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Robert Ross

@robert-m-ross.bsky.social
803 followers 1.1K following 99 posts

Cognitive scientist at Macquarie University in Sydney. Research on delusions, metascience, misinformation, reasoning, and religion. Google Scholar: tinyurl.com/5f2udu5p

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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
@neillevy.bsky.social, Ryan McKay and I ask, "Who really believes in magic?" www.hbes.com/who-really-b...
hbes.com
Who really believes in magic? - HBES
– by Neil Levy, Rob Ross, and Ryan McKay Anthropology must steer a narrow course between twin dangers. On the one hand, there is the perennial risk of exoticizing other peoples. On the other hand, the...
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Jenny Terry @jennyterry.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
Welcome to the Jangle (Fallacy): The Case of Statistics and Mathematics Anxieties, with Charlie Lea and @profandyfield.com, is out now in the British Journal of Educational Psychology (open access): bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... #StatsEd #MathsEd
bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
<em>British Journal of Educational Psychology</em> | Wiley Online Library
Background Statistics-related anxiety is a common barrier to learning in higher education, particularly for psychology and other non-specialist students. High prevalence rates are concerning because...
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Check out this fantastic paper (that we cite) focused on data from adolescents: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.3102/...
journals.sagepub.com
Inaccurate Estimation of Disparities Due to Mischievous Responders - Joseph P. Robinson-Cimpian, 2014
This article introduces novel sensitivity-analysis procedures for investigating and reducing the bias that mischievous responders (i.e., youths who provide extr...
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
Some colleagues and I wrote a brief commentary that raised concerns about many-analyst projects that fail to incentivise analysts to develop well-specified statistical models. I suspect that this issue could be used to bolster your broader argument. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Many analysts and few incentives
Published in Religion, Brain & Behavior (Vol. 13, No. 3, 2023)
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Thanks! We've got follow up paper that might be of interest: royalsocietypublishing.org/rsos/article...
royalsocietypublishing.org
Do you really believe that? Examining the prevalence and predictors of belief in conspiracy theories when accounting for insincerity
Abstract. Recent research suggests that some survey respondents who endorse conspiracy theories are responding insincerely. However, it is unclear to what
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
It certainly is! I've been doing research inspired by the lizardman's constant recently: www.bps.org.uk/research-dig...
bps.org.uk
Do people really believe the conspiracy theories they say they do? | BPS
A recent paper looks more closely at suspiciously high research estimates of conspiracy endorsement.
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 26/07/2026
www.bps.org.uk/research-dig...
bps.org.uk
Do people really believe the conspiracy theories they say they do? | BPS
A recent paper looks more closely at suspiciously high research estimates of conspiracy endorsement.
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Eiko Fried @eikofried.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Great work by @robert-m-ross.bsky.social: Do People Sincerely Believe Conspiracy Theories That They Endorse? Raccoon pink/yellow (highly bizarre army conspiracy) is a yes/no sincerity check; green/orange is self-report if they answered sincerely. online.ucpress.edu/collabra/art...
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Beth Clarke @bethclarke.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
If you had to guess, what proportion of social/personality psych articles include a claim that the findings can be applied in the real world?
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Every wonder whether people *really* believe in magic? @neillevy.bsky.social, Ryan McKay, and I have the carefully reviewed the literature and can provide you with the definitive answer: sometimes. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
cc @wchiggins.bsky.social
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Prof Neil Martin @thatneilmartin.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
And here's a spotlight I wrote for the next edition of Psychology cc @robert-m-ross.bsky.social
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Prof Neil Martin @thatneilmartin.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
A propos nothing very much at all, here's a review of the Reading The Mind In The Eyes test which was based on, well, some unusual data and practices. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38232573/
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Construct validity evidence reporting practices for the Reading the Mind in the Eyes Test: A systematic scoping review - PubMed
The Reading the Mind in the Eyes Test (RMET) is one of the most influential measures of social cognitive ability, and it has been used extensively in clinical populations. However, questions have been...
