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Richard Dunley

@redunley.bsky.social
1.4K followers 404 following 395 posts

Naval & diplomatic historian with a side gig in maritime strategy | Senior Lecturer at UNSWCanberra | #PomInOz

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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 3h
The latest episode of the #MaritimeMatters podcast is out. Jen Parker and I discuss today's news about the LHD propulsion issues, Chinese actions in the SCS, UK Aukus investment and much more. soundcloud.com/maritimematt... www.youtube.com/watch?v=OBEi...
soundcloud.com
Episode 45: LHD mechanical issues, Chinese aggression in the South China Sea, and UK Aukus investment
Maritime Matters Episode Title: LHD mechanical issues, Chinese aggression in the South China Sea, and UK Aukus investment In this episode of Maritime Matters Jennifer Parker (https://www.jennifer-par
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Steve Marsdin @stevemarsdin.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
@thegreatwargroup.bsky.social #FWWhist #History #1GM #FWW #Grande-Guerre #WW1
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
My new book now has a cover - and I love it!
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Kim Heriot-Darragh @kimheriotdarragh.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
I’ve been nursing a niche question for a decade: could growing public attention on maritime issues lead some states to object more consistently to foreign navies off their coast? Not quite the same question @redunley.bsky.social examines here but really worth a read.
warontherocks.com
A Sea Control Revolution?
Sea control has changed. In recent years, there has been a quiet revolution in maritime strategy that has seen navies increasingly expected to exert
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The English Historical Review @enghistrev.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social reviews 'Arms for Russia and the Naval War in the Arctic, 1941–1945', by Andrew Boyd academic.oup.com/ehr/advance-... @penandswordbooks.bsky.social
academic.oup.com
Arms for Russia and the Naval War in the Arctic, 1941–1945, by Andrew Boyd
One would be hard put to suggest that the Second World War’s naval war in the Arctic was a forgotten campaign; events including the destruction of convoy P
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Keel laying today for the first ship of the Hunter Class. This is good news, but it comes over 8 years after the selection of BAE's Global Combat Ship design. I know there have been issues, but 8 year from selection to keel laying is just too long. 1/ minister.defence.gov.au/media-releas...
minister.defence.gov.au
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Latest read has just arrived. I don’t agree with a lot of what Hugh has argued in recent years, but it is impossible to ignore the role he has played in shaping the 🇦🇺 strategic debate for the past two decades. I am looking forward to being challenged 😂
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
How do AUKUS subs fit into 🇦🇺 maritime strategy? In this piece I use the historical example of HMAS Australia I to discuss enduring aspects of 🇦🇺 maritime strategy, and how SSNs could support it. www.militarystrategymagazine.com/article/hmas...
militarystrategymagazine.com
HMAS Australia, Australian Maritime Strategy, and the AUKUS Agreement - Military Strategy Magazine
At first glance the battlecruiser HMAS Australia appears to be an unlikely model for the AUKUS agreement, however this article argues that it offers useful insight into enduring features of Australian...
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Good to see LOSV back receiving some attention - with a few comments from myself amongst others. www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
smh.com.au
‘Dead in the water’: Navy’s flagship ‘drone ship’ program in doubt
The government insists it still plans to acquire six large optionally crewed surface vessels, but developments in the US have called that into question.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Public attitudes towards the ADF - Strong public trust in the institution - Limited support for additonal funding - Mixed public opinion on conscription - Increased opposition to working with allies The latest piece from myself and @townsend-nic.bsky.social theconversation.com/australians-...
theconversation.com
Australians are more concerned about terrorism and cyberattacks than war: new research
A new survey reveals Australians’ growing sense of insecurity in the wake of the Bondi terror attack and global threats.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
The latest episode of #MaritimeMatters is now out. Jen and I discuss the Chinese SLBM launch, island building on Antelope Reef, RN USV strategy and much more. soundcloud.com/maritimematt... www.youtube.com/watch?v=OgU2...
soundcloud.com
Episode 43: Chinese Ballistic Missile Tests, Antelope Reef & Royal Navy Uncrewed Systems
Maritime Matters Episode Title: Chinese Ballistic Missile Tests, Antelope Reef & Royal Navy Uncrewed Systems In this episode of Maritime Matters Jennifer Parker (https://www.jennifer-parker.com.au/)
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
The ongoing focus in Canberra on collective deterrence and a middle power strategy is going down well in DC! For all the amusement it does again highlight the increasingly irreconcilable inconsistency in 🇦🇺 grand strategy
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
The 2026 Public Attitudes towards the ADF survey by the War Studies Research Group at UNSW Canberra has just been released. It follows up & expands on the 2025 survey assessing what the public think of Defence & the ADF. Here are a few highlights. www.unsw.edu.au/content/dam/... 1/
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
“If it doesn't get done in 60 days, it's all right," Trump said. "We go back to bombing." Having bombed themselves into a far worse position this time around, I’m not sure why 🇮🇷 would consider this to be a credible threat. www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Initial US-Iran agreement leaves many key issues to be negotiated
Trump has insisted the deal ensures that Iran will never buy, develop or produce a nuclear weapon. But text of the agreement falls short of that.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
The whole Block IV vs Block VII discussion is highlighting the utter inability to have any reasonably informed debate about AUKUS. Despite the categorical claims made by advocates & detractors the reality is that we don’t know if this a positive or negative 1/
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Of all the handwriting I’ve ever had to try and decipher, John Buchan’s is undeniably the worst!
