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Dick Samuels

@rjsamuels.bsky.social
425 followers 295 following 91 posts

Political Science prof @MIT practicing history w/o a license. Teach about Japan, Asian Security, wargaming. Wrote books on local gov't, energy policy, tech and nat'l security, leadership, Japanese grand strategy, 3.11, & Japan's intelligence community

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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
www.twz.com/sea/japan-op...
twz.com
Japan Opens The Door To Acquiring Nuclear-Powered Submarines
Japan’s naval capabilities are evolving rapidly in the face of growing threats and so are its undersea requirements. Tokyo is keeping its options open as China’s expanding naval reach reshapes Japan’s...
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Reposted by Dick Samuels
Sense Hofstede @sensehofstede.nl · 28/08/2026
Kyodo News: Japan to expand defence equipment aid from 8 to 12 nations amid China concerns – ‘The military of Kenya, which sits on the western Indian Ocean, is expected to be a first-time recipient under the program’
english.kyodonews.net
Japan to expand defense equipment aid to 12 nations amid China concerns
Japan plans to provide defense equipment and other supplies to the armed forces of at least 12 like-minded countries under its Official Security Assistance program in fiscal 2026, up from eight countr...
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
pewresearch.org
How South Koreans view their relationship with the U.S.
For the first time in over 20 years, a majority of South Koreans have an unfavorable opinion of the U.S.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Ditching Chinese Rare Earths Is Hard. Just Ask Japan. foreignpolicy.com/2026/08/24/r...
foreignpolicy.com
Ditching Chinese Rare Earths Is Hard. Just Ask Japan.
A cautionary tale for Washington’s diversification push.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
The Road to Dismantling the ICC Runs Through Tokyo at www.justsecurity.org/154571/us-di...
justsecurity.org
The Road to Dismantling the ICC Runs Through Tokyo
The ICC's ability to function will depend significantly on Japan's response to the U.S. sanctions against the Court's Japanese president.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
WSJ investigative piece on DPRK IT workers inside US firms: www.wsj.com/business/nor...
wsj.com
North Koreans Use Stolen IDs, AI to Land U.S. Jobs—and Funnel Millions to Kim’s Regime
Plus, billions in tariff refunds are turbocharging company earnings, and Midwesterners show the limits of the far-left.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Thoughtful discussion here of consequences of a Japanese nuclear breakout. www.lawfaremedia.org/article/toky...
lawfaremedia.org
Tokyo’s Nuclear Dilemma
Would a nuclear-armed Japan be a deterrence shortcut or a source of instability?
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
Thoughtful discussion here of consequences of a Japanese nuclear breakout. www.lawfaremedia.org/article/toky...
lawfaremedia.org
Tokyo’s Nuclear Dilemma
Would a nuclear-armed Japan be a deterrence shortcut or a source of instability?
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Reposted by Dick Samuels
Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Some thoughts about Japan's new intelligence initiatives. NPR interview: one.npr.org/i/nx-s1-5895...
one.npr.org
🔊 Listen Now: Japan seeks to form new centralized spy agency
All Things Considered on NPR One | 5:56
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Some thoughts about Japan's new intelligence initiatives. NPR interview: one.npr.org/i/nx-s1-5895...
one.npr.org
🔊 Listen Now: Japan seeks to form new centralized spy agency
All Things Considered on NPR One | 5:56
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
And China's response? Wait for it... www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/05...
japantimes.co.jp
Japan to send SDF officers to NATO Ukraine command for first time
Tokyo will send four officers to the NATO Security Assistance and Training Organization for Ukraine to help coordinate planning and arrange the delivery of security assistance.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
And the alliance managers' responses? www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/05...
japantimes.co.jp
Japanese favorability toward U.S. falls below 30%, survey finds
Negative views of the Trump administration might have contributed to the decline, particularly following its military strikes on Iran and the resulting energy crisis.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 24/05/2026
Hard to be sure what Xi thought he might accomplish with a "diatribe" here. For a sense of how very much the world has changed, compare Trump's reply to Xi's reported "diatribe" with Nixon's "cap in the bottle" response to Mao and Zhou back in the day. www.ft.com/content/70e9...
ft.com
Xi Jinping railed against Japan’s ‘remilitarisation’ at Donald Trump summit
Chinese president became heated when criticising US ally for its increased defence spending
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
us-jf.org/en/news/usjf...
us-jf.org
USJF Now Taking Nominations for Second Annual Ph.D. Dissertation Award in Japanese Studies
USJF is accepting nominations for the 2026 Richard J. Samuels Dissertation Award in Japanese Studies, honoring excellence in social sciences research on Japan.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
No time wasted after Japan changed its export laws. Big deal, this: Massive frigate buy from Japan jolts Australian warship program www.defensenews.com/global/asia-...
defensenews.com
Massive frigate buy from Japan jolts Australian warship program
Hughes explained the aim is to have as few Australianized changes as possible, because that “would delay the delivery of the ship.”
