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
🔥 New @rand.org Drug Policy Research Center Quarterly is out! 1️⃣Experimenting with Cannabis Legalization 2️⃣Not All ‘Magic’ Mushrooms Are the Same 3️⃣Can Near Beers & Mocktails Help Young People Quit Alcohol? & so much more! www.rand.org/health/cente...
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RAND @rand.org · 17/09/2026
Leading U.S. AI companies are calling for pacing the frontier. Whether and how government should take action remains contested. In a new paper, RAND researchers recommend that Washington adopt a "Freedom of Action" strategy to help navigate an uncertain path to superintelligence.
rand.org
Artificial Superintelligence: U.S. Strategy for an Uncertain Future
As frontier AI advances, a growing number of experts believe superintelligence is possible. How can the United States secure geopolitical advantage and navigate the profound uncertainties of this unpr...
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RAND @rand.org · 16/09/2026
As AI capabilities advance, biological weapons could become easier to design and produce—and potentially more harmful than those used in the past. RAND’s Steph Guerra outlines a layered strategy to defend against this risk:
thebulletin.org
Newly created viruses are a warning. We still have a window to stop AI-enabled bioweapons
Scientists showed recently that AI can be used to produce novel viruses. We need to build a layered system of defense before AI-enabled bioweapons capabilities become undeniably advanced—or worse, dem...
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RAND @rand.org · 15/09/2026
Scientists have recently shown that trained AI models could be used to design novel viruses. Now is the time to prepare for this threat, says RAND's Steph Guerra.
thebulletin.org
Newly created viruses are a warning. We still have a window to stop AI-enabled bioweapons
Scientists showed recently that AI can be used to produce novel viruses. We need to build a layered system of defense before AI-enabled bioweapons capabilities become undeniably advanced—or worse, dem...
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RAND @rand.org · 14/09/2026
"As Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in September to explore areas of cooperation, they should put prevention of mirror life on the agenda."
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Mirror Life Is Theoretical. The Danger Is Anything But.
With mirror life, scientists have given world leaders both the foresight and the time to address the danger. What's needed isn't alarm but action to ensure that mirror life remains just a footnote in ...
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RAND @rand.org · 13/09/2026
"The popularity and accessibility of Amanita muscaria suggests public health agencies should step up education campaigns that highlight their specific risks."
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Not All ‘Magic’ Mushrooms Are the Same
Millions of U.S. adults use Amanita muscaria mushrooms. But these distinctive fungi aren’t like other psychoactive mushrooms. What do consumers and policymakers need to know about them?
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RAND @rand.org · 13/09/2026
New report: Federal revenue is highly vulnerable to labor-displacing AI. bit.ly/4A76XVf
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What Will Happen to Federal Revenue When AI Replaces Labor?
In 2024, 84 percent of federal revenue came from either individual taxes or payroll taxes, both of which are collected from worker income. Artificial intelligence replacing human labor could sharply r...
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RAND @rand.org · 12/09/2026
"Labor earnings taxes are simultaneously the largest [federal] revenue source and the most directly threatened by AI displacement." bit.ly/3TmRSOM
rand.org
Tax Policy Options to Promote Employment and Stabilize Revenue in the AI Age
Labor earnings taxes are the largest federal revenue source and the most directly threatened by AI displacement. A broad-based tax reform package can help maintain fiscal stability and support employm...
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RAND @rand.org · 09/09/2026
"Sixty percent of U.S. teens now use ChatGPT even though parents often have no idea what their children are discussing."
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OpenAI Says ChatGPT Is Safer for Teens. Now It Needs to Show Proof.
Now, when OpenAI's system predicts that an account belongs to someone under 18, teen protections are automatically applied without waiting for a parent to activate them. But even ambitious efforts can...
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RAND @rand.org · 08/09/2026
This week marks 25 years since the September 11 terror attacks. We gathered 10 RAND experts to reflect on a fundamental question: What has the United States learned about homeland security in the quarter-century since the attacks? bit.ly/4qZPI3S
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25 Years After 9/11: Lessons for Securing the Homeland
Reflecting on 25 years since the September 11 terror attacks, RAND experts answer questions about protecting soft targets, the role of the TSA, mitigating risks from emerging technologies, and more.
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RAND @rand.org · 06/09/2026
"If AI is used well, it can help communities get the right help at the right time without inefficiency or duplicated effort, ultimately saving lives."
rand.org
When Disaster Strikes, Could AI Help? Q&A with Jessica Jensen
Disasters are more frequent, more severe, and more costly. Pressure is mounting on emergency managers and the organizations that support them. Senior policy researcher Jessica Jensen discusses how art...
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RAND @rand.org · 05/09/2026
For Washington and Beijing, mirror life is "a shared existential risk with no credible upside," says RAND's Nidhi Kalra.
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Mirror Life Is Theoretical. The Danger Is Anything But.
With mirror life, scientists have given world leaders both the foresight and the time to address the danger. What's needed isn't alarm but action to ensure that mirror life remains just a footnote in ...
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RAND @rand.org · 04/09/2026
OpenAI recently launched ChatGPT for Teens, which "automatically" applies protections to accounts that its system "estimates" belong to users under 18. But it's not clear what proportion of actual teens it identifies.
