iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 07/09/2025

schadenball .com is back for #UCLFantasy 25/26! 👀 Adjustable Mins Points model 📺Improved data viz 📈 Enhanced xPoints model 💰 DFS xPoints (FanTeam, etc.) 🆓 Team-level eG, CS odds, team strength, captaincy, market odds Thanks to all the supporters - you guys are absolute legends!❤️ #UCL

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 20/08/2025

Season-long odds: goals,assists,cards for #FPL (Select players) Market baselines shift due to more than just returns-role changes, mins, sentiment, etc. Could be used to adjust our beliefs Debuting this in our GW2 FPL Script pod (youtube.com/@fplscript) & will continue to track through the season

021 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 01/08/2025

Mike Trésor Ndayishimiye from Burnley

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 01/08/2025

xA per 90 vs CBIT-R per 90 for all Premier League players (career data) Added recoveries for MIDs and FWDs Position-wise viz in the comments 👇 #FPL

230 3

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 31/07/2025

idk why a low res image was posted. I think you'd be able to read from this one

120 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 30/07/2025

Finishing skill vs npxG p90 for all Premier League players* (career data) *Includes the newest FPL additions Let me know if you want to look at any other players in this viz

3131 13

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 30/07/2025

xA per 90 vs CBIT per 90 for all Premier League players (career data) Phase I of data extraction for the 2025/26 UCL season is now complete. As part of prepping and training the data model, I’ve visualized some FPL-relevant metrics*. *Includes the newest FPL additions

271 7

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 16/07/2025

thanks for the recommendation. I had fun with the Daily classic Daily Octordle #1269 🕚4️⃣ 7️⃣🕛 8️⃣🔟 5️⃣9️⃣ Score: 66

220 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 10/06/2025

➡️Team-level Data for MD1 Fix. Quality = eG/eGA

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 10/06/2025

➡️Player-level eG (Tournament Totals) Select players - full list will be available on Patreon (free access) and also on FPL__Fran's YT channel P.S. MD1 eGI will be available closer to the weekend. 3/n

120 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 10/06/2025

➡️Team Strength Model I've used a new methodology of trying to reverse engineer team strengths using Spreadex eG for MD1 and OPTA's power rankings. Your feedback will help me tune the model even further before Sunday. 2/n

110 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 10/06/2025

#CWCFantasy Unfortunately, I won't be publishing an EV model for CWC2025. Instead, the following data will be made available: ➡️Team Strength Model ➡️Player-level eG/eA odds (Tournament-totals & each MD) ➡️Team-level eG & odds movement FPL__Fran's YT channel will also feature all of this data👇. 1/n

130 3

Reposted by FPL Schaden

Greyhead @fplgreyhead.bsky.social · 01/06/2025

#UCLFantasy Ended up just outside the top 10k which is respectable enough However, well done to @schadenball.com who win The Great and The Good, they finished 109th overall! Congratulations to Sukhraj, Obay and @big4fpl.bsky.social who pushed them to the end

022 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 06/05/2025

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices* for #MD16 Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com *INT v BAR lineups will be available before deadline

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 06/05/2025

#UCLFantasy #MD16 Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players) *Lautaro eA priced at 0.14, eG .38, eGI pts 1.93

001 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 06/05/2025

All jewel mules have been outed

010 1

Reposted by FPL Schaden

Joshua Bull @joshuabull.bsky.social · 06/05/2025

I know Indian food is much better than British food, but I had no idea they were eating jewellery and gems! No wonder our cooking doesn't have that same sparkle. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

"Once it comes into force, which could take up to a year, UK consumers are likely to benefit from the reduction in tariffs on goods coming into the country from India, the Department for Business said.

As well as clothing, that will include some Indian foodstuffs, such as frozen prawns, jewellery and gems."

221 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 05/05/2025

and I thought I was being reasonable hoping for 55

210 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 29/04/2025

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices* for #MD15 Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com *ARS v PSG lineups will be available prior to deadline

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 29/04/2025

#UCLFantasy #MD15: SF L1 Spread Markets eG for select players

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 21/04/2025

ran this post deadline and the top line is a -16 with probability fixtures

120 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 19/04/2025

not confident in his xMins and want money itb if something crazy happens in 36/37. Also 1.3M OR so can't go for obvious picks ig lol

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 17/04/2025

#UCLFantasy #MD14 61 POINTS RANK: 88 OP: 1199 (52 pts behind OR# 1) TV: 108.2m Chips used: LL6, WC13 A miraculous stay in the Top 100 after not owning the G-rassy hattrick. Kane will no longer troll me. The second of 2 penalty misses in fantasy football today - Bukayo Saka