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
A training tragedy that could have an outsized impact in Japan as security debates intensify. www.voiceofemirates.com/en/news/2026...
voiceofemirates.com
Tragic accident during military training in Japan: 3 soldiers killed by friendly fire
Learn about the details of the tragic incident in Japan, where three soldiers were killed during a military exercise using live ammunition.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 08/04/2026
All ten of our articles are freely available now: @ejisbisa.bsky.social. All new work on politicized captivity from @toddhall.bsky.social @daniellegilbert.bsky.social @minseonku.bsky.social @rogerpetersen1.bsky.social @profgustafsson.bsky.social Jade McGlynn, Simon Koschut, Barak Kushner,
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 01/04/2026
Recall when France was the "go to" comparison for Japan among comparativists who seized upon their shared preference for a "strong state?" It was a theory. Now, their common concern about wobbly US global leadership may be driving them closer as a matter of fact. asia.nikkei.com/politics/int...
asia.nikkei.com
Japan's Takaichi, France's Macron to strike rare-earths deal
Leaders to agree on joint procurement to ease reliance on China
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Reposted by Dick Samuels
Caitlin Talmadge @proftalmadge.bsky.social · 16/03/2026
Pleased to speak with @financialtimes.com regarding Iran's threat to the Strait of Hormuz www.ft.com/content/8e45...
ft.com
Military briefing: How mines could tighten Iran’s Gulf chokehold
US navy appears ill-prepared for potential use of relatively cheap and plentiful weapon in narrow Strait of Hormuz
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
www.ft.com/content/f21a... Perhaps PM Takaichi’s new supermajority and the absence of any looming national election will see her through to a “yes” that Trump will embrace. Still, a hell of a test looms for Japan’s relatively inexperienced leadership. (Looking at you, Shinjirō-sensei)
ft.com
Trump puts Japan’s Takaichi under pressure with call to send warships
US president’s request to deploy navy to the Strait of Hormuz comes as Japanese leader prepares to visit White House
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Reposted by Dick Samuels
Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 13/03/2026
#OpenAccess from @ejisbisa.bsky.social - Kidnapping politics: The sorcerer’s apprentice effect - cup.org/3PA4zn1 - Nick Ackert & @rjsamuels.bsky.social #FirstView
A close-up of a journal cover titled "European Journal of International Security" with "EJIS" in large letters. A black banner with the hashtag "#OpenAccess" is on the right.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
Very hard to believe that today is the fifteenth anniversary of the triple catastrophe in northeastern Japan. A shocking, awful moment.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
Here's news of a proposal that one might have not thought wise to introduce to the national conversation just a week before a national election... www.asahi.com/ajw/articles...
asahi.com
Coalition pushes revival of ranks from imperial military days | The Asahi Shimbun: Breaking News, Japan News and Analysis
The ruling coalition aims to restore Japanese military ranks used in World War II for members of the Self-Defense Forces, a plan that has drawn concern and bewilderment in the Defense Ministry.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
Japan exporting air defense radars to Philippines: www.asahi.com/ajw/articles...
asahi.com
Japan moves to export defense command system to Philippines | The Asahi Shimbun: Breaking News, Japan News and Analysis
Japan is preparing to export a command and control system to the Philippines, marking a significant boost in defense equipment cooperation between the two countries.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 28/11/2025
Not an entirely trivial sanction, this: asia.nikkei.com/business/tra...
asia.nikkei.com
Chinese airlines slash over 900 Japan-bound flights amid Taiwan tensions
December flights cut by 16%, with cancellations tripling in 2 days
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
Japan getting serious about "sectionalism" (縦割行政) in its intelligence community. Not a trivial matter anywhere, but long overdue in Japan's case. www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/...
www3.nhk.or.jp
Japan's LDP calls for strengthening national intelligence capability | NHK WORLD-JAPAN News
Japan's main ruling Liberal Democratic Party has convened the first meeting of a newly established headquarters in charge of national intelligence strategy.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 16/11/2025
My colleague, Eric Heginbotham, weighs in here about the USAF's slow approach to hardening bases in an age when fighters won't be fighting fighters in the air, but deploying missiles from great distance to eliminate adversary's planes on the ground. Worth a read: www.foxnews.com/politics/ski...
