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Rebecca Florisson @rebeccaflorisson.bsky.social · 11/11/2025

This month’s labour market data shows a jobs market losing momentum. Unemployment has risen to 5.0%, the highest since the pandemic, with 1.79 million people now looking for work. But what’s most concerning isn’t inflow — it’s outflow. People are finding it harder to get back into work. 🧵

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Rebecca Florisson @rebeccaflorisson.bsky.social · 06/11/2025

It's good to see the Commons have rejected the Lords' amendments that would seek to water down the one day rights provision and guaranteed hours for zero hour contract workers. Expected impact 📊 Decrease severely insecure work by an estimated 1.2m workers.

This graph shows that if one day rights and guaranteed hours had been in place in 2023, an estimated 1.2 million fewer workers would have experienced severely insecure work. An estimated 3.85 million workers would have obtained secure employment

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Rebecca Florisson @rebeccaflorisson.bsky.social · 09/01/2025

Bank of England's monthly survey asked what businesses expect to do to meet the increased cost of National Insurance Contributions in April. Over half (54%) said they'd raise prices. With wage growth slowing and prices already high, that could add additional pressure to households.

This graph using Bank of England's Decision Maker Panel data from December 2024 shows the reaction to the increase in national insurance contributions that will come in, in April 2025. Multiple answers were possible. The figure shows that 41% of businesses expect to lower employee wages, 53% expects to decrease the number of employees, 54% will pass on the cost through raising prices, and 64% expects to have lower profit margins.

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Rebecca Florisson @rebeccaflorisson.bsky.social · 15/10/2024

3/6: Wages are growing faster than inflation (4.9%) – yet in real terms, workers are only £20 better off per week than they were in 2008. Wage stagnation remains a huge problem, especially for the 6.8m people in insecure, low-paid jobs. Figure: real average wages 2008-2024

This graph depicts a line showing that average wages in the UK have fallen below 2008 previously and only started to improve in 2019. Currently workers are £20 better off per week than in 2008.

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Rebecca Florisson @rebeccaflorisson.bsky.social · 08/10/2024

Heads up, the DWP's next release of employment figures (5 Nov) for disabled people will include info on job quality. This is a really good thing, as there's not only an employment gap, but also a pay gap and an insecure work gap — really important to track those differential outcomes.

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Rebecca Florisson @rebeccaflorisson.bsky.social · 10/09/2024

2/4: Major issue is long-term sickness keeping 2.79m people out of the workforce, up by 658k since pre-pandemic. This is a challenge for public services + the economy. Graph shows increase in long-term since from 2019 to 2024.

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Rebecca Florisson @rebeccaflorisson.bsky.social · 30/08/2024

After an amazing #ESA2024, stumbled onto a book fair in the Crystal Palace Gardens in Porto. Cannot believe my luck but very worried about my luggage allowance on the way home!

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