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OpenAI Says ChatGPT Is Safer for Teens. Now It Needs to Show Proof.
Now, when OpenAI's system predicts that an account belongs to someone under 18, teen protections are automatically applied without waiting for a parent to activate them. But even ambitious efforts can...
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RAND @rand.org · 03/09/2026
🍄 Edible. Psychoactive. And potentially toxic. RAND's Michelle Priest and Beau Kilmer discuss Amanita muscaria, the "other" magic mushroom.
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Not All ‘Magic’ Mushrooms Are the Same
Millions of U.S. adults use Amanita muscaria mushrooms. But these distinctive fungi aren’t like other psychoactive mushrooms. What do consumers and policymakers need to know about them?
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RAND @rand.org · 01/09/2026
The launch of ChatGPT for Teens "is akin to a ribbon-cutting ceremony for a building that has yet to pass safety inspection," says RAND's Ryan McBain. bit.ly/3UtwYxN
rand.org
OpenAI Says ChatGPT Is Safer for Teens. Now It Needs to Show Proof.
Now, when OpenAI's system predicts that an account belongs to someone under 18, teen protections are automatically applied without waiting for a parent to activate them. But even ambitious efforts can...
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RAND @rand.org · 31/08/2026
What's really happening in K–12 classrooms? Every year, we survey thousands of educators, students, and parents to find out. Here are the 5 charts that told us the most about the state of American public schools in 2026. 🧵
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The State of Public Education in 2026 in Five Charts
RAND has spent more than a decade surveying educators across the United States and has expanded this effort to include the perspectives of students and parents. Among the hundreds of survey questions ...
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RAND @rand.org · 30/08/2026
"America cannot afford to treat the cost of new power as a mystery. If we want a more reliable, affordable, and abundant energy future, we need to know what it takes to build it."
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Accelerating New Power Plants Depends on Better Data
The United States is embarking on a vast build-out of its electric system. Transparent cost data would help regulators pinpoint avoidable delays, help developers assess risk, and help communities judg...
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RAND @rand.org · 29/08/2026
A Cyclospora outbreak linked to tainted lettuce has sickened thousands of people this summer, a reminder that the U.S. remains vulnerable to a wide range of biological threats. New Q&A with RAND's Saskia Popescu:
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The Cyclospora Outbreak Was a Warning: Q&A with Saskia Popescu
Saskia Popescu is an epidemiologist by training and a policy researcher at RAND. In this Q&A, she discusses what the United States can do to prepare for future outbreaks like Cyclospora and other ...
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RAND @rand.org · 28/08/2026
"Better information will not erase the trade-offs involved in expanding the grid. It will, however, let us argue about them honestly—and design policies that respond to facts rather than slogans."
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Accelerating New Power Plants Depends on Better Data
The United States is embarking on a vast build-out of its electric system. Transparent cost data would help regulators pinpoint avoidable delays, help developers assess risk, and help communities judg...
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RAND @rand.org · 27/08/2026
AI is lowering the barriers that have kept bioweapons attacks out of reach for most actors. This new report outlines a strategy to mitigate this risk: bit.ly/46o1Cew
rand.org
Building a Biosecurity Strategy for the AI Era
The use of artificial intelligence in biology offers great promise but could also endanger global health and national security. Nine interventions layered together could meaningfully lower the risk of...
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RAND @rand.org · 26/08/2026
"We call the food system America's soft underbelly, because it's so critical but so vulnerable. This outbreak really highlights that." New Q&A with Saskia Popescu, an epidemiologist by training and a policy researcher at RAND.
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The Cyclospora Outbreak Was a Warning: Q&A with Saskia Popescu
Saskia Popescu is an epidemiologist by training and a policy researcher at RAND. In this Q&A, she discusses what the United States can do to prepare for future outbreaks like Cyclospora and other ...
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RAND @rand.org · 25/08/2026
"The Houthis could reignite the war in Yemen, scuttle efforts to make a deal with Iran and draw the U.S. even deeper into the region's conflicts."
nytimes.com
Opinion | Never Underestimate the Houthis (Gift Article)
With Iran exerting influence on the Strait of Hormuz, Houthi attacks on a nearby Red Sea passageway assume even greater importance for the world economy.
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RAND @rand.org · 24/08/2026
"AI capabilities in biology are advancing really fast, but luckily most dangerous thresholds have not yet been crossed," says RAND's Steph Guerra. Given the risks, we need a "system of mutually reinforcing approaches" to defense. www.axios.com/2026/08/21/safeguards…
axios.com
A roadmap for safeguarding against AI bioweapons
The debate over AI and public safety isn't one that the health care or research community can ignore.
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RAND @rand.org · 22/08/2026
We survey teachers, principals, superintendents, students, and parents to understand what's happening in K–12 classrooms. Here are the 5 charts that told us the most about the state of American public schools in 2026. ⬇️
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The State of Public Education in 2026 in Five Charts
RAND has spent more than a decade surveying educators across the United States and has expanded this effort to include the perspectives of students and parents. Among the hundreds of survey questions ...