030 3

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 15/04/2025

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices* for #MD14 Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com DOR v BAR and AVL v PSG lineups will be available before deadline *Ferran Torres is a close 4th on 5.85

020 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 15/04/2025

#UCLFantasy #MD14 Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players) 4-hour deadline KLAXON** 🚨 *Ferran Torres eA not priced ** INT v BAY game eA market unavailable

020 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 15/04/2025

#UCLFantasy #MD14: QF L2 Spread Markets eG for select players

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 13/04/2025

2 years since we released E1 of the FPL Script (youtube.com/@fplscript) ! - 72 episodes - 50,000 views - 1070+ subs (and counting 🤞🏿) Thank you, everyone, for your support ♥️ we have some amazing viewers and hope the support continues and grows 🙏 - @fplfran.bsky.social and @schadenball.com

media.tenor.com

a penguin wearing a number 2 shirt holds balloons

ALT: a penguin wearing a number 2 shirt holds balloons

060 6

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 08/04/2025

#MD13 Market odds eG trends since 20-March Key news affecting eG have been highlighted as much as possible #UCL #UCLFantasy

030 3

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 08/04/2025

#UCLFantasy #MD13 : QF Proj. Goals - MD13 🥇Barcelona 2.52 🥈Paris S-G 2.4 🥉Bayern M. 1.57 Proj. Cleansheet - MD13 🥇Paris S-G 38% 🥈Barcelona 37% 🥉Bayern M. 36% Outright Winner - Odds 🥇Barcelona 23% 🥈Paris S-G 22% 🥉Real Madrid 18% MD15-17 data can be found at schadenball.com

031 3

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 07/04/2025

#UCLFantasy #UCL : QFs Final Team Strength model update ahead of #MD13

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 27/03/2025

First 10-pack = positive variance Might as well stop playing till the next pack release #PokemonTCGP

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 24/03/2025

He has been truly consistent and prolific. That sub appearance v Morocco though

030 3

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 23/03/2025

brilliant stuff ❤️ I am just waiting for trade stamina to regenerate. Will send over a Pikachu 4♦️ ex your way tomorrow

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 22/03/2025

Any fellow #PokemonTCGP players got a spare Pachirisu 4♦️, Shieldon, or Cranidos ?

110 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 12/03/2025

#UCLFantasy #MD12 DAY TWO Top 25 Market eGI points* (To help with captaincy and sub-out decisions) 140-minute deadline KLAXON 🚨 *Arsenal assets have dicey xMins, proceed with caution

030 3

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 11/03/2025

#UCLFantasy #MD12 Top 25 Market eGI points* (select players) 85-minute deadline KLAXON** 🚨 *Lewandowski eA not priced ** LIL v DOR, AVL v BRU, ATM v RMA markets are not available

020 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 11/03/2025

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices* for #MD12 Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com (please utilise BAR v BEN lineups) *Merino represents Arsenal Midfielders. All other Arsenal MIDs and DEFs have better EV than Adeyemi and Mbappe, but mins are extremely uncertain

021 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 10/03/2025

#UCLFantasy #MD12 : RO16 L2 Proj. Goals 🥇Barcelona 2.81 🥈Arsenal 2.67 🥉Inter 2.50 Proj. Cleansheet 🥇Inter 41% 🥈Arsenal 39% 🥉Aston Villa 34% ET prob. 🥇LIL-DOR 23% 🥈ATM-RMA 19.6% 🥉LIV-PSG 14.2% Downloadable files can be found here: schadenball.com

011 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 05/03/2025

#UCLFantasy #MD11 DAY TWO Top 25 Market eGI points (To help with captaincy and sub-out decisions) 65-minute deadline KLAXON 🚨

010 1

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 04/03/2025

Yes indeed! bsky.app/profile/scha...

000 0

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 04/03/2025

#UCLFantasy #UCL #MD11 : RO16 I will be joined by FPL_Mo for a deadline stream at 3.45pm UK time*. Rough agenda: - xP sense check - Discuss lineups for BRU v AVL - Discuss potential MD11 drafts based on latest EV 👉 youtube.com/live/dvRdXe0... *Mo will join about half an hour into the stream

020 2

FPL Schaden @schadenball.com · 04/03/2025

#UCLFantasy #UCL Captaincy choices for #MD11 Full adjustable mins model can be found at schadenball.com (Please utilise lineups for the BRU v AVL game)

131 3