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Rich Posson

@richposson.bsky.social
210 followers 177 following 333 posts

I have a podcast "the Critical Point" on markets and the economy, plus society, climate. I use a business cycle model that follows and time the largest repetitive move per decade to intra-year. Stock market rallies +400% per decade criticalpointpod.com

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Reposted by Rich Posson
Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 6h
(Reuters) - The order to limit a satellite system used by Ukraine for battlefield communications and drone operations came from inside the White House, according to two US officials and a Western official briefed on the matter. @reuters.com 🇺🇦 www.reuters.com/world/europe...
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Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 9h
Kroger just announced the largest layoffs in its history, with plans to cut 3,000 employees as it ramps up use of AI. Reminder that Kroger has spent $12.3B on stock buybacks since 2019 and paid its CEO $14M last year — 417x its median worker's pay. AI is turbo-charging corporate greed.
newsweek.com
Kroger plans largest layoffs in its nearly 150-year history
The company's CEO said it was committed to "simplifying" operations and "deploying more resources where they matter most
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 14/10/2026
#tariffs 🇺🇸 www.foxnews.com/politics/ame...
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ffrf.org @ffrf.org · 13/10/2026
The choice isn’t between Christian nationalism and “atheistic globalism.” It’s between a free society with equal rights and a theocracy ruled by religious zealots. We cannot let Christian nationalists take away our constitutional freedoms.
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 13/10/2026
Second wave
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Nathan Tankus @nathantankus.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
Its 2026 and we are giving the fake Nobel prize in economics to the inventor of the flat tax
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
isabellaweber.substack.com?r=g9qth&utm_...
isabellaweber.substack.com
Isabella Weber | Substack
Click to read Isabella Weber on Substack. Launched a year ago.
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
“.. Distressed leveraged loans … a nearly 90% jump over the past 12 months ..” @bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Nathan Tankus @nathantankus.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
People often say this but it somewhat elides the point.You must have a strong reason to think actual prices will converge to their prices of production for many of the theoretical claims in Capital to be valid. Among other things, without a convergence proof the concept of "exchange value" dissolves
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
“.. Each hour, Muse updates its dossiers on you and the people you’ve mentioned in chats, messages, and emails that Muse has read. .. Even people who don’t use Muse are subject to this mapping process by other people’s Muse agents.” @time.com $META time.com/article/2026...
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
Alrighty then
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 07/10/2026
SHELL CEO: “There’s a limit to how much those shock absorbers can continue to take. .. We have maybe softened the worst impact of the crisis, but there is only so long that you can continue to do that without further discontinuities emerging.” @bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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ContempraInn 🌹 @contemprainn.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
Sugar Hill, New Hampshire
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Marie 🇨🇦 @pawbaby2.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
🇨🇦 This is Canada. Our home. Our country. Our future. We don’t need anyone’s permission to be proud of it. Strong. Free. United. Canadian…and absolutely worth standing up for. ❤️🇨🇦 I love this! Sound up! 📣 #ElbowsUp #CanadaStrong #USDemocracy
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Paul Marvin @paulmarvin.bsky.social · 05/10/2026
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 06/10/2026
ctober issue of Notes from a Napkin Stock market, economy, bitcoin, dollar index, oil, real estate, economy and society. A chart of earnings and GDP history from the years 1200s to near term with the Posson 216 year cycle. Civilization and business. criticalpointpod.com/notes-from-a...
criticalpointpod.com
Notes from a Napkin Oct issue – Critical Point Podcast
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Eternally Spellbound📎 @spellbound1311.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
bsky.app/profile/danc...
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Eternally Spellbound📎 @spellbound1311.bsky.social · 04/10/2026
bsky.app/profile/paul...
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David Graeber Institute @davidgraeberinst.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
In our recent talk, Kathleen Tyson explained her admiration for how China managed down a massive real estate bubble.
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Robert Reich @rbreich.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
-Trump Airlines -Trump Beverages -Trump Casinos -Trump Magazine -Trump Mortgage -Trump Steaks -Trump's Travel Site -Trumpnet -Trump Tower Tampa -Trump University -Trump Vodka -Trump Fragrances -Trump Mattress -Trump Mobile All massive financial failures led by Trump. Now this...
washingtonpost.com
The Kennedy Center was solvent when Trump took over. Then its finances collapsed.
The Post examined 15 years of the institution’s financial records to see why it went south after the president took over
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Laura Lee on Lake ONTARIO 🇨🇦🍁🦫 @laura-leez.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
It is a clear violation of the Canada Investment Act and the commitments made in regards to employee levels until 2029. My hubby is a retiree of Stelco. He left when they were sold to US Steel. Then they were sold again to Cleveland Cliffs. U.S. companies can never be trusted.
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
The US is a dunce.
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Nathan Tankus @nathantankus.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
First of two turbulence podcast episodes with @shaabiranks.bsky.social. prepare yourselves and listen up turbulencepod.substack.com/p/episode-42...
turbulencepod.substack.com
Episode 42: Dollar Imperialism w/ Nathan Tankus
With Nathan Tankus
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
A crime
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FinTwitter @fintwitter.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
*OPENAI EXPECTS TO BURN THROUGH ALMOST $280B BY END-2030: FT
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David Graeber Institute @davidgraeberinst.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
Fascism in Britain has not come from nothing. It is the result of decades of Thatcherism and then Austerity.
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Ivan the K ™ @ivanthek.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
Market commentary that scares me the most is that which boils down to “the market has weathered several storms over the past couple of years, and there’s no reason to think that will not continue.” This is essentially a misplaced momentum argument, IMO.
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
economics.mit.edu/sites/defaul...
economics.mit.edu
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Governor Gavin Newsom @governor.ca.gov · 03/09/2026
California's turbocharged fight against organized retail theft has led to nearly 36,000 arrests and almost $300M in recovered stolen items since 2023. And with California's crime at a record low, our increased funding and local partnerships are paying off.
Since October 2023, $293.4 million worth of stolen goods recovered, 35,907 arrests, and 28,667 cases referred for prosecution
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Democracy Docket @democracydocket.com · 04/09/2026
🚨BREAKING: The U.S. Supreme Court rejected a right-wing bid to force an anti-voting measure onto Michigan's November ballot. The ruling likely kills the proposal — a win for voters and voting rights.
democracydocket.com
Supreme Court denies right-wing group’s bid to force Michigan proof-of-citizenship measure on November ballot
The denial, issued by Justice Brett Brett Kavanaugh, likely means the measure is dead.
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Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani @mayor.nyc.gov · 03/09/2026
Gloria Steinem taught America that sexism is a symptom of a system that can be changed. 