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RAND @rand.org · 22/08/2026
How are America's public schools doing? 📈 Here's a look at the state of K–12 education in 5 charts:
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The State of Public Education in 2026 in Five Charts
RAND has spent more than a decade surveying educators across the United States and has expanded this effort to include the perspectives of students and parents. Among the hundreds of survey questions ...
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RAND @rand.org · 21/08/2026
"With Iran effectively closing the Strait of Hormuz, the Houthis are now in an unusually powerful position."
nytimes.com
Never Underestimate the Houthis
With Iran exerting influence on the Strait of Hormuz, Houthi attacks on a nearby Red Sea passageway assume even greater importance for the world economy.
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RAND @rand.org · 21/08/2026
RAND economist Jeffrey Wenger has been appointed Distinguished Chair, AI, Workers, and the Economy. He will advance our research agenda on AI's effects on workers, labor markets, public finances, and the broader economy. bit.ly/46fOrMA
rand.org
Jeffrey Wenger Named RAND's Distinguished Chair, AI, Workers, and the Economy
In this new, two-year role, Wenger will advance RAND's Education, Employment, and Infrastructure research agenda on artificial intelligence, including its effects on workers, labor markets, public fin...
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RAND @rand.org · 20/08/2026
A new RAND report lays out a strategy for how the United States can stop mirror life before it starts: bit.ly/4g8MRlB
rand.org
A U.S. Strategy to Prevent the Creation of Mirror Life
RAND researchers present a strategy for the United States to prevent the creation of mirror life by anyone, anywhere.
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RAND @rand.org · 20/08/2026
The U.S. national debt just hit $40 trillion. What would it take to reduce the federal debt burden? Our experts used the RAND Budget Model to outline potential solutions: bit.ly/4zy5cQM
The line graph titled "Tradeoffs could tame the federal debt by 2055" illustrates three scenarios for the U.S. federal debt as a percentage of GDP. The baseline scenario shows a steep rise to 156% by 2055. The 23% target scenario depicts a steady decrease to 23% around 2055, and the high productivity growth scenario shows a dip to 98% before rising again. Text states that 30-year planning and fiscal adjustments could lower the debt to 1975 levels.
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RAND @rand.org · 19/08/2026
"It's ever more important in our age of ubiquitous screens for schools to be a place where students feel known and that they belong."
rand.org
Back to School: Three Big Challenges
America's schools face many tough challenges—from AI in the classroom to cell phone bans to chronic absenteeism. What do these trends mean for teachers, students, and parents?
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RAND @rand.org · 18/08/2026
"AI is reshaping every aspect of how we live, work, fight, and compete." New Q&A with RAND's Matan Chorev.
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AI, China, and the New Risks to U.S. Security: Q&A with Matan Chorev
Matan Chorev is vice president and director of RAND Global and Emerging Risks. In this Q&A, he discusses some of the most consequential challenges facing the United States and the world.
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RAND @rand.org · 17/08/2026
Back-to-school season is in full swing. RAND's Heather Schwartz discusses three big challenges in American education on the Policy Minded podcast: bit.ly/4wTNB3U
rand.org
Back to School: Three Big Challenges
America's schools face many tough challenges—from AI in the classroom to cell phone bans to chronic absenteeism. What do these trends mean for teachers, students, and parents?
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RAND @rand.org · 16/08/2026
Undercounting homelessness has tangible consequences, says RAND's Sarah Hunter. "Resources are being diverted away from the very neighborhoods that require the most intensive health care, safe parking, and housing infrastructure."
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Why L.A.'s Homelessness Numbers No Longer Tell the Full Story
By removing the easiest-to-count subpopulation—tent dwellers—while missing the rise in hidden rough sleepers and vehicles, the LAHSA count metrics have obscured the true scale of the crisis.
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RAND @rand.org · 15/08/2026
This new paper explores how the U.S. Department of the Air Force could modernize its training and education approaches to support fluency in AI and other advanced tech: bit.ly/4gsQIda
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Modernizing Air Force Training and Education
As warfare is increasingly shaped by artificial intelligence, autonomy, cyber capabilities, and data-driven operations, technological fluency will be essential for force readiness. Stackable certifica...
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RAND @rand.org · 15/08/2026
"By removing the easiest-to-count subpopulation—tent dwellers—while missing the rise in hidden rough sleepers and vehicles, the LAHSA count metrics have obscured the true scale of the crisis."
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Why L.A.'s Homelessness Numbers No Longer Tell the Full Story
By removing the easiest-to-count subpopulation—tent dwellers—while missing the rise in hidden rough sleepers and vehicles, the LAHSA count metrics have obscured the true scale of the crisis.
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RAND @rand.org · 15/08/2026
"U.S. defense officials should consider how this form of warfare could play out beyond Taipei. Taiwan is at greater risk, but it is not the only target." warontherocks.com/total-war-on-taip…
warontherocks.com
Total War on Taipei: China Explores Elevating Cognitive Effects into Its Vision of Warfare
In March 2025, China's military researchers published a concept describing how to rapidly capture and subdue the city of Taipei. Distributed in restricted
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