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Samuel Coavoux

@scoavoux.bsky.social
1.2K followers 723 following 183 posts

Social scientist. Associate Prof University of Geneva, Affiliated researcher @crestsociology.bsky.social. I study cultural inequalities & digital technologies. scoavoux.github.io

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Reposted by Samuel Coavoux
Marie Turcan @turcanmarie.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Un monde parallèle où la préfecture de police parle de « violences » en montrant du serum phy, un foulard, des boules quiès et des paires de lunettes. Lundi dernier, un policier a fracturé la mâchoire d'un adolescent de 14 ans avec un tir de lance-grenade Cougar : www.mediapart.fr/journal/fran...
un tweet de la préfecture de police qui montre le matériel confisqué (lunettes, serum phy et boule quiès) et un message : "Manifester est un droit. La violence ne l’est pas. Avant les rassemblements, les policiers procèdent à des contrôles et saisissent les matériels susceptibles d’être utilisés pour commettre des violences ou des dégradations."
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Samuel Hayat @samuelhayat.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
Le 1er octobre 2026 a donc vu le plus haut nombre d'interpellations de l'histoire récente. Il faut remonter au terrible 17 octobre 1961 pour dépasser ce nombre. Et près de 90% de mineurs. C'est une répression inédite, inouïe, et qui révèle un pouvoir en guerre contre la jeunesse. Force à elle
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Danièle Obono @danieleobono.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
🚨 Un policier en civil a jeté des projectiles sur des CRS pour que la situation dégénère. Ce comportement scandaleux a été révélé par le député européen insoumis Anthony Smith à Reims. Faites connaître massivement cette vidéo !
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Pierre Bernat @pierrebernat.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
🧶 Dans un courrier adressé à des parents d'élèves, le Préfet du Pas de Calais demande explicitement aux parents de s' "assurer que [leur] enfant s'abstienne de manifester dans les prochains jours" Puisqu'il aime rappeler les sanctions à ses administrés, rappelons au préfet quelques règles...
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jon ben-menachem @jbenmenachem.com · 29/09/2026
"Replication crisis" reforms like preregistration & pre-analysis plans were developed to control false positives in experimental research. Does that work in observational studies? Our new paper in Sociological Methods & Research argues for a different approach. 🧵 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
A Replication Framework for Observational Research: From Specification Restriction to Specification Expansion
Jonathan Ben-Menachem https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8092-0848 jbenmenachem@gmail.com, Ari Galper https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7909-8837, and Nic Fishman
Abstract
Sociology has remained relatively insulated from debates about the “replication crisis.” Heeding calls to consider replication more deeply, we introduce a distinction between two types of research reforms that have emerged in the wake of the crisis: specification-restricting and specification-expanding reforms. Specification restriction is often promoted as a way to increase the repeatability of research findings by controlling false positives. We argue that this statistical justification is less compelling in observational contexts—where the assumptions licensing false-positive control are harder to sustain and rigid ex ante analytical commitments can instead enshrine fragile specifications—than in experimental contexts. We further argue that apparently low replication rates do not necessarily imply a high prevalence of false positive findings. Instead, we propose a replication framework centered on specification-expanding reforms, stronger incentives for confirmatory research, and meta-analysis. This approach equips sociologists to assess the repeatability of findings and build a more cumulative discipline.
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Je parlais de l'offre haute fidélité
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
c'est lié à l'absence d'utilisateurs gratuits et à la présence de l'offre premium en terme de qualité audio, mais les deux sont, au fond, le fait qu'ils ciblent un marché haut de gamme.
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
+ 20 pts d'écoute quotidienne de musique entre 2008 et 2018 d'après l'enquête PC...
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
je comprends tout à fait et je suis d'accord globalement. La politique IA de spotify est très gênante -- mais c'est une autre affaire que la rémunération. Après l'extension de la musique au quotidien est sans doute l'un des moteurs de la longue remontée de la pente des revenus du secteur.
