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Tara Sinclair

@tarasinc.bsky.social
466 followers 159 following 13 posts

Views expressed here are mine. Current department chair and economics prof. Former US Treasury and former Indeedian.

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Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · 16/02/2026
Check out this great episode with Andrew Martinez. He shares the inspiring story of his path into forecasting research and insights on the latest literature. He also talks about our paper "When the Fed Reveals Its Hand: The SEP and Monetary Policy Surprises" www.mercatus.org/macro-musing...
mercatus.org
Andrew Martinez on the Art of Forecasting
Andrew Martinez is a former Treasure economist and currently is an assistant professor of economics at American Uni
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Ben Harris @econharris.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
Great to visit CAP to debate solutions to the affordability crisis. @tarasinc.bsky.social and I argued against price controls, while finding common ground with @bharatramamurti.bsky.social and @nealemahoney.bsky.social on the need for real action to make life more affordable. Watch:
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Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
I’m looking forward to being part of this panel on affordability on Feb 10th - join us! It’s open to the public in person and online. Register here: rsvp2.americanprogress.org/theaffordabi...
rsvp2.americanprogress.org
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The Hamilton Project @hamiltonproject.org · 01/12/2025
This Thursday, join us for a virtual event on the opportunities and challenges of regulating AI. Hear from @tarasinc.bsky.social, Catherine Tucker, Nicol Turner Lee, and Sanjay Patnaik:
hamiltonproject.org
Opportunities and challenges in AI regulation - The Hamilton Project
On December 4, The Hamilton Project will host a virtual event focusing on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms.
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The Hamilton Project @hamiltonproject.org · 24/11/2025
How do we regulate AI? Join us on 12/4 at 10:00 a.m. ET for a virtual event with @tarasinc.bsky.social, Catherine Tucker, Nicol Turner Lee, and Sanjay Patnaik:
hamiltonproject.org
Opportunities and challenges in AI regulation - The Hamilton Project
On December 4, The Hamilton Project will host a virtual event focusing on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms.
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Juri Marcucci @jurimarcucci.bsky.social · 20/11/2025
🚨 Nov 21! Join the next #AMLEDS webinar with @tarasinc.bsky.social presenting her “FOMC In Silico” paper that combines LLM-driven agents & Bayesian voting to simulate FOMC decisions, moderated by Shubhranshu Shekhar(Brandeis) 🕚 11AM ET-5PM CET 📄 ssrn.com/abstract=542... #AI #LLMs #EconSky
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The Hamilton Project @hamiltonproject.org · 18/11/2025
From search engines to resume screening, algorithmic AI has become increasingly common in our everyday lives. On 12/4, hear from @tarasinc.bsky.social, Catherine Tucker, Nicol Turner Lee, and Sanjay Patnaik on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms:
hamiltonproject.org
Opportunities and challenges in AI regulation - The Hamilton Project
On December 4, The Hamilton Project will host a virtual event focusing on the opportunities and risks associated with the growing use of algorithms.
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David Beckworth @davidbeckworth.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Meet Sim Powell and his LLM Fed colleagues that argue, cajole, and dissent like the real FOMC. Amazing discussion with @tarasinc.bsky.social on her work with Sophia Kazinnik where they replicate and experiment with the FOMC via LLMs of each Fed official! Full show: youtu.be/rpLAka4MKIc (1/2)
youtu.be
Tara Sinclair on a Synthetic AI FOMC
YouTube video by David Beckworth
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Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · 15/09/2025
Register now to join us at FFC/2025: The 26th Federal Forecasters Conference on October 9th! cer.columbian.gwu.edu/ffc2025-26th...
cer.columbian.gwu.edu
FFC/2025: The 26th Federal Forecasters Conference | Center for Economic Research | Columbian College of Arts & Sciences | The George Washington University
Join the Federal Forecasters Consortium for FFC/2025: The 26th Federal Forecasters Conference.
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Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · 14/01/2025
Join us for the 2025 NABE Economic Policy Conference, “Global Reset? New Dynamics Facing Business and Policy Leaders,” March 2-4 in Washington, DC! Register now! www.NABE.com/PC2025
nabe.com
Policy Conference 2025 Main Page - Conference Home
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Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Seasonal factor revisions strike again! Remember that increase in the U.S. unemployment rate in July to 4.3%? It ends up peak unemployment so far this cycle, based on updated seasonal adjustments, was just 4.2%. This is a challenge for policymakers watching every data release.
bls.gov
Employment Situation Summary - 2024 M13 Results
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John Haltiwanger @jchaltiwangerum.bsky.social · 11/12/2024
New Business Applications increased in November 2024 remaining at high levels relative to 2019. Applications in November 2024 for likely employers 46% higher than average month in 2019.
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Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · 28/10/2024
I got my Macro Musings podcast nominal GDP targeting mug. Check out the episode here: macromusings.libsyn.com/tara-sinclai...
macromusings.libsyn.com
Macro Musings with David Beckworth: Tara Sinclair on Real-time Economic Analysis and the Fed’s Upcoming Framework Review
Tara Sinclair is a professor of economics and international affairs at George Washington University, where she also directs the George Washington Center for Economic Research. From 2022 to 2024, Tara ...
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Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · 25/09/2023
On 9/27 at 3pm ET, join us at #ClimateConversations: The Macroeconomy with Eric Kemp-Benedict, Gregor Semieniuk and me on how to better incorporate climate into #Economic models: bit.ly/cc-macroecon...
bit.ly
Climate Conversations: The Macroeconomy
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Tara Sinclair @tarasinc.bsky.social · 23/09/2023
no one: BLS:
bls.gov
Historic coffee prices percolated after a bitter global supply crisis : Beyond the Numbers: U.S. Bu...
Americans drink more coffee each day than any other beverage—including tap water. Since January 2021, U.S. coffee importers have faced an escalating cost for the hot commodity. Import prices increas...
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