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 28/05/2026
A quiet revolution has happened in maritime strategy and we are only just beginning to realise. Some thoughts from me on how sea control has changed and what it means. warontherocks.com/a-sea-contro...
warontherocks.com
A Sea Control Revolution?
Sea control has changed. In recent years, there has been a quiet revolution in maritime strategy that has seen navies increasingly expected to exert
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
“I’d rather get a root canal” than have to import things into Australia” Interesting comments about logistics and sustainment in a major conflict in the IP. But I do wonder about some of the assumptions. www.defenseone.com/threats/2026...
defenseone.com
The military says it’s ready to ‘fight tonight’ in the Pacific. Can it sustain that fight?
“We cannot win if our supply lines are 5,000 miles long,” says U.S. Forces Korea commander.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
The latest episode of the #MaritimeMatters podcast is out. Jen Parker and I discuss all things Balikatan, LOTE and a whole lot more. 🚢🎙️ www.youtube.com/watch?v=qlp_... soundcloud.com/maritimematt...
youtube.com
Episode 41: Exercise Balikatan and the Collins Life-of-Type Extension
YouTube video by Maritime Matters
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David Morgan-Owen @dmorganowen.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Re-upping in case anyone is in London on 28 May - come along to hear about maritime business, the state, and British war-making 1914-1918
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Why oh why did I agree to write a report on ISR?! Now I am spending hours trying to get "survelliance" and "recognaissance" close enough for spell checker to realise what I am talking about! 😂
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
The manuscript of my latest book, The Battle for American Opinion: British Propaganda and Anglo-American Relations, 1914-1917 has just gone off to the publisher. 🎉🥳 Now, time for a glass of wine!🍷
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
A logistics come arsenal ship come drone mothership…. The latest example of industry assuming that as long as they put the word “drone” in front of something we will all suspend critical thinking. www.navalnews.com/event-news/s...
navalnews.com
Hanwha Ocean Debuts Dual-Use Vessel for Drone and Strike Roles - Naval News
Hanwha and Leidos debuted a new dual-use vessel for logistics, drone mothership and strike support mission roles at SAS 2026.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 23/04/2026
“Their primary purpose is to intimidate and guard sovereignty” Persistent presence bordering on occupation to assert sovereignty at sea. A perfect illustration of the points I make about the changing notions of sea control in my latest article. www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04...
abc.net.au
Why China is recruiting fishermen to 'maintain presence' — not to fish
Off China's southern coast, hundreds of fishing boats sit idle. The crews aren't there to fish, but rather to "maintain presence" as part of a shadowy, state-funded fleet.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
The prospect of 🇨🇳 tying energy relief for SE Asia to diplomatic/political shifts is both an unsurprising, yet deeply worrying new aspect of the ongoing crisis. www.reuters.com/business/ene...
reuters.com
China flexes energy leverage as the Philippines, US start annual war games
China on Tuesday implied energy assistance for the ​Philippines could be tied to Manila holding military drills with the U.S. and other allies, as its top newspaper showed Beijing's readiness ‌to leve...
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
A good and balanced piece on AUKUS, which is a rarity in 🇦🇺 right now. The only point I would add is that there is a question over whether 🇦🇺 should roll the dice given the stakes. AUKUS has always been high risk, high reward - but now much more so. www.smh.com.au/politics/fed...
smh.com.au
Forget Trump. On AUKUS, it’s the next president we must worry about
Anyone reading the news and trying to assess the state of the AUKUS pact would be understandably confused.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
My latest article is out. It argues that sea control has been reimagined in recent years, driven by a dramatic change in the value that states place upon the seas. This in turn is impacting navies across the globe. 1/ www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
A global commons no longer: Sea control reimagined
In recent years the way in which states perceive the value of the seas has changed. The processes of legal and extra-legal territorialization have meant that the seas are now viewed as having value...
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 20/04/2026
It will be interesting to see how much longer the Aus govt can walk its tightrope over the Iran war as the economic implications really begin to bite and they need someone else to blame. Tying everything back to the war makes sense in terms of domestic politics, but could cause tensions with US.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Got a number of thoughts about the NDS26 and Marles' speech today, but I was quite taken by this comment. On one level it is a statement of the obvious - but to me it seems inconceivable that a politician would have said this 10 years ago. This alone is progress.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
Why, when we are talking about the absolute fundamentals of Australian security, can we not use plain English? Language that says what we actually mean, and can be understood by the public.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
The afternoon's reading - in between meetings... So far, so much the same www.defence.gov.au/about/strate...