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Theiss Bendixen @theissbendixen.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
It's alive! 🎉 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝗔𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝘁'𝘀 𝗚𝘂𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗖𝗮𝘂𝘀𝗲 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗘𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗰𝘁 is out -- an introduction to causal inference in practice. The first two chapters are available for free here: theissbendixen.com/dag-book/ More below 👇
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
This take down of "Why We Sleep" is jaw dropping: guzey.com/books/why-we...
guzey.com
Matthew Walker's "Why We Sleep" Is Riddled with Scientific and Factual Errors - Alexey Guzey
Note: I link to a bunch of paywalled studies in this essay. Please do not use sci-hub to access them for free and do not use this trick (a) to easily redirect papers to sci-hub. For the clearest exam...
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mat marques, ph.d. @mdmarques.com · 11/05/2026
if you're really curious about the true state of reality, click below for the latest from @matthewmatix.bsky.social @scicomguy.bsky.social @srhastraea.bsky.social @lingtax.bsky.social @robert-m-ross.bsky.social @eddieclarke.bsky.social, Martin, and me reported in the @aunz.theconversation.com
theconversation.com
Conspiracy theories: do 300,000 Kiwis really believe Canada is building an army of mutant super-raccoons?
Surveys may overestimate belief in conspiracy theories because of trolls and jokers – but genuine believers can still cause real-world harm.
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
I agree! And the emoji for d > 10 should be 🤯
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Pablo Solana @p-solana.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
Glad to see this finally out! Grateful to have been part of such a large collaborative effort: ✨️ Effects of Psychological Distance on Mental Abstraction: A Registered Report of Four Tests of Construal-Level Theory 📚 Out now in AMPPS journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
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Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 28/04/2026
You ever try the 'Reading the Mind in the Eyes test' and wonder, how is that any of them?!
A woman turning and looking at the viewer. Pick the word that fits best. 1. aghast, 2. baffled, 3. distrustful, 4. terrified.
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Does a N = 305,726 study published in PNAS provide robust validation for the psychometric properties of the Reading the Mind in the Eyes Test and evidence for sex differences in theory of mind ability? doi.org/10.1073/pnas...
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Does the Reading the Mind in the Eyes Test have good psychometric properties? doi.org/10.1177/1073...
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
A few highlights… Is the Reading the Mind in the Eyes Test well validated in the (at least) 1,461 academic studies that have used it? doi.org/10.1016/j.cp...
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
I think you’re going to enjoy reading material from Wendy Higgins’s (wchiggins.bsky.social) PhD research! Summary: www.thetransmitter.org/spectrum/its...
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Justin Sulik @justinsulik.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
We have a new preprint that underscores some key claims here: even if one *can* design an agent that gets through a survey fine, it doesn't follow that such agents are undetectable or common. We find that they are far from common! Preprint link in thread👇
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Thanks!
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
Thanks Eiko!
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Includes a typo to provide evidence it wasn't written by AI 🙃
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Pfft. That's nothing compared to the progress being made in the secret kangaroo program in Australia! I wouldn't want to be responsible for New Zealand's national defense right now....
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Personally, I suspect that people with pet pigs would be the greatest leaders of all 😊
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Thanks Sebastian!
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
That blog post was a key inspiration for the study and we discuss it in the introduction 😁
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
My favourite part of the paper is probably footnote 6...
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Great example! And let's no forget the 6% of Americans who "believe" they could beat a grizzly bear in a fight if unarmed: yougov.com/en-us/articl...
yougov.com
Rumble in the jungle: what animals would win in a fight?
And what wild beasts do Americans think they themselves can take on?
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Daniel Lakens @lakens.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Important reminder why survey results examining the % of people who believe in conspiracies should not directly be interpreted as the % of people who believe in conspiracies. Respondents don't all answer seriously, so the news that 12 million people believe in lizard people is not accurate.