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
précisément: sur toutes les plateformes, tu prends l'ensemble des revenus, tu enlèves frais de fonctionnement et marge de la plateforme (environ 30%) et tu redistribues le reste aux ayants droits (dont les artistes qui ne touchent que quelque chose comme 30% de ce qui reste...)
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
si tu déplaces des abonnés spotify vers qobuz j'ai du mal à croire qu'ils vont changer leurs pratiques (passer à l'abo plus cher/streamer moins). Par ailleurs je ne vois pas en quoi streamer moins par abonné augmenterait la rémunération...
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
principalement oui. En fait, il y a aussi deux autres trucs: certains abonnés payent plus cher pour l'abonnement haute qualité (=> plus de revenus à distribuer) et sans doute les abonnés qobuz écoutent moins en moyenne que les abonnés spotify. Mais ce sont des questions de recrutement social.
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Ce qui n'enlève rien au fait que Spotify est gênant sur plein de points bien sûr.
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
C'est le problème de ce chiffre en euro par stream, c'est purement illustratif et ça dit juste que les utilisateurs de qobuz écoutent moins pour le même prix. Si tu veux que les artistes gagnent plus il faut plus d'abonnés partout et/ou revoir la part qui va aux majors...
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Sauf que ça marche pas comme ça. Les deux ont le même modèle sauf que qobuz a pas d'abonnement gratuit. Les marges sont similaires dans toute l'industrie. Si tu déplaces des streams ben tu égalise juste les poids...
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Reposted by Samuel Coavoux
Burak Sonmez @buraksonmez.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Come and join us @sriucl.bsky.social We’re looking for an Assistant Professor in Quantitative Social Science with a research agenda on the environment and/or climate change, and expertise in causal inference. See full details and apply 👉🏼 www.ucl.ac.uk/work-at-ucl/...
UCL Social Research Institute recruitment poster for an Assistant Professor in Quantitative Social Science at the Centre for Quantitative Social Science. Applications close 30 October 2026.
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The Max Weber postdoc program at @eui-eu.bsky.social has its deadline 16 October, for a September 2027 start: www.eui.eu/en/academic-...
eui.eu
Max Weber Programme for Postdoctoral Studies
Making a Difference in Global Academia
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Christina Viehmann @christinaviehmann.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
🔍 How robust are findings based on topic modeling? Our 🏆 Top Faculty Award article on #TopicModeling + #MultiverseAnalysis is now #openaccess in Communication Methods & Measures. 📄 doi.org/10.1080/19312458.2026.2714769 🔁 gesistsa.github.io/multiverse_tm/ wonderful teamwork @gesis.org 👇
doi.org
Beyond beyond standardization: studying robustness of empirical claims based on topic modeling through multiverse analysis
While topic modeling is widely used, some scholars have already announced that the application of topic modeling in social science research is impossible to standardize. Meanwhile, researchers have...
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Merci pour la ref, je me souvenais qu'il était parfois sceptique sur son blog mais je connaissais pas ce texte
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
j'imagine que ça dépend ce qu'on entend par là, si c'est fout tout dans le modèle et dieu reconnaîtra les siens c'est pas top, mais il y a quand même pas mal de situation où il n'y a pas de justification théorique particulière pour privilégier une implémentation ou l'autre d'une variable.
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
What they can do that is useful (with a focus on quant social science): systematic replication efforts. Automated multiverse analysis / robustness checks / sensitivity analyses. Expanding lit reviews outside of your own discipline/school of thought. Ad hoc softwares for specific tasks. Code review.
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
To be clear, I agree that LLMs in our current system are bad. I just disagree that it's LLM per se rather than the system.
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
"Many scientific fields are already drowning in plausible-seeming but unverified papers": this is publish or perish, not LLM. Science has been drowning before chatGPT and is just drowning more. If LLMs are used for more papers, they won't improve science. But they could be used for better papers.
