Reposted by Michael LopezMike Beuoy @inpredict.bsky.social · 13/02/2026I finally got around to formalizing my Kelly betting-based method of evaluating time-updating probabilistic forecasts (e.g. in-game win probability, election models, etc.) in a paper. It is now up on arXiv. 1/ 243
Michael Lopez @statsbylopez.bsky.social · 09/01/2026In the NFL, the fat lady sings the latest A fun post comparing win probability models by pct of time into a game operations.nfl.com/gameday/anal... 0174
Michael Lopez @statsbylopez.bsky.social · 09/10/2025Open role with our Football/Media Data & Analytics teams at the NFL - please reach out if this seems like a good fit 21814
Reposted by Michael Lopezdatawithbliss.bsky.social @datawithbliss.bsky.social · 25/09/2025The 2026 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl is live! Participants can sign up for two competitions: - leaderboard - traditional analytics competition This year's task: predict/understand player movement when the ball is in the air 11110
Reposted by Michael LopezNick Wan @nickwan.bsky.social · 25/09/2025Big data bowl is up!! Two types of competitions this year: The prediction track is more of your classic Kaggle prediction competition. Similar to the March madness Kaggle comp, NFL will use the actual game data from this season and the best prediction wins www.kaggle.com/c/nfl-big-da...kaggle.comNFL Big Data Bowl 2026 - PredictionPredict player movement while the ball is in the air 1179
Reposted by Michael LopezDanny Page @danny.page · 28/05/2025Need to get @statsbylopez.bsky.social to restart the “nerds with trophies” thread 091
Michael Lopez @statsbylopez.bsky.social · 19/02/2025Details on the 2025 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl 121
Reposted by Michael LopezNate Tice @natetice.bsky.social · 10/02/2025Cooper DeJean with some outstanding awareness to fall back into the throw and get the interception. DeJean also hit a max speed of 21.31 MPH on this play. The fastest by a defensive player as a ball carrier this season (including playoffs), per NextGenStats. 42110383
Reposted by Michael LopezRon Yurko @stat-ron.bsky.social · 29/01/2025Regardless of the announcement - congrats to everyone that made a submission! Just getting something out there is an achievement and something to point to in your #sportsanalytics #datascience portfolio #BigDataBowl 011
Michael Lopez @statsbylopez.bsky.social · 29/01/2025Congratulations to the Finalists, Semi-Finalists, and Honorable Mention finishers in the 2025 Big Data Bowl #BigDataBowl 3136
Michael Lopez @statsbylopez.bsky.social · 29/01/20252025 Big Data Bowl finalists will be announced tomorrow, Weds 1/29, at 12 noon EST #BigDataBowl 095
Michael Lopez @statsbylopez.bsky.social · 09/01/2025A look at each NFL team's kickoff style t.co/u2YoauQwfkt.cohttps://operations.nfl.com/gameday/analytics/stats-articles/how-did-nfl-kickoff-units-approach-the-2024-dynamic-kickoff/ 022
Reposted by Michael LopezJacob Miller @chocotrail.bsky.social · 07/01/2025Enjoyable time with Connor and Grant working through this #BigDataBowl. We attempted to bite off quite a bit -- is it possible to create an overall metric for predictability of play outcome given pre-snap information? Quick hit: more first downs = more unpredictable 131
Reposted by Michael LopezConor Malone @conorbmalone.bsky.social · 04/01/2025Ah, messed up the hashtag #bigdatabowl 011
Michael Lopez @statsbylopez.bsky.social · 06/01/2025Big Data Bowl submissions are due tomorrow 🚨🚨 The deadline is 11:59 PM UTC, which is 6:59 PM EST 🚨🚨 #BigDataBowl 292
Reposted by Michael LopezNick Wan @nickwan.bsky.social · 27/12/2024A list of literally any other conf or community that would be a better use of your time than ssac: 34118
Reposted by Michael LopezBenjamin Solak @benjaminsolak.bsky.social · 15/12/2024There are 70 throws of 50+ air yards in the NGS database. This throw was in the air for 2.47 seconds. That is the fastest 50+ yard throw we've seen. 11692120
Reposted by Michael Lopezqntkhvn @qntkhvn.bsky.social · 13/12/2024Excited to share my #BigDataBowl submission this year, joint work with the great Ron Yurko: Down, set, hut! Explaining variability in snap timing on plays with motion www.kaggle.com/code/tindata... 1123
Reposted by Michael LopezSebastian Carl @mrcaseb.com · 20/11/2024WEEK 12 #NFL Playoff Leverage Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game. Niners and Seahawks better win this week. #rstats | #nflverse 37718