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
You can read more about our research here: doi.org/10.1525/coll...
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
We argue that these results suggest that surveys can produce inflated estimates of the prevalence of belief in conspiracy theories, which raises serious questions about how research on conspiracy theories—and misinformation more broadly—has frequently equated endorsement with belief.
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
We found that 10% of participants endorsed this statement (i.e., they selected “Definitely true” or “Probably true”) and that this was a strong predictor of endorsing six pre-existing conspiracy theories, including two that that directly contradicted each other.
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
In a new study my collaborators and I focus on this alternative hypothesis. We asked participants if this statement is true or false: “The Canadian Armed Forces have been secretly developing an elite army of genetically engineered, super intelligent, giant raccoons to invade nearby countries”.
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
However, an alternative hypothesis that is rarely considered by the media and in academic research on conspiracy theories is that people answering anonymous surveys might not always respond sincerely when asked about their beliefs.
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
… and in Aeon we are discover that “a somewhat unnerving 12 million people” … “endorsed the notion that ‘shape-shifting reptilian people control our world by taking on human form and gaining political power’”.
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
… and in The Guardian we are informed that “12 million Americans believe alien lizards rule us”
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Survey research is often interpreted as showing that belief in conspiracy theories can be surprisingly widespread, including belief in conspiracy theories that would be astonishing if true. For example, in The Atlantic we learn that “12 million Americans believe lizard people run our country”
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Eiko Fried @eikofried.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Curious about how psychological theories are built, tested, and refined in practice? This summer, the Theory Methods Society is launching the very first edition of the summer school Theory Building in Psychology at the University of Amsterdam (July 6–10, 2026). theorymethodssociety.org
theorymethodssociety.org
Theory Methods Society –
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Pat Savage @patrickesavage.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
My book is now published! 🌏🎶🧪
 You can download it for free at academic.oup.com/book/62353 - I’d be grateful if you do! I also published an accessible summary with audio/video today in @nature.com: www.nature.com/articles/d41... Try reading that first, then give the whole book a read if you like it!
Front cover of my book, titled "Comparative musicology: Evolution, universals, and the science of the world's music" (published today by Oxford University Press)1st of my 4-page essay published in Nature today titled "Music is not a universal language - but it can bring us together when words fail"
Picture caption: "Puerto Rican rapper Bad Bunny (centre) performed in Spanish at the half-time show of the 2026 American Football Super Bowl LX."
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David C. Vaidis @vaidis.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
📢 Post-doc position – Toulouse (France) 🇫🇷 A post-doctoral position (12 months) is open at CNRS in Toulouse to work with me on the relationship between signal detection theory, conspiracy beliefs, and perceptions of corruption... 🔗 emploi.cnrs.fr/Offres/CDD/U... Feel free to share!
emploi.cnrs.fr
Portail Emploi CNRS - Offre d'emploi - PhD contract on ANR COPYCAT : "Study of the relationship between conspiracist beliefs and perceptions of corruption" M/F
Assurez-vous que votre profil candidat soit correctement renseigné avant de postuler
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Wendy Higgins @wchiggins.bsky.social · 24/01/2026
Thrilled to share our new paper introducing “validity potential” versus “realised validity” as a key distinction for psychological measurement, with @davidmkaplanx.bsky.social, Alexander Gillett, @suttonprofessor.bsky.social, and @robert-m-ross.bsky.social www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
Rethinking psychological measurement: Validity potential versus realised validity
We propose a concept of validity with a novel feature that we argue can facilitate improved measurement validation practices in the psychological scie…
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
I haven't read closely, so don't have strong opinions on who is correct, but Kelly has an earlier paper disputing Dawson (1999): www.doi.org/10.1558/ijsn...
doi.org
Failed Prophecies Are Fatal | International Journal for the Study of New Religions
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Robert Ross @robert-m-ross.bsky.social · 06/11/2025
Genuine question: What do you think are the most compelling studies providing evidence for cognitive dissonance?
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