foxnews.com
Skies at stake: Inside the US-China race for air dominance
China's missile strategy targets U.S. air bases while America bets on stealth technology. Pacific air dominance no longer guaranteed as military gap narrows rapidly.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
I hope that late stage grad students in the social sciences working with Japanese language materials will consider applying for this award. The purpose is to draw attention to your scholarship and to give the field a boost: us-jf.org/en/news/usjf...
us-jf.org
USJF Now Taking Nominations for Second Annual PhD Dissertation Award in Japanese Studies
USJF is accepting nominations for the 2026 Richard J. Samuels Dissertation Award in Japanese Studies, honoring excellence in social sciences research on Japan.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
I hope that late stage grad students in the social sciences working with Japanese language materials will consider applying for this award. The purpose is to draw attention to your scholarship and to give the field a boost: us-jf.org/en/news/usjf...
us-jf.org
USJF Now Taking Nominations for Second Annual PhD Dissertation Award in Japanese Studies
USJF is accepting nominations for the 2026 Richard J. Samuels Dissertation Award in Japanese Studies, honoring excellence in social sciences research on Japan.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 07/11/2025
Overview of Japanese Government defense budget request FY2026 here: news.usni.org/2025/11/06/o...
news.usni.org
Overview of Japan's Defense Budget Request for Fiscal Year 2026 - USNI News
The following is an overview of Japan’s defense budget request for Fiscal Year 2026, issued by Japan’s Ministry of Defense. From the Report Fiscal Year 2026 Budget Request Basic Concept In the FY2026 ...
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Dan Sneider @dcsneider.bsky.social · 05/10/2025
The Economist takes stock of the Takaichi victory and what lies ahead for her, and for Japan. www.economist.com/asia/2025/10...
economist.com
Victory for Japan’s polarising Iron Lady, Takaichi Sanae
A hardline right-winger is set to become prime minister
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Reposted by Dick Samuels
Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
One wonders why GOJ is attracted to state-owned defense production-- the hoary "state arsenals." Are firms really so reluctant to get into the defense business at this point? www.yomiuri.co.jp/politics/202...
yomiuri.co.jp
「次世代の動力」潜水艦や国営工廠など提言…防衛力強化の有識者会議が防衛相に報告書
【読売新聞】 防衛省が設置した「防衛力の抜本的強化に関する有識者会議」は19日、政策提言をまとめた報告書を中谷防衛相に提出した。ロシアのウクライナ侵略を教訓に「防衛産業戦略」を新たに策定し、装備品の国内生産や継戦能力の確保に官民一体
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Reposted by Dick Samuels
Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
Just reviewed an interesting book by Stephen Mercado on the Imperial Japanese Army's secret weapons laboratory, Noborito. Access it here if interested: www.tandfonline.com/eprint/ZT67U...
tandfonline.com
Japanese spy gear and special weapons: How Noborito’s scientists and technicians served in the Second World War and the Cold War
Published in Intelligence and National Security (Ahead of Print, 2025)
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 03/10/2025
Impressive move by PM Ishiba-- especially at this moment: www.asahi.com/ajw/articles...
asahi.com
Ishiba seeks to restore redacted ‘anti-military’ speech from 1940 | The Asahi Shimbun: Breaking News, Japan News and Analysis
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba is trying to cement a legacy for his short leadership tenure by restoring the full transcript of a Japanese politician’s “anti-military speech” in 1940.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
@dcsneider.bsky.social
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 02/10/2025
Just reviewed an interesting book by Stephen Mercado on the Imperial Japanese Army's secret weapons laboratory, Noborito. Access it here if interested: www.tandfonline.com/eprint/ZT67U...
tandfonline.com
Japanese spy gear and special weapons: How Noborito’s scientists and technicians served in the Second World War and the Cold War
Published in Intelligence and National Security (Ahead of Print, 2025)
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 19/09/2025
One wonders why GOJ is attracted to state-owned defense production-- the hoary "state arsenals." Are firms really so reluctant to get into the defense business at this point? www.yomiuri.co.jp/politics/202...
yomiuri.co.jp
「次世代の動力」潜水艦や国営工廠など提言…防衛力強化の有識者会議が防衛相に報告書
【読売新聞】 防衛省が設置した「防衛力の抜本的強化に関する有識者会議」は19日、政策提言をまとめた報告書を中谷防衛相に提出した。ロシアのウクライナ侵略を教訓に「防衛産業戦略」を新たに策定し、装備品の国内生産や継戦能力の確保に官民一体
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 06/09/2025
This shift in US security policy--should it come to pass-- is a nightmare to all but the most ambitious Japanese nationalists. And even they know they are not yet capable of deterring China alone (or with any existing combination of allies that excludes the US.) www.politico.com/news/2025/09...
politico.com
Pentagon plan prioritizes homeland over China threat
This marks a major departure from the first Trump administration, which emphasized deterring Beijing.