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
the whole idea of *deciding* what to believe is very funny
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Reposted by Samuel Coavoux
Jan Vanhove @janhove.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
New blog post: "Cluster analysis: A skeptic’s guide". In which I ask a few questions that social scientists wishing to identify hidden classes in their data ought to address. janhove.github.io/posts/2026-0...
A two-dimensional scatterplot showing a three-cluster solution.

Caption: "Figure 2: A visualisation of a Latent Profile Analysis fit. Such visualisations may help readers appreciate that the clusters aren’t nicely separated and that the researchers’ notion of clusters may not correspond to their own."Table of contents:

Refresher: What is cluster analysis?
What are the clusters for?
What clusters, exactly?
Does the pipeline work?
What does the solution look like?
When running follow-up analyses, how is the uncertainty in the cluster assignments taken into account?
Was it worth it?
Conclusion
References
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Benoît de Courson @bdecourson.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
J'ai un nouveau sociologue préféré
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
4-year postdoc(s) at Copenhagen Business School on project The Business of Corruption: Why Business Elites Collude or Combat Political Corruption, led by @mkjustesen.bsky.social. Start: summer 2027, deadline 18 September. www.cbs.dk/en/about-cbs...
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
le fait que si tu plot le ratio inverse (tofu/entrecôte vs. entrecôte/tofu si je comprends bien) le message diffusé n'est pas du tout le même me paraît quand même gênant.
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
mais le ratio est borné à 0 d'un côté, potentiellement infini de l'autre, l'échelle ne traite pas les sous-représentations et les sur-représentations symétriquement... A minima il faudrait une barre verticale à 1 pour avoir une comparaison
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Reposted by Samuel Coavoux
Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Causal inference is the art of knowing exactly why your estimate isn't causal
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Excellence PhD scholarships from the Swiss government for one-year internship or three year projects www.sbfi.admin.ch/en/swiss-gov...
sbfi.admin.ch
Swiss Government Excellence Scholarships at a Glance
The following information is intended for individuals interested in applying for a Swiss Government Excellence Scholarship. Here you will find all the details needed to prepare your scholarship applic...
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Reposted by Samuel Coavoux
Sciences Po médialab @medialab-scpo.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Comment l'IA transforme-t-elle la publicité ? Le médialab et le @cso-sciencespo.bsky.social s'associent pour un séminaire sur l'émergence des agents IA comme acteurs économiques. 📅Vendredi 11/09 à 11h15 🗣️ @koraycaliskan.bsky.social et Donald MacKenzie 📍Campus de Sciences Po Infos & inscription 🔽
medialab.sciencespo.fr
Towards Agentic Economies: Eight Cases of New Commerce under AI | médialab Sciences Po
Ce séminaire co-organisé avec le CSO accueillera Koray Caliskan (Parsons School of Design) et Donald MacKenzie (Université d'Edinburgh). Ils présenteront leur récent article, qui traite de la manière ...
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Reposted by Samuel Coavoux
Dr. Hab Sophie Sacquin-Mora @sacquin-mo.eurosky.social · 08/09/2026
This is your yearly reminder that if you're interested in applying to a CNRS researcher permanent position in France, NOW is the right time to contact labs and build a research project. (not in December when the applications will officially open)
static.klipy.com
ALF It's time
Alt: ALF It's time
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Pol Solé Navais @polsolenavais.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
📣📣📣 The University of Gothenburg (Sweden) is recruiting 25 (yes, 25!) Assistant Professors in a wide range of disciplines (from arts to education to geology to maths), two of these at our Faculty. Happy to talk to anyone interested in knowing more about Sweden, Gothenburg or GU!
gu.se
Gothenburg Global Scholars Initiative
The University of Gothenburg is launching the Global Scholars Initiative – a coordinated international recruitment effort comprising 25 research positions across a broad range of disciplines and facul...
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Volleyball is more detrimental to life expectancy than mountaineering, says observational study that selects on surviving long enough to make it to wikipedia 🤔. If you want to live longer fencing, tennis, skiing, golf and horse riding are all up there statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/22/t...
