Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Made my day! That rocks. And thank god it’s going to be the mpas rrfs rather than the fv3 rrfs. You can tell I couldn’t make it to AMS this year and missed some memos! 012
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Ok REALLY dumb question isn’t HRRR on the chopping block for next year? To be replaced by rrfs? Is having the new mesoanalysis be HRRR based a sign that it’s getting a stay of execution I didn’t know about? (🤞) 110
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 29/08/2026The look on the Finance Manager Bro’s face when he went down the list of Premium Add On Maintenance Packages that my Ioniq5 absolutely positively will never need 🔥 Sorry pal! 060
Reposted by Jack SillinDavid Roberts @volts.wtf · 29/08/2026You see a lot of glib analysts repeating the line that "Americans just don't want EVs" without taking into consideration that the US auto buying experience is dominated by a network of extremely ignorant, Republican car dealers dependent on the kind of maintenance that EVs don't need. 631668366
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 02/08/2026I read and enjoy as often as I’m online! That just happens to be not as often as it used to be haha 010
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 27/07/2026Pour one out for what may be the final instance of "getting NAM'd" whereby the NAM model gives false hope of a robust coastal low w/strong frontogenesis banding over a major metro area. It is admittedly more fun when multiple ptypes are involved. The NAM is being pushed into retirement this fall :( 2112
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 18/07/2026Cheers thanks man! I’ve done a lousy job campaigning but we’ll see. Felt like at least SOMETHING I could do. Hope you’re hangin in there these days 110
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 01/07/2026Very nice! Selfishly I’m glad Legro is coming back to GYX afterwards! 110
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 01/07/2026Synoptic or mesoscale lift be more than 0.00001m/s challenge impossible 100
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 01/07/2026Congratulations sir! Did @oceanstwx.bsky.social transfer to BOX?? 110
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 11/06/2026Sorry to hear you were hacked but glad you’re here! Twas a good day in the Missouri valley even though we opted out of the jungle fest farther east that resulted in tornadoes 030
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 30/05/2026Passing a pleasant morning at the McCook NE public library 0150
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 30/05/2026Ah yeah had high hopes for NE CO initially but the persistent mid/high clouds all morning ruled that out. Thought the theta e nose into Cheyenne wells had some hope especially as towers went up there but everything went outflow dominant very quickly. Ah well, marginal days. How long ya out for? 130
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 30/05/2026No this was the one that was promising for a bit near Sheridan lake. Guess just not quite enough shear to separate the downdraft from the updraft 120
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 30/05/2026This is probably when the northern ones had the most promise. A brief entirely scud lowering and then the gust front hit 060
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 30/05/2026Best shot of the day was undoubtedly when that updraft was on its way out 290
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 21/05/2026late may / early june tornado climo: the bar to produce tornadoes is now set on the floor 2026: hold my beer while i grab a shovel 2121
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 22/04/2026@burgwx.bsky.social hey Tomer hope youve been doing well! just wanted to flag that tropycal seems to have acquired a bug whereby one can't even import due to apparently missing modules github.com/tropycal/tro...github.comCan't import tropycal · Issue #245 · tropycal/tropycalTropycal 1.4. Two errors, both related to setuptools. ModuleNotFoundError: No module named 'setuptools_scm' and ModuleNotFoundError: No module named 'pkg_resources' . Setuptools version 82.0.0 and ... 000
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 04/04/20262x2 for sure IMO. Could also say +/-1 degree but I think the idea of referring to this as something within 1deg kind of implies a 1 degree radius which obviously isn’t what you’re showing 020
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 28/03/2026One of the speakers at my local event said make some noise if this is the most important election of our lives like nah man that was ‘24 and we blew it 110
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 28/03/2026I’m curious if you went to a No Kings event today (as I did!) what did you think of the speakers? Good? Inspiring? Interesting? Boring? Cringe? 100
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 26/01/2026It’s always warmer than modeled aloft and colder than modeled at the surface in these setups 110
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 25/01/2026Seems to be a stronger warm nose than modeled… what a shock haha 120
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 03/12/2025classic case as you mentioned with the somewhat positively tilted trough. shame we couldnt get tomorrow's shortwave in here 48 hours faster haha 010
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 28/11/2025oh no! thinkin of ya man. hopefully nothing too serious 110
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 12/11/2025Stuck in Manhattan tonight but at least Maine’s cloudy too I guess 110
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 12/11/2025Whoa those satellite images are super cool! And those era5 plots look familiar don’t they haha 010
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 02/10/2025My Ioniq 5 is awesome, I’d never go back to gas if you paid me 2161
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 29/09/2025this makes me viscerally angry. what a cool tool lit on fire for no reason 2244
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 27/09/2025Some of Mamdani’s policies are good, some are bad, a few are terrible, but the way he does politics is so refreshing I would totally vote for him if I lived in NYC 2131
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 25/09/2025Superensemble for sure AI next Recon last as tidbits and cyclonicwx already do very solid recon viewers 150
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 24/09/2025Knowing that RFK cries a little each time I get a vaccine makes it hurt a lot less 110711
Reposted by Jack SillinIsaac Schluesche @slushywx.bsky.social · 21/09/2025You versus the TC she tells you not to worry about 073
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 25/08/2025Monday. 5pm. 7th Ave from clarkson st. We looooveeeeeee congestion pricing! 0121
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 24/08/2025I like cold and snow and mountains. I do not like heat, humidity, and insane politics 2222
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 18/08/2025Following up after a weekend of observing #Erin. The real track fell on the left side of the ECMWF Ensemble guidance envelope, but near a solid cluster of members. Only one deepmind member showed a scenario remotely similar to what actually happened. 34410
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 15/08/2025This morning's ECMWF Ensemble forecast scenarios for #Erin (left) vs Google DeepMind (right). Which do you think provides more useful information about tropical cyclone forecast uncertainty? 8170
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 13/08/2025I’m glad I’m out of the (public) grand thought business haha 020
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 13/08/202512z is also a bit of a jab at those confidently saying there’s absolutely nothing to worry about. But yeah lots of overconfidence in D7+ NWP output 010
Jack Sillin @sillin.bsky.social · 11/08/2025Hardly even need the “P” based on satellite trends IMO 170