From the fight for equal pay to abortion access and political representation, she showed that progress comes when people organize, build power and refuse to accept inequality as inevitable.

She staged protests, established domestic violence shelters, created a magazine owned and operated entirely by women and helped build a movement that fundamentally changed this country.

Her legacy is the millions of people she inspired to believe that a more just world was possible.

She lived in New York for 70 years. We were lucky to have her. We mourn her loss and will carry her work forward.
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Was a quest on a podcast yesterday and said watch out if Iran/US extend war beyond Jan 1.
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Zoe Washburne Rebel Scum @zoewashburne.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
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Nathan Tankus @nathantankus.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
NEW @crisesnotes.bsky.social: I'm back from a short-family related hiatus with a "catch-up" piece on the latest in monetary policy. I talk about how boring Warsh is, connect it to some age old debates & then circle back to his ending(ish) of "Forward Guidance" www.crisesnotes.com/thats-not-th...
crisesnotes.com
That’s Not the Warsh of It: The End(ish) of Forward Guidance and the Rise(?) of Treasury Monetary Policy
This is a free piece of Notes on the Crises. Take out a paid subscription to support our work here.  Publisher Note: I’ve been off for two weeks because of a family medical emergency. Everything is f...
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
WSJ, with an ice-cold graphic: @wsj.com
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
US corporate profits peak now to yearend. Lower 2027. Business cycle model output.
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
US corporate profits peak now to yearend. Lower 2027. Business cycle model output.
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
Agree
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
Yes!
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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
This is the right move for Canada following several wrong moves by the US.
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Henri Verymetaldev @verymetaldev.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
Gosha Art - Cautionary Tale
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
GROUNDWORK: “.. After adjusting for inflation, corporate profits have grown 52% since 2019. Wages have grown just 12%.” @groundwork.bsky.social
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
The dip before the surge? The alerts made start of this year stuck- result worse affordability. Analysis last year favored higher inflation this year. What result, if trend sustains into 2027. #inflation #debt #mmt #businesscycle PCE inflation rate via business cycle modeling-
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Unlocked (free) Weekly Update Global Stock Markets. Emphasis on Europe. Although I am bearish China into next year, I might be early and I do not expect a significant problem for their economy. We should be most worried of the future of the US. criticalpointpod.com/podcast/unlo...
criticalpointpod.com
Unlocked: Weekly Update- Global stock markets Aug 26 next 60 days – Critical Point Podcast
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Yes
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
it is coming.
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Rich Posson @richposson.bsky.social · 26/08/2026
Starting 2000s I said Republicans would take away more freedoms than return or create. And they sold us the line they were for freedom.
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Norm Wilner @normwilner.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
... well, this escalated quickly
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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
PIMCO: “.. We would discount any plans that emerge from Treasury / the White House to reduce the deficit unless Congress is explicitly involved given Congress has the power of the purse and much of today’s spending was set in law established decades ago.”
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𝕊𝕦𝕟𝕕𝕒𝕖 𝔾𝕦𝕣𝕝 @sundaedivine.lol · 21/08/2026
Obama’s real sin was interrupting America’s cherished tradition of turning every foreign-policy problem into a 20-year war.
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