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War on the Rocks @warontherocks.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
The real stakes of the Hormuz crisis may only become clear when planting seasons are missed.
warontherocks.com
A Closed Strait of Hormuz Risks a Global Food Security Crisis
The war in Iran has done more than rattle energy markets. It has exposed an ordinary farm input as a strategic commodity. Urea is a concentrated,
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 15/04/2026
It is not only the delay in the strategic fleet that is the issue here. The entire concept has been misunderstood. The Taskforce report successful managed to conflate the need for some vessels to requisition in the event of a crisis, with resilience of overseas trade. www.afr.com/politics/fed...
afr.com
Strategic fleet delays leave nation more vulnerable to fuel shocks
Less than 1 per cent of the nation’s seaborne trade is carried by Australian ships, forcing it to rely on foreign governments and companies for vital imports.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
Indonesian overflight discussions with the US have huge implications for 🇦🇺. Many of these flights would likely originate from 🇦🇺, and the same access dilemma is a fundamental issue with current ADF strategic approach. 1/ www.reuters.com/world/china/...
reuters.com
Indonesian foreign ministry urged caution over US military overflight proposal
Indonesia's foreign ministry warned the defence ministry in an early-April letter that an American proposal to give its military "blanket" permission ‌to fly over Indonesian territory risked entanglin...
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
A couple of thoughts on the 🇺🇸 apparent declaration of blockade. 1) Subject to a couple of caveats it is legal. The first slightly embarrassing one is that legal blockade is an act of war - and 🇺🇸 has refused to call the “operation” a “war”. 1/
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Congrats to all. Noteworthy that this is the first time ever that two admirals have been successive CDFs. Arguably an indication of the growing realisation of the maritime slant to 🇦🇺 defence and security.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
A couple of thoughts on the 🇺🇸 apparent declaration of blockade. 1) Subject to a couple of caveats it is legal. The first slightly embarrassing one is that legal blockade is an act of war - and 🇺🇸 has refused to call the “operation” a “war”. 1/
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
So it’s only for vessels from Iranian ports. On one level that makes more sense - but when you think about it harder it highlights the bigger issues. This measure makes a lot of sense and was presumably not done previously because there was technically no “war”.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
So we’re preserving UNCLOS & freedom of navigation by undermining UNCLOS and FON…. Great.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
I am surprised by those painting this conflict as an obituary of 🇺🇸 global power. It is undeniably a f*** up of epic proportions, but the resilience of hegemony is great. None of 🇺🇸 allies are either prepared or willing to throw in the towel. 1/2
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
“As NASA launches a crewed Moon mission, Australia is once again playing a critical role” A great piece by my colleague Tristan Moss on Australian contributions to space exploration and development. 🇦🇺🚀 theconversation.com/as-nasa-laun...
theconversation.com
As NASA launches a crewed Moon mission, Australia is once again playing a critical role
Ground stations in Australia are crucial for contacting the astronauts travelling to the Moon.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
So if this AUKUS malarkey doesn’t come off I’ve got a sub for sale. Top deal, only $10 billion…
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Seems like an appropriate moment to re-up this article I wrote a couple of years back on the democratisation of A2AD, and how it is impacting the ability of navies to operate in littorals. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The End of the Age of Transoceanic Navies?
For 25 years following the end of the Cold War, Western navies focused on operating in littorals and projecting power from sea to land. This began to change with the rise of near-peer rivals and th...
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
Looks like dear old Stansfield Turner has caused some confusion amongst 🇦🇺 analysts. Choke point control as is discussed in maritime strategy is not really the same as what Iran is doing. 1/
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
Lots has been made about the impact of the Iran war on the Indo-Pacific in terms of the use of munitions, and the shifting of kit such as THAAD and the MEU. This clearly matters, but what should be worrying policy makers in Canberra, Seoul & Tokyo is the quality of US decision making. 1/3
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
One thing I don’t understand about the Iran conflict is the way that it appears 🇺🇸 admin has misunderstood the escalation dynamics. They’ve pushed 🇮🇷 towards an existential conflict, and yet seem to have assumed that Tehran would not respond as such.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
“The U.S. Navy has lost control of the seas in Korean waters to a nation without a Navy, using pre-World War I weapons, laid by vessels that were utilized at the time of the birth of Christ.” Rear-Admiral Hoke Smith, 1950
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
In 1914 the British laid 2 small minefields in the Channel and North Sea, and then issued a proclamation saying that the entire area was at risk. Asquith, the PM, explicitly said that they wanted to blow up one neutral vessel as it would stop all the rest.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
“Greens react to PM's confirmation that Australians were on US submarine” As ever it is frustrating that opposition parties confuse legitimate Qs over the status of RAN personnel with falsities about the legality of the sub attack itself www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03...
abc.net.au
Live: PM confirms three Australians on board US submarine that sank Iranian frigate
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese confirms three Australian defence personnel were on a US submarine that sank an Iranian frigate near Sri Lanka. Follow live.
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Richard Dunley @redunley.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Errrmmm, what??!! 🤔🤷‍♂️
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