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
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Aaron Reeves @aaronreeves.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
New paper w @samfriedman.bsky.social. We know elites try to convince ppl that they're ordinary via their class origin or their taste. But what happens when those attempts at ordinariness fail, and does this affect how we think about inequality. journals-sagepub-com.lse.idm.oclc.org/doi/full/10....
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Mrs. Betty Bowers @mrsbettybowers.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
If you have enough money that you can blow $100,000,000 on avoiding taxes, you have enough money to pay $100,000,000 *on* taxes that will help your fellow citizens, you self-centered prick.
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Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 03/08/2026
I said: “The 1950s family could not even reproduce itself for one generation. They couldn’t even convince their children that this was the right way to arrange their lives. So it failed immediately.”
theatlantic.com
The Great Romance Slump
Why are so few young people finding love?
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Et les pyromanes?
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This skeet will self destruct @pardoguerra.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
This is quite the finding for a device thats just a plagiarism machine, or whatever we are calling it this week. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
nature.com
Large language models can predict the results of social science experiments - Nature
Large language models can be used to estimate the results of social science experiments about as accurately as a group of human forecasters—even for experiments published after the...
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Chris Bail @chrisbail.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
A new faculty position in media and politics at Stanford: facultypositions.stanford.edu/jobs/assista...
facultypositions.stanford.edu
Assistant Professor in Communication - Stanford University, California, United States
The Department of Communication at Stanford University seeks applicants for a junior appointment at the rank of tenure-track Assistant Professor. We invite applications from individuals working at the...
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Herman van de Werfhorst 🟥 @hermwerf.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Assistant professorship in political science at the @eui-sps.bsky.social! Come and work with us. www.eui.eu/About/JobOpp...
eui.eu
Open competitions for academic posts
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Petter Törnberg @pettertornberg.com · 07/07/2026
‘Polarization’ has become the master concept for diagnosing our current democratic crisis. But this is not polarization. It is the radicalization of the political right. By misdiagnosing it, we risk becoming complicit in the crisis. 🧵 Just out in Perspectives on Politics doi.org/10.1017/S153...
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Pierre Bataille @pierrebat.cpesr.fr · 03/07/2026
Et je suis plutôt bon public en vrai. Mais on a pas bien conscience de ce que les revues reçoivent parfois haha.
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Samuel Coavoux @scoavoux.bsky.social · 30/06/2026
Pas crédible, il n'y a pas son rang à l'agrég
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Hendrik Erz, PhD @hendrik-erz.de · 26/06/2026
+++ NEW ARTICLE +++ Exploring solid use cases for LLMs is hard because most treat their “prompts” either as a trade secret or as not important. Both stances are bad. In this article, I change this by sharing useful academic “prompts” with you. www.hendrik-erz.de/post/how-i-u...
hendrik-erz.de
How I use Generative AI in My Work
Locally-running generative AI has made considerable jumps in quality in the past three years. I think it is finally time to evaluate such models in …
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Stephen Turner @stephenturner.us · 24/06/2026
How to give a bad talk www.nature.com/articles/s41...
How to give a bad talk https://www.nature.com/articles/s41568-026-00954-8
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Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
The Department of Political Science at Aarhus University is hiring both Assistant Professors and Associate Professors. Assistant Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Associate Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Please share these opportunities with your networks!
international.au.dk
Assistant Professor in Political Science - Vacancy at Aarhus University
Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University
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Chris Bail @chrisbail.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Nature Human Behavior is searching for a new editor to handle Computational Social Science: nam11.safelinks.protection.outlook.com?url=https%3A...
nam11.safelinks.protection.outlook.com
Associate or Senior Editor, Nature Human Behaviour
Job Title: Associate or Senior Editor, Nature Human Behaviour Organisation: Nature Portfolio Location: Shanghai, Milan or Pune – hybrid working model Closing date: 10th July 2026 About Springer Nature...
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