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Reposted by Dick Samuels
Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
Just out from Tuttle: <Japanese Cooking with Kids> by Debra Samuels and Mayumi Uejima-Carr, from the NGO, TABLE FOR TWO. Recipes were developed for more than 1,000 children who took TFT classes on how to cook Japanese food. Great gift. Profits go to TFT. #Japanesefood #Japaneseculture #cookbook
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 29/08/2025
www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2...
navalnews.com
Japan requests largest-ever defense budget for fiscal year 2026 - Naval News
On August 29, the Japanese Ministry of Defense submitted a record defense budget request of $60.2 billion (8.8 trillion yen) for fiscal year 2026, which begins in April.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
Sunset-- Deer Isle, Maine
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Reposted by Dick Samuels
Dan Sneider @dcsneider.bsky.social · 15/08/2025
www.asahi.com/ajw/articles...
asahi.com
Ishiba reinstates ‘remorse,’ word dropped by Abe, at war memorial | The Asahi Shimbun: Breaking News, Japan News and Analysis
The word “remorse” appeared for the first time in 13 years in the prime minister’s address at an annual memorial service to mark the end of World War II.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
Japan and foreign workers... asia.nikkei.com/spotlight/ja...
asia.nikkei.com
Foreign workers in Japan more than quadruple in labor-starved areas
Farming, fishing and construction increasingly rely on immigrant employment
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 09/08/2025
#food #Japan #JapaneseHomeCooking
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 08/08/2025
Just out from Tuttle: <Japanese Cooking with Kids> by Debra Samuels and Mayumi Uejima-Carr, from the NGO, TABLE FOR TWO. Recipes were developed for more than 1,000 children who took TFT classes on how to cook Japanese food. Great gift. Profits go to TFT. #Japanesefood #Japaneseculture #cookbook
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 27/07/2025
www.fnn.jp/articles/-/9...
fnn.jp
自民・河野氏「森山幹事長は辞任を」 茂木氏は石破首相の辞任を要求「今回3連敗。3アウトチェンジ」|FNNプライムオンライン
自民党の河野前デジタル相が27日朝のフジテレビ「日曜報道 THE PRIME」に出演し、参議院選挙の敗北の責任をとり森山幹事長が辞任するべきだとの考えを示しました。自民党・河野太郎前デジタル相:(衆院の)総選挙、参議院選挙と2つ惨敗をしたわけですから。首相がまだ日米関税交渉もあるというならば、そこはやっぱり幹事長が全責任を負って自分がけじめをつけるからということで、何らかのけじめというのは、組織と...
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 19/07/2025
Will be interesting to see how she fares in the HoC election on Sunday: www.asahi.com/ajw/articles...
asahi.com
Sanseito hopeful supports Japan entering nuclear arms race | The Asahi Shimbun: Breaking News, Japan News and Analysis
An Upper House election candidate from the rising opposition party Sanseito is championing a nuclear-armed Japan, a provocative idea generally endorsed by the party leader.
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Dick Samuels @rjsamuels.bsky.social · 19/07/2025
Will be interested to see how she fares on Sunday in the HoC election: www.asahi.com/ajw/articles...
asahi.com
Sanseito hopeful supports Japan entering nuclear arms race | The Asahi Shimbun: Breaking News, Japan News and Analysis
An Upper House election candidate from the rising opposition party Sanseito is championing a nuclear-armed Japan, a provocative idea generally endorsed by the party leader.
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Reposted by Dick Samuels
Romeo Marcantuoni @rmarcantuoni.bsky.social · 16/07/2025
My piece on Sanseitō for Nikkei Asia. I've been working on this with @robfahey.net for a while now. I just presented on our working paper at IPSA in Seoul, and a peer-reviewed paper is coming out soon. There's also an exciting Japanese project on its way as well. asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Sans...
asia.nikkei.com
Sanseito brings far-right populism to Japan
Party's rise marks a shift toward conspiracist, anti-globalist rhetoric
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