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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 11/10/2026

Unbelievable job by Eagles fans today in London. I wish I had been there with you all.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

This week feels like as good as any for my annual post (RIP Igglesblog):

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

My son and I watched the excellent DeSean Jackson documentary, then chased it with this, by @fduffy.bsky.social. Recommended. youtu.be/xyJtx_eISKU?...

youtu.be

How DeSean Jackson Became NFL's Greatest Deep Threat

YouTube video by Philadelphia Eagles

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

A stunning, virtuoso performance by Kyle Shanahan.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

*"Johnny Football", some are saying.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/09/2026

Franny Films approves, so obviously it's a good move. I just hope they do some 6th OL as a big boy blocker like Fran suggests.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

I love Zach Ertz the player, and hope this works out, but he will be 36 in November. Julio Jones was a 33 year old Eagle and didn't exactly light it up.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 18/09/2026

Analytics advocates should be aware that their techniques may be misused by villains and fools. Don't give motivated reasoning a calculator.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

Old and busted: You can't win a Super Bowl with Jalen Hurts at QB. New hotness: You can't win a Super Bowl with Cam Jurgens at C.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Mr. Mara must be so pleased at this great, classy opening night. Extend Joe Schoen now!

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

It's so great to have football back. I pay attention to other things that are important to me, which is why I love and pay attention to football. Ars gratia artis.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

I saw that Jerry at the Spectrum in October 1994. Bought tickets in the parking lot. It was a lot of fun.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

Jerry's last victory is closer in time to the release of Sgt. Peppers, the Summer Of Love and the Apollo 11 moon landing than it is to today.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

The last 30 Super Bowls were won by 13 franchises. The Cowboys, Niners and WASteam are not in this club. Must be awful to be a fan of such losers.

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Reposted by Sunset Shazz

Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

The Los Angeles Rams are what Vince Young would call a Dream Team.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

Christian McCaffrey had 450 touches last year. In both prior seasons where he had more than 400 touches, he missed 13 games in the ensuing season. Those ensuing seasons occurred when he was 24 and 28. He is now 30 years old. Kyle Shanahan loves load mismanagement.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

The Los Angeles Rams are what Vince Young would call a Dream Team.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 26/08/2026

Some sportswriters treat their readership with contempt, as if they are idiots; others write for a discerning, intelligent audience. Both are correct! Readership is self-fulfilling.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Most criticisms about coaching reduce to criticisms about human nature.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Alpha is expensive. It requires expenditure.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

In a repeated game, reputation is a valuable asset. People who discount the future in a myopic manner undermine that asset, to their detriment. There is a big difference between short term and long term greedy behavior.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

When formulating prescriptions, football analysts tend to pay insufficient attention to Goodhart’s Law.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Career risk strictly dominates decision making. When you see an organization behaving in an irrational manner, it is likely due to career incentives of agents, set by myopic principals. It is analytically useful to model the agents, rather than the principals.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Everybody has a binding budget constraint. Everybody. Sometimes, it's hard to imagine how enormously wealthy individuals or institutions are constrained, but they are.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Decision-making should acknowledge frictions, such as switching costs.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

People mistakenly view innovations (scheme, tactics, analytical methods) as presumptive substitutes for legacy processes. In the equilibrium, innovation is likelier to be a complement than a substitute, given initial conditions.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Rule by consensus is an attempt to solve one principal agent problem by introducing another.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Reality has a status quo bias. Inertia is likelier than progress.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Being pluralistic about models is good life advice, and good discipline for accurate judgment. Often, people have a "set menu" mindset when they can choose a la carte.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Serendipity is the word for the good side of randomness. We're conditioned to think of randomness and volatility as intrinsically bad, when convex volatility and randomness can be paths to success.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Certain NFL teams suffer from a resource curse, where the resource is an exalted patrimony.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Distance runners are better at life than sprinters. Compound growth is salient across diverse domains.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Nostalgia for the past and catastrophizing for the present are cognitive biases. Occasionally, they're business models.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Many people - and their ensuing opportunities - are crippled by a fear of looking stupid. This is most common among the status-conscious, or in industries where status is the main currency.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 22/08/2026

Here are my principal thoughts on the NFL, which I don't believe I have read (on this site or elsewhere):

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

As a PG&E customer and price theory adherent, I am firmly pro-substations. Need more substations, not fewer.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

As a reminder, the consequences have been both pronounced and persistent. In 8 out of 9 Shanahan years, the Niners were a top 10 injury team:

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

This is excellent, not reliant upon pseudoscience, and consistent with the vast empirical literature on load management: the Niners over-practice, over-train and their injury results are a consequence of that stupidity.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 21/08/2026

I don’t do film study; I have no comparative advantage, no alpha. I rely on somebody who does: Fran Duffy. And, boy, Fran was as skeptical as I can remember him ever being, regarding the Eli Stowers pick.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 04/07/2026

They just weren’t afraid of the moment. Nick Foles is in awe of the size of their balls.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 04/07/2026

That was a peak sports watching experience. Thank you, Cabo Verde. I have been watching sports since I was a little boy, and never saw anything like that.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

In my youth, I would read the Dumpster Fire series first thing in the morning. Nowadays, I deal with work, The World Cup, the kids, have dinner and leisurely savour reading this with a wee dram. Enjoy, Eagles fans.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 15/06/2026

"Tulsky was born in Philadelphia, growing up a sports fan. He'd watch Mike Schmidt and the Phillies at The Vet and still lets an occasional "Go Birds!" slip out during NFL season." Congratulation to Eagles fan / analytics nerd Eric Tulsky on his first Stanley Cup. www.espn.com/nhl/story/_/...

espn.com

How the Hurricanes' jock-nerd alliance won the Stanley Cup

Coach Rod Brind'Amour and GM Eric Tulsky blended the perfect recipe, creating a team that won its first Cup in 20 years -- and will be back for more.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

The monetary economics of the salary cap is really interesting.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

I wish NFL GMs could trade 2056 draft picks, so that the illustration of this concept were more vivid. Alas, Roger Goodell doesn't share this view.

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Sunset Shazz @sunsetshazz.bsky.social · 02/06/2026

A zero discount rate promotes the idea that the desires of future Eagles fans shouldn't be treated as lower value, merely because of temporal distance. Though we are eternal prisoners of the present, our decisions have consequences which apply to future generations.

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